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Bo3  ·  CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 Closed Qualifier · 2026-07-25
Privateer ✓
vs
ROUNDS
54%
46%
Series win probability
PRIV 2–0 28%
PRIV 2–1 26%
ROUN 2–1 24%
ROUN 2–0 22%
Actual result
Ancient 13–10 ROUN
Inferno 13–8 PRIV
Nuke 13–11 PRIV
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — Privateer is slightly favored at 54% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.02 vs 0.98), a significant ranking advantage (#207 vs #230), a strong inferno (65% win probability). Either team could take this — small edges in side performance and veto are the difference.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 50% Nuke · Inferno · Ancient
Scenario 2 33% Nuke · Inferno · Mirage
Scenario 3 17% Nuke · Inferno · Cache
Nuke
PRIV 13 – 10 ROUN
55%
45%
Win prob OT 11% ✓
Key factors
Round Win Rate
PRIV
ROUN
Map Player Rating
PRIV
ROUN
After First Kill
PRIV
ROUN
Map Win Rate
PRIV
ROUN
After First Death
PRIV
ROUN
Recent on Nuke
Privateer
10-13 vs Misa Jul 24
13-8 vs Glitchtech UK Jul 19
10-13 vs The Last Resort Jul 19
13-7 vs Voracity Jul 18
10-13 vs The Last Resort Jul 18
ROUNDS
11-13 vs Misa Jul 23
10-13 vs Mai Tai Jul 19
4-13 vs OLDBOYS PL Jun 8
4-13 vs Misa Mar 27
Inferno
PRIV 13 – 9 ROUN
65%
35%
Win prob OT 11% ✓
Key factors
Opening Kills
PRIV
ROUN
After First Death
PRIV
ROUN
Ranking
PRIV
ROUN
Multi-Kills
PRIV
ROUN
T 5v4
PRIV
ROUN
Recent on Inferno
Privateer
13-9 vs megoshort Jul 23
ROUNDS
13-5 vs megoshort Jul 24
10-13 vs OLDBOYS PL Jun 8
13-9 vs ENRAGE Jun 5
6-13 vs Lilmix May 2
Ancient
PRIV 16 – 14 ROUN
50%
50%
Win prob OT 12% ✗
Key factors
After First Death
PRIV
ROUN
Round Win Rate
PRIV
ROUN
Map Player Rating
PRIV
ROUN
Map Win Rate
PRIV
ROUN
Opening Kills
PRIV
ROUN
Recent on Ancient
Privateer
13-8 vs megoshort Jul 23
14-16 vs Voracity Jul 18
13-7 vs The Last Resort Jul 18
ROUNDS
13-9 vs megoshort Jul 24
9-13 vs Mai Tai Jul 15
13-7 vs ENRAGE Jun 5
7-13 vs Lilmix May 2
Nuke
PRIV 13 – 10 ROUN
55%
45%
Win prob OT 11% ✓
Key factors
Round Win Rate
PRIV
ROUN
Map Player Rating
PRIV
ROUN
After First Kill
PRIV
ROUN
Map Win Rate
PRIV
ROUN
After First Death
PRIV
ROUN
Recent on Nuke
Privateer
10-13 vs Misa Jul 24
13-8 vs Glitchtech UK Jul 19
10-13 vs The Last Resort Jul 19
13-7 vs Voracity Jul 18
10-13 vs The Last Resort Jul 18
ROUNDS
11-13 vs Misa Jul 23
10-13 vs Mai Tai Jul 19
4-13 vs OLDBOYS PL Jun 8
4-13 vs Misa Mar 27
Inferno
PRIV 13 – 9 ROUN
65%
35%
Win prob OT 11% ✓
Key factors
Opening Kills
PRIV
ROUN
After First Death
PRIV
ROUN
Ranking
PRIV
ROUN
Multi-Kills
PRIV
ROUN
T 5v4
PRIV
ROUN
Recent on Inferno
Privateer
13-9 vs megoshort Jul 23
ROUNDS
13-5 vs megoshort Jul 24
10-13 vs OLDBOYS PL Jun 8
13-9 vs ENRAGE Jun 5
6-13 vs Lilmix May 2
Mirage
PRIV 13 – 8 ROUN
70%
30%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
PRIV
ROUN
After First Death
PRIV
ROUN
Round Win Rate
PRIV
ROUN
Ranking
PRIV
ROUN
Map Win Rate
PRIV
ROUN
Recent on Mirage
Privateer
14-16 vs megoshort Jul 23
13-7 vs Glitchtech UK Jul 19
ROUNDS
4-13 vs megoshort Jul 24
9-13 vs Mai Tai Jul 19
6-13 vs Mai Tai Jul 15
Nuke
PRIV 13 – 10 ROUN
55%
45%
Win prob OT 11% ✓
Key factors
Round Win Rate
PRIV
ROUN
Map Player Rating
PRIV
ROUN
After First Kill
PRIV
ROUN
Map Win Rate
PRIV
ROUN
After First Death
PRIV
ROUN
Recent on Nuke
Privateer
10-13 vs Misa Jul 24
13-8 vs Glitchtech UK Jul 19
10-13 vs The Last Resort Jul 19
13-7 vs Voracity Jul 18
10-13 vs The Last Resort Jul 18
ROUNDS
11-13 vs Misa Jul 23
10-13 vs Mai Tai Jul 19
4-13 vs OLDBOYS PL Jun 8
4-13 vs Misa Mar 27
Inferno
PRIV 13 – 9 ROUN
65%
35%
Win prob OT 11% ✓
Key factors
Opening Kills
PRIV
ROUN
After First Death
PRIV
ROUN
Ranking
PRIV
ROUN
Multi-Kills
PRIV
ROUN
T 5v4
PRIV
ROUN
Recent on Inferno
Privateer
13-9 vs megoshort Jul 23
ROUNDS
13-5 vs megoshort Jul 24
10-13 vs OLDBOYS PL Jun 8
13-9 vs ENRAGE Jun 5
6-13 vs Lilmix May 2
Cache
PRIV 5 – 13 ROUN
8%
92%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
PRIV
ROUN
Map Player Rating
PRIV
ROUN
T 5v4
PRIV
ROUN
Ranking
PRIV
ROUN
Overall Rating
PRIV
ROUN
Recent on Cache
Privateer
6-13 vs The Last Resort Jul 18
ROUNDS
7-13 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 19
Recent Results last 9 matches
Privateer
ROUNDS
L 0-2 vs Misa Dust2Nuke Jul 24 20d ago
W 2-1 vs megoshort InfernoMirageAncient Jul 23 21d ago
W 2-0 vs Glitchtech UK MirageNuke Jul 19 25d ago
L 0-2 vs The Last Resort NukeDust2 Jul 19 25d ago
W 2-1 vs Voracity Dust2AncientNuke Jul 18 26d ago
L 1-2 vs The Last Resort NukeAncientCache Jul 18 26d ago
W 2-1 vs megoshort MirageInfernoAncient Jul 24 20d ago
L 0-2 vs Misa Dust2Nuke Jul 23 21d ago
L 0-2 vs Mai Tai MirageNuke Jul 19 25d ago
L 0-2 vs Inner Circle Academy Dust2Cache Jul 19 25d ago
L 0-2 vs Mai Tai MirageAncient Jul 15 29d ago
L 0-2 vs OLDBOYS PL NukeInferno Jun 8 66d ago
W 2-0 vs ENRAGE AncientInferno Jun 5 69d ago
L 0-2 vs Lilmix InfernoAncient May 2 103d ago
L 0-2 vs Misa NukeDust2 Mar 27 139d ago
Player Matchups
Privateer
Ratings
ROUNDS
PR
Prime
RiflerADR 74.2KAST 72%
1.12 vs 1.06
LA
Lapa
RiflerADR 71.8KAST 66%
DO
dobbo
RiflerADR 72.8KAST 69%
0.98 vs 1.05
YK
ykis
AWPADR 79.9KAST 68%
AR
Ariant0
EntryADR 71.7KAST 71%
0.97 vs 1.02
MO
Monoxx
RiflerADR 79.1KAST 69%
FR
Frazehh
AWPADR 71.5KAST 67%
0.96 vs 0.94
KO
Kollo
RiflerADR 66.7KAST 72%
M1
M1n1maL
RiflerADR 64.9KAST 70%
0.91 vs 0.86
P1
p12
EntryADR 62.1KAST 68%
Unpredicted Maps 3 maps
Cache
PRIV 5 – 13 ROUN
8%
92%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
PRIV
ROUN
Map Player Rating
PRIV
ROUN
T 5v4
PRIV
ROUN
Ranking
PRIV
ROUN
Overall Rating
PRIV
ROUN
Recent on Cache
Privateer
6-13 vs The Last Resort Jul 18
ROUNDS
7-13 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 19
Dust2
PRIV 13 – 6 ROUN
85%
15%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
After First Kill
PRIV
ROUN
Round Win Rate
PRIV
ROUN
Map Player Rating
PRIV
ROUN
Ranking
PRIV
ROUN
After First Death
PRIV
ROUN
Recent on Dust2
Privateer
5-13 vs Misa Jul 24
3-13 vs The Last Resort Jul 19
13-8 vs Voracity Jul 18
ROUNDS
3-13 vs Misa Jul 23
4-13 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 19
6-13 vs Misa Mar 27
Mirage
PRIV 13 – 8 ROUN
70%
30%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
PRIV
ROUN
After First Death
PRIV
ROUN
Round Win Rate
PRIV
ROUN
Ranking
PRIV
ROUN
Map Win Rate
PRIV
ROUN
Recent on Mirage
Privateer
14-16 vs megoshort Jul 23
13-7 vs Glitchtech UK Jul 19
ROUNDS
4-13 vs megoshort Jul 24
9-13 vs Mai Tai Jul 19
6-13 vs Mai Tai Jul 15
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