Project Leggy
‹ Back
Bo3  ·  StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier · 2026-07-25
Ninjas in Pyjamas ✓
vs
HEROIC
75%
25%
Series win probability
NIP 2–0 50%
NIP 2–1 26%
HERO 2–1 16%
HERO 2–0 8%
Actual result
Mirage 16–12 HERO
Nuke 13–8 NIP
Ancient 13–9 NIP
Model Insights
Ninjas in Pyjamas is strongly favored at 75%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a strong nuke (86% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 55% Nuke · Inferno · Mirage
Scenario 2 32% Nuke · Inferno · Ancient
Scenario 3 13% Nuke · Inferno · Cache
Nuke
NIP 13 – 7 HERO
86%
14%
Win prob OT 5% ✓
Key factors
After First Death
NIP
HERO
After First Kill
NIP
HERO
Opponent-Rating Diff
NIP
HERO
Map Player Rating
NIP
HERO
Opening Kills
NIP
HERO
Recent on Nuke
Ninjas in Pyjamas
16-14 vs Echo Jul 23
13-9 vs 100 Thieves Jul 22
13-4 vs K27 Jul 18
13-9 vs HEROIC Jul 17
13-6 vs Gentle Mates Jul 16
HEROIC
13-5 vs The MongolZ Jul 24
13-9 vs K27 Jul 18
9-13 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Jul 17
14-16 vs Phantom Jul 16
13-8 vs 3DMAX Jul 15
Inferno
NIP 13 – 10 HERO
65%
35%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
NIP
HERO
Opponent-Rating Diff
NIP
HERO
After First Death
NIP
HERO
Opening Kills
NIP
HERO
Map Win Rate
NIP
HERO
Recent on Inferno
Ninjas in Pyjamas
10-13 vs 100 Thieves Jul 22
13-10 vs M80 Jul 21
11-13 vs HEROIC Jul 17
13-9 vs BIG Jul 4
13-10 vs Luminosity Jul 3
HEROIC
13-10 vs FOKUS Jul 23
13-11 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Jul 17
13-8 vs 3DMAX Jul 15
Mirage
NIP 13 – 9 HERO
67%
33%
Win prob OT 10% ✗
Key factors
After First Kill
NIP
HERO
Opponent-Rating Diff
NIP
HERO
Opening Kills
NIP
HERO
Map Win Rate
NIP
HERO
Round Win Rate
NIP
HERO
Recent on Mirage
Ninjas in Pyjamas
17-19 vs K27 Jul 18
9-13 vs HEROIC Jul 17
13-3 vs Virtus.pro Jul 9
13-7 vs Luminosity Jul 3
HEROIC
13-10 vs HOTU Jul 21
13-11 vs K27 Jul 18
13-9 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Jul 17
Nuke
NIP 13 – 7 HERO
86%
14%
Win prob OT 5% ✓
Key factors
After First Death
NIP
HERO
After First Kill
NIP
HERO
Opponent-Rating Diff
NIP
HERO
Map Player Rating
NIP
HERO
Opening Kills
NIP
HERO
Recent on Nuke
Ninjas in Pyjamas
16-14 vs Echo Jul 23
13-9 vs 100 Thieves Jul 22
13-4 vs K27 Jul 18
13-9 vs HEROIC Jul 17
13-6 vs Gentle Mates Jul 16
HEROIC
13-5 vs The MongolZ Jul 24
13-9 vs K27 Jul 18
9-13 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Jul 17
14-16 vs Phantom Jul 16
13-8 vs 3DMAX Jul 15
Inferno
NIP 13 – 10 HERO
65%
35%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
NIP
HERO
Opponent-Rating Diff
NIP
HERO
After First Death
NIP
HERO
Opening Kills
NIP
HERO
Map Win Rate
NIP
HERO
Recent on Inferno
Ninjas in Pyjamas
10-13 vs 100 Thieves Jul 22
13-10 vs M80 Jul 21
11-13 vs HEROIC Jul 17
13-9 vs BIG Jul 4
13-10 vs Luminosity Jul 3
HEROIC
13-10 vs FOKUS Jul 23
13-11 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Jul 17
13-8 vs 3DMAX Jul 15
Ancient
NIP 10 – 13 HERO
43%
57%
Win prob OT 11% ✗
Key factors
After First Death
NIP
HERO
After First Kill
NIP
HERO
Opponent-Rating Diff
NIP
HERO
Round Win Rate
NIP
HERO
T 5v4
NIP
HERO
Recent on Ancient
Ninjas in Pyjamas
16-14 vs Echo Jul 23
13-8 vs M80 Jul 21
13-9 vs Gentle Mates Jul 16
13-8 vs K27 Jul 15
11-13 vs Virtus.pro Jul 9
HEROIC
13-10 vs Astralis Jul 24
13-6 vs FOKUS Jul 23
13-11 vs Phantom Jul 16
Nuke
NIP 13 – 7 HERO
86%
14%
Win prob OT 5% ✓
Key factors
After First Death
NIP
HERO
After First Kill
NIP
HERO
Opponent-Rating Diff
NIP
HERO
Map Player Rating
NIP
HERO
Opening Kills
NIP
HERO
Recent on Nuke
Ninjas in Pyjamas
16-14 vs Echo Jul 23
13-9 vs 100 Thieves Jul 22
13-4 vs K27 Jul 18
13-9 vs HEROIC Jul 17
13-6 vs Gentle Mates Jul 16
HEROIC
13-5 vs The MongolZ Jul 24
13-9 vs K27 Jul 18
9-13 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Jul 17
14-16 vs Phantom Jul 16
13-8 vs 3DMAX Jul 15
Inferno
NIP 13 – 10 HERO
65%
35%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
NIP
HERO
Opponent-Rating Diff
NIP
HERO
After First Death
NIP
HERO
Opening Kills
NIP
HERO
Map Win Rate
NIP
HERO
Recent on Inferno
Ninjas in Pyjamas
10-13 vs 100 Thieves Jul 22
13-10 vs M80 Jul 21
11-13 vs HEROIC Jul 17
13-9 vs BIG Jul 4
13-10 vs Luminosity Jul 3
HEROIC
13-10 vs FOKUS Jul 23
13-11 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Jul 17
13-8 vs 3DMAX Jul 15
Cache
NIP 13 – 8 HERO
69%
31%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
NIP
HERO
Round Win Rate
NIP
HERO
Map Player Rating
NIP
HERO
After First Death
NIP
HERO
Map Win Rate
NIP
HERO
Recent on Cache
Ninjas in Pyjamas
9-13 vs K27 Jul 18
HEROIC
8-13 vs The MongolZ Jul 24
6-13 vs HOTU Jul 21
8-13 vs 3DMAX Jul 15
Recent Results last 11 matches
Ninjas in Pyjamas
HEROIC
W 2-0 vs Echo AncientNuke Jul 23 21d ago
W 2-1 vs 100 Thieves InfernoNukeAnubis Jul 22 22d ago
W 2-0 vs M80 InfernoAncient Jul 21 23d ago
L 1-2 vs K27 MirageNukeCache Jul 18 26d ago
L 1-2 vs HEROIC InfernoNukeMirage Jul 17 27d ago
W 2-0 vs Gentle Mates AncientNuke Jul 16 28d ago
W 2-0 vs K27 AncientNuke Jul 15 29d ago
L 1-2 vs Virtus.pro MirageNukeAncient Jul 9 35d ago
L 1-2 vs BIG AnubisInfernoAncient Jul 4 40d ago
W 2-1 vs Luminosity NukeInfernoMirage Jul 3 41d ago
L 0-1 vs Alliance Ancient Jul 2 42d ago
L 1-2 vs The MongolZ NukeCacheDust2 Jul 24 20d ago
W 2-0 vs Astralis Dust2Ancient Jul 24 20d ago
W 2-0 vs FOKUS AncientInferno Jul 23 21d ago
L 1-2 vs HOTU MirageCacheDust2 Jul 21 23d ago
W 3-0 vs K27 NukeMirageDust2 Jul 18 26d ago
W 2-1 vs Ninjas in Pyjamas InfernoNukeMirage Jul 17 27d ago
W 2-1 vs Phantom AncientNukeDust2 Jul 16 28d ago
W 2-1 vs 3DMAX InfernoCacheNuke Jul 15 29d ago
Player Matchups
Ninjas in Pyjamas
Ratings
HEROIC
ST
stavn
AWPADR 78.0KAST 74%
1.14 vs 1.14
MA
MartinezSa
AWPADR 74.7KAST 74%
N0
n0te
EntryADR 80.3KAST 72%
1.13 vs 1.10
NI
nilo
EntryADR 77.7KAST 71%
SJ
sjuush
RiflerADR 73.6KAST 70%
1.06 vs 0.98
BR
Brollan
RiflerADR 69.1KAST 70%
XK
xKacpersky
RiflerADR 80.5KAST 74%
1.06 vs 0.97
CH
Chr1zN
RiflerADR 69.9KAST 68%
SN
Snappi
RiflerADR 65.3KAST 70%
0.89 vs 0.96
SU
susp
RiflerADR 65.8KAST 71%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Dust2
NIP 5 – 13 HERO
8%
92%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
After First Death
NIP
HERO
Opponent-Rating Diff
NIP
HERO
Map Player Rating
NIP
HERO
Ban Rate
NIP
HERO
After First Kill
NIP
HERO
Recent on Dust2
Ninjas in Pyjamas
no data
HEROIC
16-19 vs The MongolZ Jul 24
13-10 vs Astralis Jul 24
8-13 vs HOTU Jul 21
13-11 vs K27 Jul 18
13-11 vs Phantom Jul 16
Anubis
NIP 13 – 7 HERO
84%
16%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
NIP
HERO
After First Death
NIP
HERO
Map Player Rating
NIP
HERO
Opponent-Rating Diff
NIP
HERO
Opening Kills
NIP
HERO
Recent on Anubis
Ninjas in Pyjamas
13-10 vs 100 Thieves Jul 22
11-13 vs BIG Jul 4
14-16 vs 3DMAX Jul 1
HEROIC
no data
Cache
NIP 13 – 8 HERO
69%
31%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
NIP
HERO
Round Win Rate
NIP
HERO
Map Player Rating
NIP
HERO
After First Death
NIP
HERO
Map Win Rate
NIP
HERO
Recent on Cache
Ninjas in Pyjamas
9-13 vs K27 Jul 18
HEROIC
8-13 vs The MongolZ Jul 24
6-13 vs HOTU Jul 21
8-13 vs 3DMAX Jul 15
Ancient
NIP 10 – 13 HERO
43%
57%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
NIP
HERO
After First Kill
NIP
HERO
Opponent-Rating Diff
NIP
HERO
Round Win Rate
NIP
HERO
T 5v4
NIP
HERO
Recent on Ancient
Ninjas in Pyjamas
16-14 vs Echo Jul 23
13-8 vs M80 Jul 21
13-9 vs Gentle Mates Jul 16
13-8 vs K27 Jul 15
11-13 vs Virtus.pro Jul 9
HEROIC
13-10 vs Astralis Jul 24
13-6 vs FOKUS Jul 23
13-11 vs Phantom Jul 16
More from StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier 2 matches
HOTU over INFINITE 76% magic over Gentle Mates 90%