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Bo3  ·  ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 2 · 2026-08-04
ex-MANA
vs
Bushido Wildcats
42%
58%
Series win probability
BW 2–0 30%
BW 2–1 28%
EX-M 2–1 21%
EX-M 2–0 21%
Actual result
Cache 13–9 EX-M
Mirage 13–7 BW
Dust2 13–6 BW
Model Insights
Bushido Wildcats has a moderate edge at 58%, favored on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.08 vs 1.00), a significant ranking advantage (#126 vs #172), a strong anubis (64% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 41% Dust2 · Mirage · Anubis
Scenario 2 35% Dust2 · Mirage · Inferno
Scenario 3 24% Dust2 · Mirage · Nuke
Dust2
EX-M 14 16 BW
48%
52%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
EX-M
BW
Round Win Rate
EX-M
BW
After First Kill
EX-M
BW
Map Win Rate
EX-M
BW
Ranking
EX-M
BW
Recent on Dust2
ex-MANA
13-10 vs BASEMENT BOYS Aug 4
13-11 vs MOUZ NXT Aug 3
13-10 vs Leo Aug 2
6-13 vs ex-RUSTEC Jul 31
4-13 vs los kogutos Jul 29
Bushido Wildcats
7-13 vs Leo Aug 4
13-9 vs Noir Verse Aug 3
13-7 vs Mai Tai Aug 2
13-8 vs Fire Flux Aug 2
13-3 vs MOUZ NXT Jul 12
Mirage
EX-M 14 16 BW
48%
52%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
EX-M
BW
After First Death
EX-M
BW
Ranking
EX-M
BW
Overall Rating
EX-M
BW
Multi-Kills
EX-M
BW
Recent on Mirage
ex-MANA
13-10 vs MOUZ NXT Aug 3
13-11 vs Inner Circle Academy Aug 2
13-16 vs los kogutos Jul 29
13-10 vs Misa Jul 19
13-3 vs OlyBet Jul 18
Bushido Wildcats
13-5 vs MOUZ NXT Jul 12
9-13 vs Phantom May 30
13-3 vs KOLESIE May 26
13-11 vs Misa May 24
13-6 vs Just Players May 23
Anubis
EX-M 10 13 BW
36%
64%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
EX-M
BW
After First Death
EX-M
BW
Ranking
EX-M
BW
Map Player Rating
EX-M
BW
Overall Rating
EX-M
BW
Recent on Anubis
ex-MANA
5-13 vs Inner Circle Academy Aug 2
13-7 vs Leo Aug 2
10-13 vs benched gods Jul 17
10-13 vs DONSTU Jul 13
Bushido Wildcats
13-1 vs Leo Aug 4
13-9 vs SPARTA Jul 12
10-13 vs KOLESIE May 26
13-10 vs DONSTU May 26
14-16 vs Misa May 24
Dust2
EX-M 14 16 BW
48%
52%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
EX-M
BW
Round Win Rate
EX-M
BW
After First Kill
EX-M
BW
Map Win Rate
EX-M
BW
Ranking
EX-M
BW
Recent on Dust2
ex-MANA
13-10 vs BASEMENT BOYS Aug 4
13-11 vs MOUZ NXT Aug 3
13-10 vs Leo Aug 2
6-13 vs ex-RUSTEC Jul 31
4-13 vs los kogutos Jul 29
Bushido Wildcats
7-13 vs Leo Aug 4
13-9 vs Noir Verse Aug 3
13-7 vs Mai Tai Aug 2
13-8 vs Fire Flux Aug 2
13-3 vs MOUZ NXT Jul 12
Mirage
EX-M 14 16 BW
48%
52%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
EX-M
BW
After First Death
EX-M
BW
Ranking
EX-M
BW
Overall Rating
EX-M
BW
Multi-Kills
EX-M
BW
Recent on Mirage
ex-MANA
13-10 vs MOUZ NXT Aug 3
13-11 vs Inner Circle Academy Aug 2
13-16 vs los kogutos Jul 29
13-10 vs Misa Jul 19
13-3 vs OlyBet Jul 18
Bushido Wildcats
13-5 vs MOUZ NXT Jul 12
9-13 vs Phantom May 30
13-3 vs KOLESIE May 26
13-11 vs Misa May 24
13-6 vs Just Players May 23
Inferno
EX-M 10 13 BW
44%
56%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
EX-M
BW
Ranking
EX-M
BW
Round Win Rate
EX-M
BW
Map Player Rating
EX-M
BW
Map Win Rate
EX-M
BW
Recent on Inferno
ex-MANA
10-13 vs megoshort Jul 25
11-13 vs Misa Jul 19
Bushido Wildcats
6-13 vs QUAZAR Jul 13
13-7 vs HEROIC Academy May 31
13-4 vs Rebels May 27
11-13 vs Dripmen May 27
Dust2
EX-M 14 16 BW
48%
52%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
EX-M
BW
Round Win Rate
EX-M
BW
After First Kill
EX-M
BW
Map Win Rate
EX-M
BW
Ranking
EX-M
BW
Recent on Dust2
ex-MANA
13-10 vs BASEMENT BOYS Aug 4
13-11 vs MOUZ NXT Aug 3
13-10 vs Leo Aug 2
6-13 vs ex-RUSTEC Jul 31
4-13 vs los kogutos Jul 29
Bushido Wildcats
7-13 vs Leo Aug 4
13-9 vs Noir Verse Aug 3
13-7 vs Mai Tai Aug 2
13-8 vs Fire Flux Aug 2
13-3 vs MOUZ NXT Jul 12
Mirage
EX-M 14 16 BW
48%
52%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
EX-M
BW
After First Death
EX-M
BW
Ranking
EX-M
BW
Overall Rating
EX-M
BW
Multi-Kills
EX-M
BW
Recent on Mirage
ex-MANA
13-10 vs MOUZ NXT Aug 3
13-11 vs Inner Circle Academy Aug 2
13-16 vs los kogutos Jul 29
13-10 vs Misa Jul 19
13-3 vs OlyBet Jul 18
Bushido Wildcats
13-5 vs MOUZ NXT Jul 12
9-13 vs Phantom May 30
13-3 vs KOLESIE May 26
13-11 vs Misa May 24
13-6 vs Just Players May 23
Nuke
EX-M 11 13 BW
46%
54%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
EX-M
BW
Ranking
EX-M
BW
Round Win Rate
EX-M
BW
After First Death
EX-M
BW
Overall Rating
EX-M
BW
Recent on Nuke
ex-MANA
7-13 vs MOUZ NXT Aug 3
11-13 vs ex-RUSTEC Jul 31
11-13 vs los kogutos Jul 29
3-13 vs los kogutos Jul 29
14-16 vs OlyBet Jul 18
Bushido Wildcats
13-6 vs Leo Aug 4
13-9 vs Noir Verse Aug 3
13-5 vs Mai Tai Aug 2
11-13 vs Fire Flux Aug 2
7-13 vs QUAZAR Jul 13
Recent Results last 11 matches
ex-MANA
Bushido Wildcats
W 2-1 vs MOUZ NXT NukeDust2Mirage Aug 3 10d ago
W 2-1 vs Inner Circle Academy MirageAnubisAncient Aug 2 11d ago
W 2-0 vs Leo Dust2Anubis Aug 2 11d ago
L 0-2 vs ex-RUSTEC Dust2Nuke Jul 31 13d ago
L 0-2 vs los kogutos Dust2Nuke Jul 29 15d ago
L 0-2 vs los kogutos MirageNuke Jul 29 15d ago
L 0-2 vs Rune Eaters Dust2Ancient Jul 28 16d ago
W 2-0 vs NEW VISION Dust2Ancient Jul 26 18d ago
L 0-2 vs megoshort Dust2Inferno Jul 25 19d ago
L 1-2 vs Misa MirageDust2Inferno Jul 19 25d ago
W 2-1 vs OlyBet MirageNukeDust2 Jul 18 26d ago
W 2-0 vs Noir Verse NukeDust2 Aug 3 10d ago
W 2-0 vs Mai Tai NukeDust2 Aug 2 11d ago
W 2-1 vs Fire Flux CacheNukeDust2 Aug 2 11d ago
L 0-2 vs QUAZAR NukeInferno Jul 13 31d ago
W 2-1 vs MOUZ NXT Dust2NukeMirage Jul 12 32d ago
W 2-1 vs SPARTA AnubisAncientDust2 Jul 12 32d ago
L 0-2 vs ex-RUBY Dust2Nuke Jun 5 69d ago
W 2-0 vs HEROIC Academy OverpassInferno May 31 74d ago
L 0-2 vs Phantom NukeMirage May 30 75d ago
W 2-0 vs Rebels InfernoDust2 May 27 78d ago
L 1-2 vs Dripmen InfernoDust2Overpass May 27 78d ago
Player Matchups
ex-MANA
Ratings
Bushido Wildcats
BL
BledarD
AWPADR 74.9KAST 69%
1.04 vs 1.17
VE
Vej
AWPADR 79.5KAST 73%
CE
cerber
RiflerADR 75.2KAST 68%
1.02 vs 1.13
DA
Darendeli
RiflerADR 82.1KAST 71%
VA
vAloN
EntryADR 72.0KAST 72%
0.97 vs 1.13
CA
cadnyx
EntryADR 79.0KAST 74%
XO
xonn1k
RiflerADR 70.2KAST 69%
0.96 vs 0.98
MU
Muk0s
RiflerADR 70.3KAST 70%
AM
ammar
RiflerADR 69.0KAST 66%
0.94 vs 0.97
CA
cacan
RiflerADR 63.6KAST 68%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Ancient
EX-M 13 10 BW
64%
36%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
EX-M
BW
After First Death
EX-M
BW
Ban Rate
EX-M
BW
Ranking
EX-M
BW
Map Player Rating
EX-M
BW
Recent on Ancient
ex-MANA
13-9 vs BASEMENT BOYS Aug 4
13-9 vs Inner Circle Academy Aug 2
14-16 vs Rune Eaters Jul 28
16-14 vs NEW VISION Jul 26
8-13 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 15
Bushido Wildcats
6-13 vs SPARTA Jul 12
Cache
EX-M 10 13 BW
36%
64%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
EX-M
BW
After First Death
EX-M
BW
Ban Rate
EX-M
BW
Ranking
EX-M
BW
Overall Rating
EX-M
BW
Recent on Cache
ex-MANA
no data
Bushido Wildcats
13-6 vs Fire Flux Aug 2
Inferno
EX-M 10 13 BW
44%
56%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
EX-M
BW
Ranking
EX-M
BW
Round Win Rate
EX-M
BW
Map Player Rating
EX-M
BW
Map Win Rate
EX-M
BW
Recent on Inferno
ex-MANA
10-13 vs megoshort Jul 25
11-13 vs Misa Jul 19
Bushido Wildcats
6-13 vs QUAZAR Jul 13
13-7 vs HEROIC Academy May 31
13-4 vs Rebels May 27
11-13 vs Dripmen May 27
Nuke
EX-M 11 13 BW
46%
54%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
EX-M
BW
Ranking
EX-M
BW
Round Win Rate
EX-M
BW
After First Death
EX-M
BW
Overall Rating
EX-M
BW
Recent on Nuke
ex-MANA
7-13 vs MOUZ NXT Aug 3
11-13 vs ex-RUSTEC Jul 31
11-13 vs los kogutos Jul 29
3-13 vs los kogutos Jul 29
14-16 vs OlyBet Jul 18
Bushido Wildcats
13-6 vs Leo Aug 4
13-9 vs Noir Verse Aug 3
13-5 vs Mai Tai Aug 2
11-13 vs Fire Flux Aug 2
7-13 vs QUAZAR Jul 13
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