Project Leggy
Back
Bo3  ·  Tipsport Open Cup 1 · 2026-08-08
LPH
vs
Nexus
54%
46%
Series win probability
LPH 2–0 28%
LPH 2–1 26%
NEXU 2–1 24%
NEXU 2–0 22%
Actual result
Ancient 13–2 NEXU
Anubis 13–1 NEXU
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — LPH is slightly favored at 54% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#191 vs #90). Nexus's best shot is cache where they hold a 62% edge.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 43% Inferno · Anubis · Cache
Scenario 2 29% Inferno · Anubis · Ancient
Scenario 3 28% Inferno · Anubis · Dust2
Inferno
LPH 13 10 NEXU
56%
44%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
LPH
NEXU
After First Death
LPH
NEXU
Ranking
LPH
NEXU
Map Player Rating
LPH
NEXU
Round Win Rate
LPH
NEXU
Recent on Inferno
LPH
10-13 vs mellren Jul 12
13-4 vs mellren Jul 11
13-7 vs eSuba Jun 7
19-15 vs Misa Mar 4
10-13 vs navi junior Mar 3
Nexus
13-5 vs GamersLab Aug 7
13-11 vs PURE Jun 13
9-13 vs Alliance Jun 13
3-13 vs Metizport Jun 13
Anubis
LPH 13 11 NEXU
55%
45%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
LPH
NEXU
Ranking
LPH
NEXU
Round Win Rate
LPH
NEXU
After First Death
LPH
NEXU
Opening Kills
LPH
NEXU
Recent on Anubis
LPH
13-7 vs NAVI Junior Aug 8
13-7 vs eSuba Jul 1
2-13 vs ESC Mar 21
Nexus
13-9 vs BRUTE Aug 8
8-13 vs Jam Aug 7
13-4 vs PURE Jun 13
13-9 vs Alliance Jun 13
Cache
LPH 10 13 NEXU
38%
62%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
LPH
NEXU
After First Kill
LPH
NEXU
Ranking
LPH
NEXU
Pistol Rounds
LPH
NEXU
Trade Score
LPH
NEXU
Recent on Cache
LPH
no data
Nexus
13-7 vs BRUTE Aug 8
Inferno
LPH 13 10 NEXU
56%
44%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
LPH
NEXU
After First Death
LPH
NEXU
Ranking
LPH
NEXU
Map Player Rating
LPH
NEXU
Round Win Rate
LPH
NEXU
Recent on Inferno
LPH
10-13 vs mellren Jul 12
13-4 vs mellren Jul 11
13-7 vs eSuba Jun 7
19-15 vs Misa Mar 4
10-13 vs navi junior Mar 3
Nexus
13-5 vs GamersLab Aug 7
13-11 vs PURE Jun 13
9-13 vs Alliance Jun 13
3-13 vs Metizport Jun 13
Anubis
LPH 13 11 NEXU
55%
45%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
LPH
NEXU
Ranking
LPH
NEXU
Round Win Rate
LPH
NEXU
After First Death
LPH
NEXU
Opening Kills
LPH
NEXU
Recent on Anubis
LPH
13-7 vs NAVI Junior Aug 8
13-7 vs eSuba Jul 1
2-13 vs ESC Mar 21
Nexus
13-9 vs BRUTE Aug 8
8-13 vs Jam Aug 7
13-4 vs PURE Jun 13
13-9 vs Alliance Jun 13
Ancient
LPH 13 11 NEXU
62%
38%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
LPH
NEXU
After First Death
LPH
NEXU
Ranking
LPH
NEXU
Map Player Rating
LPH
NEXU
Opening Kills
LPH
NEXU
Recent on Ancient
LPH
13-0 vs GamersLab Aug 8
16-13 vs NAVI Junior Aug 8
7-13 vs Jam Aug 7
13-9 vs Honvéd Jul 4
13-7 vs DEFEATERS Jul 1
Nexus
1-13 vs Alliance Jun 14
Inferno
LPH 13 10 NEXU
56%
44%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
LPH
NEXU
After First Death
LPH
NEXU
Ranking
LPH
NEXU
Map Player Rating
LPH
NEXU
Round Win Rate
LPH
NEXU
Recent on Inferno
LPH
10-13 vs mellren Jul 12
13-4 vs mellren Jul 11
13-7 vs eSuba Jun 7
19-15 vs Misa Mar 4
10-13 vs navi junior Mar 3
Nexus
13-5 vs GamersLab Aug 7
13-11 vs PURE Jun 13
9-13 vs Alliance Jun 13
3-13 vs Metizport Jun 13
Anubis
LPH 13 11 NEXU
55%
45%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
LPH
NEXU
Ranking
LPH
NEXU
Round Win Rate
LPH
NEXU
After First Death
LPH
NEXU
Opening Kills
LPH
NEXU
Recent on Anubis
LPH
13-7 vs NAVI Junior Aug 8
13-7 vs eSuba Jul 1
2-13 vs ESC Mar 21
Nexus
13-9 vs BRUTE Aug 8
8-13 vs Jam Aug 7
13-4 vs PURE Jun 13
13-9 vs Alliance Jun 13
Dust2
LPH 13 11 NEXU
54%
46%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
LPH
NEXU
After First Kill
LPH
NEXU
Ranking
LPH
NEXU
T 5v4
LPH
NEXU
Opening Kills
LPH
NEXU
Recent on Dust2
LPH
13-6 vs GamersLab Aug 8
6-13 vs mellren Jul 12
13-9 vs mellren Jul 11
16-14 vs The Boys Jul 9
7-13 vs Honvéd Jul 4
Nexus
13-6 vs GamersLab Aug 7
3-13 vs Alliance Jun 14
Recent Results last 11 matches
LPH
Nexus
L 0-2 vs Jam AncientNuke Aug 7 6d ago
L 0-2 vs mellren InfernoDust2 Jul 12 32d ago
W 2-0 vs mellren Dust2Inferno Jul 11 33d ago
W 2-0 vs The Boys Dust2Nuke Jul 9 35d ago
L 1-2 vs Honvéd AncientNukeDust2 Jul 4 40d ago
W 1-0 vs DEFEATERS Ancient Jul 1 43d ago
W 2-0 vs eSuba AnubisDust2 Jul 1 43d ago
W 2-0 vs eSuba InfernoDust2 Jun 7 67d ago
L 0-2 vs M1X KS AncientDust2 Mar 23 143d ago
L 0-2 vs ESC AnubisAncient Mar 21 145d ago
L 0-2 vs HEROIC Academy MirageNuke Mar 5 161d ago
W 2-0 vs GamersLab Dust2Inferno Aug 7 6d ago
L 0-2 vs Jam NukeAnubis Aug 7 6d ago
W 2-0 vs Noir Verse MirageOverpass Jun 14 60d ago
L 1-2 vs Alliance OverpassDust2Ancient Jun 14 60d ago
W 2-1 vs PURE AnubisMirageInferno Jun 13 61d ago
W 2-1 vs Alliance OverpassInfernoAnubis Jun 13 61d ago
L 0-2 vs Metizport OverpassInferno Jun 13 61d ago
Player Matchups
LPH
Ratings
Nexus
FA
Fajr
AWPADR 77.2KAST 71%
1.03 vs 1.15
SH
shield
AWPADR 70.5KAST 76%
LO
lojzo
RiflerADR 67.1KAST 73%
1.02 vs 1.07
FN
fNk
RiflerADR 79.1KAST 69%
D0
d0mZ1k
RiflerADR 71.4KAST 70%
0.97 vs 1.06
S0
s0und
EntryADR 71.2KAST 70%
N1
N1KOLAJ
EntryADR 67.0KAST 71%
0.95 vs 0.92
NE
Nexius
RiflerADR 69.4KAST 67%
vs 0.89
SB
SBT
RiflerADR 64.0KAST 66%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Mirage
LPH 9 13 NEXU
36%
64%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
LPH
NEXU
After First Death
LPH
NEXU
Ranking
LPH
NEXU
Ban Rate
LPH
NEXU
Round Win Rate
LPH
NEXU
Recent on Mirage
LPH
8-13 vs HEROIC Academy Mar 5
6-13 vs Misa Mar 4
Nexus
13-3 vs Noir Verse Jun 14
12-16 vs PURE Jun 13
Ancient
LPH 13 11 NEXU
62%
38%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
LPH
NEXU
After First Death
LPH
NEXU
Ranking
LPH
NEXU
Map Player Rating
LPH
NEXU
Opening Kills
LPH
NEXU
Recent on Ancient
LPH
13-0 vs GamersLab Aug 8
16-13 vs NAVI Junior Aug 8
7-13 vs Jam Aug 7
13-9 vs Honvéd Jul 4
13-7 vs DEFEATERS Jul 1
Nexus
1-13 vs Alliance Jun 14
Nuke
LPH 13 11 NEXU
57%
43%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
LPH
NEXU
Ranking
LPH
NEXU
Ban Rate
LPH
NEXU
After First Kill
LPH
NEXU
Round Win Rate
LPH
NEXU
Recent on Nuke
LPH
5-13 vs Jam Aug 7
13-11 vs The Boys Jul 9
5-13 vs Honvéd Jul 4
11-13 vs HEROIC Academy Mar 5
16-13 vs Misa Mar 4
Nexus
10-13 vs Jam Aug 7
Dust2
LPH 13 11 NEXU
54%
46%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
LPH
NEXU
After First Kill
LPH
NEXU
Ranking
LPH
NEXU
T 5v4
LPH
NEXU
Opening Kills
LPH
NEXU
Recent on Dust2
LPH
13-6 vs GamersLab Aug 8
6-13 vs mellren Jul 12
13-9 vs mellren Jul 11
16-14 vs The Boys Jul 9
7-13 vs Honvéd Jul 4
Nexus
13-6 vs GamersLab Aug 7
3-13 vs Alliance Jun 14
More from Tipsport Open Cup 1 1 match