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Bo3  ·  CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 · 2026-08-06
Lavked
vs
Black Phoenix
44%
56%
Series win probability
BP 2–0 32%
BP 2–1 25%
LAVK 2–1 25%
LAVK 2–0 19%
Actual result
Dust2 13–6 BP
Anubis 13–9 LAVK
Mirage 16–13 BP
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — Black Phoenix is slightly favored at 56% but only leads on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.04 vs 0.97), a strong dust2 (61% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 65% Mirage · Dust2 · Nuke
Scenario 2 18% Mirage · Dust2 · Cache
Scenario 3 17% Mirage · Dust2 · Anubis
Mirage
LAVK 14 16 BP
48%
52%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
LAVK
BP
After First Kill
LAVK
BP
Overall Rating
LAVK
BP
Multi-Kills
LAVK
BP
Ranking
LAVK
BP
Recent on Mirage
Lavked
4-13 vs ex-RUBY Jul 31
14-16 vs megoshort Jul 31
8-13 vs Nemiga Jul 28
14-16 vs K28 Jul 28
13-3 vs FIN Jul 27
Black Phoenix
13-9 vs Just Players Aug 1
7-13 vs JiJieHao Jul 31
13-9 vs Entropy Jul 29
13-10 vs Enjoy Jul 28
11-13 vs Bebop Jul 28
Dust2
LAVK 8 13 BP
39%
61%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Death
LAVK
BP
After First Kill
LAVK
BP
Round Win Rate
LAVK
BP
Opening Kills
LAVK
BP
Map Win Rate
LAVK
BP
Recent on Dust2
Lavked
5-13 vs Nemiga Jul 28
13-8 vs K28 Jul 28
5-13 vs ex-RUSTEC Jul 23
11-13 vs Acend Jun 17
13-5 vs Misa Jun 9
Black Phoenix
13-2 vs Sashi Aug 2
13-10 vs Butterfly Aug 1
13-7 vs Just Players Aug 1
13-9 vs JiJieHao Jul 31
6-13 vs Enjoy Jul 28
Nuke
LAVK 11 13 BP
47%
53%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
LAVK
BP
Map Player Rating
LAVK
BP
Round Win Rate
LAVK
BP
After First Death
LAVK
BP
Map Win Rate
LAVK
BP
Recent on Nuke
Lavked
7-13 vs ex-RUBY Jul 31
6-13 vs Phantom Jul 30
13-0 vs FIN Jul 27
13-11 vs Butterfly Jul 26
Black Phoenix
8-13 vs Sashi Aug 2
11-13 vs Butterfly Aug 1
13-10 vs Entropy Jul 29
8-13 vs Bebop Jul 28
Mirage
LAVK 14 16 BP
48%
52%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
LAVK
BP
After First Kill
LAVK
BP
Overall Rating
LAVK
BP
Multi-Kills
LAVK
BP
Ranking
LAVK
BP
Recent on Mirage
Lavked
4-13 vs ex-RUBY Jul 31
14-16 vs megoshort Jul 31
8-13 vs Nemiga Jul 28
14-16 vs K28 Jul 28
13-3 vs FIN Jul 27
Black Phoenix
13-9 vs Just Players Aug 1
7-13 vs JiJieHao Jul 31
13-9 vs Entropy Jul 29
13-10 vs Enjoy Jul 28
11-13 vs Bebop Jul 28
Dust2
LAVK 8 13 BP
39%
61%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Death
LAVK
BP
After First Kill
LAVK
BP
Round Win Rate
LAVK
BP
Opening Kills
LAVK
BP
Map Win Rate
LAVK
BP
Recent on Dust2
Lavked
5-13 vs Nemiga Jul 28
13-8 vs K28 Jul 28
5-13 vs ex-RUSTEC Jul 23
11-13 vs Acend Jun 17
13-5 vs Misa Jun 9
Black Phoenix
13-2 vs Sashi Aug 2
13-10 vs Butterfly Aug 1
13-7 vs Just Players Aug 1
13-9 vs JiJieHao Jul 31
6-13 vs Enjoy Jul 28
Cache
LAVK 16 14 BP
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
LAVK
BP
After First Death
LAVK
BP
Opening Kills
LAVK
BP
Map Player Rating
LAVK
BP
T 5v4
LAVK
BP
Recent on Cache
Lavked
14-16 vs megoshort Jul 31
Black Phoenix
6-13 vs Sashi Aug 2
13-10 vs JiJieHao Jul 31
13-9 vs Enjoy Jul 28
9-13 vs benched gods Jul 27
Mirage
LAVK 14 16 BP
48%
52%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
LAVK
BP
After First Kill
LAVK
BP
Overall Rating
LAVK
BP
Multi-Kills
LAVK
BP
Ranking
LAVK
BP
Recent on Mirage
Lavked
4-13 vs ex-RUBY Jul 31
14-16 vs megoshort Jul 31
8-13 vs Nemiga Jul 28
14-16 vs K28 Jul 28
13-3 vs FIN Jul 27
Black Phoenix
13-9 vs Just Players Aug 1
7-13 vs JiJieHao Jul 31
13-9 vs Entropy Jul 29
13-10 vs Enjoy Jul 28
11-13 vs Bebop Jul 28
Dust2
LAVK 8 13 BP
39%
61%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Death
LAVK
BP
After First Kill
LAVK
BP
Round Win Rate
LAVK
BP
Opening Kills
LAVK
BP
Map Win Rate
LAVK
BP
Recent on Dust2
Lavked
5-13 vs Nemiga Jul 28
13-8 vs K28 Jul 28
5-13 vs ex-RUSTEC Jul 23
11-13 vs Acend Jun 17
13-5 vs Misa Jun 9
Black Phoenix
13-2 vs Sashi Aug 2
13-10 vs Butterfly Aug 1
13-7 vs Just Players Aug 1
13-9 vs JiJieHao Jul 31
6-13 vs Enjoy Jul 28
Anubis
LAVK 16 14 BP
53%
47%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
LAVK
BP
After First Kill
LAVK
BP
Opening Kills
LAVK
BP
T 5v4
LAVK
BP
Ban Rate
LAVK
BP
Recent on Anubis
Lavked
4-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects Jul 28
6-13 vs K28 Jul 28
13-11 vs Butterfly Jul 26
13-7 vs ex-RUSTEC Jul 23
13-11 vs MANA Jun 5
Black Phoenix
8-13 vs Misa Jul 27
Recent Results last 11 matches
Lavked
Black Phoenix
L 0-2 vs ex-RUBY MirageNuke Jul 31 13d ago
L 0-2 vs megoshort CacheMirage Jul 31 13d ago
L 0-2 vs Phantom AncientNuke Jul 30 14d ago
L 0-2 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects AnubisAncient Jul 28 16d ago
L 0-2 vs Nemiga MirageDust2 Jul 28 16d ago
L 1-2 vs K28 Dust2MirageAnubis Jul 28 16d ago
W 2-0 vs FIN MirageNuke Jul 27 17d ago
W 2-1 vs Butterfly AnubisMirageNuke Jul 26 18d ago
W 2-1 vs ex-RUSTEC Dust2MirageAnubis Jul 23 21d ago
L 0-2 vs Just Players MirageAncient Jul 15 29d ago
L 1-2 vs Acend OverpassMirageDust2 Jun 17 57d ago
L 1-2 vs Sashi CacheDust2Nuke Aug 2 11d ago
W 2-1 vs Butterfly Dust2NukeInferno Aug 1 12d ago
W 2-0 vs Just Players MirageDust2 Aug 1 12d ago
W 2-1 vs JiJieHao MirageDust2Cache Jul 31 13d ago
W 2-0 vs Entropy MirageNuke Jul 29 15d ago
W 2-1 vs Enjoy CacheDust2Mirage Jul 28 16d ago
L 1-2 vs Bebop NukeDust2Mirage Jul 28 16d ago
W 2-1 vs benched gods CacheDust2Inferno Jul 27 17d ago
L 1-2 vs Misa Dust2AnubisInferno Jul 27 17d ago
W 2-1 vs Rune Eaters Dust2MirageInferno Jul 22 22d ago
Player Matchups
Lavked
Ratings
Black Phoenix
XM
xm1nd
AWPADR 70.9KAST 70%
1.04 vs 1.11
TO
topo
AWPADR 71.9KAST 72%
1N
1NVISIBLEE
EntryADR 78.9KAST 66%
0.98 vs 1.07
KA
karnez
EntryADR 77.4KAST 70%
SO
sol
RiflerADR 65.5KAST 71%
0.94 vs 0.99
4X
4X1s
RiflerADR 74.6KAST 70%
KE
KENSI
RiflerADR 67.9KAST 69%
0.92 vs 0.93
SA
Salazar
RiflerADR 64.8KAST 68%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Ancient
LAVK 13 10 BP
67%
33%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
LAVK
BP
After First Death
LAVK
BP
Ban Rate
LAVK
BP
Map Player Rating
LAVK
BP
Round Win Rate
LAVK
BP
Recent on Ancient
Lavked
4-13 vs Phantom Jul 30
10-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects Jul 28
11-13 vs Just Players Jul 15
Black Phoenix
no data
Inferno
LAVK 9 13 BP
36%
64%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
LAVK
BP
Opening Kills
LAVK
BP
After First Death
LAVK
BP
Overall Rating
LAVK
BP
Map Player Rating
LAVK
BP
Recent on Inferno
Lavked
no data
Black Phoenix
13-10 vs Butterfly Aug 1
13-11 vs benched gods Jul 27
6-13 vs Misa Jul 27
13-7 vs Rune Eaters Jul 22
Anubis
LAVK 16 14 BP
53%
47%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
LAVK
BP
After First Kill
LAVK
BP
Opening Kills
LAVK
BP
T 5v4
LAVK
BP
Ban Rate
LAVK
BP
Recent on Anubis
Lavked
4-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects Jul 28
6-13 vs K28 Jul 28
13-11 vs Butterfly Jul 26
13-7 vs ex-RUSTEC Jul 23
13-11 vs MANA Jun 5
Black Phoenix
8-13 vs Misa Jul 27
Cache
LAVK 16 14 BP
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
LAVK
BP
After First Death
LAVK
BP
Opening Kills
LAVK
BP
Map Player Rating
LAVK
BP
T 5v4
LAVK
BP
Recent on Cache
Lavked
14-16 vs megoshort Jul 31
Black Phoenix
6-13 vs Sashi Aug 2
13-10 vs JiJieHao Jul 31
13-9 vs Enjoy Jul 28
9-13 vs benched gods Jul 27
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