Bo3 · NODWIN Clutch Series 10
· 2026-07-28
Butterfly
✓
vs
G2 Ares
57%
43%
Series win probability
BUTT
2–1
36%
G2A
2–0
25%
BUTT
2–0
21%
G2A
2–1
18%
Actual result
Mirage
13–5
BUTT
Ancient
13–4
BUTT
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — Butterfly is slightly favored at 57% but only leads on 1 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.14 vs 1.07), a significant ranking advantage (#83 vs #105), a strong ancient (67% win probability). G2 Ares's best shot is inferno where they hold a 79% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
42%
Ancient · Mirage · Inferno
Scenario 2
34%
Ancient · Mirage · Cache
Scenario 3
23%
Ancient · Mirage · Dust2
Ancient
BUTT
13
–
8
G2A
67%
33%
Win prob
OT 9%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
BUTT
G2A
After First Death
BUTT
G2A
Round Win Rate
BUTT
G2A
Map Win Rate
BUTT
G2A
Ranking
BUTT
G2A
Recent on Ancient
Butterfly
13-4
vs G2 Ares
Jul 24
13-5
vs benched gods
Jul 22
G2 Ares
14-16
vs Phantom
Jul 24
4-13
vs Butterfly
Jul 24
8-13
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Jul 21
13-8
vs megoshort
Jul 19
13-10
vs Vexar
May 31
Mirage
BUTT
10
–
13
G2A
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
Round Win Rate
BUTT
G2A
Overall Rating
BUTT
G2A
Ranking
BUTT
G2A
After First Death
BUTT
G2A
Map Player Rating
BUTT
G2A
Recent on Mirage
Butterfly
13-10
vs Lavked
Jul 26
12-16
vs G2 Ares
Jul 24
13-2
vs Just Players
Jul 23
G2 Ares
13-11
vs Inner Circle Academy
Jul 25
10-13
vs Phantom
Jul 24
16-12
vs Butterfly
Jul 24
13-11
vs megoshort
Jul 19
13-3
vs Misa
Jul 17
Inferno
BUTT
8
–
13
G2A
21%
79%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
BUTT
G2A
After First Death
BUTT
G2A
Map Player Rating
BUTT
G2A
Ranking
BUTT
G2A
Opponent-Rating Diff
BUTT
G2A
Recent on Inferno
Butterfly
13-16
vs SAW Youngsters
Jul 26
14-16
vs G2 Ares
Jul 24
G2 Ares
8-13
vs INOX Division
Jul 26
16-14
vs Butterfly
Jul 24
13-10
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Jul 21
11-13
vs Misa
Jul 17
13-6
vs Lilmix
Jul 16
Ancient
BUTT
13
–
8
G2A
67%
33%
Win prob
OT 9%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
BUTT
G2A
After First Death
BUTT
G2A
Round Win Rate
BUTT
G2A
Map Win Rate
BUTT
G2A
Ranking
BUTT
G2A
Recent on Ancient
Butterfly
13-4
vs G2 Ares
Jul 24
13-5
vs benched gods
Jul 22
G2 Ares
14-16
vs Phantom
Jul 24
4-13
vs Butterfly
Jul 24
8-13
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Jul 21
13-8
vs megoshort
Jul 19
13-10
vs Vexar
May 31
Mirage
BUTT
10
–
13
G2A
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
Round Win Rate
BUTT
G2A
Overall Rating
BUTT
G2A
Ranking
BUTT
G2A
After First Death
BUTT
G2A
Map Player Rating
BUTT
G2A
Recent on Mirage
Butterfly
13-10
vs Lavked
Jul 26
12-16
vs G2 Ares
Jul 24
13-2
vs Just Players
Jul 23
G2 Ares
13-11
vs Inner Circle Academy
Jul 25
10-13
vs Phantom
Jul 24
16-12
vs Butterfly
Jul 24
13-11
vs megoshort
Jul 19
13-3
vs Misa
Jul 17
Cache
BUTT
13
–
10
G2A
68%
32%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
BUTT
G2A
Map Player Rating
BUTT
G2A
Ranking
BUTT
G2A
After First Death
BUTT
G2A
Round Win Rate
BUTT
G2A
Recent on Cache
Butterfly
13-10
vs benched gods
Jul 22
G2 Ares
22-18
vs Inner Circle Academy
Jul 25
11-13
vs Lilmix
Jul 16
Ancient
BUTT
13
–
8
G2A
67%
33%
Win prob
OT 9%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
BUTT
G2A
After First Death
BUTT
G2A
Round Win Rate
BUTT
G2A
Map Win Rate
BUTT
G2A
Ranking
BUTT
G2A
Recent on Ancient
Butterfly
13-4
vs G2 Ares
Jul 24
13-5
vs benched gods
Jul 22
G2 Ares
14-16
vs Phantom
Jul 24
4-13
vs Butterfly
Jul 24
8-13
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Jul 21
13-8
vs megoshort
Jul 19
13-10
vs Vexar
May 31
Mirage
BUTT
10
–
13
G2A
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 11%
✗
Key factors
Round Win Rate
BUTT
G2A
Overall Rating
BUTT
G2A
Ranking
BUTT
G2A
After First Death
BUTT
G2A
Map Player Rating
BUTT
G2A
Recent on Mirage
Butterfly
13-10
vs Lavked
Jul 26
12-16
vs G2 Ares
Jul 24
13-2
vs Just Players
Jul 23
G2 Ares
13-11
vs Inner Circle Academy
Jul 25
10-13
vs Phantom
Jul 24
16-12
vs Butterfly
Jul 24
13-11
vs megoshort
Jul 19
13-3
vs Misa
Jul 17
Dust2
BUTT
13
–
6
G2A
93%
7%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
BUTT
G2A
After First Death
BUTT
G2A
Opening Kills
BUTT
G2A
Ranking
BUTT
G2A
Overall Rating
BUTT
G2A
Recent on Dust2
Butterfly
13-5
vs SAW Youngsters
Jul 26
G2 Ares
16-14
vs INOX Division
Jul 26
6-13
vs Inner Circle Academy
Jul 25
16-13
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Jul 21
13-11
vs Misa
Jul 17
14-16
vs SPARTA
Jun 15
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Butterfly
G2 Ares
L
1-2
vs Lavked
AnubisMirageNuke
Jul 26
18d ago
W
2-1
vs SAW Youngsters
NukeInfernoDust2
Jul 26
18d ago
L
1-2
vs G2 Ares
AncientMirageInferno
Jul 24
20d ago
W
2-0
vs Just Players
MirageNuke
Jul 23
21d ago
W
2-0
vs benched gods
AncientCache
Jul 22
22d ago
L
1-2
vs INOX Division
Dust2AnubisInferno
Jul 26
18d ago
W
2-1
vs Inner Circle Academy
Dust2MirageCache
Jul 25
19d ago
L
0-2
vs Phantom
MirageAncient
Jul 24
20d ago
W
2-1
vs Butterfly
AncientMirageInferno
Jul 24
20d ago
W
2-1
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
AncientDust2Inferno
Jul 21
23d ago
W
2-0
vs megoshort
AncientMirage
Jul 19
25d ago
W
2-1
vs Misa
InfernoDust2Mirage
Jul 17
27d ago
W
2-1
vs Lilmix
InfernoCacheMirage
Jul 16
28d ago
L
0-2
vs Walczaki
AnubisInferno
Jun 15
59d ago
L
0-2
vs SPARTA
Dust2Inferno
Jun 15
59d ago
L
0-2
vs PsychoFace
MirageOverpass
Jun 13
61d ago
Player Matchups
Butterfly
Ratings
G2 Ares
NI
nitzie
AWPADR 74.1KAST 72%
TA
tAk
EntryADR 85.3KAST 75%
AY
ayano
RiflerADR 71.6KAST 70%
JU
Junyme
AWPADR 74.9KAST 74%
KU
Kurama
EntryADR 78.3KAST 69%
HI
hitori
RiflerADR 76.0KAST 72%
K1
k1ssly
RiflerADR 69.2KAST 68%
YK
yksjupe
RiflerADR 70.5KAST 72%
SH
SHiNE
RiflerADR 63.5KAST 71%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Dust2
BUTT
13
–
6
G2A
93%
7%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
BUTT
G2A
After First Death
BUTT
G2A
Opening Kills
BUTT
G2A
Ranking
BUTT
G2A
Overall Rating
BUTT
G2A
Recent on Dust2
Butterfly
13-5
vs SAW Youngsters
Jul 26
G2 Ares
16-14
vs INOX Division
Jul 26
6-13
vs Inner Circle Academy
Jul 25
16-13
vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects
Jul 21
13-11
vs Misa
Jul 17
14-16
vs SPARTA
Jun 15
Nuke
BUTT
13
–
5
G2A
93%
7%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
After First Death
BUTT
G2A
After First Kill
BUTT
G2A
Ban Rate
BUTT
G2A
Map Player Rating
BUTT
G2A
Ranking
BUTT
G2A
Recent on Nuke
Butterfly
11-13
vs Lavked
Jul 26
13-10
vs SAW Youngsters
Jul 26
13-6
vs Just Players
Jul 23
G2 Ares
no data
Anubis
BUTT
8
–
13
G2A
26%
74%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
BUTT
G2A
After First Death
BUTT
G2A
Ranking
BUTT
G2A
Map Player Rating
BUTT
G2A
Overall Rating
BUTT
G2A
Recent on Anubis
Butterfly
11-13
vs Lavked
Jul 26
G2 Ares
12-16
vs INOX Division
Jul 26
6-13
vs Walczaki
Jun 15
13-6
vs Misa
May 26
13-5
vs Entropy
May 26
16-13
vs DONSTU
May 24
Cache
BUTT
13
–
10
G2A
68%
32%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
BUTT
G2A
Map Player Rating
BUTT
G2A
Ranking
BUTT
G2A
After First Death
BUTT
G2A
Round Win Rate
BUTT
G2A
Recent on Cache
Butterfly
13-10
vs benched gods
Jul 22
G2 Ares
22-18
vs Inner Circle Academy
Jul 25
11-13
vs Lilmix
Jul 16
More from NODWIN Clutch Series 10
2 matches