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 ·  NODWIN Clutch Series 10 · 2026-07-30
Butterfly
vs
Atreides
55%
45%
Series win probability
BUTT 2–0 28%
BUTT 2–1 27%
ATRE 2–1 25%
ATRE 2–0 20%
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — Butterfly is slightly favored at 55% but only leads on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.17 vs 1.04), a significant ranking advantage (#76 vs #141), a strong ancient (67% win probability). Either team could take this — small edges in side performance and veto are the difference.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 39% Nuke · Mirage · Ancient
Scenario 2 34% Nuke · Ancient · Inferno
Scenario 3 27% Nuke · Ancient · Cache
Nuke
BUTT 13 – 10 ATRE
65%
35%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
BUTT
ATRE
Ranking
BUTT
ATRE
T 5v4
BUTT
ATRE
Map Player Rating
BUTT
ATRE
After First Death
BUTT
ATRE
Recent on Nuke
Butterfly
13-11 vs Just Players Jul 28
11-13 vs Lavked Jul 26
13-10 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 26
13-6 vs Just Players Jul 23
Atreides
11-13 vs ex-RUSTEC Jul 28
2-13 vs INOX Division Jul 27
13-6 vs SPARTA Jul 24
10-13 vs SPARTA Jun 10
13-5 vs TNC Jun 4
Mirage
BUTT 13 – 10 ATRE
58%
42%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Death
BUTT
ATRE
Round Win Rate
BUTT
ATRE
Ranking
BUTT
ATRE
Overall Rating
BUTT
ATRE
Opening Kills
BUTT
ATRE
Recent on Mirage
Butterfly
13-5 vs G2 Ares Jul 28
13-4 vs Just Players Jul 28
13-10 vs Lavked Jul 26
12-16 vs G2 Ares Jul 24
13-2 vs Just Players Jul 23
Atreides
8-13 vs Mai Tai Jul 27
13-11 vs SPARTA Jul 26
7-13 vs Eternal Fire Jul 21
13-11 vs Nuclear TigeRES Jul 18
13-9 vs SPARTA Jul 12
Ancient
BUTT 13 – 9 ATRE
67%
33%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
BUTT
ATRE
After First Death
BUTT
ATRE
Round Win Rate
BUTT
ATRE
Ranking
BUTT
ATRE
Overall Rating
BUTT
ATRE
Recent on Ancient
Butterfly
13-4 vs G2 Ares Jul 28
13-4 vs G2 Ares Jul 24
13-5 vs benched gods Jul 22
Atreides
6-13 vs Rune Eaters Jul 29
13-6 vs GenOne Jul 24
13-10 vs Nuclear TigeRES Jul 18
8-13 vs Just Players Jul 12
8-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 5
Nuke
BUTT 13 – 10 ATRE
65%
35%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
BUTT
ATRE
Ranking
BUTT
ATRE
T 5v4
BUTT
ATRE
Map Player Rating
BUTT
ATRE
After First Death
BUTT
ATRE
Recent on Nuke
Butterfly
13-11 vs Just Players Jul 28
11-13 vs Lavked Jul 26
13-10 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 26
13-6 vs Just Players Jul 23
Atreides
11-13 vs ex-RUSTEC Jul 28
2-13 vs INOX Division Jul 27
13-6 vs SPARTA Jul 24
10-13 vs SPARTA Jun 10
13-5 vs TNC Jun 4
Ancient
BUTT 13 – 9 ATRE
67%
33%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
BUTT
ATRE
After First Death
BUTT
ATRE
Round Win Rate
BUTT
ATRE
Ranking
BUTT
ATRE
Overall Rating
BUTT
ATRE
Recent on Ancient
Butterfly
13-4 vs G2 Ares Jul 28
13-4 vs G2 Ares Jul 24
13-5 vs benched gods Jul 22
Atreides
6-13 vs Rune Eaters Jul 29
13-6 vs GenOne Jul 24
13-10 vs Nuclear TigeRES Jul 18
8-13 vs Just Players Jul 12
8-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 5
Inferno
BUTT 7 – 13 ATRE
15%
85%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
After First Kill
BUTT
ATRE
After First Death
BUTT
ATRE
Ranking
BUTT
ATRE
Round Win Rate
BUTT
ATRE
Map Player Rating
BUTT
ATRE
Recent on Inferno
Butterfly
13-16 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 26
14-16 vs G2 Ares Jul 24
Atreides
13-4 vs ex-RUSTEC Jul 28
7-13 vs INOX Division Jul 27
13-5 vs SPARTA Jul 26
22-20 vs GenOne Jul 24
13-11 vs eternal premium Jul 8
Nuke
BUTT 13 – 10 ATRE
65%
35%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
BUTT
ATRE
Ranking
BUTT
ATRE
T 5v4
BUTT
ATRE
Map Player Rating
BUTT
ATRE
After First Death
BUTT
ATRE
Recent on Nuke
Butterfly
13-11 vs Just Players Jul 28
11-13 vs Lavked Jul 26
13-10 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 26
13-6 vs Just Players Jul 23
Atreides
11-13 vs ex-RUSTEC Jul 28
2-13 vs INOX Division Jul 27
13-6 vs SPARTA Jul 24
10-13 vs SPARTA Jun 10
13-5 vs TNC Jun 4
Ancient
BUTT 13 – 9 ATRE
67%
33%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
BUTT
ATRE
After First Death
BUTT
ATRE
Round Win Rate
BUTT
ATRE
Ranking
BUTT
ATRE
Overall Rating
BUTT
ATRE
Recent on Ancient
Butterfly
13-4 vs G2 Ares Jul 28
13-4 vs G2 Ares Jul 24
13-5 vs benched gods Jul 22
Atreides
6-13 vs Rune Eaters Jul 29
13-6 vs GenOne Jul 24
13-10 vs Nuclear TigeRES Jul 18
8-13 vs Just Players Jul 12
8-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 5
Cache
BUTT 13 – 10 ATRE
56%
44%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
BUTT
ATRE
Map Player Rating
BUTT
ATRE
Ranking
BUTT
ATRE
T 5v4
BUTT
ATRE
Overall Rating
BUTT
ATRE
Recent on Cache
Butterfly
13-10 vs benched gods Jul 22
Atreides
7-13 vs Mai Tai Jul 27
8-13 vs EAC Jul 26
13-10 vs los kogutos Jul 21
13-1 vs SPARTA Jul 12
11-13 vs Entropy Jul 12
Recent Results last 11 matches
Butterfly
Atreides
W 2-0 vs G2 Ares MirageAncient Jul 28 16d ago
W 2-0 vs Just Players MirageNuke Jul 28 16d ago
L 1-2 vs Lavked AnubisMirageNuke Jul 26 18d ago
W 2-1 vs SAW Youngsters NukeInfernoDust2 Jul 26 18d ago
L 1-2 vs G2 Ares AncientMirageInferno Jul 24 20d ago
W 2-0 vs Just Players MirageNuke Jul 23 21d ago
W 2-0 vs benched gods AncientCache Jul 22 22d ago
L 0-2 vs Rune Eaters AncientAnubis Jul 29 15d ago
L 1-2 vs ex-RUSTEC InfernoNukeAnubis Jul 28 16d ago
L 0-2 vs INOX Division InfernoNuke Jul 27 17d ago
L 1-2 vs Mai Tai AnubisCacheMirage Jul 27 17d ago
W 2-0 vs SPARTA InfernoMirage Jul 26 18d ago
L 0-2 vs EAC AnubisCache Jul 26 18d ago
W 2-0 vs GenOne InfernoAncient Jul 24 20d ago
W 2-0 vs SPARTA AnubisNuke Jul 24 20d ago
L 0-2 vs Eternal Fire MirageDust2 Jul 21 23d ago
W 2-0 vs los kogutos AnubisCache Jul 21 23d ago
W 2-0 vs Nuclear TigeRES MirageAncient Jul 18 26d ago
Player Matchups
Butterfly
Ratings
Atreides
NI
nitzie
AWPADR 74.8KAST 72%
1.14 vs 1.12
DE
DEPRESHN
AWPADR 73.4KAST 74%
AY
ayano
RiflerADR 71.8KAST 71%
1.04 vs 1.05
GO
Goody
EntryADR 78.4KAST 73%
KU
Kurama
EntryADR 78.2KAST 69%
1.02 vs 1.00
DA
dan1
RiflerADR 65.6KAST 72%
K1
k1ssly
RiflerADR 70.4KAST 69%
0.95 vs 0.97
CH
Chill
RiflerADR 71.9KAST 69%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Dust2
BUTT 13 – 6 ATRE
90%
10%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
After First Death
BUTT
ATRE
After First Kill
BUTT
ATRE
Ranking
BUTT
ATRE
Opening Kills
BUTT
ATRE
Overall Rating
BUTT
ATRE
Recent on Dust2
Butterfly
13-5 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 26
Atreides
11-13 vs Eternal Fire Jul 21
8-13 vs Endless Journey Jul 4
13-5 vs DONSTU Jun 28
13-4 vs ENCE May 31
8-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects May 30
Inferno
BUTT 7 – 13 ATRE
15%
85%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
After First Kill
BUTT
ATRE
After First Death
BUTT
ATRE
Ranking
BUTT
ATRE
Round Win Rate
BUTT
ATRE
Map Player Rating
BUTT
ATRE
Recent on Inferno
Butterfly
13-16 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 26
14-16 vs G2 Ares Jul 24
Atreides
13-4 vs ex-RUSTEC Jul 28
7-13 vs INOX Division Jul 27
13-5 vs SPARTA Jul 26
22-20 vs GenOne Jul 24
13-11 vs eternal premium Jul 8
Anubis
BUTT 11 – 13 ATRE
35%
65%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
BUTT
ATRE
After First Death
BUTT
ATRE
Ranking
BUTT
ATRE
Overall Rating
BUTT
ATRE
Map Player Rating
BUTT
ATRE
Recent on Anubis
Butterfly
11-13 vs Lavked Jul 26
Atreides
9-13 vs Rune Eaters Jul 29
7-13 vs ex-RUSTEC Jul 28
13-8 vs Mai Tai Jul 27
9-13 vs EAC Jul 26
13-7 vs SPARTA Jul 24
Cache
BUTT 13 – 10 ATRE
56%
44%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
BUTT
ATRE
Map Player Rating
BUTT
ATRE
Ranking
BUTT
ATRE
T 5v4
BUTT
ATRE
Overall Rating
BUTT
ATRE
Recent on Cache
Butterfly
13-10 vs benched gods Jul 22
Atreides
7-13 vs Mai Tai Jul 27
8-13 vs EAC Jul 26
13-10 vs los kogutos Jul 21
13-1 vs SPARTA Jul 12
11-13 vs Entropy Jul 12
More from NODWIN Clutch Series 10 2 matches
Just Players over SPARTA 86% Phantom over Lavked 75%