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Bo3  ·  Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 2 · 2026-07-28
Black Phoenix
vs
Bebop
25%
75%
Series win probability
BEBO 2–0 48%
BEBO 2–1 27%
BP 2–1 17%
BP 2–0 8%
Actual result
Nuke 13–8 BEBO
Dust2 13–10 BP
Mirage 13–11 BEBO
Model Insights
Bebop is strongly favored at 75%, holding a map advantage on 2 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#157 vs #122), a strong mirage (88% win probability). Black Phoenix's best shot is inferno where they hold a 69% edge.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 43% Dust2 · Mirage · Inferno
Scenario 2 40% Dust2 · Mirage · Nuke
Scenario 3 17% Dust2 · Mirage · Anubis
Dust2
BP 8 13 BEBO
29%
71%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
After First Death
BP
BEBO
Map Player Rating
BP
BEBO
Round Win Rate
BP
BEBO
Ranking
BP
BEBO
Map Win Rate
BP
BEBO
Recent on Dust2
Black Phoenix
13-8 vs benched gods Jul 27
13-7 vs Misa Jul 27
13-7 vs Rune Eaters Jul 22
Bebop
13-3 vs Falcons Force Jul 27
11-13 vs Endless Journey Jul 19
13-10 vs DONSTU Jul 18
13-7 vs Endless Journey Jul 17
13-9 vs RUSTEC Jun 15
Mirage
BP 7 13 BEBO
12%
88%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
After First Kill
BP
BEBO
After First Death
BP
BEBO
Opening Kills
BP
BEBO
Ranking
BP
BEBO
Round Win Rate
BP
BEBO
Recent on Mirage
Black Phoenix
6-13 vs Rune Eaters Jul 22
Bebop
4-13 vs Endless Journey Jul 19
7-13 vs Endless Journey Jul 17
10-13 vs RUSTEC Jun 15
13-7 vs KOLESIE Jun 13
13-7 vs Oxuji Jun 11
Inferno
BP 13 9 BEBO
69%
31%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
BP
BEBO
After First Death
BP
BEBO
Ranking
BP
BEBO
Map Win Rate
BP
BEBO
Map Player Rating
BP
BEBO
Recent on Inferno
Black Phoenix
13-11 vs benched gods Jul 27
6-13 vs Misa Jul 27
13-7 vs Rune Eaters Jul 22
Bebop
5-13 vs Falcons Force Jul 27
16-12 vs RUSTEC Jun 15
Dust2
BP 8 13 BEBO
29%
71%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
After First Death
BP
BEBO
Map Player Rating
BP
BEBO
Round Win Rate
BP
BEBO
Ranking
BP
BEBO
Map Win Rate
BP
BEBO
Recent on Dust2
Black Phoenix
13-8 vs benched gods Jul 27
13-7 vs Misa Jul 27
13-7 vs Rune Eaters Jul 22
Bebop
13-3 vs Falcons Force Jul 27
11-13 vs Endless Journey Jul 19
13-10 vs DONSTU Jul 18
13-7 vs Endless Journey Jul 17
13-9 vs RUSTEC Jun 15
Mirage
BP 7 13 BEBO
12%
88%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
After First Kill
BP
BEBO
After First Death
BP
BEBO
Opening Kills
BP
BEBO
Ranking
BP
BEBO
Round Win Rate
BP
BEBO
Recent on Mirage
Black Phoenix
6-13 vs Rune Eaters Jul 22
Bebop
4-13 vs Endless Journey Jul 19
7-13 vs Endless Journey Jul 17
10-13 vs RUSTEC Jun 15
13-7 vs KOLESIE Jun 13
13-7 vs Oxuji Jun 11
Nuke
BP 7 13 BEBO
11%
89%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
BP
BEBO
After First Death
BP
BEBO
Map Player Rating
BP
BEBO
Ranking
BP
BEBO
Opening Kills
BP
BEBO
Recent on Nuke
Black Phoenix
no data
Bebop
13-6 vs Endless Journey Jul 19
13-7 vs DONSTU Jul 18
4-13 vs Endless Journey Jul 17
10-13 vs KOLESIE Jun 13
5-13 vs Oxuji Jun 11
Dust2
BP 8 13 BEBO
29%
71%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
After First Death
BP
BEBO
Map Player Rating
BP
BEBO
Round Win Rate
BP
BEBO
Ranking
BP
BEBO
Map Win Rate
BP
BEBO
Recent on Dust2
Black Phoenix
13-8 vs benched gods Jul 27
13-7 vs Misa Jul 27
13-7 vs Rune Eaters Jul 22
Bebop
13-3 vs Falcons Force Jul 27
11-13 vs Endless Journey Jul 19
13-10 vs DONSTU Jul 18
13-7 vs Endless Journey Jul 17
13-9 vs RUSTEC Jun 15
Mirage
BP 7 13 BEBO
12%
88%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
After First Kill
BP
BEBO
After First Death
BP
BEBO
Opening Kills
BP
BEBO
Ranking
BP
BEBO
Round Win Rate
BP
BEBO
Recent on Mirage
Black Phoenix
6-13 vs Rune Eaters Jul 22
Bebop
4-13 vs Endless Journey Jul 19
7-13 vs Endless Journey Jul 17
10-13 vs RUSTEC Jun 15
13-7 vs KOLESIE Jun 13
13-7 vs Oxuji Jun 11
Anubis
BP 13 9 BEBO
65%
35%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
BP
BEBO
Round Win Rate
BP
BEBO
Ranking
BP
BEBO
Opening Kills
BP
BEBO
After First Death
BP
BEBO
Recent on Anubis
Black Phoenix
8-13 vs Misa Jul 27
Bebop
11-13 vs DONSTU Jul 18
3-13 vs KOLESIE Jun 13
Recent Results last 7 matches
Black Phoenix
Bebop
W 2-1 vs benched gods CacheDust2Inferno Jul 27 17d ago
L 1-2 vs Misa Dust2AnubisInferno Jul 27 17d ago
W 2-1 vs Rune Eaters Dust2MirageInferno Jul 22 22d ago
L 1-2 vs Falcons Force Dust2CacheInferno Jul 27 17d ago
L 1-2 vs Endless Journey Dust2NukeMirage Jul 19 25d ago
W 2-1 vs DONSTU AnubisDust2Nuke Jul 18 26d ago
L 1-2 vs Endless Journey MirageDust2Nuke Jul 17 27d ago
W 2-1 vs RUSTEC InfernoMirageDust2 Jun 15 59d ago
L 1-2 vs KOLESIE MirageNukeAnubis Jun 13 61d ago
W 2-1 vs Oxuji NukeMirageOverpass Jun 11 63d ago
Player Matchups
Black Phoenix
Ratings
Bebop
KA
karnez
EntryADR 79.1KAST 70%
1.10 vs 1.05
LO
lov1kus
EntryADR 76.1KAST 73%
TO
topo
AWPADR 71.5KAST 69%
1.09 vs 1.01
FA
faydett
RiflerADR 77.9KAST 70%
4X
4X1s
RiflerADR 71.9KAST 70%
0.97 vs 0.96
ID
iDISBALANCE
AWPADR 67.3KAST 68%
SA
Salazar
RiflerADR 65.3KAST 69%
0.95 vs
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Cache
BP 13 6 BEBO
90%
10%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
After First Kill
BP
BEBO
Ranking
BP
BEBO
Opening Kills
BP
BEBO
After First Death
BP
BEBO
Map Player Rating
BP
BEBO
Recent on Cache
Black Phoenix
9-13 vs benched gods Jul 27
Bebop
6-13 vs Falcons Force Jul 27
Nuke
BP 7 13 BEBO
11%
89%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
BP
BEBO
After First Death
BP
BEBO
Map Player Rating
BP
BEBO
Ranking
BP
BEBO
Opening Kills
BP
BEBO
Recent on Nuke
Black Phoenix
no data
Bebop
13-6 vs Endless Journey Jul 19
13-7 vs DONSTU Jul 18
4-13 vs Endless Journey Jul 17
10-13 vs KOLESIE Jun 13
5-13 vs Oxuji Jun 11
Ancient
BP 7 13 BEBO
16%
84%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
BP
BEBO
After First Death
BP
BEBO
Map Player Rating
BP
BEBO
Ranking
BP
BEBO
Opening Kills
BP
BEBO
Recent on Ancient
Black Phoenix
no data
Bebop
no data
Anubis
BP 13 9 BEBO
65%
35%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
BP
BEBO
Round Win Rate
BP
BEBO
Ranking
BP
BEBO
Opening Kills
BP
BEBO
After First Death
BP
BEBO
Recent on Anubis
Black Phoenix
8-13 vs Misa Jul 27
Bebop
11-13 vs DONSTU Jul 18
3-13 vs KOLESIE Jun 13
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