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Bo3  ·  Stake Pulse Beat I · 2026-07-31
HOTU ✗
vs
G2 Ares
58%
42%
Series win probability
HOTU 2–0 31%
HOTU 2–1 28%
G2A 2–1 22%
G2A 2–0 19%
Actual result
Mirage 13–8 G2A
Dust2 13–6 G2A
Model Insights
HOTU has a moderate edge at 58%, favored on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.09 vs 1.04), a significant ranking advantage (#34 vs #112), a strong cache (65% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 36% Dust2 · Ancient · Cache
Scenario 2 32% Dust2 · Cache · Mirage
Scenario 3 32% Dust2 · Cache · Anubis
Dust2
HOTU 13 – 10 G2A
63%
37%
Win prob OT 11% ✗
Key factors
After First Kill
HOTU
G2A
Ranking
HOTU
G2A
After First Death
HOTU
G2A
T 5v4
HOTU
G2A
Opening Kills
HOTU
G2A
Recent on Dust2
HOTU
13-1 vs XCLAN Jul 31
13-11 vs GamerLegion Jul 22
13-8 vs HEROIC Jul 21
3-13 vs fnatic Jul 14
16-13 vs Entropy Jul 13
G2 Ares
11-13 vs ex-RUSTEC Jul 29
7-13 vs Just Players Jul 29
16-14 vs INOX Division Jul 26
6-13 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 25
16-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects Jul 21
Ancient
HOTU 16 – 14 G2A
52%
48%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
HOTU
G2A
Ranking
HOTU
G2A
Round Win Rate
HOTU
G2A
Map Win Rate
HOTU
G2A
After First Death
HOTU
G2A
Recent on Ancient
HOTU
10-13 vs Astralis Jul 25
13-8 vs GamerLegion Jul 22
16-13 vs Astralis Jul 22
0-13 vs fnatic Jul 14
13-3 vs Vexar Jul 12
G2 Ares
4-13 vs Butterfly Jul 28
14-16 vs Phantom Jul 24
4-13 vs Butterfly Jul 24
8-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects Jul 21
13-8 vs megoshort Jul 19
Cache
HOTU 13 – 10 G2A
65%
35%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
HOTU
G2A
After First Death
HOTU
G2A
Ranking
HOTU
G2A
T 5v4
HOTU
G2A
Opening Kills
HOTU
G2A
Recent on Cache
HOTU
13-2 vs XCLAN Jul 31
11-13 vs Aurora Jul 26
1-13 vs Astralis Jul 25
16-14 vs Astralis Jul 22
13-6 vs HEROIC Jul 21
G2 Ares
22-18 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 25
11-13 vs Lilmix Jul 16
Dust2
HOTU 13 – 10 G2A
63%
37%
Win prob OT 11% ✗
Key factors
After First Kill
HOTU
G2A
Ranking
HOTU
G2A
After First Death
HOTU
G2A
T 5v4
HOTU
G2A
Opening Kills
HOTU
G2A
Recent on Dust2
HOTU
13-1 vs XCLAN Jul 31
13-11 vs GamerLegion Jul 22
13-8 vs HEROIC Jul 21
3-13 vs fnatic Jul 14
16-13 vs Entropy Jul 13
G2 Ares
11-13 vs ex-RUSTEC Jul 29
7-13 vs Just Players Jul 29
16-14 vs INOX Division Jul 26
6-13 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 25
16-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects Jul 21
Cache
HOTU 13 – 10 G2A
65%
35%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
HOTU
G2A
After First Death
HOTU
G2A
Ranking
HOTU
G2A
T 5v4
HOTU
G2A
Opening Kills
HOTU
G2A
Recent on Cache
HOTU
13-2 vs XCLAN Jul 31
11-13 vs Aurora Jul 26
1-13 vs Astralis Jul 25
16-14 vs Astralis Jul 22
13-6 vs HEROIC Jul 21
G2 Ares
22-18 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 25
11-13 vs Lilmix Jul 16
Mirage
HOTU 13 – 10 G2A
60%
40%
Win prob OT 11% ✗
Key factors
After First Kill
HOTU
G2A
Ranking
HOTU
G2A
Round Win Rate
HOTU
G2A
After First Death
HOTU
G2A
T 5v4
HOTU
G2A
Recent on Mirage
HOTU
9-13 vs Aurora Jul 26
13-9 vs INFINITE Jul 25
10-13 vs HEROIC Jul 21
13-9 vs Entropy Jul 13
13-0 vs Vexar Jul 12
G2 Ares
7-13 vs Just Players Jul 29
5-13 vs Butterfly Jul 28
13-11 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 25
10-13 vs Phantom Jul 24
16-12 vs Butterfly Jul 24
Dust2
HOTU 13 – 10 G2A
63%
37%
Win prob OT 11% ✗
Key factors
After First Kill
HOTU
G2A
Ranking
HOTU
G2A
After First Death
HOTU
G2A
T 5v4
HOTU
G2A
Opening Kills
HOTU
G2A
Recent on Dust2
HOTU
13-1 vs XCLAN Jul 31
13-11 vs GamerLegion Jul 22
13-8 vs HEROIC Jul 21
3-13 vs fnatic Jul 14
16-13 vs Entropy Jul 13
G2 Ares
11-13 vs ex-RUSTEC Jul 29
7-13 vs Just Players Jul 29
16-14 vs INOX Division Jul 26
6-13 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 25
16-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects Jul 21
Cache
HOTU 13 – 10 G2A
65%
35%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
HOTU
G2A
After First Death
HOTU
G2A
Ranking
HOTU
G2A
T 5v4
HOTU
G2A
Opening Kills
HOTU
G2A
Recent on Cache
HOTU
13-2 vs XCLAN Jul 31
11-13 vs Aurora Jul 26
1-13 vs Astralis Jul 25
16-14 vs Astralis Jul 22
13-6 vs HEROIC Jul 21
G2 Ares
22-18 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 25
11-13 vs Lilmix Jul 16
Anubis
HOTU 11 – 13 G2A
43%
57%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
HOTU
G2A
Round Win Rate
HOTU
G2A
Ranking
HOTU
G2A
Map Win Rate
HOTU
G2A
Map Player Rating
HOTU
G2A
Recent on Anubis
HOTU
13-9 vs Aurora Jul 26
13-5 vs INFINITE Jul 25
13-9 vs QUAZAR Jul 14
13-3 vs PCIFIC May 29
G2 Ares
12-16 vs INOX Division Jul 26
6-13 vs Walczaki Jun 15
13-6 vs Misa May 26
13-5 vs Entropy May 26
16-13 vs DONSTU May 24
Recent Results last 11 matches
HOTU
G2 Ares
L 1-2 vs Aurora CacheAnubisMirage Jul 26 18d ago
L 1-2 vs Astralis CacheNukeAncient Jul 25 19d ago
W 2-0 vs INFINITE MirageAnubis Jul 25 19d ago
W 2-0 vs GamerLegion Dust2Ancient Jul 22 22d ago
W 2-0 vs Astralis CacheAncient Jul 22 22d ago
W 2-1 vs HEROIC MirageCacheDust2 Jul 21 23d ago
W 2-0 vs QUAZAR AnubisCache Jul 14 30d ago
L 0-2 vs fnatic AncientDust2 Jul 14 30d ago
W 2-1 vs Entropy CacheDust2Mirage Jul 13 31d ago
W 2-0 vs Vexar AncientMirage Jul 12 32d ago
W 2-0 vs BRUTE Dust2Cache Jul 12 32d ago
L 0-2 vs ex-RUSTEC InfernoDust2 Jul 29 15d ago
L 0-2 vs Just Players Dust2Mirage Jul 29 15d ago
L 0-2 vs Butterfly MirageAncient Jul 28 16d ago
L 1-2 vs INOX Division Dust2AnubisInferno Jul 26 18d ago
W 2-1 vs Inner Circle Academy Dust2MirageCache Jul 25 19d ago
L 0-2 vs Phantom MirageAncient Jul 24 20d ago
W 2-1 vs Butterfly AncientMirageInferno Jul 24 20d ago
W 2-1 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects AncientDust2Inferno Jul 21 23d ago
W 2-0 vs megoshort AncientMirage Jul 19 25d ago
W 2-1 vs Misa InfernoDust2Mirage Jul 17 27d ago
W 2-1 vs Lilmix InfernoCacheMirage Jul 16 28d ago
Player Matchups
HOTU
Ratings
G2 Ares
MI
mizu
EntryADR 81.8KAST 72%
1.23 vs 1.15
TA
tAk
EntryADR 83.4KAST 75%
FR
frontales
AWPADR 70.5KAST 74%
1.12 vs 1.12
JU
Junyme
AWPADR 74.3KAST 73%
N0
n0rb3r7
RiflerADR 78.7KAST 71%
1.11 vs 1.05
HI
hitori
RiflerADR 76.3KAST 72%
DW
dwushka
RiflerADR 74.3KAST 72%
1.09 vs 0.99
YK
yksjupe
RiflerADR 69.6KAST 71%
KA
kade0
RiflerADR 66.3KAST 69%
0.93 vs 0.90
SH
SHiNE
RiflerADR 62.4KAST 70%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Nuke
HOTU 13 – 5 G2A
93%
7%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
After First Kill
HOTU
G2A
After First Death
HOTU
G2A
Ranking
HOTU
G2A
Map Player Rating
HOTU
G2A
Ban Rate
HOTU
G2A
Recent on Nuke
HOTU
13-7 vs Astralis Jul 25
13-9 vs KOLESIE Jun 14
13-6 vs Rune Eaters May 31
13-7 vs Rune Eaters May 31
13-8 vs Rune Eaters May 29
G2 Ares
no data
Inferno
HOTU 7 – 13 G2A
12%
88%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
After First Kill
HOTU
G2A
After First Death
HOTU
G2A
Ranking
HOTU
G2A
Ban Rate
HOTU
G2A
Opening Kills
HOTU
G2A
Recent on Inferno
HOTU
no data
G2 Ares
2-13 vs ex-RUSTEC Jul 29
8-13 vs INOX Division Jul 26
16-14 vs Butterfly Jul 24
13-10 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects Jul 21
11-13 vs Misa Jul 17
Mirage
HOTU 13 – 10 G2A
60%
40%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
HOTU
G2A
Ranking
HOTU
G2A
Round Win Rate
HOTU
G2A
After First Death
HOTU
G2A
T 5v4
HOTU
G2A
Recent on Mirage
HOTU
9-13 vs Aurora Jul 26
13-9 vs INFINITE Jul 25
10-13 vs HEROIC Jul 21
13-9 vs Entropy Jul 13
13-0 vs Vexar Jul 12
G2 Ares
7-13 vs Just Players Jul 29
5-13 vs Butterfly Jul 28
13-11 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 25
10-13 vs Phantom Jul 24
16-12 vs Butterfly Jul 24
Anubis
HOTU 11 – 13 G2A
43%
57%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
HOTU
G2A
Round Win Rate
HOTU
G2A
Ranking
HOTU
G2A
Map Win Rate
HOTU
G2A
Map Player Rating
HOTU
G2A
Recent on Anubis
HOTU
13-9 vs Aurora Jul 26
13-5 vs INFINITE Jul 25
13-9 vs QUAZAR Jul 14
13-3 vs PCIFIC May 29
G2 Ares
12-16 vs INOX Division Jul 26
6-13 vs Walczaki Jun 15
13-6 vs Misa May 26
13-5 vs Entropy May 26
16-13 vs DONSTU May 24
More from Stake Pulse Beat I 2 matches
G2 Ares over EAC 72% HOTU over EAC 89%