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Bo3  ·  StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 South America Closed Qualifier · 2026-07-28
LP
vs
Bounty Hunters ✗
6%
94%
Series win probability
BH 2–0 76%
BH 2–1 17%
LP 2–1 5%
LP 2–0 2%
Actual result
Nuke 13–5 BH
Ancient 13–10 LP
Cache 13–10 LP
Model Insights
Bounty Hunters is strongly favored at 94%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#88 vs #67), a strong mirage (92% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 40% Ancient · Mirage · Nuke
Scenario 2 40% Ancient · Mirage · Cache
Scenario 3 19% Ancient · Mirage · Dust2
Ancient
LP 8 – 13 BH
14%
86%
Win prob OT 7% ✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
BH
After First Death
LP
BH
Round Win Rate
LP
BH
After First Kill
LP
BH
T Side
LP
BH
Recent on Ancient
LP
13-4 vs ODDIK Jul 26
13-8 vs UNO MILLE Jul 25
13-7 vs ShindeN Jul 9
13-2 vs BESTIA Academy Jul 7
11-13 vs ShindeN Jun 28
Bounty Hunters
7-13 vs Keyd Stars Jul 15
11-13 vs Keyd Stars Jul 11
16-14 vs Keyd Stars Jul 8
9-13 vs UNO MILLE Jun 27
13-8 vs BlackBelt May 28
Mirage
LP 5 – 13 BH
8%
92%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
BH
After First Kill
LP
BH
After First Death
LP
BH
Map Win Rate
LP
BH
T Side
LP
BH
Recent on Mirage
LP
11-13 vs Imperial Jul 12
7-13 vs Imperial Jul 9
11-13 vs MIBR Academy Jun 25
2-13 vs BESTIA May 31
6-13 vs Galorys May 30
Bounty Hunters
1-13 vs ODDIK Jul 24
3-13 vs Imperial Jul 18
13-10 vs ShindeN Jul 16
16-14 vs Keyd Stars Jul 15
7-13 vs Keyd Stars Jul 11
Nuke
LP 6 – 13 BH
10%
90%
Win prob OT 4% ✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
BH
After First Death
LP
BH
Opening Kills
LP
BH
CT Opening Kills
LP
BH
Trade Score
LP
BH
Recent on Nuke
LP
7-13 vs ODDIK Jul 26
16-13 vs Fake do Biru Jul 11
9-13 vs paiN Jul 10
13-4 vs Fake do Biru Jul 8
13-3 vs MIBR Academy Jun 25
Bounty Hunters
4-13 vs Imperial Jul 18
4-13 vs Fluxo Jul 17
13-5 vs ShindeN Jul 16
13-11 vs Keyd Stars Jul 15
13-8 vs Keyd Stars Jul 11
Ancient
LP 8 – 13 BH
14%
86%
Win prob OT 7% ✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
BH
After First Death
LP
BH
Round Win Rate
LP
BH
After First Kill
LP
BH
T Side
LP
BH
Recent on Ancient
LP
13-4 vs ODDIK Jul 26
13-8 vs UNO MILLE Jul 25
13-7 vs ShindeN Jul 9
13-2 vs BESTIA Academy Jul 7
11-13 vs ShindeN Jun 28
Bounty Hunters
7-13 vs Keyd Stars Jul 15
11-13 vs Keyd Stars Jul 11
16-14 vs Keyd Stars Jul 8
9-13 vs UNO MILLE Jun 27
13-8 vs BlackBelt May 28
Mirage
LP 5 – 13 BH
8%
92%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
BH
After First Kill
LP
BH
After First Death
LP
BH
Map Win Rate
LP
BH
T Side
LP
BH
Recent on Mirage
LP
11-13 vs Imperial Jul 12
7-13 vs Imperial Jul 9
11-13 vs MIBR Academy Jun 25
2-13 vs BESTIA May 31
6-13 vs Galorys May 30
Bounty Hunters
1-13 vs ODDIK Jul 24
3-13 vs Imperial Jul 18
13-10 vs ShindeN Jul 16
16-14 vs Keyd Stars Jul 15
7-13 vs Keyd Stars Jul 11
Cache
LP 11 – 13 BH
40%
60%
Win prob OT 12% ✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
BH
After First Kill
LP
BH
After First Death
LP
BH
Round Win Rate
LP
BH
Map Player Rating
LP
BH
Recent on Cache
LP
13-5 vs UNO MILLE Jul 25
13-2 vs MAGICOS Jul 24
13-7 vs ShindeN Jul 9
Bounty Hunters
13-8 vs ODDIK Jul 24
13-10 vs Imperial Jul 18
9-13 vs Imperial Jul 9
13-9 vs Keyd Stars Jul 8
Ancient
LP 8 – 13 BH
14%
86%
Win prob OT 7% ✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
BH
After First Death
LP
BH
Round Win Rate
LP
BH
After First Kill
LP
BH
T Side
LP
BH
Recent on Ancient
LP
13-4 vs ODDIK Jul 26
13-8 vs UNO MILLE Jul 25
13-7 vs ShindeN Jul 9
13-2 vs BESTIA Academy Jul 7
11-13 vs ShindeN Jun 28
Bounty Hunters
7-13 vs Keyd Stars Jul 15
11-13 vs Keyd Stars Jul 11
16-14 vs Keyd Stars Jul 8
9-13 vs UNO MILLE Jun 27
13-8 vs BlackBelt May 28
Mirage
LP 5 – 13 BH
8%
92%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
BH
After First Kill
LP
BH
After First Death
LP
BH
Map Win Rate
LP
BH
T Side
LP
BH
Recent on Mirage
LP
11-13 vs Imperial Jul 12
7-13 vs Imperial Jul 9
11-13 vs MIBR Academy Jun 25
2-13 vs BESTIA May 31
6-13 vs Galorys May 30
Bounty Hunters
1-13 vs ODDIK Jul 24
3-13 vs Imperial Jul 18
13-10 vs ShindeN Jul 16
16-14 vs Keyd Stars Jul 15
7-13 vs Keyd Stars Jul 11
Dust2
LP 6 – 13 BH
7%
93%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
BH
After First Death
LP
BH
Round Win Rate
LP
BH
Opening Kills
LP
BH
Map Win Rate
LP
BH
Recent on Dust2
LP
11-13 vs ODDIK Jul 26
13-6 vs paiN Jul 10
9-13 vs BESTIA Academy Jul 7
13-6 vs Fake do Biru Jun 27
13-11 vs GameHunters May 29
Bounty Hunters
8-13 vs ODDIK Jul 24
13-16 vs Fluxo Jul 17
13-5 vs BESTIA May 29
13-2 vs BlackBelt May 28
11-13 vs GameHunters May 27
Recent Results last 11 matches
LP
Bounty Hunters
L 1-2 vs ODDIK AncientDust2Nuke Jul 26 18d ago
W 2-0 vs UNO MILLE AncientCache Jul 25 19d ago
W 2-0 vs MAGICOS CacheInferno Jul 24 20d ago
L 0-2 vs Imperial MirageInferno Jul 12 32d ago
W 2-0 vs Fake do Biru NukeInferno Jul 11 33d ago
L 1-2 vs paiN InfernoDust2Nuke Jul 10 34d ago
L 0-2 vs Imperial MirageInferno Jul 9 35d ago
W 2-1 vs ShindeN AncientInfernoCache Jul 9 35d ago
W 2-0 vs Fake do Biru InfernoNuke Jul 8 36d ago
W 2-1 vs BESTIA Academy AncientDust2Inferno Jul 7 37d ago
L 0-2 vs ShindeN InfernoAncient Jun 28 46d ago
L 1-2 vs ODDIK Dust2CacheMirage Jul 24 20d ago
L 1-2 vs Imperial NukeCacheMirage Jul 18 26d ago
L 0-2 vs Fluxo NukeDust2 Jul 17 27d ago
W 2-0 vs ShindeN NukeMirage Jul 16 28d ago
W 2-1 vs Keyd Stars AncientNukeMirage Jul 15 29d ago
L 1-2 vs Keyd Stars AncientNukeMirage Jul 11 33d ago
W 2-1 vs Fluxo MirageAnubisNuke Jul 9 35d ago
L 1-2 vs Imperial CacheMirageAnubis Jul 9 35d ago
W 2-0 vs Keyd Stars AncientCache Jul 8 36d ago
W 2-1 vs MIBR Academy MirageAnubisNuke Jul 7 37d ago
L 0-2 vs UNO MILLE OverpassAncient Jun 27 47d ago
Player Matchups
LP
Ratings
Bounty Hunters
ZM
zmb
RiflerADR 80.4KAST 75%
1.13 vs 1.12
PE
pepe
EntryADR 78.8KAST 73%
AL
Alisson
RiflerADR 72.5KAST 75%
1.07 vs 1.08
KA
KAISER
AWPADR 71.3KAST 74%
DI
divine
AWPADR 66.3KAST 77%
1.07 vs 1.08
ZO
zock
RiflerADR 77.7KAST 74%
HA
happ
EntryADR 69.5KAST 73%
1.06 vs 1.05
PO
ponter
RiflerADR 73.1KAST 74%
LE
Leomonster
RiflerADR 78.0KAST 74%
1.04 vs 0.97
FR
fREQ
RiflerADR 67.3KAST 73%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Dust2
LP 6 – 13 BH
7%
93%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
BH
After First Death
LP
BH
Round Win Rate
LP
BH
Opening Kills
LP
BH
Map Win Rate
LP
BH
Recent on Dust2
LP
11-13 vs ODDIK Jul 26
13-6 vs paiN Jul 10
9-13 vs BESTIA Academy Jul 7
13-6 vs Fake do Biru Jun 27
13-11 vs GameHunters May 29
Bounty Hunters
8-13 vs ODDIK Jul 24
13-16 vs Fluxo Jul 17
13-5 vs BESTIA May 29
13-2 vs BlackBelt May 28
11-13 vs GameHunters May 27
Anubis
LP 5 – 13 BH
7%
93%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
BH
After First Death
LP
BH
After First Kill
LP
BH
Map Player Rating
LP
BH
Opening Kills
LP
BH
Recent on Anubis
LP
no data
Bounty Hunters
13-10 vs Fluxo Jul 9
11-13 vs Imperial Jul 9
13-9 vs MIBR Academy Jul 7
9-13 vs VEXA May 13
9-13 vs Turma do Pagode May 9
Inferno
LP 13 – 8 BH
74%
26%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
BH
After First Death
LP
BH
After First Kill
LP
BH
Ban Rate
LP
BH
Map Player Rating
LP
BH
Recent on Inferno
LP
13-2 vs MAGICOS Jul 24
4-13 vs Imperial Jul 12
13-9 vs Fake do Biru Jul 11
2-13 vs paiN Jul 10
1-13 vs Imperial Jul 9
Bounty Hunters
no data
Cache
LP 11 – 13 BH
40%
60%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
BH
After First Kill
LP
BH
After First Death
LP
BH
Round Win Rate
LP
BH
Map Player Rating
LP
BH
Recent on Cache
LP
13-5 vs UNO MILLE Jul 25
13-2 vs MAGICOS Jul 24
13-7 vs ShindeN Jul 9
Bounty Hunters
13-8 vs ODDIK Jul 24
13-10 vs Imperial Jul 18
9-13 vs Imperial Jul 9
13-9 vs Keyd Stars Jul 8
More from StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 South America Closed Qualifier 2 matches
MIBR over Fluxo 65% Imperial over BESTIA 96%