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Bo3  ·  StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 South America Closed Qualifier · 2026-08-01
Fluxo
vs
BESTIA
19%
81%
Series win probability
BEST 2–0 42%
BEST 2–1 39%
FLUX 2–0 10%
FLUX 2–1 9%
Actual result
Nuke 16–12 BEST
Dust2 13–9 BEST
Model Insights
BESTIA is strongly favored at 81%, holding a map advantage on 2 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#57 vs #55), a strong mirage (93% win probability). Fluxo's best shot is nuke where they hold a 59% edge.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 44% Nuke · Dust2 · Mirage
Scenario 2 31% Nuke · Dust2 · Ancient
Scenario 3 25% Nuke · Dust2 · Cache
Nuke
FLUX 13 10 BEST
59%
41%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FLUX
BEST
After First Death
FLUX
BEST
Opening Kills
FLUX
BEST
Round Win Rate
FLUX
BEST
Map Player Rating
FLUX
BEST
Recent on Nuke
Fluxo
13-8 vs Imperial Jul 31
13-4 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 29
10-13 vs MIBR Jul 28
4-13 vs Isurus Jul 26
13-9 vs Keyd Stars Jul 25
BESTIA
13-8 vs Fluxo Jul 9
7-13 vs LP May 31
13-2 vs Bounty Hunters May 29
10-13 vs Galorys May 28
13-7 vs 3DMAX Apr 2
Dust2
FLUX 8 13 BEST
35%
65%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FLUX
BEST
After First Kill
FLUX
BEST
Round Win Rate
FLUX
BEST
Map Win Rate
FLUX
BEST
Map Player Rating
FLUX
BEST
Recent on Dust2
Fluxo
5-13 vs Imperial Jul 31
6-13 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 29
19-17 vs Imperial Jul 19
16-13 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 17
13-6 vs Imperial Jul 16
BESTIA
19-16 vs LP Jul 31
13-11 vs Galorys Jul 30
13-16 vs Imperial Jul 28
13-9 vs Keyd Stars Jul 12
9-13 vs Imperial Jul 12
Mirage
FLUX 6 13 BEST
7%
93%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FLUX
BEST
Round Win Rate
FLUX
BEST
Opening Kills
FLUX
BEST
After First Death
FLUX
BEST
Map Player Rating
FLUX
BEST
Recent on Mirage
Fluxo
13-6 vs Keyd Stars Jul 25
3-13 vs Imperial Jul 19
13-6 vs RUSH Jul 15
13-7 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 9
13-7 vs Keyd Stars Jun 27
BESTIA
13-10 vs Sharks Jul 10
13-2 vs LP May 31
13-4 vs Bounty Hunters May 29
6-13 vs Passion UA Apr 5
13-10 vs BIG Academy Apr 3
Nuke
FLUX 13 10 BEST
59%
41%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FLUX
BEST
After First Death
FLUX
BEST
Opening Kills
FLUX
BEST
Round Win Rate
FLUX
BEST
Map Player Rating
FLUX
BEST
Recent on Nuke
Fluxo
13-8 vs Imperial Jul 31
13-4 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 29
10-13 vs MIBR Jul 28
4-13 vs Isurus Jul 26
13-9 vs Keyd Stars Jul 25
BESTIA
13-8 vs Fluxo Jul 9
7-13 vs LP May 31
13-2 vs Bounty Hunters May 29
10-13 vs Galorys May 28
13-7 vs 3DMAX Apr 2
Dust2
FLUX 8 13 BEST
35%
65%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FLUX
BEST
After First Kill
FLUX
BEST
Round Win Rate
FLUX
BEST
Map Win Rate
FLUX
BEST
Map Player Rating
FLUX
BEST
Recent on Dust2
Fluxo
5-13 vs Imperial Jul 31
6-13 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 29
19-17 vs Imperial Jul 19
16-13 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 17
13-6 vs Imperial Jul 16
BESTIA
19-16 vs LP Jul 31
13-11 vs Galorys Jul 30
13-16 vs Imperial Jul 28
13-9 vs Keyd Stars Jul 12
9-13 vs Imperial Jul 12
Ancient
FLUX 5 13 BEST
8%
92%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
FLUX
BEST
After First Death
FLUX
BEST
Opponent-Rating Diff
FLUX
BEST
Ban Rate
FLUX
BEST
Opening Kills
FLUX
BEST
Recent on Ancient
Fluxo
8-13 vs Galorys May 31
BESTIA
13-5 vs LP Jul 31
12-16 vs Galorys Jul 30
13-11 vs Keyd Stars Jul 12
3-13 vs Sharks Jul 10
13-0 vs 25 cents May 27
Nuke
FLUX 13 10 BEST
59%
41%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FLUX
BEST
After First Death
FLUX
BEST
Opening Kills
FLUX
BEST
Round Win Rate
FLUX
BEST
Map Player Rating
FLUX
BEST
Recent on Nuke
Fluxo
13-8 vs Imperial Jul 31
13-4 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 29
10-13 vs MIBR Jul 28
4-13 vs Isurus Jul 26
13-9 vs Keyd Stars Jul 25
BESTIA
13-8 vs Fluxo Jul 9
7-13 vs LP May 31
13-2 vs Bounty Hunters May 29
10-13 vs Galorys May 28
13-7 vs 3DMAX Apr 2
Dust2
FLUX 8 13 BEST
35%
65%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FLUX
BEST
After First Kill
FLUX
BEST
Round Win Rate
FLUX
BEST
Map Win Rate
FLUX
BEST
Map Player Rating
FLUX
BEST
Recent on Dust2
Fluxo
5-13 vs Imperial Jul 31
6-13 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 29
19-17 vs Imperial Jul 19
16-13 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 17
13-6 vs Imperial Jul 16
BESTIA
19-16 vs LP Jul 31
13-11 vs Galorys Jul 30
13-16 vs Imperial Jul 28
13-9 vs Keyd Stars Jul 12
9-13 vs Imperial Jul 12
Cache
FLUX 10 13 BEST
35%
65%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FLUX
BEST
After First Kill
FLUX
BEST
T 5v4
FLUX
BEST
Round Win Rate
FLUX
BEST
T Side
FLUX
BEST
Recent on Cache
Fluxo
13-7 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 29
8-13 vs Isurus Jul 26
13-3 vs paiN Academy Jul 23
16-13 vs Imperial Jul 19
7-13 vs Imperial Jul 16
BESTIA
22-19 vs Galorys Jul 30
13-8 vs MIBR Academy Jul 11
8-13 vs Sharks Jul 10
Recent Results last 11 matches
Fluxo
BESTIA
W 2-1 vs Imperial Dust2InfernoNuke Jul 31 13d ago
W 2-1 vs Bounty Hunters CacheDust2Nuke Jul 29 15d ago
L 0-2 vs MIBR NukeInferno Jul 28 16d ago
L 1-2 vs Isurus InfernoNukeCache Jul 26 18d ago
W 2-0 vs Keyd Stars NukeMirage Jul 25 19d ago
W 2-0 vs paiN Academy CacheNuke Jul 23 21d ago
W 3-2 vs Imperial NukeCacheDust2MirageAnubis Jul 19 25d ago
W 2-0 vs Bounty Hunters NukeDust2 Jul 17 27d ago
W 2-1 vs Imperial NukeCacheDust2 Jul 16 28d ago
W 2-0 vs RUSH MirageNuke Jul 15 29d ago
L 1-2 vs Bounty Hunters MirageAnubisNuke Jul 9 35d ago
W 2-0 vs LP AncientDust2 Jul 31 13d ago
W 2-1 vs Galorys AncientCacheDust2 Jul 30 14d ago
L 0-2 vs Imperial InfernoDust2 Jul 28 16d ago
W 2-0 vs Keyd Stars AncientDust2 Jul 12 32d ago
L 0-2 vs Imperial Dust2Inferno Jul 12 32d ago
W 2-0 vs MIBR Academy CacheDust2 Jul 11 33d ago
L 1-2 vs Sharks MirageCacheAncient Jul 10 34d ago
W 2-0 vs Fluxo NukeDust2 Jul 9 35d ago
L 1-2 vs LP MirageInfernoNuke May 31 74d ago
W 2-0 vs Fluxo Dust2Inferno May 30 75d ago
W 2-1 vs Bounty Hunters Dust2NukeMirage May 29 76d ago
Player Matchups
Fluxo
Ratings
BESTIA
EX
exit
EntryADR 75.5KAST 76%
1.12 vs 1.17
TO
tomaszin
EntryADR 86.2KAST 73%
LT
Ltz
RiflerADR 75.5KAST 73%
1.12 vs 1.09
CA
cass1n
AWPADR 71.1KAST 74%
DA
dav1deuS
RiflerADR 81.5KAST 73%
1.10 vs 1.08
BU
buda
RiflerADR 76.8KAST 76%
KY
kye
RiflerADR 72.4KAST 73%
1.04 vs 1.08
TI
timo
RiflerADR 72.6KAST 74%
ZE
zevy
AWPADR 67.6KAST 73%
1.03 vs 1.02
NA
nacho
RiflerADR 69.1KAST 71%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Anubis
FLUX 13 6 BEST
93%
7%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
After First Death
FLUX
BEST
After First Kill
FLUX
BEST
Opponent-Rating Diff
FLUX
BEST
Ban Rate
FLUX
BEST
Map Player Rating
FLUX
BEST
Recent on Anubis
Fluxo
13-11 vs Imperial Jul 19
10-13 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 9
1-13 vs paiN Academy Jul 6
13-8 vs UNO MILLE Jun 28
10-13 vs Galorys May 31
BESTIA
no data
Ancient
FLUX 5 13 BEST
8%
92%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
FLUX
BEST
After First Death
FLUX
BEST
Opponent-Rating Diff
FLUX
BEST
Ban Rate
FLUX
BEST
Opening Kills
FLUX
BEST
Recent on Ancient
Fluxo
8-13 vs Galorys May 31
BESTIA
13-5 vs LP Jul 31
12-16 vs Galorys Jul 30
13-11 vs Keyd Stars Jul 12
3-13 vs Sharks Jul 10
13-0 vs 25 cents May 27
Cache
FLUX 10 13 BEST
35%
65%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FLUX
BEST
After First Kill
FLUX
BEST
T 5v4
FLUX
BEST
Round Win Rate
FLUX
BEST
T Side
FLUX
BEST
Recent on Cache
Fluxo
13-7 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 29
8-13 vs Isurus Jul 26
13-3 vs paiN Academy Jul 23
16-13 vs Imperial Jul 19
7-13 vs Imperial Jul 16
BESTIA
22-19 vs Galorys Jul 30
13-8 vs MIBR Academy Jul 11
8-13 vs Sharks Jul 10
Inferno
FLUX 14 16 BEST
48%
52%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FLUX
BEST
After First Kill
FLUX
BEST
After First Death
FLUX
BEST
Opening Score
FLUX
BEST
Map Player Rating
FLUX
BEST
Recent on Inferno
Fluxo
13-9 vs Imperial Jul 31
8-13 vs MIBR Jul 28
13-9 vs Isurus Jul 26
9-13 vs UNO MILLE Jun 28
3-13 vs BESTIA May 30
BESTIA
4-13 vs Imperial Jul 28
6-13 vs Imperial Jul 12
14-16 vs LP May 31
13-3 vs Fluxo May 30
13-16 vs Passion UA Apr 5
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