Bo3 · Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 2
· 2026-07-31
Lavked
✗
vs
megoshort
54%
46%
Series win probability
LAVK
2–0
33%
MEGO
2–1
28%
LAVK
2–1
20%
MEGO
2–0
18%
Actual result
Cache
16–14
MEGO
Mirage
16–14
MEGO
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — Lavked is slightly favored at 54% but only leads on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (0.97 vs 0.86), a significant ranking advantage (#107 vs #255), a strong mirage (63% win probability). Either team could take this — small edges in side performance and veto are the difference.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
55%
Mirage · Ancient · Dust2
Scenario 2
24%
Mirage · Ancient · Inferno
Scenario 3
20%
Mirage · Ancient · Anubis
Mirage
LAVK
13
–
10
MEGO
63%
37%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
LAVK
MEGO
Ranking
LAVK
MEGO
After First Death
LAVK
MEGO
Overall Rating
LAVK
MEGO
Multi-Kills
LAVK
MEGO
Recent on Mirage
Lavked
4-13
vs ex-RUBY
Jul 31
8-13
vs Nemiga
Jul 28
14-16
vs K28
Jul 28
13-3
vs FIN
Jul 27
10-13
vs Butterfly
Jul 26
megoshort
13-9
vs los kogutos
Jul 26
13-4
vs ROUNDS
Jul 24
16-14
vs Privateer
Jul 23
11-13
vs G2 Ares
Jul 19
7-13
vs SAW Youngsters
Jul 15
Ancient
LAVK
13
–
11
MEGO
55%
45%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
LAVK
MEGO
Ranking
LAVK
MEGO
After First Death
LAVK
MEGO
Map Player Rating
LAVK
MEGO
Round Win Rate
LAVK
MEGO
Recent on Ancient
Lavked
4-13
vs Phantom
Jul 30
10-13
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Jul 28
11-13
vs Just Players
Jul 15
megoshort
9-13
vs ROUNDS
Jul 24
8-13
vs Privateer
Jul 23
8-13
vs G2 Ares
Jul 19
13-6
vs Julie&Cie
Jul 15
Dust2
LAVK
13
–
11
MEGO
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
LAVK
MEGO
Round Win Rate
LAVK
MEGO
Map Win Rate
LAVK
MEGO
After First Death
LAVK
MEGO
After First Kill
LAVK
MEGO
Recent on Dust2
Lavked
5-13
vs Nemiga
Jul 28
13-8
vs K28
Jul 28
5-13
vs ex-RUSTEC
Jul 23
11-13
vs Acend
Jun 17
13-5
vs Misa
Jun 9
megoshort
13-10
vs los kogutos
Jul 26
13-10
vs ex-MANA
Jul 25
13-6
vs Julie&Cie
Jul 15
10-13
vs Honvéd
Jul 14
Mirage
LAVK
13
–
10
MEGO
63%
37%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
LAVK
MEGO
Ranking
LAVK
MEGO
After First Death
LAVK
MEGO
Overall Rating
LAVK
MEGO
Multi-Kills
LAVK
MEGO
Recent on Mirage
Lavked
4-13
vs ex-RUBY
Jul 31
8-13
vs Nemiga
Jul 28
14-16
vs K28
Jul 28
13-3
vs FIN
Jul 27
10-13
vs Butterfly
Jul 26
megoshort
13-9
vs los kogutos
Jul 26
13-4
vs ROUNDS
Jul 24
16-14
vs Privateer
Jul 23
11-13
vs G2 Ares
Jul 19
7-13
vs SAW Youngsters
Jul 15
Ancient
LAVK
13
–
11
MEGO
55%
45%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
LAVK
MEGO
Ranking
LAVK
MEGO
After First Death
LAVK
MEGO
Map Player Rating
LAVK
MEGO
Round Win Rate
LAVK
MEGO
Recent on Ancient
Lavked
4-13
vs Phantom
Jul 30
10-13
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Jul 28
11-13
vs Just Players
Jul 15
megoshort
9-13
vs ROUNDS
Jul 24
8-13
vs Privateer
Jul 23
8-13
vs G2 Ares
Jul 19
13-6
vs Julie&Cie
Jul 15
Inferno
LAVK
7
–
13
MEGO
14%
86%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
After First Kill
LAVK
MEGO
Ranking
LAVK
MEGO
Ban Rate
LAVK
MEGO
Round Win Rate
LAVK
MEGO
Map Win Rate
LAVK
MEGO
Recent on Inferno
Lavked
no data
megoshort
13-10
vs ex-MANA
Jul 25
5-13
vs ROUNDS
Jul 24
9-13
vs Privateer
Jul 23
5-13
vs SAW Youngsters
Jul 15
Mirage
LAVK
13
–
10
MEGO
63%
37%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
LAVK
MEGO
Ranking
LAVK
MEGO
After First Death
LAVK
MEGO
Overall Rating
LAVK
MEGO
Multi-Kills
LAVK
MEGO
Recent on Mirage
Lavked
4-13
vs ex-RUBY
Jul 31
8-13
vs Nemiga
Jul 28
14-16
vs K28
Jul 28
13-3
vs FIN
Jul 27
10-13
vs Butterfly
Jul 26
megoshort
13-9
vs los kogutos
Jul 26
13-4
vs ROUNDS
Jul 24
16-14
vs Privateer
Jul 23
11-13
vs G2 Ares
Jul 19
7-13
vs SAW Youngsters
Jul 15
Ancient
LAVK
13
–
11
MEGO
55%
45%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
LAVK
MEGO
Ranking
LAVK
MEGO
After First Death
LAVK
MEGO
Map Player Rating
LAVK
MEGO
Round Win Rate
LAVK
MEGO
Recent on Ancient
Lavked
4-13
vs Phantom
Jul 30
10-13
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Jul 28
11-13
vs Just Players
Jul 15
megoshort
9-13
vs ROUNDS
Jul 24
8-13
vs Privateer
Jul 23
8-13
vs G2 Ares
Jul 19
13-6
vs Julie&Cie
Jul 15
Anubis
LAVK
16
–
14
MEGO
52%
48%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
LAVK
MEGO
After First Death
LAVK
MEGO
Ranking
LAVK
MEGO
Map Player Rating
LAVK
MEGO
Overall Rating
LAVK
MEGO
Recent on Anubis
Lavked
4-13
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Jul 28
6-13
vs K28
Jul 28
13-11
vs Butterfly
Jul 26
13-7
vs ex-RUSTEC
Jul 23
13-11
vs MANA
Jun 5
megoshort
no data
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Lavked
megoshort
L
0-2
vs Phantom
AncientNuke
Jul 30
14d ago
L
0-2
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
AnubisAncient
Jul 28
16d ago
L
0-2
vs Nemiga
MirageDust2
Jul 28
16d ago
L
1-2
vs K28
Dust2MirageAnubis
Jul 28
16d ago
W
2-0
vs FIN
MirageNuke
Jul 27
17d ago
W
2-1
vs Butterfly
AnubisMirageNuke
Jul 26
18d ago
W
2-1
vs ex-RUSTEC
Dust2MirageAnubis
Jul 23
21d ago
L
0-2
vs Just Players
MirageAncient
Jul 15
29d ago
L
1-2
vs Acend
OverpassMirageDust2
Jun 17
57d ago
W
2-0
vs Misa
Dust2Mirage
Jun 9
65d ago
W
2-1
vs MANA
MirageDust2Anubis
Jun 5
69d ago
W
2-0
vs los kogutos
MirageDust2
Jul 26
18d ago
W
2-0
vs ex-MANA
Dust2Inferno
Jul 25
19d ago
L
1-2
vs ROUNDS
MirageInfernoAncient
Jul 24
20d ago
L
1-2
vs Privateer
InfernoMirageAncient
Jul 23
21d ago
L
0-2
vs G2 Ares
AncientMirage
Jul 19
25d ago
L
0-2
vs SAW Youngsters
MirageInferno
Jul 15
29d ago
W
2-0
vs Julie&Cie
Dust2Ancient
Jul 15
29d ago
L
0-2
vs Honvéd
MirageDust2
Jul 14
30d ago
Player Matchups
Lavked
Ratings
megoshort
XM
xm1nd
AWPADR 72.0KAST 71%
MO
mogv
RiflerADR 80.8KAST 64%
1N
1NVISIBLEE
EntryADR 77.9KAST 66%
ZE
zen
AWPADR 72.7KAST 69%
SO
sol
RiflerADR 64.8KAST 70%
TW
Twinkey
EntryADR 70.0KAST 68%
KE
KENSI
RiflerADR 66.9KAST 69%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Nuke
LAVK
13
–
6
MEGO
90%
10%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
After First Death
LAVK
MEGO
After First Kill
LAVK
MEGO
Ranking
LAVK
MEGO
Ban Rate
LAVK
MEGO
Map Player Rating
LAVK
MEGO
Recent on Nuke
Lavked
7-13
vs ex-RUBY
Jul 31
6-13
vs Phantom
Jul 30
13-0
vs FIN
Jul 27
13-11
vs Butterfly
Jul 26
megoshort
no data
Inferno
LAVK
7
–
13
MEGO
14%
86%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
After First Kill
LAVK
MEGO
Ranking
LAVK
MEGO
Ban Rate
LAVK
MEGO
Round Win Rate
LAVK
MEGO
Map Win Rate
LAVK
MEGO
Recent on Inferno
Lavked
no data
megoshort
13-10
vs ex-MANA
Jul 25
5-13
vs ROUNDS
Jul 24
9-13
vs Privateer
Jul 23
5-13
vs SAW Youngsters
Jul 15
Cache
LAVK
10
–
13
MEGO
41%
59%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
LAVK
MEGO
Overall Rating
LAVK
MEGO
Opening Score
LAVK
MEGO
Days With Lineup Diff
LAVK
MEGO
After First Kill
LAVK
MEGO
Recent on Cache
Lavked
no data
megoshort
no data
Anubis
LAVK
16
–
14
MEGO
52%
48%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
LAVK
MEGO
After First Death
LAVK
MEGO
Ranking
LAVK
MEGO
Map Player Rating
LAVK
MEGO
Overall Rating
LAVK
MEGO
Recent on Anubis
Lavked
4-13
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Jul 28
6-13
vs K28
Jul 28
13-11
vs Butterfly
Jul 26
13-7
vs ex-RUSTEC
Jul 23
13-11
vs MANA
Jun 5
megoshort
no data
More from Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 2
3 matches