Bo5 · BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 Finals
· 2026-08-02
Spirit
✗
vs
MOUZ
100%
0%
Series win probability
SPIR
3–0
83%
SPIR
3–1
15%
SPIR
3–2
2%
MOUZ
3–2
0%
MOUZ
3–1
0%
Actual result
Dust2
13–8
MOUZ
Mirage
13–4
MOUZ
Ancient
13–9
SPIR
Nuke
13–10
MOUZ
Model Insights
Spirit is strongly favored at 100%, holding a map advantage on 5 of 5 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.15 vs 1.09), a strong nuke (97% win probability).
Predicted Maps
5 maps
Scenario 1
100%
Dust2 · Mirage · Nuke · Ancient · Cache
Dust2
SPIR
13
–
5
MOUZ
93%
7%
Win prob
OT 2%
✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPIR
MOUZ
After First Kill
SPIR
MOUZ
After First Death
SPIR
MOUZ
Round Win Rate
SPIR
MOUZ
Map Player Rating
SPIR
MOUZ
Recent on Dust2
Spirit
13-6
vs FaZe
Aug 1
13-7
vs Liquid
Jul 30
13-0
vs 100 Thieves
Jul 26
11-13
vs OG
Jul 23
12-16
vs Falcons
Jun 20
MOUZ
13-9
vs Astralis
Aug 1
10-13
vs 3DMAX
Jul 30
13-10
vs FOKUS
Jul 25
13-7
vs Vitality
Jun 13
13-5
vs Legacy
Jun 11
Mirage
SPIR
13
–
6
MOUZ
92%
8%
Win prob
OT 3%
✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPIR
MOUZ
After First Death
SPIR
MOUZ
Opening Score
SPIR
MOUZ
Opening Kills
SPIR
MOUZ
Side Balance
SPIR
MOUZ
Recent on Mirage
Spirit
4-13
vs 100 Thieves
Jul 26
13-8
vs Falcons
Jun 20
25-22
vs G2
Jun 19
16-13
vs 9z
Jun 13
13-3
vs 9z
Jun 7
MOUZ
13-9
vs Astralis
Aug 1
13-8
vs FOKUS
Jul 25
7-13
vs FUT
Jun 14
9-13
vs Vitality
Jun 13
13-7
vs Falcons
May 22
Nuke
SPIR
13
–
4
MOUZ
97%
3%
Win prob
OT 1%
✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPIR
MOUZ
After First Death
SPIR
MOUZ
After First Kill
SPIR
MOUZ
Map Player Rating
SPIR
MOUZ
Opening Kills
SPIR
MOUZ
Recent on Nuke
Spirit
13-5
vs Aurora
Jun 12
13-1
vs 9z
Jun 7
13-2
vs MOUZ
May 16
10-13
vs Vitality
Apr 19
11-13
vs The MongolZ
Mar 23
MOUZ
22-18
vs 3DMAX
Jul 30
13-11
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jul 21
13-10
vs FUT
Jun 14
5-13
vs FURIA
Jun 12
13-6
vs Legacy
Jun 11
Ancient
SPIR
13
–
5
MOUZ
92%
8%
Win prob
OT 3%
✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPIR
MOUZ
Map Win Rate
SPIR
MOUZ
Opening Kills
SPIR
MOUZ
After First Death
SPIR
MOUZ
Map Player Rating
SPIR
MOUZ
Recent on Ancient
Spirit
19-16
vs OG
Jul 23
13-10
vs Falcons
May 17
13-11
vs G2
May 15
19-16
vs The MongolZ
May 10
13-3
vs The Huns
May 9
MOUZ
6-13
vs Astralis
Aug 1
13-6
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jul 21
11-13
vs FUT
Jun 14
13-1
vs MIBR
May 23
22-20
vs B8
May 22
Cache
SPIR
13
–
5
MOUZ
93%
7%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
SPIR
MOUZ
After First Death
SPIR
MOUZ
After First Kill
SPIR
MOUZ
Map Player Rating
SPIR
MOUZ
Round Win Rate
SPIR
MOUZ
Recent on Cache
Spirit
9-13
vs FaZe
Aug 1
13-4
vs OG
Jul 23
MOUZ
no data
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Spirit
MOUZ
W
2-1
vs FaZe
Dust2CacheAnubis
Aug 1
12d ago
W
2-0
vs Liquid
Dust2Anubis
Jul 30
14d ago
W
2-1
vs 100 Thieves
AnubisMirageDust2
Jul 26
18d ago
W
2-1
vs OG
CacheDust2Ancient
Jul 23
21d ago
L
1-2
vs Falcons
AnubisMirageDust2
Jun 20
54d ago
W
2-1
vs G2
OverpassDust2Mirage
Jun 19
55d ago
W
2-1
vs 9z
OverpassMirageDust2
Jun 13
61d ago
W
2-1
vs Aurora
Dust2AnubisNuke
Jun 12
62d ago
W
2-0
vs Natus Vincere
Dust2Anubis
Jun 11
63d ago
W
2-0
vs 9z
MirageNuke
Jun 7
67d ago
W
1-0
vs BetBoom
Mirage
Jun 6
68d ago
W
2-1
vs Astralis
AncientMirageDust2
Aug 1
12d ago
W
2-1
vs 3DMAX
Dust2NukeInferno
Jul 30
14d ago
W
2-0
vs FOKUS
Dust2Mirage
Jul 25
19d ago
W
2-0
vs Nuclear TigeRES
AncientNuke
Jul 21
23d ago
L
1-2
vs FUT
AncientNukeMirage
Jun 14
60d ago
L
1-2
vs Vitality
MirageDust2Inferno
Jun 13
61d ago
L
1-2
vs FURIA
NukeInfernoOverpass
Jun 12
62d ago
W
2-0
vs Legacy
Dust2Nuke
Jun 11
63d ago
W
2-0
vs MIBR
OverpassAncient
May 23
82d ago
W
2-0
vs B8
OverpassAncient
May 22
83d ago
L
1-2
vs Falcons
MirageDust2Nuke
May 22
83d ago
Player Matchups
Spirit
Ratings
MOUZ
DO
donk
EntryADR 96.0KAST 78%
XE
xertioN
EntryADR 86.7KAST 76%
SH
sh1ro
AWPADR 77.3KAST 78%
TO
torzsi
AWPADR 70.7KAST 74%
TN
tN1R
RiflerADR 71.2KAST 74%
PR
PR
RiflerADR 75.3KAST 73%
ZO
zont1x
RiflerADR 68.7KAST 77%
XE
xelex
RiflerADR 68.7KAST 71%
MA
magixx
RiflerADR 68.8KAST 74%
SP
Spinx
RiflerADR 71.0KAST 74%