Bo3 · Stake Pulse Beat I
· 2026-08-05
Liquid
✓
vs
fnatic
56%
44%
Series win probability
LIQU
2–0
31%
LIQU
2–1
25%
FNAT
2–1
24%
FNAT
2–0
20%
Actual result
Dust2
13–10
LIQU
Anubis
13–5
LIQU
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — Liquid is slightly favored at 56% but only leads on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#21 vs #49).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
46%
Anubis · Cache · Mirage
Scenario 2
28%
Anubis · Cache · Dust2
Scenario 3
27%
Anubis · Cache · Inferno
Anubis
LIQU
13
–
11
FNAT
57%
43%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
LIQU
FNAT
Ranking
LIQU
FNAT
Opponent-Rating Diff
LIQU
FNAT
Overall Rating
LIQU
FNAT
Multi-Kills
LIQU
FNAT
Recent on Anubis
Liquid
13-6
vs 9INE
Aug 4
13-8
vs Betclic
Aug 1
5-13
vs Spirit
Jul 30
13-6
vs G2
Jul 25
13-10
vs Vitality
Jul 24
fnatic
13-8
vs Metizport
Aug 3
13-11
vs BRUTE
Jul 14
13-8
vs Misa
Jul 12
4-13
vs Alliance
Jun 14
13-2
vs Minkens finest
Jun 13
Cache
LIQU
13
–
11
FNAT
56%
44%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
LIQU
FNAT
Overall Rating
LIQU
FNAT
Opponent-Rating Diff
LIQU
FNAT
Map Win Rate
LIQU
FNAT
After First Death
LIQU
FNAT
Recent on Cache
Liquid
13-4
vs 9INE
Aug 4
12-16
vs Betclic
Aug 1
fnatic
16-13
vs EAC
Aug 4
13-7
vs Lilmix
Aug 3
13-9
vs BRUTE
Jul 14
16-19
vs Misa
Jul 12
13-9
vs The Last Resort
Jul 12
Mirage
LIQU
13
–
11
FNAT
57%
43%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
LIQU
FNAT
After First Kill
LIQU
FNAT
Ranking
LIQU
FNAT
Map Player Rating
LIQU
FNAT
Round Win Rate
LIQU
FNAT
Recent on Mirage
Liquid
13-5
vs G2
Jul 25
fnatic
13-4
vs Metizport
Aug 3
6-13
vs Metizport
Jun 14
13-3
vs Minkens finest
Jun 13
13-11
vs aimclub
Jun 13
Anubis
LIQU
13
–
11
FNAT
57%
43%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
LIQU
FNAT
Ranking
LIQU
FNAT
Opponent-Rating Diff
LIQU
FNAT
Overall Rating
LIQU
FNAT
Multi-Kills
LIQU
FNAT
Recent on Anubis
Liquid
13-6
vs 9INE
Aug 4
13-8
vs Betclic
Aug 1
5-13
vs Spirit
Jul 30
13-6
vs G2
Jul 25
13-10
vs Vitality
Jul 24
fnatic
13-8
vs Metizport
Aug 3
13-11
vs BRUTE
Jul 14
13-8
vs Misa
Jul 12
4-13
vs Alliance
Jun 14
13-2
vs Minkens finest
Jun 13
Cache
LIQU
13
–
11
FNAT
56%
44%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
LIQU
FNAT
Overall Rating
LIQU
FNAT
Opponent-Rating Diff
LIQU
FNAT
Map Win Rate
LIQU
FNAT
After First Death
LIQU
FNAT
Recent on Cache
Liquid
13-4
vs 9INE
Aug 4
12-16
vs Betclic
Aug 1
fnatic
16-13
vs EAC
Aug 4
13-7
vs Lilmix
Aug 3
13-9
vs BRUTE
Jul 14
16-19
vs Misa
Jul 12
13-9
vs The Last Resort
Jul 12
Dust2
LIQU
11
–
13
FNAT
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
LIQU
FNAT
Ranking
LIQU
FNAT
Ban Rate
LIQU
FNAT
Overall Rating
LIQU
FNAT
Opening Kills
LIQU
FNAT
Recent on Dust2
Liquid
7-13
vs Spirit
Jul 30
fnatic
5-13
vs BRUTE
Jul 14
13-3
vs HOTU
Jul 14
13-8
vs SPARTA
Jul 13
13-11
vs Misa
Jul 12
19-17
vs Alliance
Jun 14
Anubis
LIQU
13
–
11
FNAT
57%
43%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
LIQU
FNAT
Ranking
LIQU
FNAT
Opponent-Rating Diff
LIQU
FNAT
Overall Rating
LIQU
FNAT
Multi-Kills
LIQU
FNAT
Recent on Anubis
Liquid
13-6
vs 9INE
Aug 4
13-8
vs Betclic
Aug 1
5-13
vs Spirit
Jul 30
13-6
vs G2
Jul 25
13-10
vs Vitality
Jul 24
fnatic
13-8
vs Metizport
Aug 3
13-11
vs BRUTE
Jul 14
13-8
vs Misa
Jul 12
4-13
vs Alliance
Jun 14
13-2
vs Minkens finest
Jun 13
Cache
LIQU
13
–
11
FNAT
56%
44%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
LIQU
FNAT
Overall Rating
LIQU
FNAT
Opponent-Rating Diff
LIQU
FNAT
Map Win Rate
LIQU
FNAT
After First Death
LIQU
FNAT
Recent on Cache
Liquid
13-4
vs 9INE
Aug 4
12-16
vs Betclic
Aug 1
fnatic
16-13
vs EAC
Aug 4
13-7
vs Lilmix
Aug 3
13-9
vs BRUTE
Jul 14
16-19
vs Misa
Jul 12
13-9
vs The Last Resort
Jul 12
Inferno
LIQU
16
–
14
FNAT
51%
49%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
LIQU
FNAT
After First Death
LIQU
FNAT
Ranking
LIQU
FNAT
Overall Rating
LIQU
FNAT
Map Player Rating
LIQU
FNAT
Recent on Inferno
Liquid
no data
fnatic
13-5
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Jun 13
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Liquid
fnatic
W
2-0
vs 9INE
CacheAnubis
Aug 4
9d ago
W
2-1
vs Betclic
CacheNukeAnubis
Aug 1
12d ago
L
0-2
vs Spirit
Dust2Anubis
Jul 30
14d ago
W
2-0
vs G2
AnubisMirage
Jul 25
19d ago
W
2-0
vs Vitality
AnubisNuke
Jul 24
20d ago
W
2-0
vs EAC
CacheAncient
Aug 4
9d ago
W
2-0
vs Lilmix
CacheAncient
Aug 3
10d ago
W
2-1
vs Metizport
AncientAnubisMirage
Aug 3
10d ago
W
2-1
vs BRUTE
Dust2CacheAnubis
Jul 14
30d ago
W
2-0
vs HOTU
AncientDust2
Jul 14
30d ago
W
2-0
vs SPARTA
Dust2Ancient
Jul 13
31d ago
W
2-1
vs Misa
Dust2CacheAnubis
Jul 12
32d ago
W
2-0
vs The Last Resort
AncientCache
Jul 12
32d ago
L
0-2
vs Metizport
OverpassMirage
Jun 14
60d ago
L
1-2
vs Alliance
AnubisDust2Ancient
Jun 14
60d ago
W
2-0
vs Minkens finest
MirageAnubis
Jun 13
61d ago
Player Matchups
Liquid
Ratings
fnatic
EL
EliGE
RiflerADR 80.6KAST 74%
CA
cairne
EntryADR 80.1KAST 75%
JO
Jorko
AWPADR 75.4KAST 74%
JA
jambo
AWPADR 78.9KAST 74%
NA
NAF
EntryADR 74.9KAST 76%
JA
jackasmo
RiflerADR 82.3KAST 75%
MA
malbsMd
RiflerADR 74.7KAST 72%
MA
mazay
RiflerADR 77.8KAST 72%
JT
JT
RiflerADR 72.9KAST 69%
FE
fEAR
RiflerADR 72.5KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Dust2
LIQU
11
–
13
FNAT
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
LIQU
FNAT
Ranking
LIQU
FNAT
Ban Rate
LIQU
FNAT
Overall Rating
LIQU
FNAT
Opening Kills
LIQU
FNAT
Recent on Dust2
Liquid
7-13
vs Spirit
Jul 30
fnatic
5-13
vs BRUTE
Jul 14
13-3
vs HOTU
Jul 14
13-8
vs SPARTA
Jul 13
13-11
vs Misa
Jul 12
19-17
vs Alliance
Jun 14
Inferno
LIQU
16
–
14
FNAT
51%
49%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
LIQU
FNAT
After First Death
LIQU
FNAT
Ranking
LIQU
FNAT
Overall Rating
LIQU
FNAT
Map Player Rating
LIQU
FNAT
Recent on Inferno
Liquid
no data
fnatic
13-5
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Jun 13
Ancient
LIQU
16
–
14
FNAT
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
LIQU
FNAT
After First Kill
LIQU
FNAT
Ranking
LIQU
FNAT
Ban Rate
LIQU
FNAT
Overall Rating
LIQU
FNAT
Recent on Ancient
Liquid
no data
fnatic
13-5
vs EAC
Aug 4
13-9
vs Lilmix
Aug 3
2-13
vs Metizport
Aug 3
13-0
vs HOTU
Jul 14
13-9
vs SPARTA
Jul 13
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1 match