Bo3 · StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 South America Closed Qualifier
· 2026-08-01
Fluxo
vs
BESTIA
✓
19%
81%
Series win probability
BEST
2–0
42%
BEST
2–1
39%
FLUX
2–0
10%
FLUX
2–1
9%
Actual result
Nuke
16–12
BEST
Dust2
13–9
BEST
Model Insights
BESTIA is strongly favored at 81%, holding a map advantage on 2 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#57 vs #55), a strong mirage (93% win probability). Fluxo's best shot is nuke where they hold a 59% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
44%
Nuke · Dust2 · Mirage
Scenario 2
31%
Nuke · Dust2 · Ancient
Scenario 3
25%
Nuke · Dust2 · Cache
Nuke
FLUX
13
–
10
BEST
59%
41%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FLUX
BEST
After First Death
FLUX
BEST
Opening Kills
FLUX
BEST
Round Win Rate
FLUX
BEST
Map Player Rating
FLUX
BEST
Recent on Nuke
Fluxo
13-8
vs Imperial
Jul 31
13-4
vs Bounty Hunters
Jul 29
10-13
vs MIBR
Jul 28
4-13
vs Isurus
Jul 26
13-9
vs Keyd Stars
Jul 25
BESTIA
13-8
vs Fluxo
Jul 9
7-13
vs LP
May 31
13-2
vs Bounty Hunters
May 29
10-13
vs Galorys
May 28
13-7
vs 3DMAX
Apr 2
Dust2
FLUX
8
–
13
BEST
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 9%
✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FLUX
BEST
After First Kill
FLUX
BEST
Round Win Rate
FLUX
BEST
Map Win Rate
FLUX
BEST
Map Player Rating
FLUX
BEST
Recent on Dust2
Fluxo
5-13
vs Imperial
Jul 31
6-13
vs Bounty Hunters
Jul 29
19-17
vs Imperial
Jul 19
16-13
vs Bounty Hunters
Jul 17
13-6
vs Imperial
Jul 16
BESTIA
19-16
vs LP
Jul 31
13-11
vs Galorys
Jul 30
13-16
vs Imperial
Jul 28
13-9
vs Keyd Stars
Jul 12
9-13
vs Imperial
Jul 12
Mirage
FLUX
6
–
13
BEST
7%
93%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FLUX
BEST
Round Win Rate
FLUX
BEST
Opening Kills
FLUX
BEST
After First Death
FLUX
BEST
Map Player Rating
FLUX
BEST
Recent on Mirage
Fluxo
13-6
vs Keyd Stars
Jul 25
3-13
vs Imperial
Jul 19
13-6
vs RUSH
Jul 15
13-7
vs Bounty Hunters
Jul 9
13-7
vs Keyd Stars
Jun 27
BESTIA
13-10
vs Sharks
Jul 10
13-2
vs LP
May 31
13-4
vs Bounty Hunters
May 29
6-13
vs Passion UA
Apr 5
13-10
vs BIG Academy
Apr 3
Nuke
FLUX
13
–
10
BEST
59%
41%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FLUX
BEST
After First Death
FLUX
BEST
Opening Kills
FLUX
BEST
Round Win Rate
FLUX
BEST
Map Player Rating
FLUX
BEST
Recent on Nuke
Fluxo
13-8
vs Imperial
Jul 31
13-4
vs Bounty Hunters
Jul 29
10-13
vs MIBR
Jul 28
4-13
vs Isurus
Jul 26
13-9
vs Keyd Stars
Jul 25
BESTIA
13-8
vs Fluxo
Jul 9
7-13
vs LP
May 31
13-2
vs Bounty Hunters
May 29
10-13
vs Galorys
May 28
13-7
vs 3DMAX
Apr 2
Dust2
FLUX
8
–
13
BEST
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 9%
✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FLUX
BEST
After First Kill
FLUX
BEST
Round Win Rate
FLUX
BEST
Map Win Rate
FLUX
BEST
Map Player Rating
FLUX
BEST
Recent on Dust2
Fluxo
5-13
vs Imperial
Jul 31
6-13
vs Bounty Hunters
Jul 29
19-17
vs Imperial
Jul 19
16-13
vs Bounty Hunters
Jul 17
13-6
vs Imperial
Jul 16
BESTIA
19-16
vs LP
Jul 31
13-11
vs Galorys
Jul 30
13-16
vs Imperial
Jul 28
13-9
vs Keyd Stars
Jul 12
9-13
vs Imperial
Jul 12
Ancient
FLUX
5
–
13
BEST
8%
92%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
FLUX
BEST
After First Death
FLUX
BEST
Opponent-Rating Diff
FLUX
BEST
Ban Rate
FLUX
BEST
Opening Kills
FLUX
BEST
Recent on Ancient
Fluxo
8-13
vs Galorys
May 31
BESTIA
13-5
vs LP
Jul 31
12-16
vs Galorys
Jul 30
13-11
vs Keyd Stars
Jul 12
3-13
vs Sharks
Jul 10
13-0
vs 25 cents
May 27
Nuke
FLUX
13
–
10
BEST
59%
41%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FLUX
BEST
After First Death
FLUX
BEST
Opening Kills
FLUX
BEST
Round Win Rate
FLUX
BEST
Map Player Rating
FLUX
BEST
Recent on Nuke
Fluxo
13-8
vs Imperial
Jul 31
13-4
vs Bounty Hunters
Jul 29
10-13
vs MIBR
Jul 28
4-13
vs Isurus
Jul 26
13-9
vs Keyd Stars
Jul 25
BESTIA
13-8
vs Fluxo
Jul 9
7-13
vs LP
May 31
13-2
vs Bounty Hunters
May 29
10-13
vs Galorys
May 28
13-7
vs 3DMAX
Apr 2
Dust2
FLUX
8
–
13
BEST
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 9%
✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FLUX
BEST
After First Kill
FLUX
BEST
Round Win Rate
FLUX
BEST
Map Win Rate
FLUX
BEST
Map Player Rating
FLUX
BEST
Recent on Dust2
Fluxo
5-13
vs Imperial
Jul 31
6-13
vs Bounty Hunters
Jul 29
19-17
vs Imperial
Jul 19
16-13
vs Bounty Hunters
Jul 17
13-6
vs Imperial
Jul 16
BESTIA
19-16
vs LP
Jul 31
13-11
vs Galorys
Jul 30
13-16
vs Imperial
Jul 28
13-9
vs Keyd Stars
Jul 12
9-13
vs Imperial
Jul 12
Cache
FLUX
10
–
13
BEST
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FLUX
BEST
After First Kill
FLUX
BEST
T 5v4
FLUX
BEST
Round Win Rate
FLUX
BEST
T Side
FLUX
BEST
Recent on Cache
Fluxo
13-7
vs Bounty Hunters
Jul 29
8-13
vs Isurus
Jul 26
13-3
vs paiN Academy
Jul 23
16-13
vs Imperial
Jul 19
7-13
vs Imperial
Jul 16
BESTIA
22-19
vs Galorys
Jul 30
13-8
vs MIBR Academy
Jul 11
8-13
vs Sharks
Jul 10
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Fluxo
BESTIA
W
2-1
vs Imperial
Dust2InfernoNuke
Jul 31
13d ago
W
2-1
vs Bounty Hunters
CacheDust2Nuke
Jul 29
15d ago
L
0-2
vs MIBR
NukeInferno
Jul 28
16d ago
L
1-2
vs Isurus
InfernoNukeCache
Jul 26
18d ago
W
2-0
vs Keyd Stars
NukeMirage
Jul 25
19d ago
W
2-0
vs paiN Academy
CacheNuke
Jul 23
21d ago
W
3-2
vs Imperial
NukeCacheDust2MirageAnubis
Jul 19
25d ago
W
2-0
vs Bounty Hunters
NukeDust2
Jul 17
27d ago
W
2-1
vs Imperial
NukeCacheDust2
Jul 16
28d ago
W
2-0
vs RUSH
MirageNuke
Jul 15
29d ago
L
1-2
vs Bounty Hunters
MirageAnubisNuke
Jul 9
35d ago
W
2-0
vs LP
AncientDust2
Jul 31
13d ago
W
2-1
vs Galorys
AncientCacheDust2
Jul 30
14d ago
L
0-2
vs Imperial
InfernoDust2
Jul 28
16d ago
W
2-0
vs Keyd Stars
AncientDust2
Jul 12
32d ago
L
0-2
vs Imperial
Dust2Inferno
Jul 12
32d ago
W
2-0
vs MIBR Academy
CacheDust2
Jul 11
33d ago
L
1-2
vs Sharks
MirageCacheAncient
Jul 10
34d ago
W
2-0
vs Fluxo
NukeDust2
Jul 9
35d ago
L
1-2
vs LP
MirageInfernoNuke
May 31
74d ago
W
2-0
vs Fluxo
Dust2Inferno
May 30
75d ago
W
2-1
vs Bounty Hunters
Dust2NukeMirage
May 29
76d ago
Player Matchups
Fluxo
Ratings
BESTIA
EX
exit
EntryADR 75.5KAST 76%
TO
tomaszin
EntryADR 86.2KAST 73%
LT
Ltz
RiflerADR 75.5KAST 73%
CA
cass1n
AWPADR 71.1KAST 74%
DA
dav1deuS
RiflerADR 81.5KAST 73%
BU
buda
RiflerADR 76.8KAST 76%
KY
kye
RiflerADR 72.4KAST 73%
TI
timo
RiflerADR 72.6KAST 74%
ZE
zevy
AWPADR 67.6KAST 73%
NA
nacho
RiflerADR 69.1KAST 71%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Anubis
FLUX
13
–
6
BEST
93%
7%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Death
FLUX
BEST
After First Kill
FLUX
BEST
Opponent-Rating Diff
FLUX
BEST
Ban Rate
FLUX
BEST
Map Player Rating
FLUX
BEST
Recent on Anubis
Fluxo
13-11
vs Imperial
Jul 19
10-13
vs Bounty Hunters
Jul 9
1-13
vs paiN Academy
Jul 6
13-8
vs UNO MILLE
Jun 28
10-13
vs Galorys
May 31
BESTIA
no data
Ancient
FLUX
5
–
13
BEST
8%
92%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
FLUX
BEST
After First Death
FLUX
BEST
Opponent-Rating Diff
FLUX
BEST
Ban Rate
FLUX
BEST
Opening Kills
FLUX
BEST
Recent on Ancient
Fluxo
8-13
vs Galorys
May 31
BESTIA
13-5
vs LP
Jul 31
12-16
vs Galorys
Jul 30
13-11
vs Keyd Stars
Jul 12
3-13
vs Sharks
Jul 10
13-0
vs 25 cents
May 27
Cache
FLUX
10
–
13
BEST
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FLUX
BEST
After First Kill
FLUX
BEST
T 5v4
FLUX
BEST
Round Win Rate
FLUX
BEST
T Side
FLUX
BEST
Recent on Cache
Fluxo
13-7
vs Bounty Hunters
Jul 29
8-13
vs Isurus
Jul 26
13-3
vs paiN Academy
Jul 23
16-13
vs Imperial
Jul 19
7-13
vs Imperial
Jul 16
BESTIA
22-19
vs Galorys
Jul 30
13-8
vs MIBR Academy
Jul 11
8-13
vs Sharks
Jul 10
Inferno
FLUX
14
–
16
BEST
48%
52%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
FLUX
BEST
After First Kill
FLUX
BEST
After First Death
FLUX
BEST
Opening Score
FLUX
BEST
Map Player Rating
FLUX
BEST
Recent on Inferno
Fluxo
13-9
vs Imperial
Jul 31
8-13
vs MIBR
Jul 28
13-9
vs Isurus
Jul 26
9-13
vs UNO MILLE
Jun 28
3-13
vs BESTIA
May 30
BESTIA
4-13
vs Imperial
Jul 28
6-13
vs Imperial
Jul 12
14-16
vs LP
May 31
13-3
vs Fluxo
May 30
13-16
vs Passion UA
Apr 5
More from StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 South America Closed Qualifier
1 match