Bo3 · StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 South America Closed Qualifier
· 2026-07-31
LP
vs
BESTIA
✓
40%
60%
Series win probability
BEST
2–0
31%
BEST
2–1
29%
LP
2–1
22%
LP
2–0
18%
Actual result
Ancient
13–5
BEST
Dust2
19–16
BEST
Model Insights
BESTIA has a moderate edge at 60%, favored on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a strong mirage (86% win probability). LP's best shot is inferno where they hold a 57% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
34%
Inferno · Mirage · Ancient
Scenario 2
33%
Inferno · Ancient · Dust2
Scenario 3
33%
Inferno · Ancient · Cache
Inferno
LP
13
–
10
BEST
57%
43%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
LP
BEST
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
BEST
Round Win Rate
LP
BEST
T 5v4
LP
BEST
Map Win Rate
LP
BEST
Recent on Inferno
LP
13-2
vs MAGICOS
Jul 24
4-13
vs Imperial
Jul 12
13-9
vs Fake do Biru
Jul 11
2-13
vs paiN
Jul 10
1-13
vs Imperial
Jul 9
BESTIA
4-13
vs Imperial
Jul 28
6-13
vs Imperial
Jul 12
14-16
vs LP
May 31
13-3
vs Fluxo
May 30
13-16
vs Passion UA
Apr 5
Mirage
LP
6
–
13
BEST
14%
86%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
LP
BEST
After First Death
LP
BEST
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
BEST
Map Player Rating
LP
BEST
Round Win Rate
LP
BEST
Recent on Mirage
LP
17-19
vs MIBR
Jul 29
11-13
vs Imperial
Jul 12
7-13
vs Imperial
Jul 9
11-13
vs MIBR Academy
Jun 25
2-13
vs BESTIA
May 31
BESTIA
13-10
vs Sharks
Jul 10
13-2
vs LP
May 31
13-4
vs Bounty Hunters
May 29
6-13
vs Passion UA
Apr 5
13-10
vs BIG Academy
Apr 3
Ancient
LP
8
–
13
BEST
18%
82%
Win prob
OT 9%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
LP
BEST
After First Kill
LP
BEST
Round Win Rate
LP
BEST
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
BEST
Map Player Rating
LP
BEST
Recent on Ancient
LP
13-7
vs MIBR
Jul 29
13-10
vs Bounty Hunters
Jul 28
13-4
vs ODDIK
Jul 26
13-8
vs UNO MILLE
Jul 25
13-7
vs ShindeN
Jul 9
BESTIA
12-16
vs Galorys
Jul 30
13-11
vs Keyd Stars
Jul 12
3-13
vs Sharks
Jul 10
13-0
vs 25 cents
May 27
13-11
vs BIG Academy
Apr 3
Inferno
LP
13
–
10
BEST
57%
43%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
LP
BEST
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
BEST
Round Win Rate
LP
BEST
T 5v4
LP
BEST
Map Win Rate
LP
BEST
Recent on Inferno
LP
13-2
vs MAGICOS
Jul 24
4-13
vs Imperial
Jul 12
13-9
vs Fake do Biru
Jul 11
2-13
vs paiN
Jul 10
1-13
vs Imperial
Jul 9
BESTIA
4-13
vs Imperial
Jul 28
6-13
vs Imperial
Jul 12
14-16
vs LP
May 31
13-3
vs Fluxo
May 30
13-16
vs Passion UA
Apr 5
Ancient
LP
8
–
13
BEST
18%
82%
Win prob
OT 9%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
LP
BEST
After First Kill
LP
BEST
Round Win Rate
LP
BEST
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
BEST
Map Player Rating
LP
BEST
Recent on Ancient
LP
13-7
vs MIBR
Jul 29
13-10
vs Bounty Hunters
Jul 28
13-4
vs ODDIK
Jul 26
13-8
vs UNO MILLE
Jul 25
13-7
vs ShindeN
Jul 9
BESTIA
12-16
vs Galorys
Jul 30
13-11
vs Keyd Stars
Jul 12
3-13
vs Sharks
Jul 10
13-0
vs 25 cents
May 27
13-11
vs BIG Academy
Apr 3
Dust2
LP
13
–
10
BEST
65%
35%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
Round Win Rate
LP
BEST
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
BEST
Map Win Rate
LP
BEST
After First Death
LP
BEST
Opening Score
LP
BEST
Recent on Dust2
LP
11-13
vs ODDIK
Jul 26
13-6
vs paiN
Jul 10
9-13
vs BESTIA Academy
Jul 7
13-6
vs Fake do Biru
Jun 27
13-11
vs GameHunters
May 29
BESTIA
13-11
vs Galorys
Jul 30
13-16
vs Imperial
Jul 28
13-9
vs Keyd Stars
Jul 12
9-13
vs Imperial
Jul 12
13-6
vs MIBR Academy
Jul 11
Inferno
LP
13
–
10
BEST
57%
43%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
LP
BEST
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
BEST
Round Win Rate
LP
BEST
T 5v4
LP
BEST
Map Win Rate
LP
BEST
Recent on Inferno
LP
13-2
vs MAGICOS
Jul 24
4-13
vs Imperial
Jul 12
13-9
vs Fake do Biru
Jul 11
2-13
vs paiN
Jul 10
1-13
vs Imperial
Jul 9
BESTIA
4-13
vs Imperial
Jul 28
6-13
vs Imperial
Jul 12
14-16
vs LP
May 31
13-3
vs Fluxo
May 30
13-16
vs Passion UA
Apr 5
Ancient
LP
8
–
13
BEST
18%
82%
Win prob
OT 9%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
LP
BEST
After First Kill
LP
BEST
Round Win Rate
LP
BEST
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
BEST
Map Player Rating
LP
BEST
Recent on Ancient
LP
13-7
vs MIBR
Jul 29
13-10
vs Bounty Hunters
Jul 28
13-4
vs ODDIK
Jul 26
13-8
vs UNO MILLE
Jul 25
13-7
vs ShindeN
Jul 9
BESTIA
12-16
vs Galorys
Jul 30
13-11
vs Keyd Stars
Jul 12
3-13
vs Sharks
Jul 10
13-0
vs 25 cents
May 27
13-11
vs BIG Academy
Apr 3
Cache
LP
13
–
8
BEST
65%
35%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
LP
BEST
After First Death
LP
BEST
Round Win Rate
LP
BEST
Map Player Rating
LP
BEST
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
BEST
Recent on Cache
LP
13-10
vs Bounty Hunters
Jul 28
13-5
vs UNO MILLE
Jul 25
13-2
vs MAGICOS
Jul 24
13-7
vs ShindeN
Jul 9
BESTIA
22-19
vs Galorys
Jul 30
13-8
vs MIBR Academy
Jul 11
8-13
vs Sharks
Jul 10
Recent Results
last 11 matches
LP
BESTIA
L
1-2
vs MIBR
AncientMirageNuke
Jul 29
15d ago
W
2-1
vs Bounty Hunters
NukeAncientCache
Jul 28
16d ago
L
1-2
vs ODDIK
AncientDust2Nuke
Jul 26
18d ago
W
2-0
vs UNO MILLE
AncientCache
Jul 25
19d ago
W
2-0
vs MAGICOS
CacheInferno
Jul 24
20d ago
L
0-2
vs Imperial
MirageInferno
Jul 12
32d ago
W
2-0
vs Fake do Biru
NukeInferno
Jul 11
33d ago
L
1-2
vs paiN
InfernoDust2Nuke
Jul 10
34d ago
L
0-2
vs Imperial
MirageInferno
Jul 9
35d ago
W
2-1
vs ShindeN
AncientInfernoCache
Jul 9
35d ago
W
2-0
vs Fake do Biru
InfernoNuke
Jul 8
36d ago
W
2-1
vs Galorys
AncientCacheDust2
Jul 30
14d ago
L
0-2
vs Imperial
InfernoDust2
Jul 28
16d ago
W
2-0
vs Keyd Stars
AncientDust2
Jul 12
32d ago
L
0-2
vs Imperial
Dust2Inferno
Jul 12
32d ago
W
2-0
vs MIBR Academy
CacheDust2
Jul 11
33d ago
L
1-2
vs Sharks
MirageCacheAncient
Jul 10
34d ago
W
2-0
vs Fluxo
NukeDust2
Jul 9
35d ago
L
1-2
vs LP
MirageInfernoNuke
May 31
74d ago
W
2-0
vs Fluxo
Dust2Inferno
May 30
75d ago
W
2-1
vs Bounty Hunters
Dust2NukeMirage
May 29
76d ago
L
1-2
vs Galorys
Dust2OverpassNuke
May 28
77d ago
Player Matchups
LP
Ratings
BESTIA
ZM
zmb
RiflerADR 79.8KAST 74%
TO
tomaszin
EntryADR 85.3KAST 73%
AL
Alisson
EntryADR 73.5KAST 75%
BU
buda
RiflerADR 76.4KAST 76%
DI
divine
AWPADR 66.3KAST 77%
CA
cass1n
AWPADR 71.8KAST 74%
HA
happ
RiflerADR 68.2KAST 73%
TI
timo
RiflerADR 72.9KAST 74%
LE
Leomonster
RiflerADR 77.8KAST 73%
NA
nacho
RiflerADR 68.6KAST 70%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Dust2
LP
13
–
10
BEST
65%
35%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
LP
BEST
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
BEST
Map Win Rate
LP
BEST
After First Death
LP
BEST
Opening Score
LP
BEST
Recent on Dust2
LP
11-13
vs ODDIK
Jul 26
13-6
vs paiN
Jul 10
9-13
vs BESTIA Academy
Jul 7
13-6
vs Fake do Biru
Jun 27
13-11
vs GameHunters
May 29
BESTIA
13-11
vs Galorys
Jul 30
13-16
vs Imperial
Jul 28
13-9
vs Keyd Stars
Jul 12
9-13
vs Imperial
Jul 12
13-6
vs MIBR Academy
Jul 11
Cache
LP
13
–
8
BEST
65%
35%
Win prob
OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
LP
BEST
After First Death
LP
BEST
Round Win Rate
LP
BEST
Map Player Rating
LP
BEST
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
BEST
Recent on Cache
LP
13-10
vs Bounty Hunters
Jul 28
13-5
vs UNO MILLE
Jul 25
13-2
vs MAGICOS
Jul 24
13-7
vs ShindeN
Jul 9
BESTIA
22-19
vs Galorys
Jul 30
13-8
vs MIBR Academy
Jul 11
8-13
vs Sharks
Jul 10
Anubis
LP
10
–
13
BEST
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
BEST
Opening Score
LP
BEST
Trade Score
LP
BEST
vs Top 20
LP
BEST
Elo Diff
LP
BEST
Recent on Anubis
LP
no data
BESTIA
no data
Nuke
LP
16
–
14
BEST
52%
48%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
LP
BEST
After First Kill
LP
BEST
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
BEST
Round Win Rate
LP
BEST
Opening Kills
LP
BEST
Recent on Nuke
LP
2-13
vs MIBR
Jul 29
5-13
vs Bounty Hunters
Jul 28
7-13
vs ODDIK
Jul 26
16-13
vs Fake do Biru
Jul 11
9-13
vs paiN
Jul 10
BESTIA
13-8
vs Fluxo
Jul 9
7-13
vs LP
May 31
13-2
vs Bounty Hunters
May 29
10-13
vs Galorys
May 28
13-7
vs 3DMAX
Apr 2
More from StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 South America Closed Qualifier
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