Bo3 · NODWIN Clutch Series 10
· 2026-07-26
Lavked
vs
Butterfly
✗
11%
89%
Series win probability
BUTT
2–0
57%
BUTT
2–1
32%
LAVK
2–0
6%
LAVK
2–1
5%
Actual result
Anubis
13–11
LAVK
Mirage
13–10
BUTT
Nuke
13–11
LAVK
Model Insights
Butterfly is strongly favored at 89%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.17 vs 0.99), a strong nuke (81% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
42%
Mirage · Ancient · Nuke
Scenario 2
30%
Mirage · Ancient · Dust2
Scenario 3
27%
Mirage · Ancient · Cache
Mirage
LAVK
8
–
13
BUTT
27%
73%
Win prob
OT 8%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
LAVK
BUTT
Round Win Rate
LAVK
BUTT
After First Death
LAVK
BUTT
Map Player Rating
LAVK
BUTT
Ranking
LAVK
BUTT
Recent on Mirage
Lavked
13-9
vs ex-RUSTEC
Jul 23
9-13
vs Just Players
Jul 15
7-13
vs Acend
Jun 17
13-10
vs Misa
Jun 9
19-17
vs MANA
Jun 5
Butterfly
12-16
vs G2 Ares
Jul 24
13-2
vs Just Players
Jul 23
Ancient
LAVK
8
–
13
BUTT
24%
76%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
After First Kill
LAVK
BUTT
After First Death
LAVK
BUTT
Round Win Rate
LAVK
BUTT
Overall Rating
LAVK
BUTT
Map Win Rate
LAVK
BUTT
Recent on Ancient
Lavked
11-13
vs Just Players
Jul 15
Butterfly
13-4
vs G2 Ares
Jul 24
13-5
vs benched gods
Jul 22
Nuke
LAVK
8
–
13
BUTT
19%
81%
Win prob
OT 7%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
LAVK
BUTT
Map Player Rating
LAVK
BUTT
Opening Kills
LAVK
BUTT
Overall Rating
LAVK
BUTT
After First Death
LAVK
BUTT
Recent on Nuke
Lavked
no data
Butterfly
13-10
vs SAW Youngsters
Jul 26
13-6
vs Just Players
Jul 23
Mirage
LAVK
8
–
13
BUTT
27%
73%
Win prob
OT 8%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
LAVK
BUTT
Round Win Rate
LAVK
BUTT
After First Death
LAVK
BUTT
Map Player Rating
LAVK
BUTT
Ranking
LAVK
BUTT
Recent on Mirage
Lavked
13-9
vs ex-RUSTEC
Jul 23
9-13
vs Just Players
Jul 15
7-13
vs Acend
Jun 17
13-10
vs Misa
Jun 9
19-17
vs MANA
Jun 5
Butterfly
12-16
vs G2 Ares
Jul 24
13-2
vs Just Players
Jul 23
Ancient
LAVK
8
–
13
BUTT
24%
76%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
After First Kill
LAVK
BUTT
After First Death
LAVK
BUTT
Round Win Rate
LAVK
BUTT
Overall Rating
LAVK
BUTT
Map Win Rate
LAVK
BUTT
Recent on Ancient
Lavked
11-13
vs Just Players
Jul 15
Butterfly
13-4
vs G2 Ares
Jul 24
13-5
vs benched gods
Jul 22
Dust2
LAVK
7
–
13
BUTT
18%
82%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
LAVK
BUTT
After First Death
LAVK
BUTT
T 5v4
LAVK
BUTT
Overall Rating
LAVK
BUTT
Opening Kills
LAVK
BUTT
Recent on Dust2
Lavked
5-13
vs ex-RUSTEC
Jul 23
11-13
vs Acend
Jun 17
13-5
vs Misa
Jun 9
8-13
vs MANA
Jun 5
Butterfly
13-5
vs SAW Youngsters
Jul 26
Mirage
LAVK
8
–
13
BUTT
27%
73%
Win prob
OT 8%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
LAVK
BUTT
Round Win Rate
LAVK
BUTT
After First Death
LAVK
BUTT
Map Player Rating
LAVK
BUTT
Ranking
LAVK
BUTT
Recent on Mirage
Lavked
13-9
vs ex-RUSTEC
Jul 23
9-13
vs Just Players
Jul 15
7-13
vs Acend
Jun 17
13-10
vs Misa
Jun 9
19-17
vs MANA
Jun 5
Butterfly
12-16
vs G2 Ares
Jul 24
13-2
vs Just Players
Jul 23
Ancient
LAVK
8
–
13
BUTT
24%
76%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
After First Kill
LAVK
BUTT
After First Death
LAVK
BUTT
Round Win Rate
LAVK
BUTT
Overall Rating
LAVK
BUTT
Map Win Rate
LAVK
BUTT
Recent on Ancient
Lavked
11-13
vs Just Players
Jul 15
Butterfly
13-4
vs G2 Ares
Jul 24
13-5
vs benched gods
Jul 22
Cache
LAVK
5
–
13
BUTT
8%
92%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
LAVK
BUTT
After First Death
LAVK
BUTT
Map Player Rating
LAVK
BUTT
Overall Rating
LAVK
BUTT
Opening Kills
LAVK
BUTT
Recent on Cache
Lavked
no data
Butterfly
13-10
vs benched gods
Jul 22
Recent Results
last 5 matches
Lavked
Butterfly
W
2-1
vs ex-RUSTEC
Dust2MirageAnubis
Jul 23
21d ago
L
0-2
vs Just Players
MirageAncient
Jul 15
29d ago
L
1-2
vs Acend
OverpassMirageDust2
Jun 17
57d ago
W
2-0
vs Misa
Dust2Mirage
Jun 9
65d ago
W
2-1
vs MANA
MirageDust2Anubis
Jun 5
69d ago
L
1-2
vs G2 Ares
AncientMirageInferno
Jul 24
20d ago
W
2-0
vs Just Players
MirageNuke
Jul 23
21d ago
W
2-0
vs benched gods
AncientCache
Jul 22
22d ago
Player Matchups
Lavked
Ratings
Butterfly
XM
xm1nd
AWPADR 71.3KAST 71%
NI
nitzie
AWPADR 74.2KAST 72%
1N
1NVISIBLEE
EntryADR 79.3KAST 67%
KU
Kurama
EntryADR 78.9KAST 69%
SO
sol
RiflerADR 65.5KAST 70%
AY
ayano
RiflerADR 71.5KAST 70%
KE
KENSI
RiflerADR 66.4KAST 70%
K1
k1ssly
RiflerADR 68.8KAST 68%
Unpredicted Maps
3 maps
Cache
LAVK
5
–
13
BUTT
8%
92%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
LAVK
BUTT
After First Death
LAVK
BUTT
Map Player Rating
LAVK
BUTT
Overall Rating
LAVK
BUTT
Opening Kills
LAVK
BUTT
Recent on Cache
Lavked
no data
Butterfly
13-10
vs benched gods
Jul 22
Dust2
LAVK
7
–
13
BUTT
18%
82%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
LAVK
BUTT
After First Death
LAVK
BUTT
T 5v4
LAVK
BUTT
Overall Rating
LAVK
BUTT
Opening Kills
LAVK
BUTT
Recent on Dust2
Lavked
5-13
vs ex-RUSTEC
Jul 23
11-13
vs Acend
Jun 17
13-5
vs Misa
Jun 9
8-13
vs MANA
Jun 5
Butterfly
13-5
vs SAW Youngsters
Jul 26
Inferno
LAVK
8
–
13
BUTT
23%
77%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
LAVK
BUTT
Map Player Rating
LAVK
BUTT
Opening Kills
LAVK
BUTT
Overall Rating
LAVK
BUTT
Ranking
LAVK
BUTT
Recent on Inferno
Lavked
no data
Butterfly
13-16
vs SAW Youngsters
Jul 26
14-16
vs G2 Ares
Jul 24
More from NODWIN Clutch Series 10
1 match