Bo3 · MESA Pro Series Summer 2026
· 2026-07-24
5star
✓
vs
Chinggis Warriors
93%
7%
Series win probability
5STA
2–0
66%
5STA
2–1
27%
CW
2–1
5%
CW
2–0
2%
Actual result
Cache
16–13
5STA
Nuke
13–10
5STA
Model Insights
5star is strongly favored at 93%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.03 vs 0.95), a significant ranking advantage (#82 vs #127), a strong nuke (93% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
42%
Nuke · Ancient · Inferno
Scenario 2
30%
Nuke · Ancient · Mirage
Scenario 3
28%
Nuke · Ancient · Dust2
Nuke
5STA
13
–
6
CW
93%
7%
Win prob
OT 2%
✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
5STA
CW
After First Kill
5STA
CW
Ranking
5STA
CW
Opening Kills
5STA
CW
Map Player Rating
5STA
CW
Recent on Nuke
5star
13-7
vs Chinggis Warriors
May 13
13-16
vs NEXVOID
Apr 5
9-13
vs yunglean
Apr 4
11-13
vs NEXVOID
Apr 3
9-13
vs Chinggis Warriors
Apr 2
Chinggis Warriors
9-13
vs The Huns
Jul 23
7-13
vs 5star
May 13
13-6
vs Ground Zero
May 12
13-9
vs TYLOO
Apr 29
13-11
vs Legion
Apr 26
Ancient
5STA
13
–
11
CW
65%
35%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
5STA
CW
After First Death
5STA
CW
After First Kill
5STA
CW
Round Win Rate
5STA
CW
Ranking
5STA
CW
Recent on Ancient
5star
7-13
vs NEXVOID
Jul 22
10-13
vs Lynn Vision
Jul 11
0-13
vs Alter Ego
Jul 10
16-13
vs FlyQuest
May 12
9-13
vs TYLOO
May 11
Chinggis Warriors
13-16
vs JiJieHao
May 11
13-9
vs TYLOO
May 2
13-8
vs TYLOO
Apr 29
Inferno
5STA
13
–
7
CW
86%
14%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
5STA
CW
Ranking
5STA
CW
Map Player Rating
5STA
CW
Map Win Rate
5STA
CW
T 5v4
5STA
CW
Recent on Inferno
5star
7-13
vs NEXVOID
Jul 22
2-13
vs Lynn Vision
Jul 11
13-10
vs Chinggis Warriors
May 13
13-9
vs FlyQuest
May 12
16-13
vs Rare Atom
May 11
Chinggis Warriors
13-7
vs The Huns
Jul 23
10-13
vs 5star
May 13
13-4
vs Ground Zero
May 12
4-13
vs TYLOO
May 2
8-13
vs TYLOO
Apr 29
Nuke
5STA
13
–
6
CW
93%
7%
Win prob
OT 2%
✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
5STA
CW
After First Kill
5STA
CW
Ranking
5STA
CW
Opening Kills
5STA
CW
Map Player Rating
5STA
CW
Recent on Nuke
5star
13-7
vs Chinggis Warriors
May 13
13-16
vs NEXVOID
Apr 5
9-13
vs yunglean
Apr 4
11-13
vs NEXVOID
Apr 3
9-13
vs Chinggis Warriors
Apr 2
Chinggis Warriors
9-13
vs The Huns
Jul 23
7-13
vs 5star
May 13
13-6
vs Ground Zero
May 12
13-9
vs TYLOO
Apr 29
13-11
vs Legion
Apr 26
Ancient
5STA
13
–
11
CW
65%
35%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
5STA
CW
After First Death
5STA
CW
After First Kill
5STA
CW
Round Win Rate
5STA
CW
Ranking
5STA
CW
Recent on Ancient
5star
7-13
vs NEXVOID
Jul 22
10-13
vs Lynn Vision
Jul 11
0-13
vs Alter Ego
Jul 10
16-13
vs FlyQuest
May 12
9-13
vs TYLOO
May 11
Chinggis Warriors
13-16
vs JiJieHao
May 11
13-9
vs TYLOO
May 2
13-8
vs TYLOO
Apr 29
Mirage
5STA
13
–
5
CW
92%
8%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
5STA
CW
After First Kill
5STA
CW
After First Death
5STA
CW
Ranking
5STA
CW
Round Win Rate
5STA
CW
Recent on Mirage
5star
13-11
vs Alter Ego
Jul 10
13-5
vs yunglean
Apr 4
13-6
vs Chinggis Warriors
Apr 2
Chinggis Warriors
4-13
vs JiJieHao
May 11
7-13
vs TYLOO
May 2
Nuke
5STA
13
–
6
CW
93%
7%
Win prob
OT 2%
✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
5STA
CW
After First Kill
5STA
CW
Ranking
5STA
CW
Opening Kills
5STA
CW
Map Player Rating
5STA
CW
Recent on Nuke
5star
13-7
vs Chinggis Warriors
May 13
13-16
vs NEXVOID
Apr 5
9-13
vs yunglean
Apr 4
11-13
vs NEXVOID
Apr 3
9-13
vs Chinggis Warriors
Apr 2
Chinggis Warriors
9-13
vs The Huns
Jul 23
7-13
vs 5star
May 13
13-6
vs Ground Zero
May 12
13-9
vs TYLOO
Apr 29
13-11
vs Legion
Apr 26
Ancient
5STA
13
–
11
CW
65%
35%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
5STA
CW
After First Death
5STA
CW
After First Kill
5STA
CW
Round Win Rate
5STA
CW
Ranking
5STA
CW
Recent on Ancient
5star
7-13
vs NEXVOID
Jul 22
10-13
vs Lynn Vision
Jul 11
0-13
vs Alter Ego
Jul 10
16-13
vs FlyQuest
May 12
9-13
vs TYLOO
May 11
Chinggis Warriors
13-16
vs JiJieHao
May 11
13-9
vs TYLOO
May 2
13-8
vs TYLOO
Apr 29
Dust2
5STA
13
–
8
CW
78%
22%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
5STA
CW
Ban Rate
5STA
CW
Ranking
5STA
CW
Opening Kills
5STA
CW
Map Player Rating
5STA
CW
Recent on Dust2
5star
7-13
vs FlyQuest
May 12
13-11
vs Rare Atom
May 11
13-5
vs yunglean
Apr 4
4-13
vs NEXVOID
Mar 17
Chinggis Warriors
4-13
vs The Huns
Jul 23
13-9
vs JiJieHao
May 11
Recent Results
last 11 matches
5star
Chinggis Warriors
L
1-2
vs NEXVOID
InfernoCacheAncient
Jul 22
22d ago
L
0-2
vs Lynn Vision
InfernoAncient
Jul 11
33d ago
W
2-1
vs Alter Ego
MirageAncientAnubis
Jul 10
34d ago
L
0-2
vs TYLOO
OverpassAnubis
May 14
91d ago
W
2-0
vs Chinggis Warriors
NukeInferno
May 13
92d ago
W
2-1
vs FlyQuest
Dust2AncientInferno
May 12
93d ago
W
2-1
vs Rare Atom
Dust2AnubisInferno
May 11
94d ago
L
0-2
vs TYLOO
OverpassAncient
May 11
94d ago
W
2-0
vs JiJieHao
AncientAnubis
May 2
103d ago
L
0-2
vs NEXVOID
NukeAnubis
Apr 5
130d ago
W
2-1
vs yunglean
NukeDust2Mirage
Apr 4
131d ago
L
1-2
vs The Huns
InfernoNukeDust2
Jul 23
21d ago
L
0-2
vs 5star
NukeInferno
May 13
92d ago
W
2-0
vs Ground Zero
NukeInferno
May 12
93d ago
L
1-2
vs JiJieHao
AncientDust2Mirage
May 11
94d ago
L
1-2
vs TYLOO
AncientInfernoMirage
May 2
103d ago
W
2-1
vs TYLOO
AncientInfernoNuke
Apr 29
106d ago
W
2-0
vs Legion
OverpassNuke
Apr 26
109d ago
Player Matchups
5star
Ratings
Chinggis Warriors
HO
hoolig4n
AWPADR 75.5KAST 68%
YA
yAmi
AWPADR 67.3KAST 68%
NE
NEUZ
RiflerADR 78.5KAST 66%
EF
Efire
EntryADR 70.6KAST 69%
RA
rate
EntryADR 75.5KAST 71%
HA
hasteka
RiflerADR 69.5KAST 68%
AR
ariucle
RiflerADR 69.2KAST 71%
RO
ROUX
RiflerADR 68.3KAST 66%
CL
clouden
RiflerADR 70.2KAST 69%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Mirage
5STA
13
–
5
CW
92%
8%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
5STA
CW
After First Kill
5STA
CW
After First Death
5STA
CW
Ranking
5STA
CW
Round Win Rate
5STA
CW
Recent on Mirage
5star
13-11
vs Alter Ego
Jul 10
13-5
vs yunglean
Apr 4
13-6
vs Chinggis Warriors
Apr 2
Chinggis Warriors
4-13
vs JiJieHao
May 11
7-13
vs TYLOO
May 2
Cache
5STA
13
–
6
CW
90%
10%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
5STA
CW
After First Kill
5STA
CW
After First Death
5STA
CW
Ranking
5STA
CW
Overall Rating
5STA
CW
Recent on Cache
5star
13-10
vs NEXVOID
Jul 22
Chinggis Warriors
no data
Dust2
5STA
13
–
8
CW
78%
22%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
5STA
CW
Ban Rate
5STA
CW
Ranking
5STA
CW
Opening Kills
5STA
CW
Map Player Rating
5STA
CW
Recent on Dust2
5star
7-13
vs FlyQuest
May 12
13-11
vs Rare Atom
May 11
13-5
vs yunglean
Apr 4
4-13
vs NEXVOID
Mar 17
Chinggis Warriors
4-13
vs The Huns
Jul 23
13-9
vs JiJieHao
May 11
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