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Bo3  ·  CCT 2026 Europe Series 7 Closed Qualifier · 2026-08-13
ex-MANA
vs
SAW Youngsters ✗
45%
55%
Series win probability
SY 2–0 29%
SY 2–1 26%
EX-M 2–1 24%
EX-M 2–0 21%
Actual result
Mirage 13–6 EX-M
Dust2 13–7 SY
Ancient 13–9 EX-M
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — SAW Youngsters is slightly favored at 55% but only leads on 1 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.05 vs 0.99), a strong inferno (62% win probability). Either team could take this — small edges in side performance and veto are the difference.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 52% Dust2 · Inferno · Mirage
Scenario 2 35% Dust2 · Inferno · Ancient
Scenario 3 13% Dust2 · Inferno · Anubis
Dust2
EX-M 16 – 14 SY
53%
47%
Win prob OT 12% ✗
Key factors
After First Death
EX-M
SY
Multi-Kills
EX-M
SY
After First Kill
EX-M
SY
Round Win Rate
EX-M
SY
Opening Score
EX-M
SY
Recent on Dust2
ex-MANA
13-10 vs Bushido Wildcats Aug 12
13-10 vs BASEMENT BOYS Aug 4
6-13 vs Bushido Wildcats Aug 4
13-11 vs MOUZ NXT Aug 3
13-10 vs Leo Aug 2
SAW Youngsters
7-13 vs Rune Eaters Jul 27
5-13 vs Butterfly Jul 26
13-9 vs los kogutos Jul 23
6-13 vs SPARTA Jul 22
13-3 vs Misa Jul 20
Inferno
EX-M 8 – 13 SY
38%
62%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
EX-M
SY
Round Win Rate
EX-M
SY
After First Death
EX-M
SY
Map Player Rating
EX-M
SY
Opening Kills
EX-M
SY
Recent on Inferno
ex-MANA
10-13 vs megoshort Jul 25
11-13 vs Misa Jul 19
SAW Youngsters
13-6 vs ex-RUSTEC Aug 12
16-13 vs Butterfly Jul 26
13-8 vs Enjoy Jul 25
13-9 vs SPARTA Jul 22
17-19 vs QUAZAR Jul 22
Mirage
EX-M 16 – 14 SY
52%
48%
Win prob OT 12% ✓
Key factors
After First Kill
EX-M
SY
Map Win Rate
EX-M
SY
After First Death
EX-M
SY
Round Win Rate
EX-M
SY
T 5v4
EX-M
SY
Recent on Mirage
ex-MANA
8-13 vs Bushido Wildcats Aug 12
7-13 vs Bushido Wildcats Aug 4
13-10 vs MOUZ NXT Aug 3
13-11 vs Inner Circle Academy Aug 2
13-16 vs los kogutos Jul 29
SAW Youngsters
6-13 vs Rune Eaters Jul 27
9-13 vs Enjoy Jul 25
13-11 vs los kogutos Jul 23
11-13 vs SPARTA Jul 22
13-9 vs Mai Tai Jul 16
Dust2
EX-M 16 – 14 SY
53%
47%
Win prob OT 12% ✗
Key factors
After First Death
EX-M
SY
Multi-Kills
EX-M
SY
After First Kill
EX-M
SY
Round Win Rate
EX-M
SY
Opening Score
EX-M
SY
Recent on Dust2
ex-MANA
13-10 vs Bushido Wildcats Aug 12
13-10 vs BASEMENT BOYS Aug 4
6-13 vs Bushido Wildcats Aug 4
13-11 vs MOUZ NXT Aug 3
13-10 vs Leo Aug 2
SAW Youngsters
7-13 vs Rune Eaters Jul 27
5-13 vs Butterfly Jul 26
13-9 vs los kogutos Jul 23
6-13 vs SPARTA Jul 22
13-3 vs Misa Jul 20
Inferno
EX-M 8 – 13 SY
38%
62%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
EX-M
SY
Round Win Rate
EX-M
SY
After First Death
EX-M
SY
Map Player Rating
EX-M
SY
Opening Kills
EX-M
SY
Recent on Inferno
ex-MANA
10-13 vs megoshort Jul 25
11-13 vs Misa Jul 19
SAW Youngsters
13-6 vs ex-RUSTEC Aug 12
16-13 vs Butterfly Jul 26
13-8 vs Enjoy Jul 25
13-9 vs SPARTA Jul 22
17-19 vs QUAZAR Jul 22
Ancient
EX-M 11 – 13 SY
46%
54%
Win prob OT 12% ✗
Key factors
After First Kill
EX-M
SY
After First Death
EX-M
SY
Map Player Rating
EX-M
SY
Multi-Kills
EX-M
SY
Opening Kills
EX-M
SY
Recent on Ancient
ex-MANA
13-9 vs BASEMENT BOYS Aug 4
13-9 vs Inner Circle Academy Aug 2
14-16 vs Rune Eaters Jul 28
16-14 vs NEW VISION Jul 26
8-13 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 15
SAW Youngsters
6-13 vs Enjoy Jul 25
5-13 vs los kogutos Jul 23
13-3 vs Fortress Jul 21
9-13 vs Vexar Jul 18
13-5 vs Mai Tai Jul 16
Dust2
EX-M 16 – 14 SY
53%
47%
Win prob OT 12% ✗
Key factors
After First Death
EX-M
SY
Multi-Kills
EX-M
SY
After First Kill
EX-M
SY
Round Win Rate
EX-M
SY
Opening Score
EX-M
SY
Recent on Dust2
ex-MANA
13-10 vs Bushido Wildcats Aug 12
13-10 vs BASEMENT BOYS Aug 4
6-13 vs Bushido Wildcats Aug 4
13-11 vs MOUZ NXT Aug 3
13-10 vs Leo Aug 2
SAW Youngsters
7-13 vs Rune Eaters Jul 27
5-13 vs Butterfly Jul 26
13-9 vs los kogutos Jul 23
6-13 vs SPARTA Jul 22
13-3 vs Misa Jul 20
Inferno
EX-M 8 – 13 SY
38%
62%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
EX-M
SY
Round Win Rate
EX-M
SY
After First Death
EX-M
SY
Map Player Rating
EX-M
SY
Opening Kills
EX-M
SY
Recent on Inferno
ex-MANA
10-13 vs megoshort Jul 25
11-13 vs Misa Jul 19
SAW Youngsters
13-6 vs ex-RUSTEC Aug 12
16-13 vs Butterfly Jul 26
13-8 vs Enjoy Jul 25
13-9 vs SPARTA Jul 22
17-19 vs QUAZAR Jul 22
Anubis
EX-M 11 – 13 SY
45%
55%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
EX-M
SY
After First Death
EX-M
SY
Opening Kills
EX-M
SY
T 5v4
EX-M
SY
Map Player Rating
EX-M
SY
Recent on Anubis
ex-MANA
5-13 vs Inner Circle Academy Aug 2
13-7 vs Leo Aug 2
10-13 vs benched gods Jul 17
10-13 vs DONSTU Jul 13
SAW Youngsters
14-16 vs ex-RUSTEC Aug 12
10-13 vs QUAZAR Jul 22
13-8 vs DONSTU Jul 4
Recent Results last 11 matches
ex-MANA
SAW Youngsters
L 1-2 vs Bushido Wildcats Dust2MirageCache Aug 12 1d ago
W 2-0 vs BASEMENT BOYS AncientDust2 Aug 4 9d ago
L 1-2 vs Bushido Wildcats CacheMirageDust2 Aug 4 9d ago
W 2-1 vs MOUZ NXT NukeDust2Mirage Aug 3 10d ago
W 2-1 vs Inner Circle Academy MirageAnubisAncient Aug 2 11d ago
W 2-0 vs Leo Dust2Anubis Aug 2 11d ago
L 0-2 vs ex-RUSTEC Dust2Nuke Jul 31 13d ago
L 0-2 vs los kogutos Dust2Nuke Jul 29 15d ago
L 0-2 vs los kogutos MirageNuke Jul 29 15d ago
L 0-2 vs Rune Eaters Dust2Ancient Jul 28 16d ago
W 2-0 vs NEW VISION Dust2Ancient Jul 26 18d ago
L 1-2 vs ex-RUSTEC NukeInfernoAnubis Aug 12 1d ago
L 0-2 vs Rune Eaters MirageDust2 Jul 27 17d ago
L 1-2 vs Butterfly NukeInfernoDust2 Jul 26 18d ago
L 1-2 vs Enjoy MirageInfernoAncient Jul 25 19d ago
W 2-1 vs los kogutos Dust2AncientMirage Jul 23 21d ago
L 1-2 vs SPARTA Dust2InfernoMirage Jul 22 22d ago
L 1-2 vs QUAZAR InfernoNukeAnubis Jul 22 22d ago
W 2-0 vs Fortress AncientInferno Jul 21 23d ago
W 2-0 vs Misa Dust2Inferno Jul 20 24d ago
L 0-2 vs Vexar AncientInferno Jul 18 26d ago
W 2-0 vs los kogutos Dust2Nuke Jul 17 27d ago
Player Matchups
ex-MANA
Ratings
SAW Youngsters
BL
BledarD
AWPADR 75.2KAST 70%
1.04 vs 1.15
TU
tuxa
AWPADR 78.8KAST 72%
CE
cerber
RiflerADR 75.8KAST 69%
1.03 vs 1.08
SN
snowiee
RiflerADR 76.6KAST 73%
XO
xonn1k
RiflerADR 69.9KAST 69%
0.96 vs 1.08
JE
jERK0z
EntryADR 72.0KAST 75%
VA
vAloN
EntryADR 70.7KAST 72%
0.95 vs 1.03
JA
Jayy2s
RiflerADR 74.5KAST 71%
AM
ammar
RiflerADR 69.9KAST 66%
0.95 vs 0.94
M1
M1KA
RiflerADR 62.1KAST 71%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Cache
EX-M 13 – 10 SY
64%
36%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
EX-M
SY
After First Death
EX-M
SY
Opening Kills
EX-M
SY
T 5v4
EX-M
SY
Pistol Rounds
EX-M
SY
Recent on Cache
ex-MANA
11-13 vs Bushido Wildcats Aug 12
13-9 vs Bushido Wildcats Aug 4
SAW Youngsters
no data
Anubis
EX-M 11 – 13 SY
45%
55%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
EX-M
SY
After First Death
EX-M
SY
Opening Kills
EX-M
SY
T 5v4
EX-M
SY
Map Player Rating
EX-M
SY
Recent on Anubis
ex-MANA
5-13 vs Inner Circle Academy Aug 2
13-7 vs Leo Aug 2
10-13 vs benched gods Jul 17
10-13 vs DONSTU Jul 13
SAW Youngsters
14-16 vs ex-RUSTEC Aug 12
10-13 vs QUAZAR Jul 22
13-8 vs DONSTU Jul 4
Ancient
EX-M 11 – 13 SY
46%
54%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
EX-M
SY
After First Death
EX-M
SY
Map Player Rating
EX-M
SY
Multi-Kills
EX-M
SY
Opening Kills
EX-M
SY
Recent on Ancient
ex-MANA
13-9 vs BASEMENT BOYS Aug 4
13-9 vs Inner Circle Academy Aug 2
14-16 vs Rune Eaters Jul 28
16-14 vs NEW VISION Jul 26
8-13 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 15
SAW Youngsters
6-13 vs Enjoy Jul 25
5-13 vs los kogutos Jul 23
13-3 vs Fortress Jul 21
9-13 vs Vexar Jul 18
13-5 vs Mai Tai Jul 16
Nuke
EX-M 14 – 16 SY
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
EX-M
SY
After First Death
EX-M
SY
Map Player Rating
EX-M
SY
Round Win Rate
EX-M
SY
Map Win Rate
EX-M
SY
Recent on Nuke
ex-MANA
7-13 vs MOUZ NXT Aug 3
11-13 vs ex-RUSTEC Jul 31
11-13 vs los kogutos Jul 29
3-13 vs los kogutos Jul 29
14-16 vs OlyBet Jul 18
SAW Youngsters
9-13 vs ex-RUSTEC Aug 12
10-13 vs Butterfly Jul 26
13-9 vs QUAZAR Jul 22
13-7 vs los kogutos Jul 17
6-13 vs Endless Journey Jul 5
More from CCT 2026 Europe Series 7 Closed Qualifier 1 match
HAVU over los kogutos 50%