Bo3 · Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 2
· 2026-07-25
ex-MANA
✗
vs
megoshort
56%
44%
Series win probability
EX-M
2–0
34%
MEGO
2–1
26%
EX-M
2–1
23%
MEGO
2–0
18%
Actual result
Dust2
13–10
MEGO
Inferno
13–10
MEGO
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — ex-MANA is slightly favored at 56% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.04 vs 0.86), a significant ranking advantage (#203 vs #254), a strong mirage (62% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
72%
Dust2 · Mirage · Ancient
Scenario 2
17%
Dust2 · Mirage · Inferno
Scenario 3
11%
Dust2 · Mirage · Anubis
Dust2
EX-M
13
–
11
MEGO
59%
41%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
EX-M
MEGO
After First Kill
EX-M
MEGO
Ranking
EX-M
MEGO
Round Win Rate
EX-M
MEGO
T 5v4
EX-M
MEGO
Recent on Dust2
ex-MANA
5-13
vs Misa
Jul 19
13-7
vs OlyBet
Jul 18
12-16
vs benched gods
Jul 17
7-13
vs Inner Circle Academy
Jul 15
6-13
vs BIG Academy
Jul 14
megoshort
13-6
vs Julie&Cie
Jul 15
10-13
vs Honvéd
Jul 14
Mirage
EX-M
13
–
9
MEGO
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
EX-M
MEGO
Round Win Rate
EX-M
MEGO
Ranking
EX-M
MEGO
Map Player Rating
EX-M
MEGO
Map Win Rate
EX-M
MEGO
Recent on Mirage
ex-MANA
13-10
vs Misa
Jul 19
13-3
vs OlyBet
Jul 18
16-13
vs Honvéd
Jun 24
megoshort
13-4
vs ROUNDS
Jul 24
16-14
vs Privateer
Jul 23
11-13
vs G2 Ares
Jul 19
7-13
vs SAW Youngsters
Jul 15
7-13
vs Honvéd
Jul 14
Ancient
EX-M
16
–
14
MEGO
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
EX-M
MEGO
Ranking
EX-M
MEGO
Map Player Rating
EX-M
MEGO
After First Kill
EX-M
MEGO
Overall Rating
EX-M
MEGO
Recent on Ancient
ex-MANA
8-13
vs Inner Circle Academy
Jul 15
14-16
vs BIG Academy
Jul 14
13-10
vs DONSTU
Jul 13
10-13
vs WBT
Jul 4
megoshort
9-13
vs ROUNDS
Jul 24
8-13
vs Privateer
Jul 23
8-13
vs G2 Ares
Jul 19
13-6
vs Julie&Cie
Jul 15
Dust2
EX-M
13
–
11
MEGO
59%
41%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
EX-M
MEGO
After First Kill
EX-M
MEGO
Ranking
EX-M
MEGO
Round Win Rate
EX-M
MEGO
T 5v4
EX-M
MEGO
Recent on Dust2
ex-MANA
5-13
vs Misa
Jul 19
13-7
vs OlyBet
Jul 18
12-16
vs benched gods
Jul 17
7-13
vs Inner Circle Academy
Jul 15
6-13
vs BIG Academy
Jul 14
megoshort
13-6
vs Julie&Cie
Jul 15
10-13
vs Honvéd
Jul 14
Mirage
EX-M
13
–
9
MEGO
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
EX-M
MEGO
Round Win Rate
EX-M
MEGO
Ranking
EX-M
MEGO
Map Player Rating
EX-M
MEGO
Map Win Rate
EX-M
MEGO
Recent on Mirage
ex-MANA
13-10
vs Misa
Jul 19
13-3
vs OlyBet
Jul 18
16-13
vs Honvéd
Jun 24
megoshort
13-4
vs ROUNDS
Jul 24
16-14
vs Privateer
Jul 23
11-13
vs G2 Ares
Jul 19
7-13
vs SAW Youngsters
Jul 15
7-13
vs Honvéd
Jul 14
Inferno
EX-M
11
–
13
MEGO
42%
58%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
EX-M
MEGO
Round Win Rate
EX-M
MEGO
After First Kill
EX-M
MEGO
Map Win Rate
EX-M
MEGO
Ranking
EX-M
MEGO
Recent on Inferno
ex-MANA
11-13
vs Misa
Jul 19
megoshort
5-13
vs ROUNDS
Jul 24
9-13
vs Privateer
Jul 23
5-13
vs SAW Youngsters
Jul 15
Dust2
EX-M
13
–
11
MEGO
59%
41%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
EX-M
MEGO
After First Kill
EX-M
MEGO
Ranking
EX-M
MEGO
Round Win Rate
EX-M
MEGO
T 5v4
EX-M
MEGO
Recent on Dust2
ex-MANA
5-13
vs Misa
Jul 19
13-7
vs OlyBet
Jul 18
12-16
vs benched gods
Jul 17
7-13
vs Inner Circle Academy
Jul 15
6-13
vs BIG Academy
Jul 14
megoshort
13-6
vs Julie&Cie
Jul 15
10-13
vs Honvéd
Jul 14
Mirage
EX-M
13
–
9
MEGO
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
EX-M
MEGO
Round Win Rate
EX-M
MEGO
Ranking
EX-M
MEGO
Map Player Rating
EX-M
MEGO
Map Win Rate
EX-M
MEGO
Recent on Mirage
ex-MANA
13-10
vs Misa
Jul 19
13-3
vs OlyBet
Jul 18
16-13
vs Honvéd
Jun 24
megoshort
13-4
vs ROUNDS
Jul 24
16-14
vs Privateer
Jul 23
11-13
vs G2 Ares
Jul 19
7-13
vs SAW Youngsters
Jul 15
7-13
vs Honvéd
Jul 14
Anubis
EX-M
10
–
13
MEGO
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
EX-M
MEGO
After First Death
EX-M
MEGO
Map Player Rating
EX-M
MEGO
Ranking
EX-M
MEGO
Round Win Rate
EX-M
MEGO
Recent on Anubis
ex-MANA
10-13
vs benched gods
Jul 17
10-13
vs DONSTU
Jul 13
megoshort
no data
Recent Results
last 8 matches
ex-MANA
megoshort
L
1-2
vs Misa
MirageDust2Inferno
Jul 19
25d ago
W
2-1
vs OlyBet
MirageNukeDust2
Jul 18
26d ago
L
0-2
vs benched gods
Dust2Anubis
Jul 17
27d ago
L
0-2
vs Inner Circle Academy
Dust2Ancient
Jul 15
29d ago
L
0-2
vs BIG Academy
AncientDust2
Jul 14
30d ago
W
2-1
vs DONSTU
Dust2AnubisAncient
Jul 13
31d ago
L
0-2
vs WBT
Dust2Ancient
Jul 4
40d ago
W
2-0
vs Honvéd
Dust2Mirage
Jun 24
50d ago
L
1-2
vs ROUNDS
MirageInfernoAncient
Jul 24
20d ago
L
1-2
vs Privateer
InfernoMirageAncient
Jul 23
21d ago
L
0-2
vs G2 Ares
AncientMirage
Jul 19
25d ago
L
0-2
vs SAW Youngsters
MirageInferno
Jul 15
29d ago
W
2-0
vs Julie&Cie
Dust2Ancient
Jul 15
29d ago
L
0-2
vs Honvéd
MirageDust2
Jul 14
30d ago
Player Matchups
ex-MANA
Ratings
megoshort
BL
BledarD
AWPADR 77.6KAST 70%
MO
mogv
EntryADR 79.0KAST 64%
AM
ammar
EntryADR 71.0KAST 68%
ZE
zen
AWPADR 72.8KAST 68%
CE
cerber
RiflerADR 71.9KAST 68%
TW
Twinkey
RiflerADR 68.5KAST 68%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Nuke
EX-M
13
–
5
MEGO
93%
7%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
EX-M
MEGO
After First Death
EX-M
MEGO
Ranking
EX-M
MEGO
Map Player Rating
EX-M
MEGO
Opening Kills
EX-M
MEGO
Recent on Nuke
ex-MANA
14-16
vs OlyBet
Jul 18
megoshort
no data
Inferno
EX-M
11
–
13
MEGO
42%
58%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
EX-M
MEGO
Round Win Rate
EX-M
MEGO
After First Kill
EX-M
MEGO
Map Win Rate
EX-M
MEGO
Ranking
EX-M
MEGO
Recent on Inferno
ex-MANA
11-13
vs Misa
Jul 19
megoshort
5-13
vs ROUNDS
Jul 24
9-13
vs Privateer
Jul 23
5-13
vs SAW Youngsters
Jul 15
Anubis
EX-M
10
–
13
MEGO
46%
54%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
EX-M
MEGO
After First Death
EX-M
MEGO
Map Player Rating
EX-M
MEGO
Ranking
EX-M
MEGO
Round Win Rate
EX-M
MEGO
Recent on Anubis
ex-MANA
10-13
vs benched gods
Jul 17
10-13
vs DONSTU
Jul 13
megoshort
no data
More from Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 2
2 matches