Bo3 · StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier
· 2026-07-21
magic
vs
Walczaki
✗
34%
66%
Series win probability
WALC
2–0
38%
WALC
2–1
27%
MAGI
2–1
22%
MAGI
2–0
12%
Actual result
Ancient
13–10
MAGI
Anubis
13–3
MAGI
Model Insights
Walczaki has a moderate edge at 66%, favored on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.06 vs 1.03), stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#50 vs #24), a strong anubis (84% win probability). magic's best shot is mirage where they hold a 62% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
45%
Ancient · Anubis · Mirage
Scenario 2
31%
Ancient · Mirage · Inferno
Scenario 3
24%
Ancient · Mirage · Dust2
Ancient
MAGI
11
–
13
WALC
44%
56%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
MAGI
WALC
Ranking
MAGI
WALC
After First Death
MAGI
WALC
CT Opening Kills
MAGI
WALC
Opening Kills
MAGI
WALC
Recent on Ancient
magic
6-13
vs Inner Circle
Jul 10
13-7
vs EAC
Jul 9
13-6
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 30
13-9
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 29
13-9
vs 3DMAX
May 27
Walczaki
13-9
vs SPARTA
Jul 16
13-11
vs EAC
Jun 24
16-12
vs KOLESIE
Jun 22
13-10
vs ARCRED
Jun 7
7-13
vs TDK
Jun 6
Anubis
MAGI
8
–
13
WALC
16%
84%
Win prob
OT 8%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
MAGI
WALC
Ranking
MAGI
WALC
After First Death
MAGI
WALC
Round Win Rate
MAGI
WALC
Opening Kills
MAGI
WALC
Recent on Anubis
magic
11-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 30
9-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Apr 25
10-13
vs illwill
Apr 5
13-3
vs Re Di
Apr 4
13-1
vs PIVOSQUAD
Apr 4
Walczaki
9-13
vs Inner Circle
Jun 26
13-10
vs Echo
Jun 25
13-8
vs EAC
Jun 24
16-19
vs KOLESIE
Jun 22
11-13
vs Phantom
Jun 20
Mirage
MAGI
13
–
10
WALC
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
MAGI
WALC
After First Kill
MAGI
WALC
T 5v4
MAGI
WALC
Round Win Rate
MAGI
WALC
After First Death
MAGI
WALC
Recent on Mirage
magic
13-6
vs EAC
Jul 9
11-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 30
13-2
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 29
4-13
vs FaZe
May 28
2-13
vs MOUZ
May 17
Walczaki
10-13
vs Just Players
Jul 20
10-13
vs Echo
Jun 25
13-5
vs KOLESIE
Jun 22
13-8
vs ARCRED
Jun 7
13-10
vs Nemesis
May 18
Ancient
MAGI
11
–
13
WALC
44%
56%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
MAGI
WALC
Ranking
MAGI
WALC
After First Death
MAGI
WALC
CT Opening Kills
MAGI
WALC
Opening Kills
MAGI
WALC
Recent on Ancient
magic
6-13
vs Inner Circle
Jul 10
13-7
vs EAC
Jul 9
13-6
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 30
13-9
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 29
13-9
vs 3DMAX
May 27
Walczaki
13-9
vs SPARTA
Jul 16
13-11
vs EAC
Jun 24
16-12
vs KOLESIE
Jun 22
13-10
vs ARCRED
Jun 7
7-13
vs TDK
Jun 6
Mirage
MAGI
13
–
10
WALC
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
MAGI
WALC
After First Kill
MAGI
WALC
T 5v4
MAGI
WALC
Round Win Rate
MAGI
WALC
After First Death
MAGI
WALC
Recent on Mirage
magic
13-6
vs EAC
Jul 9
11-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 30
13-2
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 29
4-13
vs FaZe
May 28
2-13
vs MOUZ
May 17
Walczaki
10-13
vs Just Players
Jul 20
10-13
vs Echo
Jun 25
13-5
vs KOLESIE
Jun 22
13-8
vs ARCRED
Jun 7
13-10
vs Nemesis
May 18
Inferno
MAGI
9
–
13
WALC
42%
58%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
MAGI
WALC
Ranking
MAGI
WALC
Round Win Rate
MAGI
WALC
Map Player Rating
MAGI
WALC
Opening Kills
MAGI
WALC
Recent on Inferno
magic
19-15
vs 3DMAX
May 27
7-13
vs MOUZ
May 17
16-13
vs Gentle Mates
May 12
13-6
vs HEROIC
May 11
4-13
vs The MongolZ
May 9
Walczaki
13-7
vs SPARTA
Jul 16
13-3
vs Oxuji
Jun 19
13-7
vs TDK
Jun 18
13-8
vs G2 Ares
Jun 15
7-13
vs Alliance
May 24
Ancient
MAGI
11
–
13
WALC
44%
56%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
MAGI
WALC
Ranking
MAGI
WALC
After First Death
MAGI
WALC
CT Opening Kills
MAGI
WALC
Opening Kills
MAGI
WALC
Recent on Ancient
magic
6-13
vs Inner Circle
Jul 10
13-7
vs EAC
Jul 9
13-6
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 30
13-9
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 29
13-9
vs 3DMAX
May 27
Walczaki
13-9
vs SPARTA
Jul 16
13-11
vs EAC
Jun 24
16-12
vs KOLESIE
Jun 22
13-10
vs ARCRED
Jun 7
7-13
vs TDK
Jun 6
Mirage
MAGI
13
–
10
WALC
62%
38%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
MAGI
WALC
After First Kill
MAGI
WALC
T 5v4
MAGI
WALC
Round Win Rate
MAGI
WALC
After First Death
MAGI
WALC
Recent on Mirage
magic
13-6
vs EAC
Jul 9
11-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 30
13-2
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 29
4-13
vs FaZe
May 28
2-13
vs MOUZ
May 17
Walczaki
10-13
vs Just Players
Jul 20
10-13
vs Echo
Jun 25
13-5
vs KOLESIE
Jun 22
13-8
vs ARCRED
Jun 7
13-10
vs Nemesis
May 18
Dust2
MAGI
11
–
13
WALC
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
MAGI
WALC
Ranking
MAGI
WALC
Map Win Rate
MAGI
WALC
After First Death
MAGI
WALC
T 5v4
MAGI
WALC
Recent on Dust2
magic
4-13
vs Inner Circle
Jul 10
13-11
vs FaZe
May 28
5-13
vs Falcons
May 16
13-9
vs 9z
May 15
4-13
vs HEROIC
May 11
Walczaki
5-13
vs Inner Circle
Jun 26
8-13
vs KOLESIE
Jun 22
13-4
vs INFINITE
Jun 20
9-13
vs Phantom
Jun 20
7-13
vs TDK
Jun 18
Recent Results
last 11 matches
magic
Walczaki
L
0-2
vs Inner Circle
Dust2Ancient
Jul 10
34d ago
W
2-1
vs EAC
CacheAncientMirage
Jul 9
35d ago
L
1-2
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
AnubisAncientMirage
May 30
75d ago
W
2-0
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
AncientMirage
May 29
76d ago
W
2-1
vs FaZe
MirageDust2Overpass
May 28
77d ago
W
2-0
vs 3DMAX
AncientInferno
May 27
78d ago
L
0-2
vs MOUZ
MirageInferno
May 17
88d ago
L
0-2
vs Falcons
AncientDust2
May 16
89d ago
W
2-1
vs 9z
Dust2MirageAncient
May 15
90d ago
W
2-0
vs Gentle Mates
MirageInferno
May 12
93d ago
W
2-0
vs K27
MirageOverpass
May 11
94d ago
L
0-2
vs Just Players
NukeMirage
Jul 20
24d ago
W
2-1
vs SPARTA
AncientCacheInferno
Jul 16
28d ago
L
0-2
vs Inner Circle
AnubisDust2
Jun 26
48d ago
L
1-2
vs Echo
AnubisNukeMirage
Jun 25
49d ago
W
2-0
vs EAC
AnubisAncient
Jun 24
50d ago
W
3-2
vs KOLESIE
AnubisDust2NukeMirageAncient
Jun 22
52d ago
W
2-0
vs INFINITE
NukeDust2
Jun 20
54d ago
L
0-2
vs Phantom
AnubisDust2
Jun 20
54d ago
W
2-0
vs Oxuji
InfernoNuke
Jun 19
55d ago
W
2-1
vs TDK
InfernoDust2Anubis
Jun 18
56d ago
W
2-0
vs G2 Ares
AnubisInferno
Jun 15
59d ago
Player Matchups
magic
Ratings
Walczaki
MA
MaSvAl
EntryADR 76.1KAST 73%
OL
olimp
RiflerADR 82.1KAST 71%
TE
tenzy
RiflerADR 74.6KAST 69%
SA
SaMey
AWPADR 68.5KAST 74%
MO
mo0N
AWPADR 69.5KAST 69%
BA
bajmi
EntryADR 72.9KAST 73%
AW
AW
RiflerADR 71.3KAST 69%
MO
moonwalk
RiflerADR 74.7KAST 71%
SF
sFade8
RiflerADR 74.7KAST 70%
SK
sk1tt
RiflerADR 71.4KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Nuke
MAGI
5
–
13
WALC
8%
92%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
After First Kill
MAGI
WALC
After First Death
MAGI
WALC
Map Player Rating
MAGI
WALC
Ban Rate
MAGI
WALC
Ranking
MAGI
WALC
Recent on Nuke
magic
no data
Walczaki
11-13
vs Just Players
Jul 20
7-13
vs Echo
Jun 25
13-10
vs KOLESIE
Jun 22
13-2
vs INFINITE
Jun 20
13-5
vs Oxuji
Jun 19
Dust2
MAGI
11
–
13
WALC
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
MAGI
WALC
Ranking
MAGI
WALC
Map Win Rate
MAGI
WALC
After First Death
MAGI
WALC
T 5v4
MAGI
WALC
Recent on Dust2
magic
4-13
vs Inner Circle
Jul 10
13-11
vs FaZe
May 28
5-13
vs Falcons
May 16
13-9
vs 9z
May 15
4-13
vs HEROIC
May 11
Walczaki
5-13
vs Inner Circle
Jun 26
8-13
vs KOLESIE
Jun 22
13-4
vs INFINITE
Jun 20
9-13
vs Phantom
Jun 20
7-13
vs TDK
Jun 18
Inferno
MAGI
9
–
13
WALC
42%
58%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
MAGI
WALC
Ranking
MAGI
WALC
Round Win Rate
MAGI
WALC
Map Player Rating
MAGI
WALC
Opening Kills
MAGI
WALC
Recent on Inferno
magic
19-15
vs 3DMAX
May 27
7-13
vs MOUZ
May 17
16-13
vs Gentle Mates
May 12
13-6
vs HEROIC
May 11
4-13
vs The MongolZ
May 9
Walczaki
13-7
vs SPARTA
Jul 16
13-3
vs Oxuji
Jun 19
13-7
vs TDK
Jun 18
13-8
vs G2 Ares
Jun 15
7-13
vs Alliance
May 24
Cache
MAGI
14
–
16
WALC
49%
51%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
MAGI
WALC
After First Death
MAGI
WALC
Ranking
MAGI
WALC
Opening Kills
MAGI
WALC
Map Player Rating
MAGI
WALC
Recent on Cache
magic
14-16
vs EAC
Jul 9
Walczaki
14-16
vs SPARTA
Jul 16
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