Bo3 · BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2
· 2026-07-22
100 Thieves
vs
Falcons
✗
17%
83%
Series win probability
FALC
2–0
58%
FALC
2–1
25%
100T
2–1
11%
100T
2–0
6%
Actual result
Nuke
13–4
FALC
Dust2
13–7
100T
Anubis
13–11
100T
Model Insights
Falcons is strongly favored at 83%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#2 vs #48), a strong dust2 (85% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
38%
Inferno · Dust2 · Ancient
Scenario 2
32%
Inferno · Ancient · Nuke
Scenario 3
30%
Inferno · Ancient · Mirage
Inferno
100T
9
–
13
FALC
23%
77%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
100T
FALC
After First Death
100T
FALC
Ranking
100T
FALC
After First Kill
100T
FALC
Map Win Rate
100T
FALC
Recent on Inferno
100 Thieves
13-10
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 22
14-16
vs TDK
Jun 21
13-6
vs GenOne
Jun 20
13-11
vs Ursa
Jun 4
6-13
vs Nemesis
May 30
Falcons
13-8
vs FURIA
Jun 21
11-13
vs Vitality
Jun 19
13-9
vs Monte
Jun 13
10-13
vs G2
Jun 11
19-15
vs M80
May 20
Dust2
100T
7
–
13
FALC
15%
85%
Win prob
OT 6%
✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
100T
FALC
After First Kill
100T
FALC
Ranking
100T
FALC
After First Death
100T
FALC
Opening Score
100T
FALC
Recent on Dust2
100 Thieves
13-7
vs GenOne
Jun 20
13-10
vs Leo
Jun 18
9-13
vs K27
Jun 16
13-8
vs Betclic
Jun 15
13-6
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 6
Falcons
16-12
vs Spirit
Jun 20
13-11
vs Vitality
Jun 19
13-3
vs Natus Vincere
Jun 14
11-13
vs Monte
Jun 13
13-8
vs G2
Jun 11
Ancient
100T
9
–
13
FALC
33%
67%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
100T
FALC
Ranking
100T
FALC
Opening Kills
100T
FALC
After First Kill
100T
FALC
Round Win Rate
100T
FALC
Recent on Ancient
100 Thieves
16-12
vs Leo
Jun 18
13-16
vs K27
Jun 16
13-9
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 6
8-13
vs Johnny Speeds
Jun 6
13-7
vs Phantom
Jun 5
Falcons
10-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 12
16-13
vs G2
Jun 11
9-13
vs Legacy
May 23
13-9
vs Legacy
May 21
13-11
vs M80
May 20
Inferno
100T
9
–
13
FALC
23%
77%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
100T
FALC
After First Death
100T
FALC
Ranking
100T
FALC
After First Kill
100T
FALC
Map Win Rate
100T
FALC
Recent on Inferno
100 Thieves
13-10
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 22
14-16
vs TDK
Jun 21
13-6
vs GenOne
Jun 20
13-11
vs Ursa
Jun 4
6-13
vs Nemesis
May 30
Falcons
13-8
vs FURIA
Jun 21
11-13
vs Vitality
Jun 19
13-9
vs Monte
Jun 13
10-13
vs G2
Jun 11
19-15
vs M80
May 20
Ancient
100T
9
–
13
FALC
33%
67%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
100T
FALC
Ranking
100T
FALC
Opening Kills
100T
FALC
After First Kill
100T
FALC
Round Win Rate
100T
FALC
Recent on Ancient
100 Thieves
16-12
vs Leo
Jun 18
13-16
vs K27
Jun 16
13-9
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 6
8-13
vs Johnny Speeds
Jun 6
13-7
vs Phantom
Jun 5
Falcons
10-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 12
16-13
vs G2
Jun 11
9-13
vs Legacy
May 23
13-9
vs Legacy
May 21
13-11
vs M80
May 20
Nuke
100T
9
–
13
FALC
30%
70%
Win prob
OT 10%
✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
100T
FALC
Ranking
100T
FALC
T 5v4
100T
FALC
Opening Kills
100T
FALC
After First Death
100T
FALC
Recent on Nuke
100 Thieves
9-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 22
5-13
vs Leo
Jun 18
16-12
vs Betclic
Jun 15
13-2
vs Eternal 21
May 23
13-2
vs Sashi Academy
May 23
Falcons
11-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 12
13-11
vs Legacy
May 23
13-10
vs MOUZ
May 22
22-20
vs FURIA
May 15
8-13
vs 9z
May 10
Inferno
100T
9
–
13
FALC
23%
77%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
100T
FALC
After First Death
100T
FALC
Ranking
100T
FALC
After First Kill
100T
FALC
Map Win Rate
100T
FALC
Recent on Inferno
100 Thieves
13-10
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 22
14-16
vs TDK
Jun 21
13-6
vs GenOne
Jun 20
13-11
vs Ursa
Jun 4
6-13
vs Nemesis
May 30
Falcons
13-8
vs FURIA
Jun 21
11-13
vs Vitality
Jun 19
13-9
vs Monte
Jun 13
10-13
vs G2
Jun 11
19-15
vs M80
May 20
Ancient
100T
9
–
13
FALC
33%
67%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
100T
FALC
Ranking
100T
FALC
Opening Kills
100T
FALC
After First Kill
100T
FALC
Round Win Rate
100T
FALC
Recent on Ancient
100 Thieves
16-12
vs Leo
Jun 18
13-16
vs K27
Jun 16
13-9
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 6
8-13
vs Johnny Speeds
Jun 6
13-7
vs Phantom
Jun 5
Falcons
10-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 12
16-13
vs G2
Jun 11
9-13
vs Legacy
May 23
13-9
vs Legacy
May 21
13-11
vs M80
May 20
Mirage
100T
10
–
13
FALC
33%
67%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
100T
FALC
Ranking
100T
FALC
After First Death
100T
FALC
Ban Rate
100T
FALC
Map Player Rating
100T
FALC
Recent on Mirage
100 Thieves
13-10
vs Johnny Speeds
Jun 6
4-13
vs Nemesis
May 30
9-13
vs STATE
May 24
13-0
vs Sashi Academy
May 23
17-19
vs Nuclear TigeRES
May 19
Falcons
13-8
vs FURIA
Jun 21
8-13
vs Spirit
Jun 20
7-13
vs Natus Vincere
Jun 14
13-10
vs Monte
Jun 13
6-13
vs Legacy
May 23
Recent Results
last 11 matches
100 Thieves
Falcons
L
0-2
vs TDK
AnubisInferno
Jun 21
53d ago
W
2-0
vs GenOne
InfernoDust2
Jun 20
54d ago
W
2-1
vs Leo
NukeDust2Ancient
Jun 18
56d ago
L
0-2
vs K27
Dust2Ancient
Jun 16
58d ago
W
2-0
vs Betclic
NukeDust2
Jun 15
59d ago
W
2-0
vs ex-RUBY
AncientDust2
Jun 6
68d ago
W
2-1
vs Johnny Speeds
AncientMirageDust2
Jun 6
68d ago
W
2-0
vs Phantom
AncientDust2
Jun 5
69d ago
W
2-0
vs Ursa
InfernoDust2
Jun 4
70d ago
L
1-2
vs Nemesis
InfernoAncientMirage
May 30
75d ago
W
2-0
vs Oramond
Dust2Ancient
May 29
76d ago
W
3-0
vs FURIA
MirageAnubisInferno
Jun 21
53d ago
W
2-1
vs Spirit
AnubisMirageDust2
Jun 20
54d ago
W
2-1
vs Vitality
AnubisInfernoDust2
Jun 19
55d ago
W
2-1
vs Natus Vincere
Dust2MirageAnubis
Jun 14
60d ago
W
2-1
vs Monte
InfernoDust2Mirage
Jun 13
61d ago
L
0-2
vs BetBoom
NukeAncient
Jun 12
62d ago
W
2-1
vs G2
InfernoDust2Ancient
Jun 11
63d ago
L
1-3
vs Legacy
NukeAncientMirageDust2
May 23
82d ago
W
2-1
vs MOUZ
MirageDust2Nuke
May 22
83d ago
W
2-0
vs Legacy
Dust2Ancient
May 21
84d ago
W
2-0
vs M80
InfernoAncient
May 20
85d ago
Player Matchups
100 Thieves
Ratings
Falcons
DE
device
AWPADR 84.3KAST 75%
M0
m0NESY
AWPADR 80.2KAST 75%
PO
poiii
RiflerADR 79.0KAST 75%
KY
kyousuke
RiflerADR 83.1KAST 74%
SI
sirah
RiflerADR 73.4KAST 74%
NI
NiKo
EntryADR 75.3KAST 73%
RA
rain
EntryADR 72.6KAST 75%
TE
TeSeS
RiflerADR 68.1KAST 72%
GI
Gizmy
RiflerADR 69.0KAST 69%
KA
karrigan
RiflerADR 53.5KAST 68%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Anubis
100T
5
–
13
FALC
10%
90%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
100T
FALC
After First Kill
100T
FALC
Ranking
100T
FALC
After First Death
100T
FALC
Map Player Rating
100T
FALC
Recent on Anubis
100 Thieves
10-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 22
13-16
vs TDK
Jun 21
11-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Apr 25
17-19
vs AM
Mar 9
13-7
vs FlyQuest
Feb 28
Falcons
13-8
vs FURIA
Jun 21
16-14
vs Spirit
Jun 20
13-11
vs Vitality
Jun 19
19-16
vs Natus Vincere
Jun 14
13-4
vs Spirit
Apr 14
Cache
100T
7
–
13
FALC
19%
81%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
100T
FALC
Ranking
100T
FALC
Opening Score
100T
FALC
Side Balance
100T
FALC
Days With Lineup Opp
100T
FALC
Recent on Cache
100 Thieves
no data
Falcons
no data
Nuke
100T
9
–
13
FALC
30%
70%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
100T
FALC
Ranking
100T
FALC
T 5v4
100T
FALC
Opening Kills
100T
FALC
After First Death
100T
FALC
Recent on Nuke
100 Thieves
9-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jul 22
5-13
vs Leo
Jun 18
16-12
vs Betclic
Jun 15
13-2
vs Eternal 21
May 23
13-2
vs Sashi Academy
May 23
Falcons
11-13
vs BetBoom
Jun 12
13-11
vs Legacy
May 23
13-10
vs MOUZ
May 22
22-20
vs FURIA
May 15
8-13
vs 9z
May 10
Mirage
100T
10
–
13
FALC
33%
67%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
100T
FALC
Ranking
100T
FALC
After First Death
100T
FALC
Ban Rate
100T
FALC
Map Player Rating
100T
FALC
Recent on Mirage
100 Thieves
13-10
vs Johnny Speeds
Jun 6
4-13
vs Nemesis
May 30
9-13
vs STATE
May 24
13-0
vs Sashi Academy
May 23
17-19
vs Nuclear TigeRES
May 19
Falcons
13-8
vs FURIA
Jun 21
8-13
vs Spirit
Jun 20
7-13
vs Natus Vincere
Jun 14
13-10
vs Monte
Jun 13
6-13
vs Legacy
May 23
More from BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2
1 match