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Bo3  ·  Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 2 · 2026-07-30
1win ✓
vs
los kogutos
72%
28%
Series win probability
1WIN 2–1 43%
1WIN 2–0 29%
LK 2–0 18%
LK 2–1 10%
Actual result
Dust2 16–12 LK
Ancient 13–10 1WIN
Mirage 13–7 1WIN
Model Insights
1win is strongly favored at 72%, holding a map advantage on 1 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.06 vs 1.02), a significant ranking advantage (#58 vs #186), a strong dust2 (75% win probability). los kogutos's best shot is ancient where they hold a 63% edge.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 42% Dust2 · Ancient · Mirage
Scenario 2 40% Dust2 · Ancient · Cache
Scenario 3 18% Dust2 · Ancient · Anubis
Dust2
1WIN 13 – 7 LK
75%
25%
Win prob OT 7% ✗
Key factors
After First Death
1WIN
LK
Ranking
1WIN
LK
After First Kill
1WIN
LK
Map Player Rating
1WIN
LK
Map Win Rate
1WIN
LK
Recent on Dust2
1win
13-7 vs Eternal Fire Jul 24
13-6 vs Just Players Jul 22
13-9 vs Virtus.pro Jun 20
16-14 vs INOX Division Jun 19
13-10 vs Betclic Jun 5
los kogutos
13-4 vs ex-MANA Jul 29
10-13 vs megoshort Jul 26
9-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 23
8-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 17
8-13 vs Honvéd Jul 5
Ancient
1WIN 9 – 13 LK
37%
63%
Win prob OT 11% ✗
Key factors
After First Kill
1WIN
LK
Ranking
1WIN
LK
Map Win Rate
1WIN
LK
Opening Kills
1WIN
LK
T 5v4
1WIN
LK
Recent on Ancient
1win
7-13 vs Eternal Fire Jul 24
13-7 vs Just Players Jul 22
13-6 vs GenOne Jul 17
7-13 vs INOX Division Jun 19
4-13 vs CYBERSHOKE May 26
los kogutos
7-13 vs UNiTY Jul 28
14-16 vs Entropy Jul 25
13-6 vs NEW VISION Jul 25
13-5 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 23
13-7 vs DH Premium Jul 3
Mirage
1WIN 11 – 13 LK
42%
58%
Win prob OT 12% ✗
Key factors
Ranking
1WIN
LK
After First Kill
1WIN
LK
T 5v4
1WIN
LK
Opening Kills
1WIN
LK
Round Win Rate
1WIN
LK
Recent on Mirage
1win
13-4 vs Eternal Fire Jul 24
6-13 vs Just Players Jul 22
13-7 vs ARCRED Jul 20
7-13 vs Virtus.pro Jun 20
8-13 vs TDK Jun 14
los kogutos
16-13 vs ex-MANA Jul 29
22-20 vs UNiTY Jul 28
9-13 vs megoshort Jul 26
11-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 23
16-19 vs Honvéd Jul 5
Dust2
1WIN 13 – 7 LK
75%
25%
Win prob OT 7% ✗
Key factors
After First Death
1WIN
LK
Ranking
1WIN
LK
After First Kill
1WIN
LK
Map Player Rating
1WIN
LK
Map Win Rate
1WIN
LK
Recent on Dust2
1win
13-7 vs Eternal Fire Jul 24
13-6 vs Just Players Jul 22
13-9 vs Virtus.pro Jun 20
16-14 vs INOX Division Jun 19
13-10 vs Betclic Jun 5
los kogutos
13-4 vs ex-MANA Jul 29
10-13 vs megoshort Jul 26
9-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 23
8-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 17
8-13 vs Honvéd Jul 5
Ancient
1WIN 9 – 13 LK
37%
63%
Win prob OT 11% ✗
Key factors
After First Kill
1WIN
LK
Ranking
1WIN
LK
Map Win Rate
1WIN
LK
Opening Kills
1WIN
LK
T 5v4
1WIN
LK
Recent on Ancient
1win
7-13 vs Eternal Fire Jul 24
13-7 vs Just Players Jul 22
13-6 vs GenOne Jul 17
7-13 vs INOX Division Jun 19
4-13 vs CYBERSHOKE May 26
los kogutos
7-13 vs UNiTY Jul 28
14-16 vs Entropy Jul 25
13-6 vs NEW VISION Jul 25
13-5 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 23
13-7 vs DH Premium Jul 3
Cache
1WIN 13 – 6 LK
88%
12%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
After First Kill
1WIN
LK
After First Death
1WIN
LK
Ranking
1WIN
LK
Map Player Rating
1WIN
LK
Opening Kills
1WIN
LK
Recent on Cache
1win
8-13 vs Eternal Fire Jul 24
13-10 vs ARCRED Jul 20
13-9 vs GenOne Jul 17
los kogutos
10-13 vs UNiTY Jul 28
7-13 vs Entropy Jul 25
10-13 vs Atreides Jul 21
Dust2
1WIN 13 – 7 LK
75%
25%
Win prob OT 7% ✗
Key factors
After First Death
1WIN
LK
Ranking
1WIN
LK
After First Kill
1WIN
LK
Map Player Rating
1WIN
LK
Map Win Rate
1WIN
LK
Recent on Dust2
1win
13-7 vs Eternal Fire Jul 24
13-6 vs Just Players Jul 22
13-9 vs Virtus.pro Jun 20
16-14 vs INOX Division Jun 19
13-10 vs Betclic Jun 5
los kogutos
13-4 vs ex-MANA Jul 29
10-13 vs megoshort Jul 26
9-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 23
8-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 17
8-13 vs Honvéd Jul 5
Ancient
1WIN 9 – 13 LK
37%
63%
Win prob OT 11% ✗
Key factors
After First Kill
1WIN
LK
Ranking
1WIN
LK
Map Win Rate
1WIN
LK
Opening Kills
1WIN
LK
T 5v4
1WIN
LK
Recent on Ancient
1win
7-13 vs Eternal Fire Jul 24
13-7 vs Just Players Jul 22
13-6 vs GenOne Jul 17
7-13 vs INOX Division Jun 19
4-13 vs CYBERSHOKE May 26
los kogutos
7-13 vs UNiTY Jul 28
14-16 vs Entropy Jul 25
13-6 vs NEW VISION Jul 25
13-5 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 23
13-7 vs DH Premium Jul 3
Anubis
1WIN 13 – 5 LK
93%
7%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
After First Kill
1WIN
LK
After First Death
1WIN
LK
Ranking
1WIN
LK
Map Player Rating
1WIN
LK
Opening Kills
1WIN
LK
Recent on Anubis
1win
13-16 vs Eternal Fire Jul 24
2-13 vs ARCRED Jul 20
11-13 vs TDK Jun 14
13-4 vs Betclic Jun 5
13-8 vs Lavked Jun 3
los kogutos
7-13 vs Atreides Jul 21
Recent Results last 11 matches
1win
los kogutos
L 2-3 vs Eternal Fire Dust2AncientMirageCacheAnubis Jul 24 20d ago
W 2-1 vs Just Players MirageDust2Ancient Jul 22 22d ago
W 2-1 vs ARCRED AnubisCacheMirage Jul 20 24d ago
W 2-0 vs GenOne AncientCache Jul 17 27d ago
L 1-2 vs Virtus.pro Dust2OverpassMirage Jun 20 54d ago
W 2-1 vs INOX Division InfernoAncientDust2 Jun 19 55d ago
L 0-2 vs TDK AnubisMirage Jun 14 60d ago
L 0-2 vs Johnny Speeds MirageOverpass Jun 6 68d ago
W 2-0 vs Betclic Dust2Anubis Jun 5 69d ago
W 2-1 vs Lavked OverpassMirageAnubis Jun 3 71d ago
L 0-2 vs AM OverpassMirage May 28 77d ago
W 2-0 vs ex-MANA Dust2Nuke Jul 29 15d ago
W 2-0 vs ex-MANA MirageNuke Jul 29 15d ago
L 1-2 vs UNiTY CacheMirageAncient Jul 28 16d ago
L 0-2 vs megoshort MirageDust2 Jul 26 18d ago
L 0-2 vs Entropy CacheAncient Jul 25 19d ago
W 2-0 vs NEW VISION NukeAncient Jul 25 19d ago
L 1-2 vs SAW Youngsters Dust2AncientMirage Jul 23 21d ago
L 0-2 vs Atreides AnubisCache Jul 21 23d ago
L 0-2 vs SAW Youngsters Dust2Nuke Jul 17 27d ago
L 1-2 vs Honvéd MirageNukeDust2 Jul 5 39d ago
W 2-0 vs DH Premium MirageAncient Jul 3 41d ago
Player Matchups
1win
Ratings
los kogutos
LA
lattykk
AWPADR 75.5KAST 74%
1.19 vs 1.13
MA
Markoś
AWPADR 77.4KAST 74%
CR
cronuss
RiflerADR 81.7KAST 73%
1.13 vs 1.05
TO
tomiko
RiflerADR 78.8KAST 71%
OZ
oz1k
RiflerADR 74.1KAST 75%
1.09 vs 1.01
MA
maaryy
EntryADR 72.7KAST 73%
RE
reyoz
EntryADR 73.6KAST 73%
1.03 vs 0.98
AD
AdrieN
RiflerADR 72.2KAST 69%
QI
Qikert
RiflerADR 59.1KAST 72%
0.86 vs 0.96
HO
hotd0g
RiflerADR 69.5KAST 68%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Inferno
1WIN 13 – 5 LK
94%
6%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
After First Kill
1WIN
LK
After First Death
1WIN
LK
Ranking
1WIN
LK
Ban Rate
1WIN
LK
Map Player Rating
1WIN
LK
Recent on Inferno
1win
16-12 vs INOX Division Jun 19
13-5 vs Tricked May 21
22-19 vs bet-m Apr 5
11-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Mar 9
13-9 vs sparta Mar 6
los kogutos
no data
Nuke
1WIN 4 – 13 LK
6%
94%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
After First Kill
1WIN
LK
After First Death
1WIN
LK
Ranking
1WIN
LK
Map Player Rating
1WIN
LK
Ban Rate
1WIN
LK
Recent on Nuke
1win
no data
los kogutos
13-11 vs ex-MANA Jul 29
13-3 vs ex-MANA Jul 29
13-7 vs NEW VISION Jul 25
7-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 17
13-3 vs Honvéd Jul 5
Anubis
1WIN 13 – 5 LK
93%
7%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
After First Kill
1WIN
LK
After First Death
1WIN
LK
Ranking
1WIN
LK
Map Player Rating
1WIN
LK
Opening Kills
1WIN
LK
Recent on Anubis
1win
13-16 vs Eternal Fire Jul 24
2-13 vs ARCRED Jul 20
11-13 vs TDK Jun 14
13-4 vs Betclic Jun 5
13-8 vs Lavked Jun 3
los kogutos
7-13 vs Atreides Jul 21
Cache
1WIN 13 – 6 LK
88%
12%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
After First Kill
1WIN
LK
After First Death
1WIN
LK
Ranking
1WIN
LK
Map Player Rating
1WIN
LK
Opening Kills
1WIN
LK
Recent on Cache
1win
8-13 vs Eternal Fire Jul 24
13-10 vs ARCRED Jul 20
13-9 vs GenOne Jul 17
los kogutos
10-13 vs UNiTY Jul 28
7-13 vs Entropy Jul 25
10-13 vs Atreides Jul 21
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