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Bo3  ·  CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 · 2026-07-28
Butterfly
vs
Just Players
97%
3%
Series win probability
BUTT 2–0 75%
BUTT 2–1 21%
JP 2–1 2%
JP 2–0 2%
Actual result
Mirage 13–4 BUTT
Nuke 13–11 BUTT
Model Insights
Butterfly is strongly favored at 97%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.16 vs 1.07), a significant ranking advantage (#79 vs #104), a strong mirage (92% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 47% Nuke · Mirage · Ancient
Scenario 2 29% Nuke · Ancient · Dust2
Scenario 3 24% Nuke · Ancient · Cache
Nuke
BUTT 13 7 JP
79%
21%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BUTT
JP
After First Kill
BUTT
JP
Round Win Rate
BUTT
JP
Map Win Rate
BUTT
JP
Ranking
BUTT
JP
Recent on Nuke
Butterfly
11-13 vs Lavked Jul 26
13-10 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 26
13-6 vs Just Players Jul 23
Just Players
4-13 vs ex-Young Ninjas Jul 27
6-13 vs Butterfly Jul 23
13-11 vs Walczaki Jul 20
13-8 vs WW Jul 16
13-16 vs Tricked May 28
Mirage
BUTT 13 6 JP
92%
8%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BUTT
JP
After First Death
BUTT
JP
Round Win Rate
BUTT
JP
Overall Rating
BUTT
JP
Experience
BUTT
JP
Recent on Mirage
Butterfly
13-5 vs G2 Ares Jul 28
13-10 vs Lavked Jul 26
12-16 vs G2 Ares Jul 24
13-2 vs Just Players Jul 23
Just Players
13-4 vs ex-Young Ninjas Jul 27
14-16 vs ex-RUSTEC Jul 25
11-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Jul 23
2-13 vs Butterfly Jul 23
13-7 vs Endless Journey Jul 23
Ancient
BUTT 13 6 JP
90%
10%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BUTT
JP
After First Kill
BUTT
JP
After First Death
BUTT
JP
Round Win Rate
BUTT
JP
Overall Rating
BUTT
JP
Recent on Ancient
Butterfly
13-4 vs G2 Ares Jul 28
13-4 vs G2 Ares Jul 24
13-5 vs benched gods Jul 22
Just Players
19-16 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 27
13-4 vs Endless Journey Jul 23
7-13 vs 1win Jul 22
13-10 vs ex-RUBY Jul 17
13-2 vs NEW VISION Jul 17
Nuke
BUTT 13 7 JP
79%
21%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BUTT
JP
After First Kill
BUTT
JP
Round Win Rate
BUTT
JP
Map Win Rate
BUTT
JP
Ranking
BUTT
JP
Recent on Nuke
Butterfly
11-13 vs Lavked Jul 26
13-10 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 26
13-6 vs Just Players Jul 23
Just Players
4-13 vs ex-Young Ninjas Jul 27
6-13 vs Butterfly Jul 23
13-11 vs Walczaki Jul 20
13-8 vs WW Jul 16
13-16 vs Tricked May 28
Ancient
BUTT 13 6 JP
90%
10%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BUTT
JP
After First Kill
BUTT
JP
After First Death
BUTT
JP
Round Win Rate
BUTT
JP
Overall Rating
BUTT
JP
Recent on Ancient
Butterfly
13-4 vs G2 Ares Jul 28
13-4 vs G2 Ares Jul 24
13-5 vs benched gods Jul 22
Just Players
19-16 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 27
13-4 vs Endless Journey Jul 23
7-13 vs 1win Jul 22
13-10 vs ex-RUBY Jul 17
13-2 vs NEW VISION Jul 17
Dust2
BUTT 13 5 JP
93%
7%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BUTT
JP
After First Death
BUTT
JP
After First Kill
BUTT
JP
Overall Rating
BUTT
JP
Ranking
BUTT
JP
Recent on Dust2
Butterfly
13-5 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 26
Just Players
13-9 vs ex-Young Ninjas Jul 27
5-13 vs ex-RUSTEC Jul 25
4-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Jul 23
8-13 vs Endless Journey Jul 23
6-13 vs 1win Jul 22
Nuke
BUTT 13 7 JP
79%
21%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BUTT
JP
After First Kill
BUTT
JP
Round Win Rate
BUTT
JP
Map Win Rate
BUTT
JP
Ranking
BUTT
JP
Recent on Nuke
Butterfly
11-13 vs Lavked Jul 26
13-10 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 26
13-6 vs Just Players Jul 23
Just Players
4-13 vs ex-Young Ninjas Jul 27
6-13 vs Butterfly Jul 23
13-11 vs Walczaki Jul 20
13-8 vs WW Jul 16
13-16 vs Tricked May 28
Ancient
BUTT 13 6 JP
90%
10%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BUTT
JP
After First Kill
BUTT
JP
After First Death
BUTT
JP
Round Win Rate
BUTT
JP
Overall Rating
BUTT
JP
Recent on Ancient
Butterfly
13-4 vs G2 Ares Jul 28
13-4 vs G2 Ares Jul 24
13-5 vs benched gods Jul 22
Just Players
19-16 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 27
13-4 vs Endless Journey Jul 23
7-13 vs 1win Jul 22
13-10 vs ex-RUBY Jul 17
13-2 vs NEW VISION Jul 17
Cache
BUTT 13 5 JP
92%
8%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BUTT
JP
After First Death
BUTT
JP
After First Kill
BUTT
JP
Map Player Rating
BUTT
JP
Round Win Rate
BUTT
JP
Recent on Cache
Butterfly
13-10 vs benched gods Jul 22
Just Players
9-13 vs QUAZAR Jul 18
5-13 vs ex-RUBY Jul 17
4-13 vs Entropy Jul 13
Recent Results last 11 matches
Butterfly
Just Players
L 1-2 vs Lavked AnubisMirageNuke Jul 26 18d ago
W 2-1 vs SAW Youngsters NukeInfernoDust2 Jul 26 18d ago
L 1-2 vs G2 Ares AncientMirageInferno Jul 24 20d ago
W 2-0 vs Just Players MirageNuke Jul 23 21d ago
W 2-0 vs benched gods AncientCache Jul 22 22d ago
W 2-0 vs Inner Circle Academy AnubisAncient Jul 27 17d ago
W 2-1 vs ex-Young Ninjas MirageNukeDust2 Jul 27 17d ago
L 0-2 vs ex-RUSTEC Dust2Mirage Jul 25 19d ago
L 0-2 vs CYBERSHOKE Dust2Mirage Jul 23 21d ago
L 0-2 vs Butterfly MirageNuke Jul 23 21d ago
W 2-1 vs Endless Journey Dust2MirageAncient Jul 23 21d ago
L 1-2 vs 1win MirageDust2Ancient Jul 22 22d ago
L 0-2 vs ex-RUSTEC MirageDust2 Jul 21 23d ago
W 2-0 vs Walczaki NukeMirage Jul 20 24d ago
L 0-2 vs QUAZAR MirageCache Jul 18 26d ago
L 1-2 vs ex-RUBY AncientMirageCache Jul 17 27d ago
Player Matchups
Butterfly
Ratings
Just Players
NI
nitzie
AWPADR 74.4KAST 72%
1.13 vs 1.15
SS
sstiNiX
RiflerADR 80.7KAST 72%
AY
ayano
RiflerADR 71.7KAST 71%
1.03 vs 1.08
SM
sm3t
EntryADR 79.4KAST 71%
KU
Kurama
EntryADR 78.3KAST 69%
1.02 vs 1.06
SP
spirit
RiflerADR 77.1KAST 70%
K1
k1ssly
RiflerADR 69.9KAST 68%
0.94 vs 1.01
H1
h1te
AWPADR 70.8KAST 70%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Inferno
BUTT 13 4 JP
98%
2%
Win prob OT 1%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BUTT
JP
After First Death
BUTT
JP
After First Kill
BUTT
JP
Ban Rate
BUTT
JP
Map Player Rating
BUTT
JP
Recent on Inferno
Butterfly
13-16 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 26
14-16 vs G2 Ares Jul 24
Just Players
no data
Dust2
BUTT 13 5 JP
93%
7%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BUTT
JP
After First Death
BUTT
JP
After First Kill
BUTT
JP
Overall Rating
BUTT
JP
Ranking
BUTT
JP
Recent on Dust2
Butterfly
13-5 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 26
Just Players
13-9 vs ex-Young Ninjas Jul 27
5-13 vs ex-RUSTEC Jul 25
4-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Jul 23
8-13 vs Endless Journey Jul 23
6-13 vs 1win Jul 22
Cache
BUTT 13 5 JP
92%
8%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BUTT
JP
After First Death
BUTT
JP
After First Kill
BUTT
JP
Map Player Rating
BUTT
JP
Round Win Rate
BUTT
JP
Recent on Cache
Butterfly
13-10 vs benched gods Jul 22
Just Players
9-13 vs QUAZAR Jul 18
5-13 vs ex-RUBY Jul 17
4-13 vs Entropy Jul 13
Anubis
BUTT 13 10 JP
67%
33%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
BUTT
JP
After First Kill
BUTT
JP
After First Death
BUTT
JP
Map Player Rating
BUTT
JP
Opening Kills
BUTT
JP
Recent on Anubis
Butterfly
11-13 vs Lavked Jul 26
Just Players
13-11 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 27
13-9 vs SAW Jul 1
16-14 vs ex-Zero Tenacity May 26
13-8 vs ALGO May 25
16-14 vs yngods Apr 4
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