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Bo3  ·  KOKONISTER Pavlodar Ertis Cup 2026 · 2026-07-25
NOVAQ
vs
DEPO ✗
32%
68%
Series win probability
DEPO 2–0 35%
DEPO 2–1 33%
NOVA 2–0 16%
NOVA 2–1 16%
Actual result
Ancient 13–10 NOVA
Mirage 13–1 NOVA
Model Insights
DEPO has a moderate edge at 68%, favored on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a strong ancient (75% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 54% Inferno · Dust2 · Ancient
Scenario 2 34% Inferno · Dust2 · Cache
Scenario 3 12% Inferno · Dust2 · Mirage
Inferno
NOVA 16 – 14 DEPO
51%
49%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
NOVA
DEPO
After First Kill
NOVA
DEPO
Map Player Rating
NOVA
DEPO
Opening Score
NOVA
DEPO
Opening Kills
NOVA
DEPO
Recent on Inferno
NOVAQ
13-11 vs Omega Jul 24
19-17 vs Rune Eaters Jun 25
9-13 vs Rune Eaters Jun 24
DEPO
9-13 vs Rune Eaters Jul 24
13-5 vs Winners Apr 19
4-13 vs The Huns Apr 2
13-11 vs ALTAY Mar 14
13-4 vs Blazing Beavers Mar 9
Dust2
NOVA 11 – 13 DEPO
41%
59%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
NOVA
DEPO
Map Win Rate
NOVA
DEPO
Map Player Rating
NOVA
DEPO
Opening Score
NOVA
DEPO
Round Win Rate
NOVA
DEPO
Recent on Dust2
NOVAQ
13-9 vs Orda Jul 24
13-7 vs The Huns Jun 25
8-13 vs Rune Eaters Jun 25
13-10 vs Rune Eaters Jun 24
DEPO
10-13 vs PCIFIC Jun 24
10-13 vs HOTU May 30
14-16 vs Omega May 30
4-13 vs Omega May 29
13-2 vs turan Apr 26
Ancient
NOVA 7 – 13 DEPO
25%
75%
Win prob OT 7% ✗
Key factors
After First Kill
NOVA
DEPO
After First Death
NOVA
DEPO
Round Win Rate
NOVA
DEPO
T 5v4
NOVA
DEPO
Map Player Rating
NOVA
DEPO
Recent on Ancient
NOVAQ
13-8 vs Omega Jul 24
6-13 vs The Huns Jun 25
13-8 vs Rune Eaters Jun 24
DEPO
11-13 vs Rune Eaters Jul 24
13-2 vs Dark Moon Jun 25
10-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects Jun 25
9-13 vs HOTU May 30
10-13 vs Omega May 30
Inferno
NOVA 16 – 14 DEPO
51%
49%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
NOVA
DEPO
After First Kill
NOVA
DEPO
Map Player Rating
NOVA
DEPO
Opening Score
NOVA
DEPO
Opening Kills
NOVA
DEPO
Recent on Inferno
NOVAQ
13-11 vs Omega Jul 24
19-17 vs Rune Eaters Jun 25
9-13 vs Rune Eaters Jun 24
DEPO
9-13 vs Rune Eaters Jul 24
13-5 vs Winners Apr 19
4-13 vs The Huns Apr 2
13-11 vs ALTAY Mar 14
13-4 vs Blazing Beavers Mar 9
Dust2
NOVA 11 – 13 DEPO
41%
59%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
NOVA
DEPO
Map Win Rate
NOVA
DEPO
Map Player Rating
NOVA
DEPO
Opening Score
NOVA
DEPO
Round Win Rate
NOVA
DEPO
Recent on Dust2
NOVAQ
13-9 vs Orda Jul 24
13-7 vs The Huns Jun 25
8-13 vs Rune Eaters Jun 25
13-10 vs Rune Eaters Jun 24
DEPO
10-13 vs PCIFIC Jun 24
10-13 vs HOTU May 30
14-16 vs Omega May 30
4-13 vs Omega May 29
13-2 vs turan Apr 26
Cache
NOVA 10 – 13 DEPO
38%
62%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Opening Score
NOVA
DEPO
Ranking
NOVA
DEPO
Days With Lineup Diff
NOVA
DEPO
Util Score N75 Diff
NOVA
DEPO
Schedule Strength
NOVA
DEPO
Recent on Cache
NOVAQ
no data
DEPO
no data
Inferno
NOVA 16 – 14 DEPO
51%
49%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
NOVA
DEPO
After First Kill
NOVA
DEPO
Map Player Rating
NOVA
DEPO
Opening Score
NOVA
DEPO
Opening Kills
NOVA
DEPO
Recent on Inferno
NOVAQ
13-11 vs Omega Jul 24
19-17 vs Rune Eaters Jun 25
9-13 vs Rune Eaters Jun 24
DEPO
9-13 vs Rune Eaters Jul 24
13-5 vs Winners Apr 19
4-13 vs The Huns Apr 2
13-11 vs ALTAY Mar 14
13-4 vs Blazing Beavers Mar 9
Dust2
NOVA 11 – 13 DEPO
41%
59%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
NOVA
DEPO
Map Win Rate
NOVA
DEPO
Map Player Rating
NOVA
DEPO
Opening Score
NOVA
DEPO
Round Win Rate
NOVA
DEPO
Recent on Dust2
NOVAQ
13-9 vs Orda Jul 24
13-7 vs The Huns Jun 25
8-13 vs Rune Eaters Jun 25
13-10 vs Rune Eaters Jun 24
DEPO
10-13 vs PCIFIC Jun 24
10-13 vs HOTU May 30
14-16 vs Omega May 30
4-13 vs Omega May 29
13-2 vs turan Apr 26
Mirage
NOVA 9 – 13 DEPO
34%
66%
Win prob OT 10% ✗
Key factors
After First Kill
NOVA
DEPO
After First Death
NOVA
DEPO
Ban Rate
NOVA
DEPO
Round Win Rate
NOVA
DEPO
Map Player Rating
NOVA
DEPO
Recent on Mirage
NOVAQ
14-16 vs Rune Eaters Jun 25
DEPO
13-3 vs ZWAW Jul 24
13-9 vs Dark Moon Jun 25
8-13 vs PCIFIC Jun 24
2-13 vs Omega May 29
13-11 vs Omega Apr 26
Recent Results last 11 matches
NOVAQ
DEPO
W 1-0 vs Orda Dust2 Jul 24 20d ago
W 2-0 vs Omega AncientInferno Jul 24 20d ago
L 1-2 vs The Huns Dust2AncientOverpass Jun 25 49d ago
L 1-2 vs Rune Eaters InfernoMirageDust2 Jun 25 49d ago
W 2-1 vs Rune Eaters InfernoAncientDust2 Jun 24 50d ago
W 1-0 vs ZWAW Mirage Jul 24 20d ago
L 0-2 vs Rune Eaters AncientInferno Jul 24 20d ago
W 2-0 vs Dark Moon MirageAncient Jun 25 49d ago
L 0-2 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects AncientAnubis Jun 25 49d ago
L 0-2 vs PCIFIC Dust2Mirage Jun 24 50d ago
L 1-2 vs HOTU Dust2OverpassAncient May 30 75d ago
L 0-2 vs Omega Dust2Ancient May 30 75d ago
W 2-0 vs Game Point AncientAnubis May 29 76d ago
L 1-2 vs Omega Dust2OverpassMirage May 29 76d ago
W 2-0 vs Dark Moon AncientOverpass May 29 76d ago
W 2-0 vs turan AncientDust2 Apr 26 109d ago
Player Matchups
NOVAQ
Ratings
DEPO
TA
tasman
RiflerADR 87.4KAST 77%
1.31 vs 1.25
WE
wetfy
AWPADR 79.5KAST 76%
PU
Pump
AWPADR 71.1KAST 76%
1.07 vs 1.11
KR
Krad
RiflerADR 81.1KAST 71%
NE
neaLaN
RiflerADR 66.2KAST 68%
0.89 vs 1.09
SH
shoxs
RiflerADR 77.1KAST 71%
AD
AdreN
EntryADR 60.1KAST 71%
0.86 vs 1.02
BU
buster
EntryADR 67.5KAST 71%
— vs 0.96
SH
sh1seido
RiflerADR 68.0KAST 69%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Anubis
NOVA 5 – 13 DEPO
7%
93%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
After First Kill
NOVA
DEPO
After First Death
NOVA
DEPO
Ban Rate
NOVA
DEPO
Map Player Rating
NOVA
DEPO
Opening Kills
NOVA
DEPO
Recent on Anubis
NOVAQ
no data
DEPO
14-16 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects Jun 25
13-8 vs Game Point May 29
13-3 vs Ground Zero Apr 1
10-13 vs Omega Mar 15
Mirage
NOVA 9 – 13 DEPO
34%
66%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
NOVA
DEPO
After First Death
NOVA
DEPO
Ban Rate
NOVA
DEPO
Round Win Rate
NOVA
DEPO
Map Player Rating
NOVA
DEPO
Recent on Mirage
NOVAQ
14-16 vs Rune Eaters Jun 25
DEPO
13-3 vs ZWAW Jul 24
13-9 vs Dark Moon Jun 25
8-13 vs PCIFIC Jun 24
2-13 vs Omega May 29
13-11 vs Omega Apr 26
Nuke
NOVA 13 – 10 DEPO
63%
37%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
NOVA
DEPO
After First Kill
NOVA
DEPO
Map Player Rating
NOVA
DEPO
Opening Kills
NOVA
DEPO
T 5v4
NOVA
DEPO
Recent on Nuke
NOVAQ
no data
DEPO
5-13 vs NEXVOID Mar 8
Cache
NOVA 10 – 13 DEPO
38%
62%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Opening Score
NOVA
DEPO
Ranking
NOVA
DEPO
Days With Lineup Diff
NOVA
DEPO
Util Score N75 Diff
NOVA
DEPO
Schedule Strength
NOVA
DEPO
Recent on Cache
NOVAQ
no data
DEPO
no data
More from KOKONISTER Pavlodar Ertis Cup 2026 1 match
Omega over Rune Eaters 66%