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Bo3  ·  NODWIN Clutch Series 10 · 2026-08-06
Nuclear TigeRES ✓
vs
Butterfly
51%
49%
Series win probability
NT 2–0 28%
BUTT 2–1 26%
NT 2–1 24%
BUTT 2–0 22%
Actual result
Inferno 13–7 NT
Nuke 13–7 NT
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — Nuclear TigeRES is slightly favored at 51% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a strong inferno (64% win probability). Either team could take this — small edges in side performance and veto are the difference.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 43% Ancient · Nuke · Inferno
Scenario 2 33% Ancient · Nuke · Mirage
Scenario 3 24% Ancient · Nuke · Cache
Ancient
NT 10 – 13 BUTT
47%
53%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
NT
BUTT
After First Kill
NT
BUTT
Opponent-Rating Diff
NT
BUTT
Round Win Rate
NT
BUTT
Opening Kills
NT
BUTT
Recent on Ancient
Nuclear TigeRES
13-8 vs Sashi Aug 6
13-9 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects Aug 5
19-15 vs 100 Thieves Jul 23
6-13 vs MOUZ Jul 21
10-13 vs Atreides Jul 18
Butterfly
13-9 vs Rune Eaters Aug 5
13-5 vs ARCRED Aug 3
13-4 vs G2 Ares Jul 28
13-4 vs G2 Ares Jul 24
13-5 vs benched gods Jul 22
Nuke
NT 13 – 11 BUTT
54%
46%
Win prob OT 12% ✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
NT
BUTT
Map Win Rate
NT
BUTT
Round Win Rate
NT
BUTT
Ranking
NT
BUTT
T 5v4
NT
BUTT
Recent on Nuke
Nuclear TigeRES
13-7 vs Sashi Aug 6
14-16 vs Echo Jul 24
5-13 vs Echo Jul 22
11-13 vs MOUZ Jul 21
13-9 vs K27 Jun 17
Butterfly
14-16 vs ex-RUSTEC Aug 5
13-11 vs Black Phoenix Aug 1
13-11 vs Just Players Jul 28
11-13 vs Lavked Jul 26
13-10 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 26
Inferno
NT 13 – 9 BUTT
64%
36%
Win prob OT 10% ✓
Key factors
After First Kill
NT
BUTT
After First Death
NT
BUTT
Opponent-Rating Diff
NT
BUTT
Round Win Rate
NT
BUTT
Map Player Rating
NT
BUTT
Recent on Inferno
Nuclear TigeRES
22-20 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects Aug 5
13-7 vs 100 Thieves Jul 23
13-1 vs Lavked May 14
13-10 vs Alliance Apr 26
7-13 vs Acend Apr 20
Butterfly
3-13 vs ARCRED Aug 3
10-13 vs Black Phoenix Aug 1
13-16 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 26
14-16 vs G2 Ares Jul 24
Ancient
NT 10 – 13 BUTT
47%
53%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
NT
BUTT
After First Kill
NT
BUTT
Opponent-Rating Diff
NT
BUTT
Round Win Rate
NT
BUTT
Opening Kills
NT
BUTT
Recent on Ancient
Nuclear TigeRES
13-8 vs Sashi Aug 6
13-9 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects Aug 5
19-15 vs 100 Thieves Jul 23
6-13 vs MOUZ Jul 21
10-13 vs Atreides Jul 18
Butterfly
13-9 vs Rune Eaters Aug 5
13-5 vs ARCRED Aug 3
13-4 vs G2 Ares Jul 28
13-4 vs G2 Ares Jul 24
13-5 vs benched gods Jul 22
Nuke
NT 13 – 11 BUTT
54%
46%
Win prob OT 12% ✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
NT
BUTT
Map Win Rate
NT
BUTT
Round Win Rate
NT
BUTT
Ranking
NT
BUTT
T 5v4
NT
BUTT
Recent on Nuke
Nuclear TigeRES
13-7 vs Sashi Aug 6
14-16 vs Echo Jul 24
5-13 vs Echo Jul 22
11-13 vs MOUZ Jul 21
13-9 vs K27 Jun 17
Butterfly
14-16 vs ex-RUSTEC Aug 5
13-11 vs Black Phoenix Aug 1
13-11 vs Just Players Jul 28
11-13 vs Lavked Jul 26
13-10 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 26
Mirage
NT 10 – 13 BUTT
47%
53%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
NT
BUTT
Opponent-Rating Diff
NT
BUTT
After First Kill
NT
BUTT
Round Win Rate
NT
BUTT
Map Win Rate
NT
BUTT
Recent on Mirage
Nuclear TigeRES
8-13 vs 100 Thieves Jul 23
11-13 vs Atreides Jul 18
9-13 vs K27 Jun 17
13-4 vs AM Jun 6
19-17 vs 100 Thieves May 19
Butterfly
13-5 vs G2 Ares Jul 28
13-4 vs Just Players Jul 28
13-10 vs Lavked Jul 26
12-16 vs G2 Ares Jul 24
13-2 vs Just Players Jul 23
Ancient
NT 10 – 13 BUTT
47%
53%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
NT
BUTT
After First Kill
NT
BUTT
Opponent-Rating Diff
NT
BUTT
Round Win Rate
NT
BUTT
Opening Kills
NT
BUTT
Recent on Ancient
Nuclear TigeRES
13-8 vs Sashi Aug 6
13-9 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects Aug 5
19-15 vs 100 Thieves Jul 23
6-13 vs MOUZ Jul 21
10-13 vs Atreides Jul 18
Butterfly
13-9 vs Rune Eaters Aug 5
13-5 vs ARCRED Aug 3
13-4 vs G2 Ares Jul 28
13-4 vs G2 Ares Jul 24
13-5 vs benched gods Jul 22
Nuke
NT 13 – 11 BUTT
54%
46%
Win prob OT 12% ✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
NT
BUTT
Map Win Rate
NT
BUTT
Round Win Rate
NT
BUTT
Ranking
NT
BUTT
T 5v4
NT
BUTT
Recent on Nuke
Nuclear TigeRES
13-7 vs Sashi Aug 6
14-16 vs Echo Jul 24
5-13 vs Echo Jul 22
11-13 vs MOUZ Jul 21
13-9 vs K27 Jun 17
Butterfly
14-16 vs ex-RUSTEC Aug 5
13-11 vs Black Phoenix Aug 1
13-11 vs Just Players Jul 28
11-13 vs Lavked Jul 26
13-10 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 26
Cache
NT 10 – 13 BUTT
40%
60%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
NT
BUTT
After First Death
NT
BUTT
Opponent-Rating Diff
NT
BUTT
Map Player Rating
NT
BUTT
Round Win Rate
NT
BUTT
Recent on Cache
Nuclear TigeRES
no data
Butterfly
13-10 vs ex-RUSTEC Aug 5
13-10 vs benched gods Jul 22
Recent Results last 11 matches
Nuclear TigeRES
Butterfly
W 2-0 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects AncientInferno Aug 5 8d ago
W 2-0 vs Just Players Dust2Anubis Aug 4 9d ago
L 0-2 vs Echo AnubisNuke Jul 24 20d ago
W 2-1 vs 100 Thieves AncientMirageInferno Jul 23 21d ago
L 0-2 vs Echo NukeAnubis Jul 22 22d ago
L 0-2 vs MOUZ AncientNuke Jul 21 23d ago
L 0-2 vs Atreides MirageAncient Jul 18 26d ago
W 2-1 vs K27 MirageAnubisNuke Jun 17 57d ago
W 2-1 vs Nemesis NukeDust2Ancient Jun 17 57d ago
W 2-0 vs Gentle Mates AnubisNuke Jun 16 58d ago
L 1-2 vs Oxuji AnubisDust2Ancient Jun 14 60d ago
W 2-1 vs ex-RUSTEC CacheNukeDust2 Aug 5 8d ago
W 2-0 vs Rune Eaters AncientDust2 Aug 5 8d ago
W 2-1 vs ARCRED AncientInfernoDust2 Aug 3 10d ago
L 1-2 vs Black Phoenix Dust2NukeInferno Aug 1 12d ago
W 2-0 vs G2 Ares MirageAncient Jul 28 16d ago
W 2-0 vs Just Players MirageNuke Jul 28 16d ago
L 1-2 vs Lavked AnubisMirageNuke Jul 26 18d ago
W 2-1 vs SAW Youngsters NukeInfernoDust2 Jul 26 18d ago
L 1-2 vs G2 Ares AncientMirageInferno Jul 24 20d ago
W 2-0 vs Just Players MirageNuke Jul 23 21d ago
W 2-0 vs benched gods AncientCache Jul 22 22d ago
Player Matchups
Nuclear TigeRES
Ratings
Butterfly
Z1
z1k4
AWPADR 75.5KAST 74%
1.11 vs 1.15
NI
nitzie
AWPADR 75.7KAST 73%
FL
flouzer
RiflerADR 77.9KAST 74%
1.11 vs 1.05
FO
Forester
EntryADR 73.2KAST 73%
AY
ayuki
RiflerADR 73.4KAST 76%
1.11 vs 1.05
KU
Kurama
RiflerADR 80.2KAST 69%
M1
m1QUSE
EntryADR 74.1KAST 74%
1.07 vs 1.03
AY
ayano
RiflerADR 71.0KAST 71%
SE
senka
RiflerADR 69.4KAST 70%
0.97 vs 0.96
K1
k1ssly
RiflerADR 70.5KAST 70%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Cache
NT 10 – 13 BUTT
40%
60%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
NT
BUTT
After First Death
NT
BUTT
Opponent-Rating Diff
NT
BUTT
Map Player Rating
NT
BUTT
Round Win Rate
NT
BUTT
Recent on Cache
Nuclear TigeRES
no data
Butterfly
13-10 vs ex-RUSTEC Aug 5
13-10 vs benched gods Jul 22
Anubis
NT 13 – 10 BUTT
60%
40%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
NT
BUTT
After First Death
NT
BUTT
Opponent-Rating Diff
NT
BUTT
Ban Rate
NT
BUTT
Map Player Rating
NT
BUTT
Recent on Anubis
Nuclear TigeRES
11-13 vs Sashi Aug 6
13-9 vs Just Players Aug 4
8-13 vs Echo Jul 24
3-13 vs Echo Jul 22
13-9 vs K27 Jun 17
Butterfly
11-13 vs Lavked Jul 26
Mirage
NT 10 – 13 BUTT
47%
53%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
NT
BUTT
Opponent-Rating Diff
NT
BUTT
After First Kill
NT
BUTT
Round Win Rate
NT
BUTT
Map Win Rate
NT
BUTT
Recent on Mirage
Nuclear TigeRES
8-13 vs 100 Thieves Jul 23
11-13 vs Atreides Jul 18
9-13 vs K27 Jun 17
13-4 vs AM Jun 6
19-17 vs 100 Thieves May 19
Butterfly
13-5 vs G2 Ares Jul 28
13-4 vs Just Players Jul 28
13-10 vs Lavked Jul 26
12-16 vs G2 Ares Jul 24
13-2 vs Just Players Jul 23
Dust2
NT 16 – 14 BUTT
52%
48%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
NT
BUTT
After First Death
NT
BUTT
Round Win Rate
NT
BUTT
After First Kill
NT
BUTT
Map Win Rate
NT
BUTT
Recent on Dust2
Nuclear TigeRES
13-11 vs Just Players Aug 4
13-9 vs Nemesis Jun 17
7-13 vs Oxuji Jun 14
13-8 vs illwill Jun 14
13-8 vs CYBERSHOKE Jun 8
Butterfly
13-10 vs ex-RUSTEC Aug 5
13-9 vs Rune Eaters Aug 5
13-9 vs ARCRED Aug 3
10-13 vs Black Phoenix Aug 1
13-5 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 26
More from NODWIN Clutch Series 10 1 match
Sashi over Nuclear TigeRES 52%