Bo3 · DFRAG Open Series 6
· 2026-08-07
Abyssal
vs
Arcade
✗
43%
57%
Series win probability
ARCA
2–0
33%
ABYS
2–1
25%
ARCA
2–1
24%
ABYS
2–0
18%
Actual result
Mirage
13–6
ABYS
Inferno
16–14
ABYS
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — Arcade is slightly favored at 57% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a strong mirage (64% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
47%
Nuke · Mirage · Cache
Scenario 2
28%
Nuke · Mirage · Ancient
Scenario 3
25%
Nuke · Mirage · Inferno
Nuke
ABYS
10
–
13
ARCA
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
ABYS
ARCA
Map Player Rating
ABYS
ARCA
After First Death
ABYS
ARCA
Opponent-Rating Diff
ABYS
ARCA
Opening Kills
ABYS
ARCA
Recent on Nuke
Abyssal
7-13
vs Arcade
Aug 5
6-13
vs Mindfreak
Jul 16
7-13
vs Rooster
Jun 9
13-9
vs MGLBROS
Jun 8
8-13
vs Ground Zero
May 2
Arcade
16-19
vs Time Waves
Aug 6
13-7
vs Abyssal
Aug 5
7-13
vs Ground Zero
Jul 17
13-6
vs MGLBROS
Apr 10
13-11
vs Abyssal
Apr 10
Mirage
ABYS
11
–
13
ARCA
36%
64%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
ABYS
ARCA
After First Kill
ABYS
ARCA
Round Win Rate
ABYS
ARCA
Opening Kills
ABYS
ARCA
Opponent-Rating Diff
ABYS
ARCA
Recent on Mirage
Abyssal
0-13
vs Ground Zero
Aug 6
13-10
vs Arcade
Aug 5
13-6
vs Mindfreak
Jul 16
8-13
vs MARKandLARRY
Jun 12
11-13
vs Rooster
Jun 9
Arcade
13-11
vs Time Waves
Aug 6
10-13
vs Abyssal
Aug 5
13-10
vs Ground Zero
Jul 17
7-13
vs Abyssal
Apr 10
13-5
vs mindfreak
Apr 6
Cache
ABYS
13
–
11
ARCA
54%
46%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
ABYS
ARCA
After First Kill
ABYS
ARCA
Opening Kills
ABYS
ARCA
Map Player Rating
ABYS
ARCA
Opponent-Rating Diff
ABYS
ARCA
Recent on Cache
Abyssal
13-11
vs Arcade
Aug 5
Arcade
11-13
vs Abyssal
Aug 5
13-8
vs DXA
Jul 17
Nuke
ABYS
10
–
13
ARCA
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
ABYS
ARCA
Map Player Rating
ABYS
ARCA
After First Death
ABYS
ARCA
Opponent-Rating Diff
ABYS
ARCA
Opening Kills
ABYS
ARCA
Recent on Nuke
Abyssal
7-13
vs Arcade
Aug 5
6-13
vs Mindfreak
Jul 16
7-13
vs Rooster
Jun 9
13-9
vs MGLBROS
Jun 8
8-13
vs Ground Zero
May 2
Arcade
16-19
vs Time Waves
Aug 6
13-7
vs Abyssal
Aug 5
7-13
vs Ground Zero
Jul 17
13-6
vs MGLBROS
Apr 10
13-11
vs Abyssal
Apr 10
Mirage
ABYS
11
–
13
ARCA
36%
64%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
ABYS
ARCA
After First Kill
ABYS
ARCA
Round Win Rate
ABYS
ARCA
Opening Kills
ABYS
ARCA
Opponent-Rating Diff
ABYS
ARCA
Recent on Mirage
Abyssal
0-13
vs Ground Zero
Aug 6
13-10
vs Arcade
Aug 5
13-6
vs Mindfreak
Jul 16
8-13
vs MARKandLARRY
Jun 12
11-13
vs Rooster
Jun 9
Arcade
13-11
vs Time Waves
Aug 6
10-13
vs Abyssal
Aug 5
13-10
vs Ground Zero
Jul 17
7-13
vs Abyssal
Apr 10
13-5
vs mindfreak
Apr 6
Ancient
ABYS
13
–
10
ARCA
60%
40%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
ABYS
ARCA
After First Death
ABYS
ARCA
Map Win Rate
ABYS
ARCA
Ban Rate
ABYS
ARCA
T Side
ABYS
ARCA
Recent on Ancient
Abyssal
13-8
vs DXA
Apr 10
13-10
vs Arcade
Apr 3
5-13
vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Feb 25
16-13
vs Skele
Feb 19
Arcade
10-13
vs Abyssal
Apr 3
13-9
vs Ground Zero
Mar 16
Nuke
ABYS
10
–
13
ARCA
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
ABYS
ARCA
Map Player Rating
ABYS
ARCA
After First Death
ABYS
ARCA
Opponent-Rating Diff
ABYS
ARCA
Opening Kills
ABYS
ARCA
Recent on Nuke
Abyssal
7-13
vs Arcade
Aug 5
6-13
vs Mindfreak
Jul 16
7-13
vs Rooster
Jun 9
13-9
vs MGLBROS
Jun 8
8-13
vs Ground Zero
May 2
Arcade
16-19
vs Time Waves
Aug 6
13-7
vs Abyssal
Aug 5
7-13
vs Ground Zero
Jul 17
13-6
vs MGLBROS
Apr 10
13-11
vs Abyssal
Apr 10
Mirage
ABYS
11
–
13
ARCA
36%
64%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
ABYS
ARCA
After First Kill
ABYS
ARCA
Round Win Rate
ABYS
ARCA
Opening Kills
ABYS
ARCA
Opponent-Rating Diff
ABYS
ARCA
Recent on Mirage
Abyssal
0-13
vs Ground Zero
Aug 6
13-10
vs Arcade
Aug 5
13-6
vs Mindfreak
Jul 16
8-13
vs MARKandLARRY
Jun 12
11-13
vs Rooster
Jun 9
Arcade
13-11
vs Time Waves
Aug 6
10-13
vs Abyssal
Aug 5
13-10
vs Ground Zero
Jul 17
7-13
vs Abyssal
Apr 10
13-5
vs mindfreak
Apr 6
Inferno
ABYS
10
–
13
ARCA
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
ABYS
ARCA
After First Death
ABYS
ARCA
Map Player Rating
ABYS
ARCA
Round Win Rate
ABYS
ARCA
Opening Kills
ABYS
ARCA
Recent on Inferno
Abyssal
2-13
vs Rooster
Jul 16
9-13
vs Mindfreak
Jul 16
13-7
vs MARKandLARRY
Jun 12
13-2
vs MGLBROS
Jun 8
4-13
vs Ground Zero
May 2
Arcade
13-6
vs Time Waves
Aug 6
9-13
vs DXA
Apr 11
13-9
vs mindfreak
Mar 16
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Abyssal
Arcade
L
0-2
vs Ground Zero
MirageDust2
Aug 6
7d ago
W
2-1
vs Arcade
MirageNukeCache
Aug 5
8d ago
L
0-1
vs Rooster
Inferno
Jul 16
28d ago
L
1-2
vs Mindfreak
MirageInfernoNuke
Jul 16
28d ago
L
1-2
vs MARKandLARRY
InfernoOverpassMirage
Jun 12
62d ago
L
1-2
vs Rooster
OverpassNukeMirage
Jun 9
65d ago
W
2-0
vs MGLBROS
InfernoNuke
Jun 8
66d ago
L
1-2
vs Ground Zero
MirageNukeInferno
May 2
103d ago
W
2-0
vs Ding Cuts
MirageInferno
Apr 30
105d ago
L
1-2
vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
OverpassAnubisInferno
Apr 29
106d ago
W
2-0
vs Ding Cuts
MirageNuke
Apr 27
108d ago
W
2-1
vs Time Waves
InfernoNukeMirage
Aug 6
7d ago
L
1-2
vs Abyssal
MirageNukeCache
Aug 5
8d ago
W
2-0
vs DXA
Dust2Cache
Jul 17
27d ago
L
1-2
vs Ground Zero
MirageDust2Nuke
Jul 17
27d ago
L
0-1
vs Ground Zero
Dust2
Jul 16
28d ago
L
1-2
vs DXA
OverpassInfernoDust2
Apr 11
124d ago
W
2-0
vs MGLBROS
AnubisNuke
Apr 10
125d ago
L
1-2
vs Abyssal
OverpassNukeMirage
Apr 10
125d ago
L
1-2
vs Rooster
Dust2NukeOverpass
Apr 7
128d ago
W
2-1
vs mindfreak
NukeDust2Mirage
Apr 6
129d ago
W
2-0
vs Time Waves
NukeDust2
Apr 5
130d ago
Player Matchups
Abyssal
Ratings
Arcade
BL
blood
AWPADR 75.3KAST 71%
74
74LOR
RiflerADR 81.8KAST 75%
GU
gump
RiflerADR 72.6KAST 71%
N1
N1ghtraid
AWPADR 77.7KAST 71%
VI
vinhy
RiflerADR 74.7KAST 72%
KR
Kras
RiflerADR 75.8KAST 67%
DA
dangeR
EntryADR 65.9KAST 69%
WI
Winnieeeee
RiflerADR 64.5KAST 69%
FO
foggers
RiflerADR 71.4KAST 68%
ME
Mechanical
EntryADR 65.6KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Ancient
ABYS
13
–
10
ARCA
60%
40%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
ABYS
ARCA
After First Death
ABYS
ARCA
Map Win Rate
ABYS
ARCA
Ban Rate
ABYS
ARCA
T Side
ABYS
ARCA
Recent on Ancient
Abyssal
13-8
vs DXA
Apr 10
13-10
vs Arcade
Apr 3
5-13
vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Feb 25
16-13
vs Skele
Feb 19
Arcade
10-13
vs Abyssal
Apr 3
13-9
vs Ground Zero
Mar 16
Dust2
ABYS
11
–
13
ARCA
41%
59%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
ABYS
ARCA
After First Kill
ABYS
ARCA
Ban Rate
ABYS
ARCA
Map Win Rate
ABYS
ARCA
Round Win Rate
ABYS
ARCA
Recent on Dust2
Abyssal
11-13
vs Ground Zero
Aug 6
Arcade
13-9
vs DXA
Jul 17
6-13
vs Ground Zero
Jul 17
7-13
vs Ground Zero
Jul 16
7-13
vs DXA
Apr 11
10-13
vs Rooster
Apr 7
Anubis
ABYS
10
–
13
ARCA
44%
56%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
ABYS
ARCA
After First Death
ABYS
ARCA
Round Win Rate
ABYS
ARCA
Opening Kills
ABYS
ARCA
Opponent-Rating Diff
ABYS
ARCA
Recent on Anubis
Abyssal
7-13
vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Apr 29
13-4
vs Ground Zero
Apr 1
7-13
vs Ground Zero
Mar 30
6-13
vs Mindfreak
Feb 26
9-13
vs Mindfreak
Feb 25
Arcade
13-5
vs MGLBROS
Apr 10
4-13
vs mindfreak
Mar 12
0-13
vs mindfreak
Mar 12
Inferno
ABYS
10
–
13
ARCA
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
ABYS
ARCA
After First Death
ABYS
ARCA
Map Player Rating
ABYS
ARCA
Round Win Rate
ABYS
ARCA
Opening Kills
ABYS
ARCA
Recent on Inferno
Abyssal
2-13
vs Rooster
Jul 16
9-13
vs Mindfreak
Jul 16
13-7
vs MARKandLARRY
Jun 12
13-2
vs MGLBROS
Jun 8
4-13
vs Ground Zero
May 2
Arcade
13-6
vs Time Waves
Aug 6
9-13
vs DXA
Apr 11
13-9
vs mindfreak
Mar 16