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Bo3  ·  DFRAG Open Series 6 · 2026-08-07
Abyssal
vs
Arcade
43%
57%
Series win probability
ARCA 2–0 33%
ABYS 2–1 25%
ARCA 2–1 24%
ABYS 2–0 18%
Actual result
Mirage 13–6 ABYS
Inferno 16–14 ABYS
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — Arcade is slightly favored at 57% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a strong mirage (64% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 47% Nuke · Mirage · Cache
Scenario 2 28% Nuke · Mirage · Ancient
Scenario 3 25% Nuke · Mirage · Inferno
Nuke
ABYS 10 13 ARCA
40%
60%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
ABYS
ARCA
Map Player Rating
ABYS
ARCA
After First Death
ABYS
ARCA
Opponent-Rating Diff
ABYS
ARCA
Opening Kills
ABYS
ARCA
Recent on Nuke
Abyssal
7-13 vs Arcade Aug 5
6-13 vs Mindfreak Jul 16
7-13 vs Rooster Jun 9
13-9 vs MGLBROS Jun 8
8-13 vs Ground Zero May 2
Arcade
16-19 vs Time Waves Aug 6
13-7 vs Abyssal Aug 5
7-13 vs Ground Zero Jul 17
13-6 vs MGLBROS Apr 10
13-11 vs Abyssal Apr 10
Mirage
ABYS 11 13 ARCA
36%
64%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
ABYS
ARCA
After First Kill
ABYS
ARCA
Round Win Rate
ABYS
ARCA
Opening Kills
ABYS
ARCA
Opponent-Rating Diff
ABYS
ARCA
Recent on Mirage
Abyssal
0-13 vs Ground Zero Aug 6
13-10 vs Arcade Aug 5
13-6 vs Mindfreak Jul 16
8-13 vs MARKandLARRY Jun 12
11-13 vs Rooster Jun 9
Arcade
13-11 vs Time Waves Aug 6
10-13 vs Abyssal Aug 5
13-10 vs Ground Zero Jul 17
7-13 vs Abyssal Apr 10
13-5 vs mindfreak Apr 6
Cache
ABYS 13 11 ARCA
54%
46%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
ABYS
ARCA
After First Kill
ABYS
ARCA
Opening Kills
ABYS
ARCA
Map Player Rating
ABYS
ARCA
Opponent-Rating Diff
ABYS
ARCA
Recent on Cache
Abyssal
13-11 vs Arcade Aug 5
Arcade
11-13 vs Abyssal Aug 5
13-8 vs DXA Jul 17
Nuke
ABYS 10 13 ARCA
40%
60%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
ABYS
ARCA
Map Player Rating
ABYS
ARCA
After First Death
ABYS
ARCA
Opponent-Rating Diff
ABYS
ARCA
Opening Kills
ABYS
ARCA
Recent on Nuke
Abyssal
7-13 vs Arcade Aug 5
6-13 vs Mindfreak Jul 16
7-13 vs Rooster Jun 9
13-9 vs MGLBROS Jun 8
8-13 vs Ground Zero May 2
Arcade
16-19 vs Time Waves Aug 6
13-7 vs Abyssal Aug 5
7-13 vs Ground Zero Jul 17
13-6 vs MGLBROS Apr 10
13-11 vs Abyssal Apr 10
Mirage
ABYS 11 13 ARCA
36%
64%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
ABYS
ARCA
After First Kill
ABYS
ARCA
Round Win Rate
ABYS
ARCA
Opening Kills
ABYS
ARCA
Opponent-Rating Diff
ABYS
ARCA
Recent on Mirage
Abyssal
0-13 vs Ground Zero Aug 6
13-10 vs Arcade Aug 5
13-6 vs Mindfreak Jul 16
8-13 vs MARKandLARRY Jun 12
11-13 vs Rooster Jun 9
Arcade
13-11 vs Time Waves Aug 6
10-13 vs Abyssal Aug 5
13-10 vs Ground Zero Jul 17
7-13 vs Abyssal Apr 10
13-5 vs mindfreak Apr 6
Ancient
ABYS 13 10 ARCA
60%
40%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
ABYS
ARCA
After First Death
ABYS
ARCA
Map Win Rate
ABYS
ARCA
Ban Rate
ABYS
ARCA
T Side
ABYS
ARCA
Recent on Ancient
Abyssal
13-8 vs DXA Apr 10
13-10 vs Arcade Apr 3
5-13 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER Feb 25
16-13 vs Skele Feb 19
Arcade
10-13 vs Abyssal Apr 3
13-9 vs Ground Zero Mar 16
Nuke
ABYS 10 13 ARCA
40%
60%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
ABYS
ARCA
Map Player Rating
ABYS
ARCA
After First Death
ABYS
ARCA
Opponent-Rating Diff
ABYS
ARCA
Opening Kills
ABYS
ARCA
Recent on Nuke
Abyssal
7-13 vs Arcade Aug 5
6-13 vs Mindfreak Jul 16
7-13 vs Rooster Jun 9
13-9 vs MGLBROS Jun 8
8-13 vs Ground Zero May 2
Arcade
16-19 vs Time Waves Aug 6
13-7 vs Abyssal Aug 5
7-13 vs Ground Zero Jul 17
13-6 vs MGLBROS Apr 10
13-11 vs Abyssal Apr 10
Mirage
ABYS 11 13 ARCA
36%
64%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
ABYS
ARCA
After First Kill
ABYS
ARCA
Round Win Rate
ABYS
ARCA
Opening Kills
ABYS
ARCA
Opponent-Rating Diff
ABYS
ARCA
Recent on Mirage
Abyssal
0-13 vs Ground Zero Aug 6
13-10 vs Arcade Aug 5
13-6 vs Mindfreak Jul 16
8-13 vs MARKandLARRY Jun 12
11-13 vs Rooster Jun 9
Arcade
13-11 vs Time Waves Aug 6
10-13 vs Abyssal Aug 5
13-10 vs Ground Zero Jul 17
7-13 vs Abyssal Apr 10
13-5 vs mindfreak Apr 6
Inferno
ABYS 10 13 ARCA
46%
54%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
ABYS
ARCA
After First Death
ABYS
ARCA
Map Player Rating
ABYS
ARCA
Round Win Rate
ABYS
ARCA
Opening Kills
ABYS
ARCA
Recent on Inferno
Abyssal
2-13 vs Rooster Jul 16
9-13 vs Mindfreak Jul 16
13-7 vs MARKandLARRY Jun 12
13-2 vs MGLBROS Jun 8
4-13 vs Ground Zero May 2
Arcade
13-6 vs Time Waves Aug 6
9-13 vs DXA Apr 11
13-9 vs mindfreak Mar 16
Recent Results last 11 matches
Abyssal
Arcade
L 0-2 vs Ground Zero MirageDust2 Aug 6 7d ago
W 2-1 vs Arcade MirageNukeCache Aug 5 8d ago
L 0-1 vs Rooster Inferno Jul 16 28d ago
L 1-2 vs Mindfreak MirageInfernoNuke Jul 16 28d ago
L 1-2 vs MARKandLARRY InfernoOverpassMirage Jun 12 62d ago
L 1-2 vs Rooster OverpassNukeMirage Jun 9 65d ago
W 2-0 vs MGLBROS InfernoNuke Jun 8 66d ago
L 1-2 vs Ground Zero MirageNukeInferno May 2 103d ago
W 2-0 vs Ding Cuts MirageInferno Apr 30 105d ago
L 1-2 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER OverpassAnubisInferno Apr 29 106d ago
W 2-0 vs Ding Cuts MirageNuke Apr 27 108d ago
W 2-1 vs Time Waves InfernoNukeMirage Aug 6 7d ago
L 1-2 vs Abyssal MirageNukeCache Aug 5 8d ago
W 2-0 vs DXA Dust2Cache Jul 17 27d ago
L 1-2 vs Ground Zero MirageDust2Nuke Jul 17 27d ago
L 0-1 vs Ground Zero Dust2 Jul 16 28d ago
L 1-2 vs DXA OverpassInfernoDust2 Apr 11 124d ago
W 2-0 vs MGLBROS AnubisNuke Apr 10 125d ago
L 1-2 vs Abyssal OverpassNukeMirage Apr 10 125d ago
L 1-2 vs Rooster Dust2NukeOverpass Apr 7 128d ago
W 2-1 vs mindfreak NukeDust2Mirage Apr 6 129d ago
W 2-0 vs Time Waves NukeDust2 Apr 5 130d ago
Player Matchups
Abyssal
Ratings
Arcade
BL
blood
AWPADR 75.3KAST 71%
1.06 vs 1.18
74
74LOR
RiflerADR 81.8KAST 75%
GU
gump
RiflerADR 72.6KAST 71%
1.05 vs 1.12
N1
N1ghtraid
AWPADR 77.7KAST 71%
VI
vinhy
RiflerADR 74.7KAST 72%
0.99 vs 1.07
KR
Kras
RiflerADR 75.8KAST 67%
DA
dangeR
EntryADR 65.9KAST 69%
0.98 vs 0.91
WI
Winnieeeee
RiflerADR 64.5KAST 69%
FO
foggers
RiflerADR 71.4KAST 68%
0.96 vs 0.86
ME
Mechanical
EntryADR 65.6KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Ancient
ABYS 13 10 ARCA
60%
40%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
ABYS
ARCA
After First Death
ABYS
ARCA
Map Win Rate
ABYS
ARCA
Ban Rate
ABYS
ARCA
T Side
ABYS
ARCA
Recent on Ancient
Abyssal
13-8 vs DXA Apr 10
13-10 vs Arcade Apr 3
5-13 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER Feb 25
16-13 vs Skele Feb 19
Arcade
10-13 vs Abyssal Apr 3
13-9 vs Ground Zero Mar 16
Dust2
ABYS 11 13 ARCA
41%
59%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
ABYS
ARCA
After First Kill
ABYS
ARCA
Ban Rate
ABYS
ARCA
Map Win Rate
ABYS
ARCA
Round Win Rate
ABYS
ARCA
Recent on Dust2
Abyssal
11-13 vs Ground Zero Aug 6
Arcade
13-9 vs DXA Jul 17
6-13 vs Ground Zero Jul 17
7-13 vs Ground Zero Jul 16
7-13 vs DXA Apr 11
10-13 vs Rooster Apr 7
Anubis
ABYS 10 13 ARCA
44%
56%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
ABYS
ARCA
After First Death
ABYS
ARCA
Round Win Rate
ABYS
ARCA
Opening Kills
ABYS
ARCA
Opponent-Rating Diff
ABYS
ARCA
Recent on Anubis
Abyssal
7-13 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER Apr 29
13-4 vs Ground Zero Apr 1
7-13 vs Ground Zero Mar 30
6-13 vs Mindfreak Feb 26
9-13 vs Mindfreak Feb 25
Arcade
13-5 vs MGLBROS Apr 10
4-13 vs mindfreak Mar 12
0-13 vs mindfreak Mar 12
Inferno
ABYS 10 13 ARCA
46%
54%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
ABYS
ARCA
After First Death
ABYS
ARCA
Map Player Rating
ABYS
ARCA
Round Win Rate
ABYS
ARCA
Opening Kills
ABYS
ARCA
Recent on Inferno
Abyssal
2-13 vs Rooster Jul 16
9-13 vs Mindfreak Jul 16
13-7 vs MARKandLARRY Jun 12
13-2 vs MGLBROS Jun 8
4-13 vs Ground Zero May 2
Arcade
13-6 vs Time Waves Aug 6
9-13 vs DXA Apr 11
13-9 vs mindfreak Mar 16