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Bo3  ·  DFRAG Open Series 6 · 2026-08-12
Ground Zero ✓
vs
Mindfreak
67%
33%
Series win probability
GZ 2–0 36%
GZ 2–1 31%
MIND 2–1 18%
MIND 2–0 16%
Actual result
Inferno 13–6 GZ
Dust2 13–6 GZ
Model Insights
Ground Zero has a moderate edge at 67%, favored on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.08 vs 1.01), a significant ranking advantage (#109 vs #189), a strong nuke (64% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 42% Nuke · Inferno · Mirage
Scenario 2 41% Nuke · Inferno · Anubis
Scenario 3 18% Nuke · Inferno · Dust2
Nuke
GZ 13 – 7 MIND
64%
36%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
GZ
MIND
After First Death
GZ
MIND
After First Kill
GZ
MIND
Round Win Rate
GZ
MIND
Ranking
GZ
MIND
Recent on Nuke
Ground Zero
13-10 vs Mindfreak Aug 10
13-3 vs Time Waves Aug 5
16-14 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER Jul 18
13-7 vs Arcade Jul 17
13-7 vs Mindfreak Jul 17
Mindfreak
10-13 vs Ground Zero Aug 10
10-13 vs Finishers Aug 4
13-9 vs Rooster Jul 17
2-13 vs FlyQuest Jul 17
7-13 vs Ground Zero Jul 17
Inferno
GZ 13 – 9 MIND
64%
36%
Win prob OT 11% ✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
GZ
MIND
After First Kill
GZ
MIND
Ranking
GZ
MIND
Map Player Rating
GZ
MIND
After First Death
GZ
MIND
Recent on Inferno
Ground Zero
19-17 vs Time Waves Aug 5
9-13 vs Mindfreak Jul 17
Mindfreak
13-9 vs Rooster Aug 11
13-9 vs FURY Aug 7
16-13 vs Finishers Aug 4
8-13 vs FURY Aug 3
16-14 vs Rooster Jul 17
Mirage
GZ 13 – 10 MIND
62%
38%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
GZ
MIND
Ranking
GZ
MIND
After First Death
GZ
MIND
Round Win Rate
GZ
MIND
Opening Kills
GZ
MIND
Recent on Mirage
Ground Zero
13-0 vs Abyssal Aug 6
10-13 vs Arcade Jul 17
11-13 vs Rooster Jun 18
13-10 vs Rooster Jun 16
13-9 vs Ding Cuts Jun 11
Mindfreak
13-10 vs Rooster Aug 11
13-8 vs FURY Aug 7
13-4 vs Finishers Aug 4
11-13 vs FURY Aug 3
6-13 vs Abyssal Jul 16
Nuke
GZ 13 – 7 MIND
64%
36%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
GZ
MIND
After First Death
GZ
MIND
After First Kill
GZ
MIND
Round Win Rate
GZ
MIND
Ranking
GZ
MIND
Recent on Nuke
Ground Zero
13-10 vs Mindfreak Aug 10
13-3 vs Time Waves Aug 5
16-14 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER Jul 18
13-7 vs Arcade Jul 17
13-7 vs Mindfreak Jul 17
Mindfreak
10-13 vs Ground Zero Aug 10
10-13 vs Finishers Aug 4
13-9 vs Rooster Jul 17
2-13 vs FlyQuest Jul 17
7-13 vs Ground Zero Jul 17
Inferno
GZ 13 – 9 MIND
64%
36%
Win prob OT 11% ✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
GZ
MIND
After First Kill
GZ
MIND
Ranking
GZ
MIND
Map Player Rating
GZ
MIND
After First Death
GZ
MIND
Recent on Inferno
Ground Zero
19-17 vs Time Waves Aug 5
9-13 vs Mindfreak Jul 17
Mindfreak
13-9 vs Rooster Aug 11
13-9 vs FURY Aug 7
16-13 vs Finishers Aug 4
8-13 vs FURY Aug 3
16-14 vs Rooster Jul 17
Anubis
GZ 13 – 10 MIND
64%
36%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
GZ
MIND
After First Kill
GZ
MIND
Ranking
GZ
MIND
Round Win Rate
GZ
MIND
Map Player Rating
GZ
MIND
Recent on Anubis
Ground Zero
13-4 vs Mindfreak Aug 10
13-10 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER Jul 18
5-13 vs FlyQuest Jul 18
6-13 vs FlyQuest Jul 17
7-13 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER Jul 17
Mindfreak
6-13 vs Rooster Aug 11
4-13 vs Ground Zero Aug 10
13-7 vs FURY Aug 3
9-13 vs Ground Zero Jul 17
Nuke
GZ 13 – 7 MIND
64%
36%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
GZ
MIND
After First Death
GZ
MIND
After First Kill
GZ
MIND
Round Win Rate
GZ
MIND
Ranking
GZ
MIND
Recent on Nuke
Ground Zero
13-10 vs Mindfreak Aug 10
13-3 vs Time Waves Aug 5
16-14 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER Jul 18
13-7 vs Arcade Jul 17
13-7 vs Mindfreak Jul 17
Mindfreak
10-13 vs Ground Zero Aug 10
10-13 vs Finishers Aug 4
13-9 vs Rooster Jul 17
2-13 vs FlyQuest Jul 17
7-13 vs Ground Zero Jul 17
Inferno
GZ 13 – 9 MIND
64%
36%
Win prob OT 11% ✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
GZ
MIND
After First Kill
GZ
MIND
Ranking
GZ
MIND
Map Player Rating
GZ
MIND
After First Death
GZ
MIND
Recent on Inferno
Ground Zero
19-17 vs Time Waves Aug 5
9-13 vs Mindfreak Jul 17
Mindfreak
13-9 vs Rooster Aug 11
13-9 vs FURY Aug 7
16-13 vs Finishers Aug 4
8-13 vs FURY Aug 3
16-14 vs Rooster Jul 17
Dust2
GZ 11 – 13 MIND
46%
54%
Win prob OT 11% ✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
GZ
MIND
After First Kill
GZ
MIND
After First Death
GZ
MIND
Ranking
GZ
MIND
Map Player Rating
GZ
MIND
Recent on Dust2
Ground Zero
13-11 vs Abyssal Aug 6
8-13 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER Jul 18
6-13 vs FlyQuest Jul 18
7-13 vs FlyQuest Jul 17
13-6 vs Arcade Jul 17
Mindfreak
no data
Recent Results last 11 matches
Ground Zero
Mindfreak
W 2-0 vs Mindfreak NukeAnubis Aug 10 3d ago
W 2-0 vs Abyssal MirageDust2 Aug 6 7d ago
W 2-0 vs Time Waves InfernoNuke Aug 5 8d ago
W 2-1 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER Dust2AnubisNuke Jul 18 26d ago
L 0-2 vs FlyQuest Dust2Anubis Jul 18 26d ago
L 0-2 vs FlyQuest Dust2Anubis Jul 17 27d ago
W 2-1 vs Arcade MirageDust2Nuke Jul 17 27d ago
L 0-2 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER Dust2Anubis Jul 17 27d ago
W 2-1 vs Mindfreak InfernoAnubisNuke Jul 17 27d ago
W 1-0 vs Arcade Dust2 Jul 16 28d ago
L 0-2 vs Lynn Vision NukeDust2 Jul 10 34d ago
W 2-1 vs Rooster InfernoAnubisMirage Aug 11 2d ago
L 0-2 vs Ground Zero NukeAnubis Aug 10 3d ago
W 2-0 vs FURY MirageInferno Aug 7 6d ago
W 2-1 vs Finishers MirageNukeInferno Aug 4 9d ago
L 1-2 vs FURY AnubisInfernoMirage Aug 3 10d ago
W 2-0 vs Rooster NukeInferno Jul 17 27d ago
L 0-2 vs FlyQuest NukeInferno Jul 17 27d ago
L 1-2 vs Ground Zero InfernoAnubisNuke Jul 17 27d ago
L 0-1 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER Inferno Jul 16 28d ago
W 2-1 vs Abyssal MirageInfernoNuke Jul 16 28d ago
Player Matchups
Ground Zero
Ratings
Mindfreak
SL
sliimey
RiflerADR 81.5KAST 74%
1.21 vs 1.12
ZU
zune
RiflerADR 86.0KAST 72%
HA
hazr
EntryADR 72.7KAST 72%
1.09 vs 1.07
VO
void
RiflerADR 68.7KAST 75%
AP
apocdud
AWPADR 73.1KAST 72%
1.07 vs 1.02
PH
phoebe
EntryADR 73.7KAST 73%
VI
vision
RiflerADR 71.9KAST 68%
1.01 vs 1.00
KA
kairo
AWPADR 70.6KAST 73%
OM
Omichella
RiflerADR 69.4KAST 72%
0.97 vs 0.88
LA
lawlkay
RiflerADR 60.8KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Ancient
GZ 13 – 9 MIND
70%
30%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
GZ
MIND
After First Kill
GZ
MIND
After First Death
GZ
MIND
Ranking
GZ
MIND
Opening Kills
GZ
MIND
Recent on Ancient
Ground Zero
no data
Mindfreak
no data
Anubis
GZ 13 – 10 MIND
64%
36%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
GZ
MIND
After First Kill
GZ
MIND
Ranking
GZ
MIND
Round Win Rate
GZ
MIND
Map Player Rating
GZ
MIND
Recent on Anubis
Ground Zero
13-4 vs Mindfreak Aug 10
13-10 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER Jul 18
5-13 vs FlyQuest Jul 18
6-13 vs FlyQuest Jul 17
7-13 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER Jul 17
Mindfreak
6-13 vs Rooster Aug 11
4-13 vs Ground Zero Aug 10
13-7 vs FURY Aug 3
9-13 vs Ground Zero Jul 17
Cache
GZ 13 – 11 MIND
56%
44%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
GZ
MIND
Ranking
GZ
MIND
Side Balance
GZ
MIND
Overall Rating
GZ
MIND
Opening Score
GZ
MIND
Recent on Cache
Ground Zero
no data
Mindfreak
no data
Dust2
GZ 11 – 13 MIND
46%
54%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
GZ
MIND
After First Kill
GZ
MIND
After First Death
GZ
MIND
Ranking
GZ
MIND
Map Player Rating
GZ
MIND
Recent on Dust2
Ground Zero
13-11 vs Abyssal Aug 6
8-13 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER Jul 18
6-13 vs FlyQuest Jul 18
7-13 vs FlyQuest Jul 17
13-6 vs Arcade Jul 17
Mindfreak
no data