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Bo3  ·  DFRAG Open Series 6 · 2026-08-13
Abyssal
vs
Ground Zero ✓
38%
62%
Series win probability
GZ 2–0 39%
ABYS 2–1 24%
GZ 2–1 23%
ABYS 2–0 14%
Actual result
Ancient 13–1 GZ
Anubis 13–8 GZ
Model Insights
Ground Zero has a moderate edge at 62%, favored on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.11 vs 1.05), a significant ranking advantage (#104 vs #206), a strong anubis (64% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 46% Nuke · Mirage · Anubis
Scenario 2 31% Nuke · Mirage · Inferno
Scenario 3 24% Nuke · Mirage · Ancient
Nuke
ABYS 8 – 13 GZ
36%
64%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
ABYS
GZ
After First Death
ABYS
GZ
Opponent-Rating Diff
ABYS
GZ
Ranking
ABYS
GZ
Round Win Rate
ABYS
GZ
Recent on Nuke
Abyssal
7-13 vs Arcade Aug 5
6-13 vs Mindfreak Jul 16
7-13 vs Rooster Jun 9
13-9 vs MGLBROS Jun 8
8-13 vs Ground Zero May 2
Ground Zero
13-10 vs Mindfreak Aug 10
13-3 vs Time Waves Aug 5
16-14 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER Jul 18
13-7 vs Arcade Jul 17
13-7 vs Mindfreak Jul 17
Mirage
ABYS 10 – 13 GZ
38%
62%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
ABYS
GZ
Opponent-Rating Diff
ABYS
GZ
Ranking
ABYS
GZ
After First Death
ABYS
GZ
Opening Kills
ABYS
GZ
Recent on Mirage
Abyssal
13-2 vs Rooster Aug 10
13-6 vs Arcade Aug 7
0-13 vs Ground Zero Aug 6
13-10 vs Arcade Aug 5
13-6 vs Mindfreak Jul 16
Ground Zero
13-0 vs Abyssal Aug 6
10-13 vs Arcade Jul 17
11-13 vs Rooster Jun 18
13-10 vs Rooster Jun 16
13-9 vs Ding Cuts Jun 11
Anubis
ABYS 9 – 13 GZ
36%
64%
Win prob OT 11% ✓
Key factors
After First Death
ABYS
GZ
Opponent-Rating Diff
ABYS
GZ
Map Player Rating
ABYS
GZ
Ranking
ABYS
GZ
Opening Kills
ABYS
GZ
Recent on Anubis
Abyssal
7-13 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER Apr 29
13-4 vs Ground Zero Apr 1
7-13 vs Ground Zero Mar 30
6-13 vs Mindfreak Feb 26
9-13 vs Mindfreak Feb 25
Ground Zero
13-4 vs Mindfreak Aug 10
13-10 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER Jul 18
5-13 vs FlyQuest Jul 18
6-13 vs FlyQuest Jul 17
7-13 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER Jul 17
Nuke
ABYS 8 – 13 GZ
36%
64%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
ABYS
GZ
After First Death
ABYS
GZ
Opponent-Rating Diff
ABYS
GZ
Ranking
ABYS
GZ
Round Win Rate
ABYS
GZ
Recent on Nuke
Abyssal
7-13 vs Arcade Aug 5
6-13 vs Mindfreak Jul 16
7-13 vs Rooster Jun 9
13-9 vs MGLBROS Jun 8
8-13 vs Ground Zero May 2
Ground Zero
13-10 vs Mindfreak Aug 10
13-3 vs Time Waves Aug 5
16-14 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER Jul 18
13-7 vs Arcade Jul 17
13-7 vs Mindfreak Jul 17
Mirage
ABYS 10 – 13 GZ
38%
62%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
ABYS
GZ
Opponent-Rating Diff
ABYS
GZ
Ranking
ABYS
GZ
After First Death
ABYS
GZ
Opening Kills
ABYS
GZ
Recent on Mirage
Abyssal
13-2 vs Rooster Aug 10
13-6 vs Arcade Aug 7
0-13 vs Ground Zero Aug 6
13-10 vs Arcade Aug 5
13-6 vs Mindfreak Jul 16
Ground Zero
13-0 vs Abyssal Aug 6
10-13 vs Arcade Jul 17
11-13 vs Rooster Jun 18
13-10 vs Rooster Jun 16
13-9 vs Ding Cuts Jun 11
Inferno
ABYS 14 – 16 GZ
48%
52%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
ABYS
GZ
Ranking
ABYS
GZ
Opponent-Rating Diff
ABYS
GZ
Round Win Rate
ABYS
GZ
After First Death
ABYS
GZ
Recent on Inferno
Abyssal
16-14 vs Arcade Aug 7
2-13 vs Rooster Jul 16
9-13 vs Mindfreak Jul 16
13-7 vs MARKandLARRY Jun 12
13-2 vs MGLBROS Jun 8
Ground Zero
13-6 vs Mindfreak Aug 12
19-17 vs Time Waves Aug 5
9-13 vs Mindfreak Jul 17
Nuke
ABYS 8 – 13 GZ
36%
64%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
ABYS
GZ
After First Death
ABYS
GZ
Opponent-Rating Diff
ABYS
GZ
Ranking
ABYS
GZ
Round Win Rate
ABYS
GZ
Recent on Nuke
Abyssal
7-13 vs Arcade Aug 5
6-13 vs Mindfreak Jul 16
7-13 vs Rooster Jun 9
13-9 vs MGLBROS Jun 8
8-13 vs Ground Zero May 2
Ground Zero
13-10 vs Mindfreak Aug 10
13-3 vs Time Waves Aug 5
16-14 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER Jul 18
13-7 vs Arcade Jul 17
13-7 vs Mindfreak Jul 17
Mirage
ABYS 10 – 13 GZ
38%
62%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
ABYS
GZ
Opponent-Rating Diff
ABYS
GZ
Ranking
ABYS
GZ
After First Death
ABYS
GZ
Opening Kills
ABYS
GZ
Recent on Mirage
Abyssal
13-2 vs Rooster Aug 10
13-6 vs Arcade Aug 7
0-13 vs Ground Zero Aug 6
13-10 vs Arcade Aug 5
13-6 vs Mindfreak Jul 16
Ground Zero
13-0 vs Abyssal Aug 6
10-13 vs Arcade Jul 17
11-13 vs Rooster Jun 18
13-10 vs Rooster Jun 16
13-9 vs Ding Cuts Jun 11
Ancient
ABYS 13 – 10 GZ
62%
38%
Win prob OT 11% ✗
Key factors
After First Kill
ABYS
GZ
After First Death
ABYS
GZ
Ranking
ABYS
GZ
Opponent-Rating Diff
ABYS
GZ
Opening Kills
ABYS
GZ
Recent on Ancient
Abyssal
13-8 vs DXA Apr 10
13-10 vs Arcade Apr 3
5-13 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER Feb 25
16-13 vs Skele Feb 19
Ground Zero
no data
Recent Results last 11 matches
Abyssal
Ground Zero
W 2-0 vs Rooster MirageDust2 Aug 10 3d ago
W 2-0 vs Arcade MirageInferno Aug 7 6d ago
L 0-2 vs Ground Zero MirageDust2 Aug 6 7d ago
W 2-1 vs Arcade MirageNukeCache Aug 5 8d ago
L 0-1 vs Rooster Inferno Jul 16 28d ago
L 1-2 vs Mindfreak MirageInfernoNuke Jul 16 28d ago
L 1-2 vs MARKandLARRY InfernoOverpassMirage Jun 12 62d ago
L 1-2 vs Rooster OverpassNukeMirage Jun 9 65d ago
W 2-0 vs MGLBROS InfernoNuke Jun 8 66d ago
L 1-2 vs Ground Zero MirageNukeInferno May 2 103d ago
W 2-0 vs Ding Cuts MirageInferno Apr 30 105d ago
W 2-0 vs Mindfreak InfernoDust2 Aug 12 1d ago
W 2-0 vs Mindfreak NukeAnubis Aug 10 3d ago
W 2-0 vs Abyssal MirageDust2 Aug 6 7d ago
W 2-0 vs Time Waves InfernoNuke Aug 5 8d ago
W 2-1 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER Dust2AnubisNuke Jul 18 26d ago
L 0-2 vs FlyQuest Dust2Anubis Jul 18 26d ago
L 0-2 vs FlyQuest Dust2Anubis Jul 17 27d ago
W 2-1 vs Arcade MirageDust2Nuke Jul 17 27d ago
L 0-2 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER Dust2Anubis Jul 17 27d ago
W 2-1 vs Mindfreak InfernoAnubisNuke Jul 17 27d ago
W 1-0 vs Arcade Dust2 Jul 16 28d ago
Player Matchups
Abyssal
Ratings
Ground Zero
BL
blood
AWPADR 75.8KAST 72%
1.10 vs 1.24
SL
sliimey
RiflerADR 83.2KAST 75%
DA
dangeR
EntryADR 70.0KAST 71%
1.05 vs 1.12
HA
hazr
EntryADR 74.8KAST 72%
GU
gump
RiflerADR 71.2KAST 72%
1.05 vs 1.09
AP
apocdud
AWPADR 73.6KAST 73%
FO
foggers
RiflerADR 76.0KAST 71%
1.04 vs 1.08
VI
vision
RiflerADR 73.3KAST 70%
VI
vinhy
RiflerADR 76.4KAST 72%
1.03 vs 0.99
OM
Omichella
RiflerADR 70.1KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Cache
ABYS 13 – 10 GZ
64%
36%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
ABYS
GZ
After First Kill
ABYS
GZ
Ban Rate
ABYS
GZ
Ranking
ABYS
GZ
Opponent-Rating Diff
ABYS
GZ
Recent on Cache
Abyssal
13-11 vs Arcade Aug 5
Ground Zero
no data
Ancient
ABYS 13 – 10 GZ
62%
38%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
ABYS
GZ
After First Death
ABYS
GZ
Ranking
ABYS
GZ
Opponent-Rating Diff
ABYS
GZ
Opening Kills
ABYS
GZ
Recent on Ancient
Abyssal
13-8 vs DXA Apr 10
13-10 vs Arcade Apr 3
5-13 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER Feb 25
16-13 vs Skele Feb 19
Ground Zero
no data
Dust2
ABYS 14 – 16 GZ
47%
53%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
ABYS
GZ
Opponent-Rating Diff
ABYS
GZ
Ranking
ABYS
GZ
Round Win Rate
ABYS
GZ
Ban Rate
ABYS
GZ
Recent on Dust2
Abyssal
13-6 vs Rooster Aug 10
11-13 vs Ground Zero Aug 6
Ground Zero
13-6 vs Mindfreak Aug 12
13-11 vs Abyssal Aug 6
8-13 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER Jul 18
6-13 vs FlyQuest Jul 18
7-13 vs FlyQuest Jul 17
Inferno
ABYS 14 – 16 GZ
48%
52%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
ABYS
GZ
Ranking
ABYS
GZ
Opponent-Rating Diff
ABYS
GZ
Round Win Rate
ABYS
GZ
After First Death
ABYS
GZ
Recent on Inferno
Abyssal
16-14 vs Arcade Aug 7
2-13 vs Rooster Jul 16
9-13 vs Mindfreak Jul 16
13-7 vs MARKandLARRY Jun 12
13-2 vs MGLBROS Jun 8
Ground Zero
13-6 vs Mindfreak Aug 12
19-17 vs Time Waves Aug 5
9-13 vs Mindfreak Jul 17