Bo3 · StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier
· 2026-07-23
100 Thieves
vs
Nuclear TigeRES
✓
22%
78%
Series win probability
NT
2–0
51%
NT
2–1
28%
100T
2–1
14%
100T
2–0
7%
Actual result
Ancient
19–15
NT
Mirage
13–8
100T
Inferno
13–7
NT
Model Insights
Nuclear TigeRES is strongly favored at 78%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#44 vs #41), a strong inferno (86% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
41%
Inferno · Ancient · Anubis
Scenario 2
35%
Inferno · Ancient · Nuke
Scenario 3
24%
Inferno · Ancient · Dust2
Inferno
100T
7
–
13
NT
14%
86%
Win prob
OT 7%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
100T
NT
After First Death
100T
NT
Opening Kills
100T
NT
Map Player Rating
100T
NT
Opponent-Rating Diff
100T
NT
Recent on Inferno
100 Thieves
13-10
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 22
14-16
vs TDK
Jun 21
13-6
vs GenOne
Jun 20
13-11
vs Ursa
Jun 4
6-13
vs Nemesis
May 30
Nuclear TigeRES
13-1
vs Lavked
May 14
13-10
vs Alliance
Apr 26
7-13
vs Acend
Apr 20
10-13
vs WW
Mar 11
13-11
vs 1win
Mar 9
Ancient
100T
10
–
13
NT
41%
59%
Win prob
OT 11%
✓
Key factors
Opening Score
100T
NT
After First Death
100T
NT
Opponent-Rating Diff
100T
NT
Multi-Kills
100T
NT
Opening Kills
100T
NT
Recent on Ancient
100 Thieves
16-12
vs Leo
Jun 18
13-16
vs K27
Jun 16
13-9
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 6
8-13
vs Johnny Speeds
Jun 6
13-7
vs Phantom
Jun 5
Nuclear TigeRES
6-13
vs MOUZ
Jul 21
10-13
vs Atreides
Jul 18
13-7
vs Nemesis
Jun 17
1-13
vs Oxuji
Jun 14
13-8
vs AM
Jun 6
Anubis
100T
6
–
13
NT
15%
85%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
After First Kill
100T
NT
After First Death
100T
NT
Ban Rate
100T
NT
Round Win Rate
100T
NT
Map Player Rating
100T
NT
Recent on Anubis
100 Thieves
13-11
vs Falcons
Jul 22
10-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 22
13-16
vs TDK
Jun 21
11-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 25
17-19
vs AM
Mar 9
Nuclear TigeRES
3-13
vs Echo
Jul 22
13-9
vs K27
Jun 17
13-11
vs Gentle Mates
Jun 16
13-6
vs Oxuji
Jun 14
13-11
vs illwill
Jun 14
Inferno
100T
7
–
13
NT
14%
86%
Win prob
OT 7%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
100T
NT
After First Death
100T
NT
Opening Kills
100T
NT
Map Player Rating
100T
NT
Opponent-Rating Diff
100T
NT
Recent on Inferno
100 Thieves
13-10
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 22
14-16
vs TDK
Jun 21
13-6
vs GenOne
Jun 20
13-11
vs Ursa
Jun 4
6-13
vs Nemesis
May 30
Nuclear TigeRES
13-1
vs Lavked
May 14
13-10
vs Alliance
Apr 26
7-13
vs Acend
Apr 20
10-13
vs WW
Mar 11
13-11
vs 1win
Mar 9
Ancient
100T
10
–
13
NT
41%
59%
Win prob
OT 11%
✓
Key factors
Opening Score
100T
NT
After First Death
100T
NT
Opponent-Rating Diff
100T
NT
Multi-Kills
100T
NT
Opening Kills
100T
NT
Recent on Ancient
100 Thieves
16-12
vs Leo
Jun 18
13-16
vs K27
Jun 16
13-9
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 6
8-13
vs Johnny Speeds
Jun 6
13-7
vs Phantom
Jun 5
Nuclear TigeRES
6-13
vs MOUZ
Jul 21
10-13
vs Atreides
Jul 18
13-7
vs Nemesis
Jun 17
1-13
vs Oxuji
Jun 14
13-8
vs AM
Jun 6
Nuke
100T
9
–
13
NT
24%
76%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
100T
NT
T 5v4
100T
NT
After First Death
100T
NT
Opponent-Rating Diff
100T
NT
Opening Score
100T
NT
Recent on Nuke
100 Thieves
4-13
vs Falcons
Jul 22
9-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 22
5-13
vs Leo
Jun 18
16-12
vs Betclic
Jun 15
13-2
vs Eternal 21
May 23
Nuclear TigeRES
5-13
vs Echo
Jul 22
11-13
vs MOUZ
Jul 21
13-9
vs K27
Jun 17
10-13
vs Nemesis
Jun 17
13-11
vs Gentle Mates
Jun 16
Inferno
100T
7
–
13
NT
14%
86%
Win prob
OT 7%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
100T
NT
After First Death
100T
NT
Opening Kills
100T
NT
Map Player Rating
100T
NT
Opponent-Rating Diff
100T
NT
Recent on Inferno
100 Thieves
13-10
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 22
14-16
vs TDK
Jun 21
13-6
vs GenOne
Jun 20
13-11
vs Ursa
Jun 4
6-13
vs Nemesis
May 30
Nuclear TigeRES
13-1
vs Lavked
May 14
13-10
vs Alliance
Apr 26
7-13
vs Acend
Apr 20
10-13
vs WW
Mar 11
13-11
vs 1win
Mar 9
Ancient
100T
10
–
13
NT
41%
59%
Win prob
OT 11%
✓
Key factors
Opening Score
100T
NT
After First Death
100T
NT
Opponent-Rating Diff
100T
NT
Multi-Kills
100T
NT
Opening Kills
100T
NT
Recent on Ancient
100 Thieves
16-12
vs Leo
Jun 18
13-16
vs K27
Jun 16
13-9
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 6
8-13
vs Johnny Speeds
Jun 6
13-7
vs Phantom
Jun 5
Nuclear TigeRES
6-13
vs MOUZ
Jul 21
10-13
vs Atreides
Jul 18
13-7
vs Nemesis
Jun 17
1-13
vs Oxuji
Jun 14
13-8
vs AM
Jun 6
Dust2
100T
13
–
9
NT
66%
34%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
100T
NT
Opening Kills
100T
NT
Opponent-Rating Diff
100T
NT
Map Win Rate
100T
NT
Opening Score
100T
NT
Recent on Dust2
100 Thieves
13-7
vs Falcons
Jul 22
13-7
vs GenOne
Jun 20
13-10
vs Leo
Jun 18
9-13
vs K27
Jun 16
13-8
vs Betclic
Jun 15
Nuclear TigeRES
13-9
vs Nemesis
Jun 17
7-13
vs Oxuji
Jun 14
13-8
vs illwill
Jun 14
13-8
vs CYBERSHOKE
Jun 8
13-5
vs RUSTEC
Jun 3
Recent Results
last 11 matches
100 Thieves
Nuclear TigeRES
W
2-1
vs Falcons
NukeDust2Anubis
Jul 22
22d ago
L
1-2
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
InfernoNukeAnubis
Jul 22
22d ago
L
0-2
vs TDK
AnubisInferno
Jun 21
53d ago
W
2-0
vs GenOne
InfernoDust2
Jun 20
54d ago
W
2-1
vs Leo
NukeDust2Ancient
Jun 18
56d ago
L
0-2
vs K27
Dust2Ancient
Jun 16
58d ago
W
2-0
vs Betclic
NukeDust2
Jun 15
59d ago
W
2-0
vs ex-RUBY
AncientDust2
Jun 6
68d ago
W
2-1
vs Johnny Speeds
AncientMirageDust2
Jun 6
68d ago
W
2-0
vs Phantom
AncientDust2
Jun 5
69d ago
W
2-0
vs Ursa
InfernoDust2
Jun 4
70d ago
L
0-2
vs Echo
NukeAnubis
Jul 22
22d ago
L
0-2
vs MOUZ
AncientNuke
Jul 21
23d ago
L
0-2
vs Atreides
MirageAncient
Jul 18
26d ago
W
2-1
vs K27
MirageAnubisNuke
Jun 17
57d ago
W
2-1
vs Nemesis
NukeDust2Ancient
Jun 17
57d ago
W
2-0
vs Gentle Mates
AnubisNuke
Jun 16
58d ago
L
1-2
vs Oxuji
AnubisDust2Ancient
Jun 14
60d ago
W
2-0
vs illwill
AnubisDust2
Jun 14
60d ago
W
2-0
vs CYBERSHOKE
Dust2Anubis
Jun 8
66d ago
W
2-0
vs AM
MirageAncient
Jun 6
68d ago
W
2-0
vs RUSTEC
Dust2Anubis
Jun 3
71d ago
Player Matchups
100 Thieves
Ratings
Nuclear TigeRES
DE
device
AWPADR 84.0KAST 75%
AY
ayuki
RiflerADR 74.6KAST 77%
PO
poiii
EntryADR 78.7KAST 75%
FL
flouzer
RiflerADR 79.0KAST 73%
SI
sirah
RiflerADR 73.2KAST 74%
Z1
z1k4
AWPADR 75.2KAST 74%
RA
rain
RiflerADR 72.7KAST 75%
M1
m1QUSE
EntryADR 74.2KAST 74%
GI
Gizmy
RiflerADR 68.3KAST 68%
SE
senka
RiflerADR 68.7KAST 69%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Nuke
100T
9
–
13
NT
24%
76%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
100T
NT
T 5v4
100T
NT
After First Death
100T
NT
Opponent-Rating Diff
100T
NT
Opening Score
100T
NT
Recent on Nuke
100 Thieves
4-13
vs Falcons
Jul 22
9-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 22
5-13
vs Leo
Jun 18
16-12
vs Betclic
Jun 15
13-2
vs Eternal 21
May 23
Nuclear TigeRES
5-13
vs Echo
Jul 22
11-13
vs MOUZ
Jul 21
13-9
vs K27
Jun 17
10-13
vs Nemesis
Jun 17
13-11
vs Gentle Mates
Jun 16
Mirage
100T
10
–
13
NT
31%
69%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Round Win Rate
100T
NT
Opening Score
100T
NT
T Side
100T
NT
Opponent-Rating Diff
100T
NT
Multi-Kills
100T
NT
Recent on Mirage
100 Thieves
13-10
vs Johnny Speeds
Jun 6
4-13
vs Nemesis
May 30
9-13
vs STATE
May 24
13-0
vs Sashi Academy
May 23
17-19
vs Nuclear TigeRES
May 19
Nuclear TigeRES
11-13
vs Atreides
Jul 18
9-13
vs K27
Jun 17
13-4
vs AM
Jun 6
19-17
vs 100 Thieves
May 19
13-11
vs Lavked
May 14
Dust2
100T
13
–
9
NT
66%
34%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
100T
NT
Opening Kills
100T
NT
Opponent-Rating Diff
100T
NT
Map Win Rate
100T
NT
Opening Score
100T
NT
Recent on Dust2
100 Thieves
13-7
vs Falcons
Jul 22
13-7
vs GenOne
Jun 20
13-10
vs Leo
Jun 18
9-13
vs K27
Jun 16
13-8
vs Betclic
Jun 15
Nuclear TigeRES
13-9
vs Nemesis
Jun 17
7-13
vs Oxuji
Jun 14
13-8
vs illwill
Jun 14
13-8
vs CYBERSHOKE
Jun 8
13-5
vs RUSTEC
Jun 3
Cache
100T
10
–
13
NT
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Opening Score
100T
NT
Opponent-Rating Diff
100T
NT
Days With Lineup Diff
100T
NT
Ranking
100T
NT
Days With Lineup Team
100T
NT
Recent on Cache
100 Thieves
no data
Nuclear TigeRES
no data
More from StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier
3 matches