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Bo3  ·  DFRAG Open Series 6 · 2026-08-11
Rooster
vs
Mindfreak
45%
55%
Series win probability
MIND 2–0 31%
ROOS 2–1 26%
MIND 2–1 24%
ROOS 2–0 19%
Actual result
Inferno 13–9 MIND
Anubis 13–6 ROOS
Mirage 13–10 MIND
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — Mindfreak is slightly favored at 55% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#208 vs #182), a strong nuke (64% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 46% Anubis · Nuke · Inferno
Scenario 2 34% Nuke · Inferno · Mirage
Scenario 3 20% Nuke · Inferno · Cache
Anubis
ROOS 16 14 MIND
52%
48%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ROOS
MIND
After First Death
ROOS
MIND
After First Kill
ROOS
MIND
Round Win Rate
ROOS
MIND
Map Player Rating
ROOS
MIND
Recent on Anubis
Rooster
13-0 vs Finishers Aug 3
4-13 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER Jul 16
13-11 vs Ground Zero Jun 18
13-5 vs DXA Jun 17
13-10 vs MARKandLARRY Jun 8
Mindfreak
4-13 vs Ground Zero Aug 10
13-7 vs FURY Aug 3
9-13 vs Ground Zero Jul 17
Nuke
ROOS 10 13 MIND
36%
64%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ROOS
MIND
After First Death
ROOS
MIND
After First Kill
ROOS
MIND
Map Player Rating
ROOS
MIND
Ranking
ROOS
MIND
Recent on Nuke
Rooster
9-13 vs Mindfreak Jul 17
0-13 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER Jul 16
2-13 vs Ground Zero Jun 18
13-7 vs Abyssal Jun 9
5-13 vs Alter Ego May 2
Mindfreak
10-13 vs Ground Zero Aug 10
10-13 vs Finishers Aug 4
13-9 vs Rooster Jul 17
2-13 vs FlyQuest Jul 17
7-13 vs Ground Zero Jul 17
Inferno
ROOS 11 13 MIND
46%
54%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ROOS
MIND
Map Win Rate
ROOS
MIND
Ranking
ROOS
MIND
Opening Kills
ROOS
MIND
Open Score N75 Diff
ROOS
MIND
Recent on Inferno
Rooster
14-16 vs Mindfreak Jul 17
13-2 vs Abyssal Jul 16
1-13 vs DXA Jun 17
13-11 vs DXA Jun 15
13-7 vs ZEVS Apr 30
Mindfreak
13-9 vs FURY Aug 7
16-13 vs Finishers Aug 4
8-13 vs FURY Aug 3
16-14 vs Rooster Jul 17
3-13 vs FlyQuest Jul 17
Nuke
ROOS 10 13 MIND
36%
64%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ROOS
MIND
After First Death
ROOS
MIND
After First Kill
ROOS
MIND
Map Player Rating
ROOS
MIND
Ranking
ROOS
MIND
Recent on Nuke
Rooster
9-13 vs Mindfreak Jul 17
0-13 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER Jul 16
2-13 vs Ground Zero Jun 18
13-7 vs Abyssal Jun 9
5-13 vs Alter Ego May 2
Mindfreak
10-13 vs Ground Zero Aug 10
10-13 vs Finishers Aug 4
13-9 vs Rooster Jul 17
2-13 vs FlyQuest Jul 17
7-13 vs Ground Zero Jul 17
Inferno
ROOS 11 13 MIND
46%
54%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ROOS
MIND
Map Win Rate
ROOS
MIND
Ranking
ROOS
MIND
Opening Kills
ROOS
MIND
Open Score N75 Diff
ROOS
MIND
Recent on Inferno
Rooster
14-16 vs Mindfreak Jul 17
13-2 vs Abyssal Jul 16
1-13 vs DXA Jun 17
13-11 vs DXA Jun 15
13-7 vs ZEVS Apr 30
Mindfreak
13-9 vs FURY Aug 7
16-13 vs Finishers Aug 4
8-13 vs FURY Aug 3
16-14 vs Rooster Jul 17
3-13 vs FlyQuest Jul 17
Mirage
ROOS 11 13 MIND
44%
56%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ROOS
MIND
After First Kill
ROOS
MIND
Opening Kills
ROOS
MIND
Ranking
ROOS
MIND
Round Win Rate
ROOS
MIND
Recent on Mirage
Rooster
2-13 vs Abyssal Aug 10
13-9 vs FURY Aug 4
13-11 vs Ground Zero Jun 18
10-13 vs Ground Zero Jun 16
13-11 vs Abyssal Jun 9
Mindfreak
13-8 vs FURY Aug 7
13-4 vs Finishers Aug 4
11-13 vs FURY Aug 3
6-13 vs Abyssal Jul 16
Nuke
ROOS 10 13 MIND
36%
64%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ROOS
MIND
After First Death
ROOS
MIND
After First Kill
ROOS
MIND
Map Player Rating
ROOS
MIND
Ranking
ROOS
MIND
Recent on Nuke
Rooster
9-13 vs Mindfreak Jul 17
0-13 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER Jul 16
2-13 vs Ground Zero Jun 18
13-7 vs Abyssal Jun 9
5-13 vs Alter Ego May 2
Mindfreak
10-13 vs Ground Zero Aug 10
10-13 vs Finishers Aug 4
13-9 vs Rooster Jul 17
2-13 vs FlyQuest Jul 17
7-13 vs Ground Zero Jul 17
Inferno
ROOS 11 13 MIND
46%
54%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ROOS
MIND
Map Win Rate
ROOS
MIND
Ranking
ROOS
MIND
Opening Kills
ROOS
MIND
Open Score N75 Diff
ROOS
MIND
Recent on Inferno
Rooster
14-16 vs Mindfreak Jul 17
13-2 vs Abyssal Jul 16
1-13 vs DXA Jun 17
13-11 vs DXA Jun 15
13-7 vs ZEVS Apr 30
Mindfreak
13-9 vs FURY Aug 7
16-13 vs Finishers Aug 4
8-13 vs FURY Aug 3
16-14 vs Rooster Jul 17
3-13 vs FlyQuest Jul 17
Cache
ROOS 13 10 MIND
64%
36%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
ROOS
MIND
After First Death
ROOS
MIND
Opponent-Rating Diff
ROOS
MIND
Ranking
ROOS
MIND
Opening Kills
ROOS
MIND
Recent on Cache
Rooster
13-9 vs FURY Aug 4
Mindfreak
no data
Recent Results last 11 matches
Rooster
Mindfreak
L 0-2 vs Abyssal MirageDust2 Aug 10 3d ago
W 2-0 vs FURY MirageCache Aug 4 9d ago
W 2-0 vs Finishers Dust2Anubis Aug 3 10d ago
L 0-2 vs Mindfreak NukeInferno Jul 17 27d ago
W 1-0 vs Abyssal Inferno Jul 16 28d ago
L 0-2 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER AnubisNuke Jul 16 28d ago
W 2-1 vs Ground Zero NukeAnubisMirage Jun 18 56d ago
W 2-1 vs DXA InfernoDust2Anubis Jun 17 57d ago
L 0-2 vs Ground Zero MirageDust2 Jun 16 58d ago
W 2-0 vs DXA InfernoDust2 Jun 15 59d ago
W 2-1 vs Abyssal OverpassNukeMirage Jun 9 65d ago
L 0-2 vs Ground Zero NukeAnubis Aug 10 3d ago
W 2-0 vs FURY MirageInferno Aug 7 6d ago
W 2-1 vs Finishers MirageNukeInferno Aug 4 9d ago
L 1-2 vs FURY AnubisInfernoMirage Aug 3 10d ago
W 2-0 vs Rooster NukeInferno Jul 17 27d ago
L 0-2 vs FlyQuest NukeInferno Jul 17 27d ago
L 1-2 vs Ground Zero InfernoAnubisNuke Jul 17 27d ago
L 0-1 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER Inferno Jul 16 28d ago
W 2-1 vs Abyssal MirageInfernoNuke Jul 16 28d ago
Player Matchups
Rooster
Ratings
Mindfreak
CH
chelleos
AWPADR 91.1KAST 76%
1.36 vs 1.09
ZU
zune
RiflerADR 84.1KAST 72%
RE
rekonz
RiflerADR 78.3KAST 74%
1.08 vs 1.06
VO
void
RiflerADR 69.2KAST 75%
SK
SkulL
RiflerADR 74.5KAST 72%
0.97 vs 1.02
PH
phoebe
EntryADR 73.6KAST 73%
JU
ju1ces
RiflerADR 73.9KAST 73%
0.96 vs 0.99
KA
kairo
AWPADR 71.8KAST 73%
AD
ADK
EntryADR 57.8KAST 71%
0.82 vs 0.90
LA
lawlkay
RiflerADR 61.1KAST 71%
Unpredicted Maps 3 maps
Dust2
ROOS 11 13 MIND
36%
64%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
ROOS
MIND
Opponent-Rating Diff
ROOS
MIND
After First Kill
ROOS
MIND
Map Player Rating
ROOS
MIND
Ban Rate
ROOS
MIND
Recent on Dust2
Rooster
6-13 vs Abyssal Aug 10
13-4 vs Finishers Aug 3
13-8 vs DXA Jun 17
13-16 vs Ground Zero Jun 16
13-6 vs DXA Jun 15
Mindfreak
no data
Cache
ROOS 13 10 MIND
64%
36%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
ROOS
MIND
After First Death
ROOS
MIND
Opponent-Rating Diff
ROOS
MIND
Ranking
ROOS
MIND
Opening Kills
ROOS
MIND
Recent on Cache
Rooster
13-9 vs FURY Aug 4
Mindfreak
no data
Mirage
ROOS 11 13 MIND
44%
56%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
ROOS
MIND
After First Kill
ROOS
MIND
Opening Kills
ROOS
MIND
Ranking
ROOS
MIND
Round Win Rate
ROOS
MIND
Recent on Mirage
Rooster
2-13 vs Abyssal Aug 10
13-9 vs FURY Aug 4
13-11 vs Ground Zero Jun 18
10-13 vs Ground Zero Jun 16
13-11 vs Abyssal Jun 9
Mindfreak
13-8 vs FURY Aug 7
13-4 vs Finishers Aug 4
11-13 vs FURY Aug 3
6-13 vs Abyssal Jul 16
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