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Bo3  ·  ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 2 · 2026-08-02
Fortress
vs
los kogutos ✓
11%
89%
Series win probability
LK 2–0 62%
LK 2–1 27%
FORT 2–1 7%
FORT 2–0 4%
Actual result
Cache 13–3 LK
Nuke 13–2 LK
Model Insights
los kogutos is strongly favored at 89%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.02 vs 0.91), a strong nuke (90% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 54% Ancient · Nuke · Cache
Scenario 2 27% Ancient · Nuke · Anubis
Scenario 3 19% Ancient · Nuke · Mirage
Ancient
FORT 7 – 13 LK
25%
75%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
FORT
LK
Round Win Rate
FORT
LK
Opening Kills
FORT
LK
After First Death
FORT
LK
Map Win Rate
FORT
LK
Recent on Ancient
Fortress
2-13 vs STATE Jul 29
16-14 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 26
3-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 21
16-14 vs Strael Bora May 24
13-7 vs 95 Vikings May 23
los kogutos
13-7 vs Noir Verse Aug 2
13-11 vs NEW VISION Aug 1
10-13 vs 1win Jul 30
7-13 vs UNiTY Jul 28
14-16 vs Entropy Jul 25
Nuke
FORT 5 – 13 LK
10%
90%
Win prob OT 2% ✓
Key factors
After First Death
FORT
LK
After First Kill
FORT
LK
Round Win Rate
FORT
LK
Map Player Rating
FORT
LK
Map Win Rate
FORT
LK
Recent on Nuke
Fortress
10-13 vs STATE Jul 29
5-13 vs STATE Jul 25
16-13 vs Enjoy Jul 22
7-13 vs STATE May 24
los kogutos
16-14 vs NEW VISION Aug 1
13-11 vs ex-MANA Jul 29
13-3 vs ex-MANA Jul 29
13-7 vs NEW VISION Jul 25
7-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 17
Cache
FORT 8 – 13 LK
33%
67%
Win prob OT 9% ✓
Key factors
Round Win Rate
FORT
LK
Opening Kills
FORT
LK
After First Death
FORT
LK
Map Player Rating
FORT
LK
After First Kill
FORT
LK
Recent on Cache
Fortress
10-13 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 26
7-13 vs STATE Jul 25
2-13 vs Enjoy Jul 22
5-13 vs DONSTU Jun 30
los kogutos
10-13 vs UNiTY Jul 28
7-13 vs Entropy Jul 25
10-13 vs Atreides Jul 21
Ancient
FORT 7 – 13 LK
25%
75%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
FORT
LK
Round Win Rate
FORT
LK
Opening Kills
FORT
LK
After First Death
FORT
LK
Map Win Rate
FORT
LK
Recent on Ancient
Fortress
2-13 vs STATE Jul 29
16-14 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 26
3-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 21
16-14 vs Strael Bora May 24
13-7 vs 95 Vikings May 23
los kogutos
13-7 vs Noir Verse Aug 2
13-11 vs NEW VISION Aug 1
10-13 vs 1win Jul 30
7-13 vs UNiTY Jul 28
14-16 vs Entropy Jul 25
Nuke
FORT 5 – 13 LK
10%
90%
Win prob OT 2% ✓
Key factors
After First Death
FORT
LK
After First Kill
FORT
LK
Round Win Rate
FORT
LK
Map Player Rating
FORT
LK
Map Win Rate
FORT
LK
Recent on Nuke
Fortress
10-13 vs STATE Jul 29
5-13 vs STATE Jul 25
16-13 vs Enjoy Jul 22
7-13 vs STATE May 24
los kogutos
16-14 vs NEW VISION Aug 1
13-11 vs ex-MANA Jul 29
13-3 vs ex-MANA Jul 29
13-7 vs NEW VISION Jul 25
7-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 17
Anubis
FORT 8 – 13 LK
30%
70%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
FORT
LK
After First Kill
FORT
LK
Opening Kills
FORT
LK
Map Player Rating
FORT
LK
T 5v4
FORT
LK
Recent on Anubis
Fortress
13-11 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 26
7-13 vs DONSTU Jun 30
los kogutos
13-7 vs Noir Verse Aug 2
7-13 vs Atreides Jul 21
Ancient
FORT 7 – 13 LK
25%
75%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
FORT
LK
Round Win Rate
FORT
LK
Opening Kills
FORT
LK
After First Death
FORT
LK
Map Win Rate
FORT
LK
Recent on Ancient
Fortress
2-13 vs STATE Jul 29
16-14 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 26
3-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 21
16-14 vs Strael Bora May 24
13-7 vs 95 Vikings May 23
los kogutos
13-7 vs Noir Verse Aug 2
13-11 vs NEW VISION Aug 1
10-13 vs 1win Jul 30
7-13 vs UNiTY Jul 28
14-16 vs Entropy Jul 25
Nuke
FORT 5 – 13 LK
10%
90%
Win prob OT 2% ✓
Key factors
After First Death
FORT
LK
After First Kill
FORT
LK
Round Win Rate
FORT
LK
Map Player Rating
FORT
LK
Map Win Rate
FORT
LK
Recent on Nuke
Fortress
10-13 vs STATE Jul 29
5-13 vs STATE Jul 25
16-13 vs Enjoy Jul 22
7-13 vs STATE May 24
los kogutos
16-14 vs NEW VISION Aug 1
13-11 vs ex-MANA Jul 29
13-3 vs ex-MANA Jul 29
13-7 vs NEW VISION Jul 25
7-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 17
Mirage
FORT 5 – 13 LK
8%
92%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
After First Kill
FORT
LK
After First Death
FORT
LK
Map Player Rating
FORT
LK
Round Win Rate
FORT
LK
Map Win Rate
FORT
LK
Recent on Mirage
Fortress
2-13 vs Enjoy Jul 22
3-13 vs Endless Journey Jun 26
9-13 vs Invicta May 23
los kogutos
7-13 vs 1win Jul 30
16-13 vs ex-MANA Jul 29
22-20 vs UNiTY Jul 28
9-13 vs megoshort Jul 26
11-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 23
Recent Results last 11 matches
Fortress
los kogutos
L 0-2 vs STATE NukeAncient Jul 29 15d ago
W 2-1 vs Inner Circle Academy CacheAnubisAncient Jul 26 18d ago
L 0-2 vs STATE CacheNuke Jul 25 19d ago
L 1-2 vs Enjoy NukeMirageCache Jul 22 22d ago
L 0-2 vs SAW Youngsters AncientInferno Jul 21 23d ago
L 1-2 vs DONSTU InfernoAnubisCache Jun 30 44d ago
L 0-2 vs Endless Journey MirageInferno Jun 26 48d ago
W 2-0 vs Strael Bora AncientOverpass May 24 81d ago
L 0-2 vs STATE InfernoNuke May 24 81d ago
L 0-2 vs Invicta MirageInferno May 23 82d ago
W 2-0 vs 95 Vikings Dust2Ancient May 23 82d ago
W 2-0 vs NEW VISION NukeAncient Aug 1 12d ago
L 1-2 vs 1win Dust2AncientMirage Jul 30 14d ago
W 2-0 vs ex-MANA Dust2Nuke Jul 29 15d ago
W 2-0 vs ex-MANA MirageNuke Jul 29 15d ago
L 1-2 vs UNiTY CacheMirageAncient Jul 28 16d ago
L 0-2 vs megoshort MirageDust2 Jul 26 18d ago
L 0-2 vs Entropy CacheAncient Jul 25 19d ago
W 2-0 vs NEW VISION NukeAncient Jul 25 19d ago
L 1-2 vs SAW Youngsters Dust2AncientMirage Jul 23 21d ago
L 0-2 vs Atreides AnubisCache Jul 21 23d ago
L 0-2 vs SAW Youngsters Dust2Nuke Jul 17 27d ago
Player Matchups
Fortress
Ratings
los kogutos
GR
GrEnNiE
RiflerADR 71.3KAST 67%
1.01 vs 1.10
MA
Markoś
AWPADR 74.1KAST 75%
BQ
BqreBedre
EntryADR 73.9KAST 72%
0.99 vs 1.04
TO
tomiko
RiflerADR 78.4KAST 71%
BR
Brand
RiflerADR 74.7KAST 68%
0.95 vs 1.00
AD
AdrieN
RiflerADR 73.7KAST 70%
AS
As K
RiflerADR 67.0KAST 64%
0.87 vs 0.99
MA
maaryy
EntryADR 71.3KAST 73%
K1
K1ngShield
AWPADR 56.9KAST 60%
0.73 vs 0.96
HO
hotd0g
RiflerADR 71.8KAST 67%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Inferno
FORT 13 – 6 LK
93%
7%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
After First Death
FORT
LK
After First Kill
FORT
LK
Ban Rate
FORT
LK
Map Player Rating
FORT
LK
Round Win Rate
FORT
LK
Recent on Inferno
Fortress
2-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 21
13-4 vs DONSTU Jun 30
0-13 vs Endless Journey Jun 26
6-13 vs STATE May 24
14-16 vs Invicta May 23
los kogutos
no data
Mirage
FORT 5 – 13 LK
8%
92%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
After First Kill
FORT
LK
After First Death
FORT
LK
Map Player Rating
FORT
LK
Round Win Rate
FORT
LK
Map Win Rate
FORT
LK
Recent on Mirage
Fortress
2-13 vs Enjoy Jul 22
3-13 vs Endless Journey Jun 26
9-13 vs Invicta May 23
los kogutos
7-13 vs 1win Jul 30
16-13 vs ex-MANA Jul 29
22-20 vs UNiTY Jul 28
9-13 vs megoshort Jul 26
11-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 23
Anubis
FORT 8 – 13 LK
30%
70%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
FORT
LK
After First Kill
FORT
LK
Opening Kills
FORT
LK
Map Player Rating
FORT
LK
T 5v4
FORT
LK
Recent on Anubis
Fortress
13-11 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 26
7-13 vs DONSTU Jun 30
los kogutos
13-7 vs Noir Verse Aug 2
7-13 vs Atreides Jul 21
Dust2
FORT 13 – 8 LK
70%
30%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
After First Death
FORT
LK
T 5v4
FORT
LK
Map Player Rating
FORT
LK
Opening Kills
FORT
LK
T Side
FORT
LK
Recent on Dust2
Fortress
13-7 vs 95 Vikings May 23
los kogutos
16-12 vs 1win Jul 30
13-4 vs ex-MANA Jul 29
10-13 vs megoshort Jul 26
9-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 23
8-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 17
More from ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 2 5 matches
BASEMENT BOYS over Fire Flux 80% Inner Circle Academy over ex-MANA 96% los kogutos over Noir Verse 71% Misa over FAVBET 53% Bushido Wildcats over Fire Flux 81%