Bo3 · DFRAG Open Series 6
· 2026-08-05
Arcade
✗
vs
Abyssal
57%
43%
Series win probability
ARCA
2–1
30%
ARCA
2–0
27%
ABYS
2–0
23%
ABYS
2–1
21%
Actual result
Mirage
13–10
ABYS
Nuke
13–7
ARCA
Cache
13–11
ABYS
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — Arcade is slightly favored at 57% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#237 vs #259), a strong cache (71% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
39%
Nuke · Mirage · Cache
Scenario 2
31%
Nuke · Mirage · Ancient
Scenario 3
29%
Nuke · Mirage · Inferno
Nuke
ARCA
14
–
16
ABYS
47%
53%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
ARCA
ABYS
After First Kill
ARCA
ABYS
Map Player Rating
ARCA
ABYS
Map Win Rate
ARCA
ABYS
T 5v4
ARCA
ABYS
Recent on Nuke
Arcade
7-13
vs Ground Zero
Jul 17
13-6
vs MGLBROS
Apr 10
13-11
vs Abyssal
Apr 10
13-11
vs Rooster
Apr 7
22-18
vs mindfreak
Apr 6
Abyssal
6-13
vs Mindfreak
Jul 16
7-13
vs Rooster
Jun 9
13-9
vs MGLBROS
Jun 8
8-13
vs Ground Zero
May 2
13-7
vs Ding Cuts
Apr 27
Mirage
ARCA
13
–
11
ABYS
64%
36%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
ARCA
ABYS
After First Kill
ARCA
ABYS
Round Win Rate
ARCA
ABYS
Opening Kills
ARCA
ABYS
Ranking
ARCA
ABYS
Recent on Mirage
Arcade
13-10
vs Ground Zero
Jul 17
7-13
vs Abyssal
Apr 10
13-5
vs mindfreak
Apr 6
8-13
vs Rooster
Mar 24
3-13
vs SemperFi
Mar 16
Abyssal
13-6
vs Mindfreak
Jul 16
8-13
vs MARKandLARRY
Jun 12
11-13
vs Rooster
Jun 9
13-11
vs Ground Zero
May 2
13-3
vs Ding Cuts
Apr 30
Cache
ARCA
13
–
9
ABYS
71%
29%
Win prob
OT 10%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
ARCA
ABYS
After First Kill
ARCA
ABYS
Map Player Rating
ARCA
ABYS
Ranking
ARCA
ABYS
Opening Kills
ARCA
ABYS
Recent on Cache
Arcade
13-8
vs DXA
Jul 17
Abyssal
no data
Nuke
ARCA
14
–
16
ABYS
47%
53%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
ARCA
ABYS
After First Kill
ARCA
ABYS
Map Player Rating
ARCA
ABYS
Map Win Rate
ARCA
ABYS
T 5v4
ARCA
ABYS
Recent on Nuke
Arcade
7-13
vs Ground Zero
Jul 17
13-6
vs MGLBROS
Apr 10
13-11
vs Abyssal
Apr 10
13-11
vs Rooster
Apr 7
22-18
vs mindfreak
Apr 6
Abyssal
6-13
vs Mindfreak
Jul 16
7-13
vs Rooster
Jun 9
13-9
vs MGLBROS
Jun 8
8-13
vs Ground Zero
May 2
13-7
vs Ding Cuts
Apr 27
Mirage
ARCA
13
–
11
ABYS
64%
36%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
ARCA
ABYS
After First Kill
ARCA
ABYS
Round Win Rate
ARCA
ABYS
Opening Kills
ARCA
ABYS
Ranking
ARCA
ABYS
Recent on Mirage
Arcade
13-10
vs Ground Zero
Jul 17
7-13
vs Abyssal
Apr 10
13-5
vs mindfreak
Apr 6
8-13
vs Rooster
Mar 24
3-13
vs SemperFi
Mar 16
Abyssal
13-6
vs Mindfreak
Jul 16
8-13
vs MARKandLARRY
Jun 12
11-13
vs Rooster
Jun 9
13-11
vs Ground Zero
May 2
13-3
vs Ding Cuts
Apr 30
Ancient
ARCA
10
–
13
ABYS
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
ARCA
ABYS
After First Death
ARCA
ABYS
Ranking
ARCA
ABYS
Map Win Rate
ARCA
ABYS
Ban Rate
ARCA
ABYS
Recent on Ancient
Arcade
10-13
vs Abyssal
Apr 3
13-9
vs Ground Zero
Mar 16
Abyssal
13-8
vs DXA
Apr 10
13-10
vs Arcade
Apr 3
5-13
vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Feb 25
16-13
vs Skele
Feb 19
Nuke
ARCA
14
–
16
ABYS
47%
53%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
ARCA
ABYS
After First Kill
ARCA
ABYS
Map Player Rating
ARCA
ABYS
Map Win Rate
ARCA
ABYS
T 5v4
ARCA
ABYS
Recent on Nuke
Arcade
7-13
vs Ground Zero
Jul 17
13-6
vs MGLBROS
Apr 10
13-11
vs Abyssal
Apr 10
13-11
vs Rooster
Apr 7
22-18
vs mindfreak
Apr 6
Abyssal
6-13
vs Mindfreak
Jul 16
7-13
vs Rooster
Jun 9
13-9
vs MGLBROS
Jun 8
8-13
vs Ground Zero
May 2
13-7
vs Ding Cuts
Apr 27
Mirage
ARCA
13
–
11
ABYS
64%
36%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
ARCA
ABYS
After First Kill
ARCA
ABYS
Round Win Rate
ARCA
ABYS
Opening Kills
ARCA
ABYS
Ranking
ARCA
ABYS
Recent on Mirage
Arcade
13-10
vs Ground Zero
Jul 17
7-13
vs Abyssal
Apr 10
13-5
vs mindfreak
Apr 6
8-13
vs Rooster
Mar 24
3-13
vs SemperFi
Mar 16
Abyssal
13-6
vs Mindfreak
Jul 16
8-13
vs MARKandLARRY
Jun 12
11-13
vs Rooster
Jun 9
13-11
vs Ground Zero
May 2
13-3
vs Ding Cuts
Apr 30
Inferno
ARCA
14
–
16
ABYS
47%
53%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
ARCA
ABYS
Opening Kills
ARCA
ABYS
Ranking
ARCA
ABYS
Map Player Rating
ARCA
ABYS
After First Death
ARCA
ABYS
Recent on Inferno
Arcade
9-13
vs DXA
Apr 11
13-9
vs mindfreak
Mar 16
Abyssal
2-13
vs Rooster
Jul 16
9-13
vs Mindfreak
Jul 16
13-7
vs MARKandLARRY
Jun 12
13-2
vs MGLBROS
Jun 8
4-13
vs Ground Zero
May 2
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Arcade
Abyssal
W
2-0
vs DXA
Dust2Cache
Jul 17
27d ago
L
1-2
vs Ground Zero
MirageDust2Nuke
Jul 17
27d ago
L
0-1
vs Ground Zero
Dust2
Jul 16
28d ago
L
1-2
vs DXA
OverpassInfernoDust2
Apr 11
124d ago
W
2-0
vs MGLBROS
AnubisNuke
Apr 10
125d ago
L
1-2
vs Abyssal
OverpassNukeMirage
Apr 10
125d ago
L
1-2
vs Rooster
Dust2NukeOverpass
Apr 7
128d ago
W
2-1
vs mindfreak
NukeDust2Mirage
Apr 6
129d ago
W
2-0
vs Time Waves
NukeDust2
Apr 5
130d ago
L
1-2
vs Abyssal
NukeAncientOverpass
Apr 3
132d ago
L
0-2
vs Rooster
MirageOverpass
Mar 24
142d ago
L
0-1
vs Rooster
Inferno
Jul 16
28d ago
L
1-2
vs Mindfreak
MirageInfernoNuke
Jul 16
28d ago
L
1-2
vs MARKandLARRY
InfernoOverpassMirage
Jun 12
62d ago
L
1-2
vs Rooster
OverpassNukeMirage
Jun 9
65d ago
W
2-0
vs MGLBROS
InfernoNuke
Jun 8
66d ago
L
1-2
vs Ground Zero
MirageNukeInferno
May 2
103d ago
W
2-0
vs Ding Cuts
MirageInferno
Apr 30
105d ago
L
1-2
vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
OverpassAnubisInferno
Apr 29
106d ago
W
2-0
vs Ding Cuts
MirageNuke
Apr 27
108d ago
W
2-1
vs Rooster
OverpassNukeInferno
Apr 19
116d ago
W
2-0
vs Ding Cuts
MirageNuke
Apr 18
117d ago
Player Matchups
Arcade
Ratings
Abyssal
N1
N1ghtraid
AWPADR 79.7KAST 71%
BL
blood
AWPADR 77.3KAST 73%
74
74LOR
RiflerADR 76.6KAST 74%
GU
gump
RiflerADR 75.0KAST 71%
KR
Kras
RiflerADR 75.1KAST 64%
FO
foggers
RiflerADR 74.4KAST 69%
WI
Winnieeeee
EntryADR 67.1KAST 69%
DA
dangeR
EntryADR 62.6KAST 72%
ME
Mechanical
RiflerADR 56.1KAST 70%
VI
vinhy
RiflerADR 75.2KAST 71%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Ancient
ARCA
10
–
13
ABYS
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
ARCA
ABYS
After First Death
ARCA
ABYS
Ranking
ARCA
ABYS
Map Win Rate
ARCA
ABYS
Ban Rate
ARCA
ABYS
Recent on Ancient
Arcade
10-13
vs Abyssal
Apr 3
13-9
vs Ground Zero
Mar 16
Abyssal
13-8
vs DXA
Apr 10
13-10
vs Arcade
Apr 3
5-13
vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Feb 25
16-13
vs Skele
Feb 19
Anubis
ARCA
13
–
11
ABYS
55%
45%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
ARCA
ABYS
After First Death
ARCA
ABYS
Round Win Rate
ARCA
ABYS
Opening Kills
ARCA
ABYS
Ranking
ARCA
ABYS
Recent on Anubis
Arcade
13-5
vs MGLBROS
Apr 10
4-13
vs mindfreak
Mar 12
0-13
vs mindfreak
Mar 12
Abyssal
7-13
vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Apr 29
13-4
vs Ground Zero
Apr 1
7-13
vs Ground Zero
Mar 30
6-13
vs Mindfreak
Feb 26
9-13
vs Mindfreak
Feb 25
Inferno
ARCA
14
–
16
ABYS
47%
53%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
ARCA
ABYS
Opening Kills
ARCA
ABYS
Ranking
ARCA
ABYS
Map Player Rating
ARCA
ABYS
After First Death
ARCA
ABYS
Recent on Inferno
Arcade
9-13
vs DXA
Apr 11
13-9
vs mindfreak
Mar 16
Abyssal
2-13
vs Rooster
Jul 16
9-13
vs Mindfreak
Jul 16
13-7
vs MARKandLARRY
Jun 12
13-2
vs MGLBROS
Jun 8
4-13
vs Ground Zero
May 2