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Bo3  ·  CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 · 2026-08-07
Just Players
vs
Butterfly
31%
69%
Series win probability
BUTT 2–0 39%
BUTT 2–1 30%
JP 2–1 17%
JP 2–0 14%
Actual result
Mirage 13–9 JP
Nuke 13–10 BUTT
Ancient 13–10 BUTT
Model Insights
Butterfly has a moderate edge at 69%, favored on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#62 vs #86), a strong ancient (64% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 43% Mirage · Nuke · Ancient
Scenario 2 35% Mirage · Ancient · Dust2
Scenario 3 21% Mirage · Ancient · Cache
Mirage
JP 8 13 BUTT
38%
62%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
JP
BUTT
After First Death
JP
BUTT
Round Win Rate
JP
BUTT
After First Kill
JP
BUTT
Ranking
JP
BUTT
Recent on Mirage
Just Players
13-11 vs ARCRED Aug 5
13-4 vs Enjoy Aug 4
9-13 vs los kogutos Aug 3
9-13 vs Black Phoenix Aug 1
8-13 vs K27 Jul 31
Butterfly
13-5 vs G2 Ares Jul 28
13-4 vs Just Players Jul 28
13-10 vs Lavked Jul 26
12-16 vs G2 Ares Jul 24
13-2 vs Just Players Jul 23
Nuke
JP 9 13 BUTT
38%
62%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
JP
BUTT
After First Death
JP
BUTT
T 5v4
JP
BUTT
Map Win Rate
JP
BUTT
Ranking
JP
BUTT
Recent on Nuke
Just Players
18-22 vs los kogutos Aug 3
13-9 vs K27 Jul 31
11-13 vs Butterfly Jul 28
4-13 vs ex-Young Ninjas Jul 27
6-13 vs Butterfly Jul 23
Butterfly
7-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Aug 6
14-16 vs ex-RUSTEC Aug 5
13-11 vs Black Phoenix Aug 1
13-11 vs Just Players Jul 28
11-13 vs Lavked Jul 26
Ancient
JP 9 13 BUTT
36%
64%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
JP
BUTT
After First Kill
JP
BUTT
After First Death
JP
BUTT
Round Win Rate
JP
BUTT
Map Win Rate
JP
BUTT
Recent on Ancient
Just Players
16-13 vs ARCRED Aug 5
14-16 vs Sashi Aug 1
13-6 vs K27 Jul 31
13-8 vs SPARTA Jul 30
13-5 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 30
Butterfly
13-9 vs Rune Eaters Aug 5
13-5 vs ARCRED Aug 3
13-4 vs G2 Ares Jul 28
13-4 vs G2 Ares Jul 24
13-5 vs benched gods Jul 22
Mirage
JP 8 13 BUTT
38%
62%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
JP
BUTT
After First Death
JP
BUTT
Round Win Rate
JP
BUTT
After First Kill
JP
BUTT
Ranking
JP
BUTT
Recent on Mirage
Just Players
13-11 vs ARCRED Aug 5
13-4 vs Enjoy Aug 4
9-13 vs los kogutos Aug 3
9-13 vs Black Phoenix Aug 1
8-13 vs K27 Jul 31
Butterfly
13-5 vs G2 Ares Jul 28
13-4 vs Just Players Jul 28
13-10 vs Lavked Jul 26
12-16 vs G2 Ares Jul 24
13-2 vs Just Players Jul 23
Ancient
JP 9 13 BUTT
36%
64%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
JP
BUTT
After First Kill
JP
BUTT
After First Death
JP
BUTT
Round Win Rate
JP
BUTT
Map Win Rate
JP
BUTT
Recent on Ancient
Just Players
16-13 vs ARCRED Aug 5
14-16 vs Sashi Aug 1
13-6 vs K27 Jul 31
13-8 vs SPARTA Jul 30
13-5 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 30
Butterfly
13-9 vs Rune Eaters Aug 5
13-5 vs ARCRED Aug 3
13-4 vs G2 Ares Jul 28
13-4 vs G2 Ares Jul 24
13-5 vs benched gods Jul 22
Dust2
JP 8 13 BUTT
36%
64%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
JP
BUTT
After First Death
JP
BUTT
After First Kill
JP
BUTT
Round Win Rate
JP
BUTT
Map Win Rate
JP
BUTT
Recent on Dust2
Just Players
7-13 vs ARCRED Aug 5
11-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Aug 4
13-11 vs Sashi Aug 1
7-13 vs Black Phoenix Aug 1
10-13 vs SPARTA Jul 30
Butterfly
13-10 vs ex-RUSTEC Aug 5
13-9 vs Rune Eaters Aug 5
13-9 vs ARCRED Aug 3
10-13 vs Black Phoenix Aug 1
13-5 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 26
Mirage
JP 8 13 BUTT
38%
62%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
JP
BUTT
After First Death
JP
BUTT
Round Win Rate
JP
BUTT
After First Kill
JP
BUTT
Ranking
JP
BUTT
Recent on Mirage
Just Players
13-11 vs ARCRED Aug 5
13-4 vs Enjoy Aug 4
9-13 vs los kogutos Aug 3
9-13 vs Black Phoenix Aug 1
8-13 vs K27 Jul 31
Butterfly
13-5 vs G2 Ares Jul 28
13-4 vs Just Players Jul 28
13-10 vs Lavked Jul 26
12-16 vs G2 Ares Jul 24
13-2 vs Just Players Jul 23
Ancient
JP 9 13 BUTT
36%
64%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
JP
BUTT
After First Kill
JP
BUTT
After First Death
JP
BUTT
Round Win Rate
JP
BUTT
Map Win Rate
JP
BUTT
Recent on Ancient
Just Players
16-13 vs ARCRED Aug 5
14-16 vs Sashi Aug 1
13-6 vs K27 Jul 31
13-8 vs SPARTA Jul 30
13-5 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 30
Butterfly
13-9 vs Rune Eaters Aug 5
13-5 vs ARCRED Aug 3
13-4 vs G2 Ares Jul 28
13-4 vs G2 Ares Jul 24
13-5 vs benched gods Jul 22
Cache
JP 8 13 BUTT
36%
64%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
JP
BUTT
After First Death
JP
BUTT
After First Kill
JP
BUTT
Map Player Rating
JP
BUTT
Round Win Rate
JP
BUTT
Recent on Cache
Just Players
13-8 vs Enjoy Aug 4
5-13 vs Sashi Aug 1
9-13 vs QUAZAR Jul 18
5-13 vs ex-RUBY Jul 17
4-13 vs Entropy Jul 13
Butterfly
13-10 vs ex-RUSTEC Aug 5
13-10 vs benched gods Jul 22
Recent Results last 11 matches
Just Players
Butterfly
W 2-1 vs ARCRED Dust2AncientMirage Aug 5 8d ago
L 0-2 vs Nuclear TigeRES Dust2Anubis Aug 4 9d ago
W 2-0 vs Enjoy MirageCache Aug 4 9d ago
L 0-2 vs los kogutos MirageNuke Aug 3 10d ago
L 1-2 vs Sashi CacheDust2Ancient Aug 1 12d ago
L 0-2 vs Black Phoenix MirageDust2 Aug 1 12d ago
W 2-1 vs K27 NukeMirageAncient Jul 31 13d ago
W 2-1 vs SPARTA AncientDust2Mirage Jul 30 14d ago
W 2-0 vs Inner Circle Academy AnubisAncient Jul 30 14d ago
W 2-0 vs G2 Ares Dust2Mirage Jul 29 15d ago
L 0-2 vs Butterfly MirageNuke Jul 28 16d ago
L 0-2 vs Nuclear TigeRES InfernoNuke Aug 6 7d ago
W 2-1 vs ex-RUSTEC CacheNukeDust2 Aug 5 8d ago
W 2-0 vs Rune Eaters AncientDust2 Aug 5 8d ago
W 2-1 vs ARCRED AncientInfernoDust2 Aug 3 10d ago
L 1-2 vs Black Phoenix Dust2NukeInferno Aug 1 12d ago
W 2-0 vs G2 Ares MirageAncient Jul 28 16d ago
W 2-0 vs Just Players MirageNuke Jul 28 16d ago
L 1-2 vs Lavked AnubisMirageNuke Jul 26 18d ago
W 2-1 vs SAW Youngsters NukeInfernoDust2 Jul 26 18d ago
L 1-2 vs G2 Ares AncientMirageInferno Jul 24 20d ago
W 2-0 vs Just Players MirageNuke Jul 23 21d ago
Player Matchups
Just Players
Ratings
Butterfly
SS
sstiNiX
RiflerADR 82.1KAST 73%
1.15 vs 1.15
NI
nitzie
AWPADR 75.6KAST 73%
SP
spirit
RiflerADR 77.7KAST 72%
1.09 vs 1.04
FO
Forester
EntryADR 73.0KAST 73%
SM
sm3t
EntryADR 77.4KAST 70%
1.05 vs 1.04
KU
Kurama
RiflerADR 80.1KAST 69%
H1
h1te
AWPADR 69.8KAST 70%
1.00 vs 1.03
AY
ayano
RiflerADR 70.7KAST 71%
vs 0.97
K1
k1ssly
RiflerADR 70.8KAST 70%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Inferno
JP 10 13 BUTT
26%
74%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
JP
BUTT
After First Death
JP
BUTT
After First Kill
JP
BUTT
Ban Rate
JP
BUTT
Map Player Rating
JP
BUTT
Recent on Inferno
Just Players
no data
Butterfly
7-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Aug 6
3-13 vs ARCRED Aug 3
10-13 vs Black Phoenix Aug 1
13-16 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 26
14-16 vs G2 Ares Jul 24
Cache
JP 8 13 BUTT
36%
64%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
JP
BUTT
After First Death
JP
BUTT
After First Kill
JP
BUTT
Map Player Rating
JP
BUTT
Round Win Rate
JP
BUTT
Recent on Cache
Just Players
13-8 vs Enjoy Aug 4
5-13 vs Sashi Aug 1
9-13 vs QUAZAR Jul 18
5-13 vs ex-RUBY Jul 17
4-13 vs Entropy Jul 13
Butterfly
13-10 vs ex-RUSTEC Aug 5
13-10 vs benched gods Jul 22
Dust2
JP 8 13 BUTT
36%
64%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
JP
BUTT
After First Death
JP
BUTT
After First Kill
JP
BUTT
Round Win Rate
JP
BUTT
Map Win Rate
JP
BUTT
Recent on Dust2
Just Players
7-13 vs ARCRED Aug 5
11-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Aug 4
13-11 vs Sashi Aug 1
7-13 vs Black Phoenix Aug 1
10-13 vs SPARTA Jul 30
Butterfly
13-10 vs ex-RUSTEC Aug 5
13-9 vs Rune Eaters Aug 5
13-9 vs ARCRED Aug 3
10-13 vs Black Phoenix Aug 1
13-5 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 26
Anubis
JP 14 16 BUTT
48%
52%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
JP
BUTT
After First Kill
JP
BUTT
After First Death
JP
BUTT
Ban Rate
JP
BUTT
Map Player Rating
JP
BUTT
Recent on Anubis
Just Players
9-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Aug 4
13-10 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 30
13-11 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 27
13-9 vs SAW Jul 1
16-14 vs ex-Zero Tenacity May 26
Butterfly
11-13 vs Lavked Jul 26
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