Bo3 · CCT 2026 Europe Series 5
· 2026-08-01
Black Phoenix
vs
Butterfly
✗
34%
66%
Series win probability
BUTT
2–0
41%
BUTT
2–1
25%
BP
2–1
22%
BP
2–0
13%
Actual result
Dust2
13–10
BP
Nuke
13–11
BUTT
Inferno
13–10
BP
Model Insights
Butterfly has a moderate edge at 65%, favored on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.17 vs 1.03), a significant ranking advantage (#67 vs #109), a strong mirage (67% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
43%
Dust2 · Nuke · Mirage
Scenario 2
30%
Dust2 · Nuke · Cache
Scenario 3
27%
Dust2 · Nuke · Inferno
Dust2
BP
10
–
13
BUTT
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
BP
BUTT
After First Kill
BP
BUTT
Ranking
BP
BUTT
Round Win Rate
BP
BUTT
Map Win Rate
BP
BUTT
Recent on Dust2
Black Phoenix
13-9
vs JiJieHao
Jul 31
6-13
vs Enjoy
Jul 28
13-10
vs Bebop
Jul 28
13-8
vs benched gods
Jul 27
13-7
vs Misa
Jul 27
Butterfly
13-5
vs SAW Youngsters
Jul 26
Nuke
BP
9
–
13
BUTT
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 11%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
BP
BUTT
After First Death
BP
BUTT
Ranking
BP
BUTT
Round Win Rate
BP
BUTT
Map Win Rate
BP
BUTT
Recent on Nuke
Black Phoenix
13-10
vs Entropy
Jul 29
8-13
vs Bebop
Jul 28
Butterfly
13-11
vs Just Players
Jul 28
11-13
vs Lavked
Jul 26
13-10
vs SAW Youngsters
Jul 26
13-6
vs Just Players
Jul 23
Mirage
BP
7
–
13
BUTT
33%
67%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
BP
BUTT
Round Win Rate
BP
BUTT
After First Death
BP
BUTT
Ranking
BP
BUTT
Map Player Rating
BP
BUTT
Recent on Mirage
Black Phoenix
7-13
vs JiJieHao
Jul 31
13-9
vs Entropy
Jul 29
13-10
vs Enjoy
Jul 28
11-13
vs Bebop
Jul 28
6-13
vs Rune Eaters
Jul 22
Butterfly
13-5
vs G2 Ares
Jul 28
13-4
vs Just Players
Jul 28
13-10
vs Lavked
Jul 26
12-16
vs G2 Ares
Jul 24
13-2
vs Just Players
Jul 23
Dust2
BP
10
–
13
BUTT
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
BP
BUTT
After First Kill
BP
BUTT
Ranking
BP
BUTT
Round Win Rate
BP
BUTT
Map Win Rate
BP
BUTT
Recent on Dust2
Black Phoenix
13-9
vs JiJieHao
Jul 31
6-13
vs Enjoy
Jul 28
13-10
vs Bebop
Jul 28
13-8
vs benched gods
Jul 27
13-7
vs Misa
Jul 27
Butterfly
13-5
vs SAW Youngsters
Jul 26
Nuke
BP
9
–
13
BUTT
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 11%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
BP
BUTT
After First Death
BP
BUTT
Ranking
BP
BUTT
Round Win Rate
BP
BUTT
Map Win Rate
BP
BUTT
Recent on Nuke
Black Phoenix
13-10
vs Entropy
Jul 29
8-13
vs Bebop
Jul 28
Butterfly
13-11
vs Just Players
Jul 28
11-13
vs Lavked
Jul 26
13-10
vs SAW Youngsters
Jul 26
13-6
vs Just Players
Jul 23
Cache
BP
8
–
13
BUTT
23%
77%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Death
BP
BUTT
Map Player Rating
BP
BUTT
Ranking
BP
BUTT
Overall Rating
BP
BUTT
Map Win Rate
BP
BUTT
Recent on Cache
Black Phoenix
13-10
vs JiJieHao
Jul 31
13-9
vs Enjoy
Jul 28
9-13
vs benched gods
Jul 27
Butterfly
13-10
vs benched gods
Jul 22
Dust2
BP
10
–
13
BUTT
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
BP
BUTT
After First Kill
BP
BUTT
Ranking
BP
BUTT
Round Win Rate
BP
BUTT
Map Win Rate
BP
BUTT
Recent on Dust2
Black Phoenix
13-9
vs JiJieHao
Jul 31
6-13
vs Enjoy
Jul 28
13-10
vs Bebop
Jul 28
13-8
vs benched gods
Jul 27
13-7
vs Misa
Jul 27
Butterfly
13-5
vs SAW Youngsters
Jul 26
Nuke
BP
9
–
13
BUTT
40%
60%
Win prob
OT 11%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
BP
BUTT
After First Death
BP
BUTT
Ranking
BP
BUTT
Round Win Rate
BP
BUTT
Map Win Rate
BP
BUTT
Recent on Nuke
Black Phoenix
13-10
vs Entropy
Jul 29
8-13
vs Bebop
Jul 28
Butterfly
13-11
vs Just Players
Jul 28
11-13
vs Lavked
Jul 26
13-10
vs SAW Youngsters
Jul 26
13-6
vs Just Players
Jul 23
Inferno
BP
13
–
9
BUTT
70%
30%
Win prob
OT 10%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
BP
BUTT
Ranking
BP
BUTT
Map Player Rating
BP
BUTT
Map Win Rate
BP
BUTT
T 5v4
BP
BUTT
Recent on Inferno
Black Phoenix
13-11
vs benched gods
Jul 27
6-13
vs Misa
Jul 27
13-7
vs Rune Eaters
Jul 22
Butterfly
13-16
vs SAW Youngsters
Jul 26
14-16
vs G2 Ares
Jul 24
Recent Results
last 7 matches
Black Phoenix
Butterfly
W
2-1
vs JiJieHao
MirageDust2Cache
Jul 31
13d ago
W
2-0
vs Entropy
MirageNuke
Jul 29
15d ago
W
2-1
vs Enjoy
CacheDust2Mirage
Jul 28
16d ago
L
1-2
vs Bebop
NukeDust2Mirage
Jul 28
16d ago
W
2-1
vs benched gods
CacheDust2Inferno
Jul 27
17d ago
L
1-2
vs Misa
Dust2AnubisInferno
Jul 27
17d ago
W
2-1
vs Rune Eaters
Dust2MirageInferno
Jul 22
22d ago
W
2-0
vs G2 Ares
MirageAncient
Jul 28
16d ago
W
2-0
vs Just Players
MirageNuke
Jul 28
16d ago
L
1-2
vs Lavked
AnubisMirageNuke
Jul 26
18d ago
W
2-1
vs SAW Youngsters
NukeInfernoDust2
Jul 26
18d ago
L
1-2
vs G2 Ares
AncientMirageInferno
Jul 24
20d ago
W
2-0
vs Just Players
MirageNuke
Jul 23
21d ago
W
2-0
vs benched gods
AncientCache
Jul 22
22d ago
Player Matchups
Black Phoenix
Ratings
Butterfly
TO
topo
AWPADR 72.1KAST 71%
NI
nitzie
AWPADR 75.5KAST 73%
KA
karnez
EntryADR 78.8KAST 70%
AY
ayano
RiflerADR 71.6KAST 71%
4X
4X1s
RiflerADR 72.5KAST 70%
KU
Kurama
EntryADR 78.0KAST 69%
SA
Salazar
RiflerADR 64.7KAST 69%
K1
k1ssly
RiflerADR 70.4KAST 69%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Ancient
BP
6
–
13
BUTT
12%
88%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
BP
BUTT
After First Death
BP
BUTT
Ban Rate
BP
BUTT
Map Player Rating
BP
BUTT
Ranking
BP
BUTT
Recent on Ancient
Black Phoenix
no data
Butterfly
13-4
vs G2 Ares
Jul 28
13-4
vs G2 Ares
Jul 24
13-5
vs benched gods
Jul 22
Cache
BP
8
–
13
BUTT
23%
77%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Death
BP
BUTT
Map Player Rating
BP
BUTT
Ranking
BP
BUTT
Overall Rating
BP
BUTT
Map Win Rate
BP
BUTT
Recent on Cache
Black Phoenix
13-10
vs JiJieHao
Jul 31
13-9
vs Enjoy
Jul 28
9-13
vs benched gods
Jul 27
Butterfly
13-10
vs benched gods
Jul 22
Inferno
BP
13
–
9
BUTT
70%
30%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
BP
BUTT
Ranking
BP
BUTT
Map Player Rating
BP
BUTT
Map Win Rate
BP
BUTT
T 5v4
BP
BUTT
Recent on Inferno
Black Phoenix
13-11
vs benched gods
Jul 27
6-13
vs Misa
Jul 27
13-7
vs Rune Eaters
Jul 22
Butterfly
13-16
vs SAW Youngsters
Jul 26
14-16
vs G2 Ares
Jul 24
Anubis
BP
11
–
13
BUTT
45%
55%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
BP
BUTT
After First Death
BP
BUTT
Ranking
BP
BUTT
Opening Kills
BP
BUTT
T 5v4
BP
BUTT
Recent on Anubis
Black Phoenix
8-13
vs Misa
Jul 27
Butterfly
11-13
vs Lavked
Jul 26
More from CCT 2026 Europe Series 5
2 matches