Bo3 · Stake Pulse Beat I
· 2026-08-04
fnatic
✓
vs
EAC
57%
43%
Series win probability
FNAT
2–0
30%
FNAT
2–1
26%
EAC
2–1
23%
EAC
2–0
20%
Actual result
Cache
16–13
FNAT
Ancient
13–5
FNAT
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — fnatic is slightly favored at 57% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.16 vs 1.07), a significant ranking advantage (#50 vs #71).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
39%
Ancient · Cache · Anubis
Scenario 2
39%
Ancient · Cache · Mirage
Scenario 3
22%
Ancient · Cache · Dust2
Ancient
FNAT
16
–
14
EAC
53%
47%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
FNAT
EAC
After First Death
FNAT
EAC
Overall Rating
FNAT
EAC
T 5v4
FNAT
EAC
Opening Kills
FNAT
EAC
Recent on Ancient
fnatic
13-9
vs Lilmix
Aug 3
2-13
vs Metizport
Aug 3
13-0
vs HOTU
Jul 14
13-9
vs SPARTA
Jul 13
13-4
vs The Last Resort
Jul 12
EAC
11-13
vs G2 Ares
Jul 31
13-3
vs XCLAN
Jul 31
8-13
vs HOTU
Jul 31
13-9
vs Entropy
Jul 21
7-13
vs magic
Jul 9
Cache
FNAT
13
–
11
EAC
55%
45%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
FNAT
EAC
Overall Rating
FNAT
EAC
Map Win Rate
FNAT
EAC
T 5v4
FNAT
EAC
Round Win Rate
FNAT
EAC
Recent on Cache
fnatic
13-7
vs Lilmix
Aug 3
13-9
vs BRUTE
Jul 14
16-19
vs Misa
Jul 12
13-9
vs The Last Resort
Jul 12
EAC
13-7
vs XCLAN
Jul 31
19-17
vs HOTU
Jul 31
13-8
vs Atreides
Jul 26
13-7
vs Entropy
Jul 21
16-14
vs magic
Jul 9
Anubis
FNAT
14
–
16
EAC
49%
51%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
FNAT
EAC
After First Kill
FNAT
EAC
Round Win Rate
FNAT
EAC
Overall Rating
FNAT
EAC
Map Win Rate
FNAT
EAC
Recent on Anubis
fnatic
13-8
vs Metizport
Aug 3
13-11
vs BRUTE
Jul 14
13-8
vs Misa
Jul 12
4-13
vs Alliance
Jun 14
13-2
vs Minkens finest
Jun 13
EAC
13-10
vs HOTU
Jul 31
13-9
vs Atreides
Jul 26
8-13
vs Walczaki
Jun 24
11-13
vs The Last Resort
Apr 28
16-12
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Apr 26
Ancient
FNAT
16
–
14
EAC
53%
47%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
FNAT
EAC
After First Death
FNAT
EAC
Overall Rating
FNAT
EAC
T 5v4
FNAT
EAC
Opening Kills
FNAT
EAC
Recent on Ancient
fnatic
13-9
vs Lilmix
Aug 3
2-13
vs Metizport
Aug 3
13-0
vs HOTU
Jul 14
13-9
vs SPARTA
Jul 13
13-4
vs The Last Resort
Jul 12
EAC
11-13
vs G2 Ares
Jul 31
13-3
vs XCLAN
Jul 31
8-13
vs HOTU
Jul 31
13-9
vs Entropy
Jul 21
7-13
vs magic
Jul 9
Cache
FNAT
13
–
11
EAC
55%
45%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
FNAT
EAC
Overall Rating
FNAT
EAC
Map Win Rate
FNAT
EAC
T 5v4
FNAT
EAC
Round Win Rate
FNAT
EAC
Recent on Cache
fnatic
13-7
vs Lilmix
Aug 3
13-9
vs BRUTE
Jul 14
16-19
vs Misa
Jul 12
13-9
vs The Last Resort
Jul 12
EAC
13-7
vs XCLAN
Jul 31
19-17
vs HOTU
Jul 31
13-8
vs Atreides
Jul 26
13-7
vs Entropy
Jul 21
16-14
vs magic
Jul 9
Mirage
FNAT
13
–
9
EAC
60%
40%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
FNAT
EAC
After First Death
FNAT
EAC
Map Player Rating
FNAT
EAC
Round Win Rate
FNAT
EAC
Overall Rating
FNAT
EAC
Recent on Mirage
fnatic
13-4
vs Metizport
Aug 3
6-13
vs Metizport
Jun 14
13-3
vs Minkens finest
Jun 13
13-11
vs aimclub
Jun 13
EAC
11-13
vs Entropy
Jul 21
6-13
vs magic
Jul 9
13-8
vs INFINITE
Jun 23
4-13
vs KOLESIE
Jun 16
16-14
vs Noir Verse
Jun 13
Ancient
FNAT
16
–
14
EAC
53%
47%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
FNAT
EAC
After First Death
FNAT
EAC
Overall Rating
FNAT
EAC
T 5v4
FNAT
EAC
Opening Kills
FNAT
EAC
Recent on Ancient
fnatic
13-9
vs Lilmix
Aug 3
2-13
vs Metizport
Aug 3
13-0
vs HOTU
Jul 14
13-9
vs SPARTA
Jul 13
13-4
vs The Last Resort
Jul 12
EAC
11-13
vs G2 Ares
Jul 31
13-3
vs XCLAN
Jul 31
8-13
vs HOTU
Jul 31
13-9
vs Entropy
Jul 21
7-13
vs magic
Jul 9
Cache
FNAT
13
–
11
EAC
55%
45%
Win prob
OT 12%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
FNAT
EAC
Overall Rating
FNAT
EAC
Map Win Rate
FNAT
EAC
T 5v4
FNAT
EAC
Round Win Rate
FNAT
EAC
Recent on Cache
fnatic
13-7
vs Lilmix
Aug 3
13-9
vs BRUTE
Jul 14
16-19
vs Misa
Jul 12
13-9
vs The Last Resort
Jul 12
EAC
13-7
vs XCLAN
Jul 31
19-17
vs HOTU
Jul 31
13-8
vs Atreides
Jul 26
13-7
vs Entropy
Jul 21
16-14
vs magic
Jul 9
Dust2
FNAT
13
–
10
EAC
56%
44%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
FNAT
EAC
After First Death
FNAT
EAC
Overall Rating
FNAT
EAC
Opening Kills
FNAT
EAC
Map Win Rate
FNAT
EAC
Recent on Dust2
fnatic
5-13
vs BRUTE
Jul 14
13-3
vs HOTU
Jul 14
13-8
vs SPARTA
Jul 13
13-11
vs Misa
Jul 12
19-17
vs Alliance
Jun 14
EAC
8-13
vs Betclic
Jun 25
Recent Results
last 11 matches
fnatic
EAC
W
2-0
vs Lilmix
CacheAncient
Aug 3
10d ago
W
2-1
vs Metizport
AncientAnubisMirage
Aug 3
10d ago
W
2-1
vs BRUTE
Dust2CacheAnubis
Jul 14
30d ago
W
2-0
vs HOTU
AncientDust2
Jul 14
30d ago
W
2-0
vs SPARTA
Dust2Ancient
Jul 13
31d ago
W
2-1
vs Misa
Dust2CacheAnubis
Jul 12
32d ago
W
2-0
vs The Last Resort
AncientCache
Jul 12
32d ago
L
0-2
vs Metizport
OverpassMirage
Jun 14
60d ago
L
1-2
vs Alliance
AnubisDust2Ancient
Jun 14
60d ago
W
2-0
vs Minkens finest
MirageAnubis
Jun 13
61d ago
W
2-0
vs aimclub
Dust2Mirage
Jun 13
61d ago
L
0-2
vs G2 Ares
InfernoAncient
Jul 31
13d ago
W
2-0
vs XCLAN
CacheAncient
Jul 31
13d ago
W
2-1
vs HOTU
AncientAnubisCache
Jul 31
13d ago
W
2-0
vs Atreides
AnubisCache
Jul 26
18d ago
W
2-1
vs Entropy
MirageCacheAncient
Jul 21
23d ago
L
1-2
vs magic
CacheAncientMirage
Jul 9
35d ago
L
0-2
vs Betclic
AncientDust2
Jun 25
49d ago
L
0-2
vs Walczaki
AnubisAncient
Jun 24
50d ago
W
2-0
vs INFINITE
NukeMirage
Jun 23
51d ago
L
0-2
vs KOLESIE
MirageNuke
Jun 16
58d ago
W
2-1
vs Noir Verse
AncientNukeMirage
Jun 13
61d ago
Player Matchups
fnatic
Ratings
EAC
JA
jambo
AWPADR 79.2KAST 74%
FE
Fessor
EntryADR 88.3KAST 76%
CA
cairne
EntryADR 79.6KAST 75%
N1
n1Xen
RiflerADR 75.7KAST 72%
JA
jackasmo
RiflerADR 82.4KAST 75%
BE
bekker
AWPADR 70.3KAST 72%
MA
mazay
RiflerADR 78.8KAST 72%
AN
anber
RiflerADR 74.1KAST 70%
FE
fEAR
RiflerADR 72.3KAST 72%
SS
sSen
RiflerADR 68.1KAST 73%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Mirage
FNAT
13
–
9
EAC
60%
40%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
FNAT
EAC
After First Death
FNAT
EAC
Map Player Rating
FNAT
EAC
Round Win Rate
FNAT
EAC
Overall Rating
FNAT
EAC
Recent on Mirage
fnatic
13-4
vs Metizport
Aug 3
6-13
vs Metizport
Jun 14
13-3
vs Minkens finest
Jun 13
13-11
vs aimclub
Jun 13
EAC
11-13
vs Entropy
Jul 21
6-13
vs magic
Jul 9
13-8
vs INFINITE
Jun 23
4-13
vs KOLESIE
Jun 16
16-14
vs Noir Verse
Jun 13
Inferno
FNAT
13
–
9
EAC
57%
43%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
FNAT
EAC
Map Player Rating
FNAT
EAC
Overall Rating
FNAT
EAC
Round Win Rate
FNAT
EAC
After First Death
FNAT
EAC
Recent on Inferno
fnatic
13-5
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Jun 13
EAC
6-13
vs G2 Ares
Jul 31
8-13
vs Gatorian
Jun 13
7-13
vs Alliance
Jun 13
9-13
vs OG
May 29
7-13
vs Sashi Academy
Apr 11
Dust2
FNAT
13
–
10
EAC
56%
44%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
FNAT
EAC
After First Death
FNAT
EAC
Overall Rating
FNAT
EAC
Opening Kills
FNAT
EAC
Map Win Rate
FNAT
EAC
Recent on Dust2
fnatic
5-13
vs BRUTE
Jul 14
13-3
vs HOTU
Jul 14
13-8
vs SPARTA
Jul 13
13-11
vs Misa
Jul 12
19-17
vs Alliance
Jun 14
EAC
8-13
vs Betclic
Jun 25