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Bo3  ·  NODWIN Clutch Series 10 · 2026-07-23
BET-M
vs
SPARTA
44%
56%
Series win probability
SPAR 2–1 40%
BET- 2–0 31%
SPAR 2–0 15%
BET- 2–1 14%
Actual result
Dust2 13–5 SPAR
Mirage 13–7 SPAR
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — SPARTA is slightly favored at 55% but only leads on 1 of 3 maps. Key factors: stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#113 vs #91), a strong nuke (64% win probability). BET-M's best shot is dust2 where they hold a 84% edge.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 41% Nuke · Dust2 · Mirage
Scenario 2 30% Nuke · Dust2 · Cache
Scenario 3 29% Nuke · Dust2 · Ancient
Nuke
BET- 11 13 SPAR
36%
64%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
BET-
SPAR
Round Win Rate
BET-
SPAR
Map Win Rate
BET-
SPAR
After First Death
BET-
SPAR
Opponent-Rating Diff
BET-
SPAR
Recent on Nuke
BET-M
8-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Jul 21
6-13 vs BASEMENT BOYS Jul 19
12-16 vs Virtus.pro May 27
13-2 vs 163NEWS May 26
13-4 vs Aurora Young Blud May 26
SPARTA
13-11 vs ENCE Jul 8
13-10 vs INOX Division Jun 17
8-13 vs GenOne Jun 12
9-13 vs KOLESIE Jun 11
13-10 vs Atreides Jun 10
Dust2
BET- 13 7 SPAR
84%
16%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
After First Death
BET-
SPAR
After First Kill
BET-
SPAR
T 5v4
BET-
SPAR
Map Player Rating
BET-
SPAR
Ranking
BET-
SPAR
Recent on Dust2
BET-M
13-5 vs BASEMENT BOYS Jul 19
9-13 vs Acend Jun 19
7-13 vs SPARTA May 8
13-2 vs bankaPEPSI Apr 25
13-3 vs Julie&Cie Apr 24
SPARTA
13-6 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 22
13-1 vs MOUZ NXT Jul 13
8-13 vs fnatic Jul 13
13-7 vs Noir Verse Jul 12
8-13 vs Bushido Wildcats Jul 12
Mirage
BET- 13 9 SPAR
67%
33%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Kill
BET-
SPAR
After First Death
BET-
SPAR
Ranking
BET-
SPAR
Opponent-Rating Diff
BET-
SPAR
Opening Kills
BET-
SPAR
Recent on Mirage
BET-M
13-5 vs BASEMENT BOYS Jul 19
13-2 vs 163NEWS May 26
8-13 vs Tricked May 18
8-13 vs Walczaki May 9
13-4 vs SPARTA May 8
SPARTA
13-11 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 22
13-7 vs ENCE Jul 14
13-4 vs MOUZ NXT Jul 13
9-13 vs Atreides Jul 12
13-7 vs ENCE Jul 8
Nuke
BET- 11 13 SPAR
36%
64%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
BET-
SPAR
Round Win Rate
BET-
SPAR
Map Win Rate
BET-
SPAR
After First Death
BET-
SPAR
Opponent-Rating Diff
BET-
SPAR
Recent on Nuke
BET-M
8-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Jul 21
6-13 vs BASEMENT BOYS Jul 19
12-16 vs Virtus.pro May 27
13-2 vs 163NEWS May 26
13-4 vs Aurora Young Blud May 26
SPARTA
13-11 vs ENCE Jul 8
13-10 vs INOX Division Jun 17
8-13 vs GenOne Jun 12
9-13 vs KOLESIE Jun 11
13-10 vs Atreides Jun 10
Dust2
BET- 13 7 SPAR
84%
16%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
After First Death
BET-
SPAR
After First Kill
BET-
SPAR
T 5v4
BET-
SPAR
Map Player Rating
BET-
SPAR
Ranking
BET-
SPAR
Recent on Dust2
BET-M
13-5 vs BASEMENT BOYS Jul 19
9-13 vs Acend Jun 19
7-13 vs SPARTA May 8
13-2 vs bankaPEPSI Apr 25
13-3 vs Julie&Cie Apr 24
SPARTA
13-6 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 22
13-1 vs MOUZ NXT Jul 13
8-13 vs fnatic Jul 13
13-7 vs Noir Verse Jul 12
8-13 vs Bushido Wildcats Jul 12
Cache
BET- 7 13 SPAR
18%
82%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
After First Kill
BET-
SPAR
After First Death
BET-
SPAR
Map Player Rating
BET-
SPAR
T 5v4
BET-
SPAR
Opening Kills
BET-
SPAR
Recent on Cache
BET-M
no data
SPARTA
16-14 vs Walczaki Jul 16
14-16 vs MOUZ NXT Jul 13
1-13 vs Atreides Jul 12
13-6 vs Noir Verse Jul 12
Nuke
BET- 11 13 SPAR
36%
64%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
BET-
SPAR
Round Win Rate
BET-
SPAR
Map Win Rate
BET-
SPAR
After First Death
BET-
SPAR
Opponent-Rating Diff
BET-
SPAR
Recent on Nuke
BET-M
8-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Jul 21
6-13 vs BASEMENT BOYS Jul 19
12-16 vs Virtus.pro May 27
13-2 vs 163NEWS May 26
13-4 vs Aurora Young Blud May 26
SPARTA
13-11 vs ENCE Jul 8
13-10 vs INOX Division Jun 17
8-13 vs GenOne Jun 12
9-13 vs KOLESIE Jun 11
13-10 vs Atreides Jun 10
Dust2
BET- 13 7 SPAR
84%
16%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
After First Death
BET-
SPAR
After First Kill
BET-
SPAR
T 5v4
BET-
SPAR
Map Player Rating
BET-
SPAR
Ranking
BET-
SPAR
Recent on Dust2
BET-M
13-5 vs BASEMENT BOYS Jul 19
9-13 vs Acend Jun 19
7-13 vs SPARTA May 8
13-2 vs bankaPEPSI Apr 25
13-3 vs Julie&Cie Apr 24
SPARTA
13-6 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 22
13-1 vs MOUZ NXT Jul 13
8-13 vs fnatic Jul 13
13-7 vs Noir Verse Jul 12
8-13 vs Bushido Wildcats Jul 12
Ancient
BET- 7 13 SPAR
16%
84%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Death
BET-
SPAR
After First Kill
BET-
SPAR
Opponent-Rating Diff
BET-
SPAR
Map Player Rating
BET-
SPAR
Multi-Kills
BET-
SPAR
Recent on Ancient
BET-M
5-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Jul 21
6-13 vs Virtus.pro May 27
13-6 vs Aurora Young Blud May 26
10-13 vs Aurora Young Blud May 25
11-13 vs Walczaki May 12
SPARTA
9-13 vs Walczaki Jul 16
13-8 vs ENCE Jul 14
9-13 vs fnatic Jul 13
13-6 vs Bushido Wildcats Jul 12
5-13 vs Leo Jun 14
Recent Results last 11 matches
BET-M
SPARTA
L 0-2 vs CYBERSHOKE NukeAncient Jul 21 23d ago
W 2-1 vs BASEMENT BOYS MirageNukeDust2 Jul 19 25d ago
L 0-2 vs Acend InfernoDust2 Jun 19 55d ago
L 0-2 vs Virtus.pro NukeAncient May 27 78d ago
W 2-0 vs 163NEWS MirageNuke May 26 79d ago
W 2-0 vs Aurora Young Blud AncientNuke May 26 79d ago
L 0-2 vs Aurora Young Blud AncientNuke May 25 80d ago
L 0-2 vs Tricked InfernoMirage May 18 87d ago
L 0-2 vs Walczaki InfernoAncient May 12 93d ago
L 1-2 vs Walczaki AncientMirageNuke May 9 96d ago
W 2-1 vs SPARTA Dust2NukeMirage May 8 97d ago
W 2-1 vs SAW Youngsters Dust2InfernoMirage Jul 22 22d ago
L 1-2 vs Walczaki AncientCacheInferno Jul 16 28d ago
W 2-0 vs ENCE AncientMirage Jul 14 30d ago
W 2-1 vs MOUZ NXT CacheDust2Mirage Jul 13 31d ago
L 0-2 vs fnatic Dust2Ancient Jul 13 31d ago
L 1-2 vs Atreides CacheAnubisMirage Jul 12 32d ago
W 2-0 vs Noir Verse CacheDust2 Jul 12 32d ago
L 1-2 vs Bushido Wildcats AnubisAncientDust2 Jul 12 32d ago
W 2-0 vs ENCE NukeMirage Jul 8 36d ago
L 1-2 vs INOX Division NukeOverpassDust2 Jun 17 57d ago
W 2-0 vs G2 Ares Dust2Inferno Jun 15 59d ago
Player Matchups
BET-M
Ratings
SPARTA
Z1
z1Nny
RiflerADR 77.7KAST 72%
1.15 vs 1.12
DJ
Djon8
EntryADR 81.2KAST 72%
EX
executor
RiflerADR 75.4KAST 74%
1.11 vs 1.11
TR
TRAVIS
RiflerADR 75.0KAST 73%
KI
KIRO
AWPADR 70.5KAST 73%
1.04 vs 1.09
EL
El1an
AWPADR 77.2KAST 72%
BL
bluewh1te
EntryADR 69.6KAST 71%
1.00 vs 1.03
K4
k4nfuz
RiflerADR 66.6KAST 73%
KI
kinqie
RiflerADR 66.7KAST 71%
0.93 vs 0.93
NI
NickelBack
RiflerADR 68.2KAST 70%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Anubis
BET- 13 6 SPAR
90%
10%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
After First Kill
BET-
SPAR
After First Death
BET-
SPAR
Opening Kills
BET-
SPAR
Map Player Rating
BET-
SPAR
Ranking
BET-
SPAR
Recent on Anubis
BET-M
13-5 vs Julie&Cie Apr 24
16-19 vs Nemiga Apr 3
13-3 vs Nemiga Mar 11
13-10 vs QUAZAR Mar 9
4-13 vs Acend Mar 7
SPARTA
13-11 vs Atreides Jul 12
9-13 vs Bushido Wildcats Jul 12
Ancient
BET- 7 13 SPAR
16%
84%
Win prob OT 6%
Key factors
After First Death
BET-
SPAR
After First Kill
BET-
SPAR
Opponent-Rating Diff
BET-
SPAR
Map Player Rating
BET-
SPAR
Multi-Kills
BET-
SPAR
Recent on Ancient
BET-M
5-13 vs CYBERSHOKE Jul 21
6-13 vs Virtus.pro May 27
13-6 vs Aurora Young Blud May 26
10-13 vs Aurora Young Blud May 25
11-13 vs Walczaki May 12
SPARTA
9-13 vs Walczaki Jul 16
13-8 vs ENCE Jul 14
9-13 vs fnatic Jul 13
13-6 vs Bushido Wildcats Jul 12
5-13 vs Leo Jun 14
Cache
BET- 7 13 SPAR
18%
82%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
After First Kill
BET-
SPAR
After First Death
BET-
SPAR
Map Player Rating
BET-
SPAR
T 5v4
BET-
SPAR
Opening Kills
BET-
SPAR
Recent on Cache
BET-M
no data
SPARTA
16-14 vs Walczaki Jul 16
14-16 vs MOUZ NXT Jul 13
1-13 vs Atreides Jul 12
13-6 vs Noir Verse Jul 12
Inferno
BET- 8 13 SPAR
24%
76%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
BET-
SPAR
After First Death
BET-
SPAR
Ranking
BET-
SPAR
Opponent-Rating Diff
BET-
SPAR
T 5v4
BET-
SPAR
Recent on Inferno
BET-M
11-13 vs Acend Jun 19
3-13 vs Tricked May 18
4-13 vs Walczaki May 12
17-19 vs BIG Academy Apr 26
14-16 vs Julie&Cie Apr 24
SPARTA
9-13 vs SAW Youngsters Jul 22
7-13 vs Walczaki Jul 16
13-3 vs G2 Ares Jun 15
13-9 vs Atreides Jun 10
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