Project Leggy
Back
Bo3  ·  CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 · 2026-08-08
Butterfly
vs
BET-M
58%
42%
Series win probability
BUTT 2–0 30%
BUTT 2–1 28%
BET- 2–1 21%
BET- 2–0 21%
Actual result
Inferno 13–10 BET-
Ancient 13–5 BUTT
Nuke 13–6 BUTT
Model Insights
Butterfly has a moderate edge at 58%, favored on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.10 vs 1.03), a significant ranking advantage (#60 vs #92), a strong ancient (62% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 41% Nuke · Mirage · Ancient
Scenario 2 36% Nuke · Ancient · Inferno
Scenario 3 23% Nuke · Ancient · Dust2
Nuke
BUTT 16 14 BET-
53%
47%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
BUTT
BET-
Ranking
BUTT
BET-
Round Win Rate
BUTT
BET-
After First Death
BUTT
BET-
Overall Rating
BUTT
BET-
Recent on Nuke
Butterfly
13-10 vs Just Players Aug 7
7-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Aug 6
14-16 vs ex-RUSTEC Aug 5
13-11 vs Black Phoenix Aug 1
13-11 vs Just Players Jul 28
BET-M
16-14 vs ex-RUSTEC Aug 7
13-11 vs SPARTA Aug 6
13-3 vs HTX Jul 28
8-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Jul 21
6-13 vs BASEMENT BOYS Jul 19
Mirage
BUTT 13 10 BET-
54%
46%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
BUTT
BET-
Ranking
BUTT
BET-
Overall Rating
BUTT
BET-
After First Kill
BUTT
BET-
Opening Kills
BUTT
BET-
Recent on Mirage
Butterfly
9-13 vs Just Players Aug 7
13-5 vs G2 Ares Jul 28
13-4 vs Just Players Jul 28
13-10 vs Lavked Jul 26
12-16 vs G2 Ares Jul 24
BET-M
13-10 vs SPARTA Aug 6
9-13 vs Vexar Jul 29
13-9 vs HTX Jul 28
13-16 vs TDK Jul 28
7-13 vs SPARTA Jul 23
Ancient
BUTT 13 8 BET-
62%
38%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
BUTT
BET-
After First Death
BUTT
BET-
Round Win Rate
BUTT
BET-
Map Player Rating
BUTT
BET-
Ranking
BUTT
BET-
Recent on Ancient
Butterfly
13-10 vs Just Players Aug 7
13-9 vs Rune Eaters Aug 5
13-5 vs ARCRED Aug 3
13-4 vs G2 Ares Jul 28
13-4 vs G2 Ares Jul 24
BET-M
8-13 vs BAKS Jul 28
5-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Jul 21
6-13 vs Virtus.pro May 27
13-6 vs Aurora Young Blud May 26
10-13 vs Aurora Young Blud May 25
Nuke
BUTT 16 14 BET-
53%
47%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
BUTT
BET-
Ranking
BUTT
BET-
Round Win Rate
BUTT
BET-
After First Death
BUTT
BET-
Overall Rating
BUTT
BET-
Recent on Nuke
Butterfly
13-10 vs Just Players Aug 7
7-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Aug 6
14-16 vs ex-RUSTEC Aug 5
13-11 vs Black Phoenix Aug 1
13-11 vs Just Players Jul 28
BET-M
16-14 vs ex-RUSTEC Aug 7
13-11 vs SPARTA Aug 6
13-3 vs HTX Jul 28
8-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Jul 21
6-13 vs BASEMENT BOYS Jul 19
Ancient
BUTT 13 8 BET-
62%
38%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
BUTT
BET-
After First Death
BUTT
BET-
Round Win Rate
BUTT
BET-
Map Player Rating
BUTT
BET-
Ranking
BUTT
BET-
Recent on Ancient
Butterfly
13-10 vs Just Players Aug 7
13-9 vs Rune Eaters Aug 5
13-5 vs ARCRED Aug 3
13-4 vs G2 Ares Jul 28
13-4 vs G2 Ares Jul 24
BET-M
8-13 vs BAKS Jul 28
5-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Jul 21
6-13 vs Virtus.pro May 27
13-6 vs Aurora Young Blud May 26
10-13 vs Aurora Young Blud May 25
Inferno
BUTT 13 11 BET-
54%
46%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
BUTT
BET-
After First Kill
BUTT
BET-
Round Win Rate
BUTT
BET-
Map Win Rate
BUTT
BET-
Ranking
BUTT
BET-
Recent on Inferno
Butterfly
7-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Aug 6
3-13 vs ARCRED Aug 3
10-13 vs Black Phoenix Aug 1
13-16 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 26
14-16 vs G2 Ares Jul 24
BET-M
5-13 vs Vexar Jul 29
16-14 vs Honvéd Jul 28
6-13 vs BAKS Jul 28
11-13 vs GenOne Jul 25
11-13 vs Acend Jun 19
Nuke
BUTT 16 14 BET-
53%
47%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
BUTT
BET-
Ranking
BUTT
BET-
Round Win Rate
BUTT
BET-
After First Death
BUTT
BET-
Overall Rating
BUTT
BET-
Recent on Nuke
Butterfly
13-10 vs Just Players Aug 7
7-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Aug 6
14-16 vs ex-RUSTEC Aug 5
13-11 vs Black Phoenix Aug 1
13-11 vs Just Players Jul 28
BET-M
16-14 vs ex-RUSTEC Aug 7
13-11 vs SPARTA Aug 6
13-3 vs HTX Jul 28
8-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Jul 21
6-13 vs BASEMENT BOYS Jul 19
Ancient
BUTT 13 8 BET-
62%
38%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
BUTT
BET-
After First Death
BUTT
BET-
Round Win Rate
BUTT
BET-
Map Player Rating
BUTT
BET-
Ranking
BUTT
BET-
Recent on Ancient
Butterfly
13-10 vs Just Players Aug 7
13-9 vs Rune Eaters Aug 5
13-5 vs ARCRED Aug 3
13-4 vs G2 Ares Jul 28
13-4 vs G2 Ares Jul 24
BET-M
8-13 vs BAKS Jul 28
5-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Jul 21
6-13 vs Virtus.pro May 27
13-6 vs Aurora Young Blud May 26
10-13 vs Aurora Young Blud May 25
Dust2
BUTT 13 10 BET-
54%
46%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
BUTT
BET-
Round Win Rate
BUTT
BET-
Map Player Rating
BUTT
BET-
Experience
BUTT
BET-
Ranking
BUTT
BET-
Recent on Dust2
Butterfly
13-10 vs ex-RUSTEC Aug 5
13-9 vs Rune Eaters Aug 5
13-9 vs ARCRED Aug 3
10-13 vs Black Phoenix Aug 1
13-5 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 26
BET-M
4-13 vs SPARTA Aug 6
13-6 vs Honvéd Jul 28
10-13 vs TDK Jul 28
3-13 vs GenOne Jul 25
5-13 vs SPARTA Jul 23
Recent Results last 11 matches
Butterfly
BET-M
W 2-1 vs Just Players MirageNukeAncient Aug 7 6d ago
L 0-2 vs Nuclear TigeRES InfernoNuke Aug 6 7d ago
W 2-1 vs ex-RUSTEC CacheNukeDust2 Aug 5 8d ago
W 2-0 vs Rune Eaters AncientDust2 Aug 5 8d ago
W 2-1 vs ARCRED AncientInfernoDust2 Aug 3 10d ago
L 1-2 vs Black Phoenix Dust2NukeInferno Aug 1 12d ago
W 2-0 vs G2 Ares MirageAncient Jul 28 16d ago
W 2-0 vs Just Players MirageNuke Jul 28 16d ago
L 1-2 vs Lavked AnubisMirageNuke Jul 26 18d ago
W 2-1 vs SAW Youngsters NukeInfernoDust2 Jul 26 18d ago
L 1-2 vs G2 Ares AncientMirageInferno Jul 24 20d ago
W 2-0 vs ex-RUSTEC NukeAnubis Aug 7 6d ago
W 2-1 vs SPARTA NukeDust2Mirage Aug 6 7d ago
L 1-2 vs Vexar AnubisInfernoMirage Jul 29 15d ago
W 2-0 vs Honvéd Dust2Inferno Jul 28 16d ago
W 2-0 vs HTX MirageNuke Jul 28 16d ago
L 0-2 vs BAKS AncientInferno Jul 28 16d ago
L 0-2 vs TDK MirageDust2 Jul 28 16d ago
L 0-2 vs GenOne InfernoDust2 Jul 25 19d ago
L 0-2 vs SPARTA Dust2Mirage Jul 23 21d ago
L 0-2 vs CYBERSHOKE NukeAncient Jul 21 23d ago
W 2-1 vs BASEMENT BOYS MirageNukeDust2 Jul 19 25d ago
Player Matchups
Butterfly
Ratings
BET-M
NI
nitzie
AWPADR 75.8KAST 73%
1.15 vs 1.08
EX
executor
AWPADR 73.0KAST 70%
FO
Forester
EntryADR 73.5KAST 73%
1.05 vs 1.07
Z1
z1Nny
RiflerADR 76.0KAST 70%
KU
Kurama
RiflerADR 79.6KAST 69%
1.04 vs 1.01
BL
bluewh1te
EntryADR 71.8KAST 70%
AY
ayano
RiflerADR 70.3KAST 71%
1.02 vs 0.92
KI
kinqie
RiflerADR 66.4KAST 70%
K1
k1ssly
RiflerADR 71.4KAST 70%
0.98 vs
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Anubis
BUTT 10 13 BET-
36%
64%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
BUTT
BET-
After First Death
BUTT
BET-
Ban Rate
BUTT
BET-
Map Player Rating
BUTT
BET-
Ranking
BUTT
BET-
Recent on Anubis
Butterfly
11-13 vs Lavked Jul 26
BET-M
13-3 vs ex-RUSTEC Aug 7
13-5 vs Vexar Jul 29
13-5 vs Julie&Cie Apr 24
16-19 vs Nemiga Apr 3
13-3 vs Nemiga Mar 11
Cache
BUTT 13 10 BET-
59%
41%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
BUTT
BET-
After First Death
BUTT
BET-
Round Win Rate
BUTT
BET-
Ranking
BUTT
BET-
Map Win Rate
BUTT
BET-
Recent on Cache
Butterfly
13-10 vs ex-RUSTEC Aug 5
13-10 vs benched gods Jul 22
BET-M
no data
Dust2
BUTT 13 10 BET-
54%
46%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
BUTT
BET-
Round Win Rate
BUTT
BET-
Map Player Rating
BUTT
BET-
Experience
BUTT
BET-
Ranking
BUTT
BET-
Recent on Dust2
Butterfly
13-10 vs ex-RUSTEC Aug 5
13-9 vs Rune Eaters Aug 5
13-9 vs ARCRED Aug 3
10-13 vs Black Phoenix Aug 1
13-5 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 26
BET-M
4-13 vs SPARTA Aug 6
13-6 vs Honvéd Jul 28
10-13 vs TDK Jul 28
3-13 vs GenOne Jul 25
5-13 vs SPARTA Jul 23
Inferno
BUTT 13 11 BET-
54%
46%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
BUTT
BET-
After First Kill
BUTT
BET-
Round Win Rate
BUTT
BET-
Map Win Rate
BUTT
BET-
Ranking
BUTT
BET-
Recent on Inferno
Butterfly
7-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Aug 6
3-13 vs ARCRED Aug 3
10-13 vs Black Phoenix Aug 1
13-16 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 26
14-16 vs G2 Ares Jul 24
BET-M
5-13 vs Vexar Jul 29
16-14 vs Honvéd Jul 28
6-13 vs BAKS Jul 28
11-13 vs GenOne Jul 25
11-13 vs Acend Jun 19
More from CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 2 matches