Bo3 · BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2
· 2026-07-26
100 Thieves
vs
Spirit
✓
6%
94%
Series win probability
SPIR
2–0
64%
SPIR
2–1
30%
100T
2–0
4%
100T
2–1
2%
Actual result
Anubis
13–11
SPIR
Mirage
13–4
100T
Dust2
13–0
SPIR
Model Insights
Spirit is strongly favored at 94%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.16 vs 1.06), a significant ranking advantage (#1 vs #46), a strong mirage (92% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
39%
Ancient · Dust2 · Mirage
Scenario 2
38%
Ancient · Dust2 · Nuke
Scenario 3
24%
Ancient · Dust2 · Anubis
Ancient
100T
8
–
13
SPIR
20%
80%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
100T
SPIR
Ranking
100T
SPIR
Map Player Rating
100T
SPIR
After First Death
100T
SPIR
Overall Rating
100T
SPIR
Recent on Ancient
100 Thieves
15-19
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jul 23
16-12
vs Leo
Jun 18
13-16
vs K27
Jun 16
13-9
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 6
8-13
vs Johnny Speeds
Jun 6
Spirit
19-16
vs OG
Jul 23
13-10
vs Falcons
May 17
13-11
vs G2
May 15
19-16
vs The MongolZ
May 10
13-3
vs The Huns
May 9
Dust2
100T
9
–
13
SPIR
31%
69%
Win prob
OT 10%
✓
Key factors
Ranking
100T
SPIR
After First Kill
100T
SPIR
Overall Rating
100T
SPIR
Map Player Rating
100T
SPIR
After First Death
100T
SPIR
Recent on Dust2
100 Thieves
13-7
vs Falcons
Jul 22
13-7
vs GenOne
Jun 20
13-10
vs Leo
Jun 18
9-13
vs K27
Jun 16
13-8
vs Betclic
Jun 15
Spirit
11-13
vs OG
Jul 23
12-16
vs Falcons
Jun 20
16-14
vs G2
Jun 19
16-14
vs 9z
Jun 13
9-13
vs Aurora
Jun 12
Mirage
100T
5
–
13
SPIR
8%
92%
Win prob
OT 2%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
100T
SPIR
Ranking
100T
SPIR
Ban Rate
100T
SPIR
Map Player Rating
100T
SPIR
After First Kill
100T
SPIR
Recent on Mirage
100 Thieves
13-8
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jul 23
13-10
vs Johnny Speeds
Jun 6
4-13
vs Nemesis
May 30
9-13
vs STATE
May 24
13-0
vs Sashi Academy
May 23
Spirit
13-8
vs Falcons
Jun 20
25-22
vs G2
Jun 19
16-13
vs 9z
Jun 13
13-3
vs 9z
Jun 7
13-5
vs BetBoom
Jun 6
Ancient
100T
8
–
13
SPIR
20%
80%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
100T
SPIR
Ranking
100T
SPIR
Map Player Rating
100T
SPIR
After First Death
100T
SPIR
Overall Rating
100T
SPIR
Recent on Ancient
100 Thieves
15-19
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jul 23
16-12
vs Leo
Jun 18
13-16
vs K27
Jun 16
13-9
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 6
8-13
vs Johnny Speeds
Jun 6
Spirit
19-16
vs OG
Jul 23
13-10
vs Falcons
May 17
13-11
vs G2
May 15
19-16
vs The MongolZ
May 10
13-3
vs The Huns
May 9
Dust2
100T
9
–
13
SPIR
31%
69%
Win prob
OT 10%
✓
Key factors
Ranking
100T
SPIR
After First Kill
100T
SPIR
Overall Rating
100T
SPIR
Map Player Rating
100T
SPIR
After First Death
100T
SPIR
Recent on Dust2
100 Thieves
13-7
vs Falcons
Jul 22
13-7
vs GenOne
Jun 20
13-10
vs Leo
Jun 18
9-13
vs K27
Jun 16
13-8
vs Betclic
Jun 15
Spirit
11-13
vs OG
Jul 23
12-16
vs Falcons
Jun 20
16-14
vs G2
Jun 19
16-14
vs 9z
Jun 13
9-13
vs Aurora
Jun 12
Nuke
100T
5
–
13
SPIR
8%
92%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
After First Kill
100T
SPIR
After First Death
100T
SPIR
Ranking
100T
SPIR
Map Player Rating
100T
SPIR
Overall Rating
100T
SPIR
Recent on Nuke
100 Thieves
4-13
vs Falcons
Jul 22
9-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 22
5-13
vs Leo
Jun 18
16-12
vs Betclic
Jun 15
13-2
vs Eternal 21
May 23
Spirit
13-5
vs Aurora
Jun 12
13-1
vs 9z
Jun 7
13-2
vs MOUZ
May 16
10-13
vs Vitality
Apr 19
11-13
vs The MongolZ
Mar 23
Ancient
100T
8
–
13
SPIR
20%
80%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
100T
SPIR
Ranking
100T
SPIR
Map Player Rating
100T
SPIR
After First Death
100T
SPIR
Overall Rating
100T
SPIR
Recent on Ancient
100 Thieves
15-19
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jul 23
16-12
vs Leo
Jun 18
13-16
vs K27
Jun 16
13-9
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 6
8-13
vs Johnny Speeds
Jun 6
Spirit
19-16
vs OG
Jul 23
13-10
vs Falcons
May 17
13-11
vs G2
May 15
19-16
vs The MongolZ
May 10
13-3
vs The Huns
May 9
Dust2
100T
9
–
13
SPIR
31%
69%
Win prob
OT 10%
✓
Key factors
Ranking
100T
SPIR
After First Kill
100T
SPIR
Overall Rating
100T
SPIR
Map Player Rating
100T
SPIR
After First Death
100T
SPIR
Recent on Dust2
100 Thieves
13-7
vs Falcons
Jul 22
13-7
vs GenOne
Jun 20
13-10
vs Leo
Jun 18
9-13
vs K27
Jun 16
13-8
vs Betclic
Jun 15
Spirit
11-13
vs OG
Jul 23
12-16
vs Falcons
Jun 20
16-14
vs G2
Jun 19
16-14
vs 9z
Jun 13
9-13
vs Aurora
Jun 12
Anubis
100T
6
–
13
SPIR
8%
92%
Win prob
OT 3%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
100T
SPIR
Ranking
100T
SPIR
After First Death
100T
SPIR
Overall Rating
100T
SPIR
Map Player Rating
100T
SPIR
Recent on Anubis
100 Thieves
13-11
vs Falcons
Jul 22
10-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 22
13-16
vs TDK
Jun 21
11-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 25
17-19
vs AM
Mar 9
Spirit
14-16
vs Falcons
Jun 20
13-4
vs Aurora
Jun 12
13-8
vs Natus Vincere
Jun 11
4-13
vs Falcons
Apr 14
3-13
vs PARIVISION
Mar 21
Recent Results
last 11 matches
100 Thieves
Spirit
L
1-2
vs Nuclear TigeRES
AncientMirageInferno
Jul 23
21d ago
W
2-1
vs Falcons
NukeDust2Anubis
Jul 22
22d ago
L
1-2
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
InfernoNukeAnubis
Jul 22
22d ago
L
0-2
vs TDK
AnubisInferno
Jun 21
53d ago
W
2-0
vs GenOne
InfernoDust2
Jun 20
54d ago
W
2-1
vs Leo
NukeDust2Ancient
Jun 18
56d ago
L
0-2
vs K27
Dust2Ancient
Jun 16
58d ago
W
2-0
vs Betclic
NukeDust2
Jun 15
59d ago
W
2-0
vs ex-RUBY
AncientDust2
Jun 6
68d ago
W
2-1
vs Johnny Speeds
AncientMirageDust2
Jun 6
68d ago
W
2-0
vs Phantom
AncientDust2
Jun 5
69d ago
W
2-1
vs OG
CacheDust2Ancient
Jul 23
21d ago
L
1-2
vs Falcons
AnubisMirageDust2
Jun 20
54d ago
W
2-1
vs G2
OverpassDust2Mirage
Jun 19
55d ago
W
2-1
vs 9z
OverpassMirageDust2
Jun 13
61d ago
W
2-1
vs Aurora
Dust2AnubisNuke
Jun 12
62d ago
W
2-0
vs Natus Vincere
Dust2Anubis
Jun 11
63d ago
W
2-0
vs 9z
MirageNuke
Jun 7
67d ago
W
1-0
vs BetBoom
Mirage
Jun 6
68d ago
W
1-0
vs MIBR
Mirage
Jun 6
68d ago
W
3-0
vs Falcons
Dust2MirageAncient
May 17
88d ago
W
2-0
vs MOUZ
Dust2Nuke
May 16
89d ago
Player Matchups
100 Thieves
Ratings
Spirit
DE
device
AWPADR 83.6KAST 75%
DO
donk
EntryADR 97.7KAST 79%
PO
poiii
EntryADR 79.2KAST 75%
SH
sh1ro
AWPADR 78.5KAST 79%
RA
rain
RiflerADR 72.8KAST 75%
TN
tN1R
RiflerADR 71.2KAST 74%
SI
sirah
RiflerADR 72.5KAST 74%
ZO
zont1x
RiflerADR 69.3KAST 77%
GI
Gizmy
RiflerADR 67.7KAST 68%
MA
magixx
RiflerADR 69.1KAST 75%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Cache
100T
5
–
13
SPIR
8%
92%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
100T
SPIR
After First Death
100T
SPIR
Ranking
100T
SPIR
Map Player Rating
100T
SPIR
Overall Rating
100T
SPIR
Recent on Cache
100 Thieves
no data
Spirit
13-4
vs OG
Jul 23
Anubis
100T
6
–
13
SPIR
8%
92%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
100T
SPIR
Ranking
100T
SPIR
After First Death
100T
SPIR
Overall Rating
100T
SPIR
Map Player Rating
100T
SPIR
Recent on Anubis
100 Thieves
13-11
vs Falcons
Jul 22
10-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 22
13-16
vs TDK
Jun 21
11-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 25
17-19
vs AM
Mar 9
Spirit
14-16
vs Falcons
Jun 20
13-4
vs Aurora
Jun 12
13-8
vs Natus Vincere
Jun 11
4-13
vs Falcons
Apr 14
3-13
vs PARIVISION
Mar 21
Nuke
100T
5
–
13
SPIR
8%
92%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
After First Kill
100T
SPIR
After First Death
100T
SPIR
Ranking
100T
SPIR
Map Player Rating
100T
SPIR
Overall Rating
100T
SPIR
Recent on Nuke
100 Thieves
4-13
vs Falcons
Jul 22
9-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 22
5-13
vs Leo
Jun 18
16-12
vs Betclic
Jun 15
13-2
vs Eternal 21
May 23
Spirit
13-5
vs Aurora
Jun 12
13-1
vs 9z
Jun 7
13-2
vs MOUZ
May 16
10-13
vs Vitality
Apr 19
11-13
vs The MongolZ
Mar 23
More from BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2
2 matches