Bo3 · StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier
· 2026-07-26
magic
✓
vs
Ninjas in Pyjamas
83%
17%
Series win probability
MAGI
2–0
50%
MAGI
2–1
33%
NIP
2–1
9%
NIP
2–0
8%
Actual result
Ancient
13–9
MAGI
Anubis
13–11
MAGI
Model Insights
magic is strongly favored at 83%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a strong cache (90% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
36%
Ancient · Mirage · Cache
Scenario 2
33%
Ancient · Mirage · Inferno
Scenario 3
31%
Ancient · Mirage · Anubis
Ancient
MAGI
13
–
8
NIP
77%
23%
Win prob
OT 8%
✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
MAGI
NIP
After First Death
MAGI
NIP
T 5v4
MAGI
NIP
Multi-Kills
MAGI
NIP
Round Win Rate
MAGI
NIP
Recent on Ancient
magic
14-16
vs 3DMAX
Jul 24
13-10
vs Walczaki
Jul 21
6-13
vs Inner Circle
Jul 10
13-7
vs EAC
Jul 9
13-6
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 30
Ninjas in Pyjamas
13-9
vs HEROIC
Jul 25
16-14
vs Echo
Jul 23
13-8
vs M80
Jul 21
13-9
vs Gentle Mates
Jul 16
13-8
vs K27
Jul 15
Mirage
MAGI
13
–
9
NIP
69%
31%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
MAGI
NIP
After First Death
MAGI
NIP
After First Kill
MAGI
NIP
Opening Kills
MAGI
NIP
Map Player Rating
MAGI
NIP
Recent on Mirage
magic
13-7
vs Gentle Mates
Jul 25
13-4
vs Gentle Mates
Jul 21
13-6
vs EAC
Jul 9
11-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 30
13-2
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 29
Ninjas in Pyjamas
14-16
vs paiN
Jul 26
12-16
vs HEROIC
Jul 25
17-19
vs K27
Jul 18
9-13
vs HEROIC
Jul 17
13-3
vs Virtus.pro
Jul 9
Cache
MAGI
13
–
6
NIP
90%
10%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
MAGI
NIP
After First Death
MAGI
NIP
Opening Kills
MAGI
NIP
Map Win Rate
MAGI
NIP
Map Player Rating
MAGI
NIP
Recent on Cache
magic
13-11
vs Gentle Mates
Jul 25
13-7
vs 3DMAX
Jul 24
19-17
vs Gentle Mates
Jul 21
14-16
vs EAC
Jul 9
Ninjas in Pyjamas
9-13
vs K27
Jul 18
Ancient
MAGI
13
–
8
NIP
77%
23%
Win prob
OT 8%
✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
MAGI
NIP
After First Death
MAGI
NIP
T 5v4
MAGI
NIP
Multi-Kills
MAGI
NIP
Round Win Rate
MAGI
NIP
Recent on Ancient
magic
14-16
vs 3DMAX
Jul 24
13-10
vs Walczaki
Jul 21
6-13
vs Inner Circle
Jul 10
13-7
vs EAC
Jul 9
13-6
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 30
Ninjas in Pyjamas
13-9
vs HEROIC
Jul 25
16-14
vs Echo
Jul 23
13-8
vs M80
Jul 21
13-9
vs Gentle Mates
Jul 16
13-8
vs K27
Jul 15
Mirage
MAGI
13
–
9
NIP
69%
31%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
MAGI
NIP
After First Death
MAGI
NIP
After First Kill
MAGI
NIP
Opening Kills
MAGI
NIP
Map Player Rating
MAGI
NIP
Recent on Mirage
magic
13-7
vs Gentle Mates
Jul 25
13-4
vs Gentle Mates
Jul 21
13-6
vs EAC
Jul 9
11-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 30
13-2
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 29
Ninjas in Pyjamas
14-16
vs paiN
Jul 26
12-16
vs HEROIC
Jul 25
17-19
vs K27
Jul 18
9-13
vs HEROIC
Jul 17
13-3
vs Virtus.pro
Jul 9
Inferno
MAGI
13
–
9
NIP
73%
27%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
MAGI
NIP
After First Death
MAGI
NIP
After First Kill
MAGI
NIP
Opening Kills
MAGI
NIP
Multi-Kills
MAGI
NIP
Recent on Inferno
magic
19-15
vs 3DMAX
May 27
7-13
vs MOUZ
May 17
16-13
vs Gentle Mates
May 12
13-6
vs HEROIC
May 11
4-13
vs The MongolZ
May 9
Ninjas in Pyjamas
10-13
vs 100 Thieves
Jul 22
13-10
vs M80
Jul 21
11-13
vs HEROIC
Jul 17
13-9
vs BIG
Jul 4
13-10
vs Luminosity
Jul 3
Ancient
MAGI
13
–
8
NIP
77%
23%
Win prob
OT 8%
✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
MAGI
NIP
After First Death
MAGI
NIP
T 5v4
MAGI
NIP
Multi-Kills
MAGI
NIP
Round Win Rate
MAGI
NIP
Recent on Ancient
magic
14-16
vs 3DMAX
Jul 24
13-10
vs Walczaki
Jul 21
6-13
vs Inner Circle
Jul 10
13-7
vs EAC
Jul 9
13-6
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 30
Ninjas in Pyjamas
13-9
vs HEROIC
Jul 25
16-14
vs Echo
Jul 23
13-8
vs M80
Jul 21
13-9
vs Gentle Mates
Jul 16
13-8
vs K27
Jul 15
Mirage
MAGI
13
–
9
NIP
69%
31%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
MAGI
NIP
After First Death
MAGI
NIP
After First Kill
MAGI
NIP
Opening Kills
MAGI
NIP
Map Player Rating
MAGI
NIP
Recent on Mirage
magic
13-7
vs Gentle Mates
Jul 25
13-4
vs Gentle Mates
Jul 21
13-6
vs EAC
Jul 9
11-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 30
13-2
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 29
Ninjas in Pyjamas
14-16
vs paiN
Jul 26
12-16
vs HEROIC
Jul 25
17-19
vs K27
Jul 18
9-13
vs HEROIC
Jul 17
13-3
vs Virtus.pro
Jul 9
Anubis
MAGI
13
–
9
NIP
58%
42%
Win prob
OT 10%
✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
MAGI
NIP
After First Death
MAGI
NIP
Round Win Rate
MAGI
NIP
Map Win Rate
MAGI
NIP
Multi-Kills
MAGI
NIP
Recent on Anubis
magic
13-3
vs Walczaki
Jul 21
11-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 30
9-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Apr 25
10-13
vs illwill
Apr 5
13-3
vs Re Di
Apr 4
Ninjas in Pyjamas
13-10
vs 100 Thieves
Jul 22
11-13
vs BIG
Jul 4
14-16
vs 3DMAX
Jul 1
Recent Results
last 11 matches
magic
Ninjas in Pyjamas
W
2-0
vs Gentle Mates
MirageCache
Jul 25
19d ago
L
1-2
vs 3DMAX
CacheAncientDust2
Jul 24
20d ago
W
2-0
vs Walczaki
AncientAnubis
Jul 21
23d ago
W
2-0
vs Gentle Mates
MirageCache
Jul 21
23d ago
L
0-2
vs Inner Circle
Dust2Ancient
Jul 10
34d ago
W
2-1
vs EAC
CacheAncientMirage
Jul 9
35d ago
L
1-2
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
AnubisAncientMirage
May 30
75d ago
W
2-0
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
AncientMirage
May 29
76d ago
W
2-1
vs FaZe
MirageDust2Overpass
May 28
77d ago
W
2-0
vs 3DMAX
AncientInferno
May 27
78d ago
L
0-2
vs MOUZ
MirageInferno
May 17
88d ago
W
2-1
vs HEROIC
MirageNukeAncient
Jul 25
19d ago
W
2-0
vs Echo
AncientNuke
Jul 23
21d ago
W
2-1
vs 100 Thieves
InfernoNukeAnubis
Jul 22
22d ago
W
2-0
vs M80
InfernoAncient
Jul 21
23d ago
L
1-2
vs K27
MirageNukeCache
Jul 18
26d ago
L
1-2
vs HEROIC
InfernoNukeMirage
Jul 17
27d ago
W
2-0
vs Gentle Mates
AncientNuke
Jul 16
28d ago
W
2-0
vs K27
AncientNuke
Jul 15
29d ago
L
1-2
vs Virtus.pro
MirageNukeAncient
Jul 9
35d ago
L
1-2
vs BIG
AnubisInfernoAncient
Jul 4
40d ago
W
2-1
vs Luminosity
NukeInfernoMirage
Jul 3
41d ago
Player Matchups
magic
Ratings
Ninjas in Pyjamas
MA
MaSvAl
EntryADR 76.6KAST 74%
ST
stavn
AWPADR 77.7KAST 74%
TE
tenzy
RiflerADR 76.7KAST 70%
N0
n0te
EntryADR 80.7KAST 72%
AW
AW
RiflerADR 72.8KAST 71%
XK
xKacpersky
RiflerADR 81.4KAST 74%
MO
mo0N
AWPADR 70.3KAST 70%
SJ
sjuush
RiflerADR 73.0KAST 70%
SF
sFade8
RiflerADR 74.8KAST 70%
SN
Snappi
RiflerADR 66.3KAST 70%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Dust2
MAGI
13
–
6
NIP
90%
10%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
After First Kill
MAGI
NIP
Opponent-Rating Diff
MAGI
NIP
After First Death
MAGI
NIP
Ban Rate
MAGI
NIP
Opening Kills
MAGI
NIP
Recent on Dust2
magic
6-13
vs 3DMAX
Jul 24
4-13
vs Inner Circle
Jul 10
13-11
vs FaZe
May 28
5-13
vs Falcons
May 16
13-9
vs 9z
May 15
Ninjas in Pyjamas
no data
Nuke
MAGI
7
–
13
NIP
19%
81%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
MAGI
NIP
After First Death
MAGI
NIP
Opponent-Rating Diff
MAGI
NIP
Ban Rate
MAGI
NIP
Map Player Rating
MAGI
NIP
Recent on Nuke
magic
no data
Ninjas in Pyjamas
6-13
vs paiN
Jul 26
13-8
vs HEROIC
Jul 25
16-14
vs Echo
Jul 23
13-9
vs 100 Thieves
Jul 22
13-4
vs K27
Jul 18
Inferno
MAGI
13
–
9
NIP
73%
27%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
MAGI
NIP
After First Death
MAGI
NIP
After First Kill
MAGI
NIP
Opening Kills
MAGI
NIP
Multi-Kills
MAGI
NIP
Recent on Inferno
magic
19-15
vs 3DMAX
May 27
7-13
vs MOUZ
May 17
16-13
vs Gentle Mates
May 12
13-6
vs HEROIC
May 11
4-13
vs The MongolZ
May 9
Ninjas in Pyjamas
10-13
vs 100 Thieves
Jul 22
13-10
vs M80
Jul 21
11-13
vs HEROIC
Jul 17
13-9
vs BIG
Jul 4
13-10
vs Luminosity
Jul 3
Anubis
MAGI
13
–
9
NIP
58%
42%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
MAGI
NIP
After First Death
MAGI
NIP
Round Win Rate
MAGI
NIP
Map Win Rate
MAGI
NIP
Multi-Kills
MAGI
NIP
Recent on Anubis
magic
13-3
vs Walczaki
Jul 21
11-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 30
9-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Apr 25
10-13
vs illwill
Apr 5
13-3
vs Re Di
Apr 4
Ninjas in Pyjamas
13-10
vs 100 Thieves
Jul 22
11-13
vs BIG
Jul 4
14-16
vs 3DMAX
Jul 1