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Bo3  ·  CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 · 2026-07-26
Butterfly
vs
SAW Youngsters
65%
35%
Series win probability
BUTT 2–1 41%
BUTT 2–0 24%
SY 2–1 20%
SY 2–0 14%
Actual result
Nuke 13–10 BUTT
Inferno 16–13 SY
Dust2 13–5 BUTT
Model Insights
Butterfly has a moderate edge at 65%, favored on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.17 vs 1.08), a significant ranking advantage (#80 vs #169), a strong ancient (85% win probability). SAW Youngsters's best shot is inferno where they hold a 76% edge.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 36% Ancient · Inferno · Nuke
Scenario 2 35% Ancient · Inferno · Mirage
Scenario 3 30% Ancient · Inferno · Dust2
Ancient
BUTT 13 7 SY
85%
15%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
After First Kill
BUTT
SY
After First Death
BUTT
SY
Ranking
BUTT
SY
Round Win Rate
BUTT
SY
Overall Rating
BUTT
SY
Recent on Ancient
Butterfly
13-4 vs G2 Ares Jul 24
13-5 vs benched gods Jul 22
SAW Youngsters
6-13 vs Enjoy Jul 25
5-13 vs los kogutos Jul 23
13-3 vs Fortress Jul 21
9-13 vs Vexar Jul 18
13-5 vs Mai Tai Jul 16
Inferno
BUTT 7 13 SY
24%
76%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
After First Kill
BUTT
SY
After First Death
BUTT
SY
Ranking
BUTT
SY
Map Player Rating
BUTT
SY
Round Win Rate
BUTT
SY
Recent on Inferno
Butterfly
14-16 vs G2 Ares Jul 24
SAW Youngsters
13-8 vs Enjoy Jul 25
13-9 vs SPARTA Jul 22
17-19 vs QUAZAR Jul 22
13-2 vs Fortress Jul 21
16-14 vs Misa Jul 20
Nuke
BUTT 13 7 SY
82%
18%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
After First Death
BUTT
SY
After First Kill
BUTT
SY
Ranking
BUTT
SY
Opening Kills
BUTT
SY
Overall Rating
BUTT
SY
Recent on Nuke
Butterfly
13-6 vs Just Players Jul 23
SAW Youngsters
13-9 vs QUAZAR Jul 22
13-7 vs los kogutos Jul 17
6-13 vs Endless Journey Jul 5
Ancient
BUTT 13 7 SY
85%
15%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
After First Kill
BUTT
SY
After First Death
BUTT
SY
Ranking
BUTT
SY
Round Win Rate
BUTT
SY
Overall Rating
BUTT
SY
Recent on Ancient
Butterfly
13-4 vs G2 Ares Jul 24
13-5 vs benched gods Jul 22
SAW Youngsters
6-13 vs Enjoy Jul 25
5-13 vs los kogutos Jul 23
13-3 vs Fortress Jul 21
9-13 vs Vexar Jul 18
13-5 vs Mai Tai Jul 16
Inferno
BUTT 7 13 SY
24%
76%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
After First Kill
BUTT
SY
After First Death
BUTT
SY
Ranking
BUTT
SY
Map Player Rating
BUTT
SY
Round Win Rate
BUTT
SY
Recent on Inferno
Butterfly
14-16 vs G2 Ares Jul 24
SAW Youngsters
13-8 vs Enjoy Jul 25
13-9 vs SPARTA Jul 22
17-19 vs QUAZAR Jul 22
13-2 vs Fortress Jul 21
16-14 vs Misa Jul 20
Mirage
BUTT 13 7 SY
76%
24%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Death
BUTT
SY
After First Kill
BUTT
SY
Ranking
BUTT
SY
Round Win Rate
BUTT
SY
Overall Rating
BUTT
SY
Recent on Mirage
Butterfly
12-16 vs G2 Ares Jul 24
13-2 vs Just Players Jul 23
SAW Youngsters
9-13 vs Enjoy Jul 25
13-11 vs los kogutos Jul 23
11-13 vs SPARTA Jul 22
13-9 vs Mai Tai Jul 16
13-7 vs megoshort Jul 15
Ancient
BUTT 13 7 SY
85%
15%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
After First Kill
BUTT
SY
After First Death
BUTT
SY
Ranking
BUTT
SY
Round Win Rate
BUTT
SY
Overall Rating
BUTT
SY
Recent on Ancient
Butterfly
13-4 vs G2 Ares Jul 24
13-5 vs benched gods Jul 22
SAW Youngsters
6-13 vs Enjoy Jul 25
5-13 vs los kogutos Jul 23
13-3 vs Fortress Jul 21
9-13 vs Vexar Jul 18
13-5 vs Mai Tai Jul 16
Inferno
BUTT 7 13 SY
24%
76%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
After First Kill
BUTT
SY
After First Death
BUTT
SY
Ranking
BUTT
SY
Map Player Rating
BUTT
SY
Round Win Rate
BUTT
SY
Recent on Inferno
Butterfly
14-16 vs G2 Ares Jul 24
SAW Youngsters
13-8 vs Enjoy Jul 25
13-9 vs SPARTA Jul 22
17-19 vs QUAZAR Jul 22
13-2 vs Fortress Jul 21
16-14 vs Misa Jul 20
Dust2
BUTT 8 13 SY
26%
74%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
BUTT
SY
After First Death
BUTT
SY
Ranking
BUTT
SY
Map Player Rating
BUTT
SY
Round Win Rate
BUTT
SY
Recent on Dust2
Butterfly
no data
SAW Youngsters
13-9 vs los kogutos Jul 23
6-13 vs SPARTA Jul 22
13-3 vs Misa Jul 20
13-8 vs los kogutos Jul 17
Recent Results last 11 matches
Butterfly
SAW Youngsters
L 1-2 vs G2 Ares AncientMirageInferno Jul 24 20d ago
W 2-0 vs Just Players MirageNuke Jul 23 21d ago
W 2-0 vs benched gods AncientCache Jul 22 22d ago
L 1-2 vs Enjoy MirageInfernoAncient Jul 25 19d ago
W 2-1 vs los kogutos Dust2AncientMirage Jul 23 21d ago
L 1-2 vs SPARTA Dust2InfernoMirage Jul 22 22d ago
L 1-2 vs QUAZAR InfernoNukeAnubis Jul 22 22d ago
W 2-0 vs Fortress AncientInferno Jul 21 23d ago
W 2-0 vs Misa Dust2Inferno Jul 20 24d ago
L 0-2 vs Vexar AncientInferno Jul 18 26d ago
W 2-0 vs los kogutos Dust2Nuke Jul 17 27d ago
W 2-0 vs Mai Tai AncientMirage Jul 16 28d ago
W 2-0 vs megoshort MirageInferno Jul 15 29d ago
W 2-1 vs Atreides MirageInfernoAncient Jul 5 39d ago
Player Matchups
Butterfly
Ratings
SAW Youngsters
NI
nitzie
AWPADR 74.1KAST 72%
1.12 vs 1.14
TU
tuxa
AWPADR 79.5KAST 72%
AY
ayano
RiflerADR 71.8KAST 70%
1.03 vs 1.09
SN
snowiee
EntryADR 76.3KAST 74%
KU
Kurama
EntryADR 78.4KAST 69%
1.02 vs 1.07
JE
jERK0z
RiflerADR 71.0KAST 75%
K1
k1ssly
RiflerADR 68.6KAST 68%
0.90 vs 1.04
JA
Jayy2s
RiflerADR 74.5KAST 70%
vs 0.95
M1
M1KA
RiflerADR 63.5KAST 71%
Unpredicted Maps 3 maps
Cache
BUTT 13 5 SY
93%
7%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
After First Death
BUTT
SY
After First Kill
BUTT
SY
Ranking
BUTT
SY
Ban Rate
BUTT
SY
Map Player Rating
BUTT
SY
Recent on Cache
Butterfly
13-10 vs benched gods Jul 22
SAW Youngsters
no data
Mirage
BUTT 13 7 SY
76%
24%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Death
BUTT
SY
After First Kill
BUTT
SY
Ranking
BUTT
SY
Round Win Rate
BUTT
SY
Overall Rating
BUTT
SY
Recent on Mirage
Butterfly
12-16 vs G2 Ares Jul 24
13-2 vs Just Players Jul 23
SAW Youngsters
9-13 vs Enjoy Jul 25
13-11 vs los kogutos Jul 23
11-13 vs SPARTA Jul 22
13-9 vs Mai Tai Jul 16
13-7 vs megoshort Jul 15
Dust2
BUTT 8 13 SY
26%
74%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
BUTT
SY
After First Death
BUTT
SY
Ranking
BUTT
SY
Map Player Rating
BUTT
SY
Round Win Rate
BUTT
SY
Recent on Dust2
Butterfly
no data
SAW Youngsters
13-9 vs los kogutos Jul 23
6-13 vs SPARTA Jul 22
13-3 vs Misa Jul 20
13-8 vs los kogutos Jul 17
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