Bo3 · NODWIN Clutch Series 10 Closed Qualifier
· 2026-07-16
G2 Ares
✓
vs
Lilmix
58%
42%
Series win probability
G2A
2–0
36%
LILM
2–1
30%
G2A
2–1
21%
LILM
2–0
12%
Actual result
Inferno
13–6
G2A
Cache
13–11
LILM
Mirage
13–8
G2A
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — G2 Ares is slightly favored at 58% but only leads on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.06 vs 0.98), a significant ranking advantage (#116 vs #222), a strong ancient (84% win probability). Lilmix's best shot is inferno where they hold a 62% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
38%
Inferno · Mirage · Ancient
Scenario 2
34%
Inferno · Mirage · Dust2
Scenario 3
28%
Inferno · Mirage · Cache
Inferno
G2A
9
–
13
LILM
38%
62%
Win prob
OT 10%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
G2A
LILM
Ranking
G2A
LILM
Round Win Rate
G2A
LILM
Opponent-Rating Diff
G2A
LILM
After First Kill
G2A
LILM
Recent on Inferno
G2 Ares
8-13
vs Walczaki
Jun 15
3-13
vs SPARTA
Jun 15
13-3
vs aAa
Jun 6
2-13
vs Atreides
May 31
13-5
vs NEW VISION
May 28
Lilmix
10-13
vs DONSTU
Jul 2
13-3
vs NEW VISION
Jun 30
11-13
vs Subtop De France
Jun 28
19-17
vs ReThink
Jun 22
10-13
vs NEW VISION
Jun 7
Mirage
G2A
13
–
8
LILM
75%
25%
Win prob
OT 8%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
G2A
LILM
Ranking
G2A
LILM
Map Player Rating
G2A
LILM
Opening Kills
G2A
LILM
Overall Rating
G2A
LILM
Recent on Mirage
G2 Ares
7-13
vs PsychoFace
Jun 13
13-2
vs Young Ninjas
Jun 10
13-4
vs illwill
Jun 10
13-6
vs Vexar
May 31
9-13
vs Enjoy
May 30
Lilmix
5-13
vs ReThink
Jun 22
6-13
vs ENERGYULTRA
Jun 21
2-13
vs Leo
Jun 5
11-13
vs Misa
May 29
17-19
vs G2 Ares
May 27
Ancient
G2A
13
–
7
LILM
84%
16%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
After First Death
G2A
LILM
Ranking
G2A
LILM
Map Player Rating
G2A
LILM
Overall Rating
G2A
LILM
Opening Kills
G2A
LILM
Recent on Ancient
G2 Ares
13-10
vs Vexar
May 31
19-15
vs Enjoy
May 31
14-16
vs Atreides
May 31
8-13
vs Enjoy
May 30
13-10
vs NEW VISION
May 28
Lilmix
13-3
vs NEW VISION
Jun 30
13-9
vs Subtop De France
Jun 28
3-13
vs ReThink
Jun 22
1-13
vs ENERGYULTRA
Jun 21
7-13
vs Young Ninjas
May 27
Inferno
G2A
9
–
13
LILM
38%
62%
Win prob
OT 10%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
G2A
LILM
Ranking
G2A
LILM
Round Win Rate
G2A
LILM
Opponent-Rating Diff
G2A
LILM
After First Kill
G2A
LILM
Recent on Inferno
G2 Ares
8-13
vs Walczaki
Jun 15
3-13
vs SPARTA
Jun 15
13-3
vs aAa
Jun 6
2-13
vs Atreides
May 31
13-5
vs NEW VISION
May 28
Lilmix
10-13
vs DONSTU
Jul 2
13-3
vs NEW VISION
Jun 30
11-13
vs Subtop De France
Jun 28
19-17
vs ReThink
Jun 22
10-13
vs NEW VISION
Jun 7
Mirage
G2A
13
–
8
LILM
75%
25%
Win prob
OT 8%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
G2A
LILM
Ranking
G2A
LILM
Map Player Rating
G2A
LILM
Opening Kills
G2A
LILM
Overall Rating
G2A
LILM
Recent on Mirage
G2 Ares
7-13
vs PsychoFace
Jun 13
13-2
vs Young Ninjas
Jun 10
13-4
vs illwill
Jun 10
13-6
vs Vexar
May 31
9-13
vs Enjoy
May 30
Lilmix
5-13
vs ReThink
Jun 22
6-13
vs ENERGYULTRA
Jun 21
2-13
vs Leo
Jun 5
11-13
vs Misa
May 29
17-19
vs G2 Ares
May 27
Dust2
G2A
13
–
8
LILM
63%
37%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Death
G2A
LILM
Round Win Rate
G2A
LILM
Ranking
G2A
LILM
Map Player Rating
G2A
LILM
Map Win Rate
G2A
LILM
Recent on Dust2
G2 Ares
14-16
vs SPARTA
Jun 15
9-13
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 12
13-11
vs Young Ninjas
Jun 10
19-16
vs illwill
Jun 10
11-13
vs Enjoy
May 31
Lilmix
11-13
vs Subtop De France
Jun 28
6-13
vs Leo
Jun 5
5-13
vs Misa
May 29
13-4
vs Young Ninjas
May 27
7-13
vs Vexar
May 26
Inferno
G2A
9
–
13
LILM
38%
62%
Win prob
OT 10%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
G2A
LILM
Ranking
G2A
LILM
Round Win Rate
G2A
LILM
Opponent-Rating Diff
G2A
LILM
After First Kill
G2A
LILM
Recent on Inferno
G2 Ares
8-13
vs Walczaki
Jun 15
3-13
vs SPARTA
Jun 15
13-3
vs aAa
Jun 6
2-13
vs Atreides
May 31
13-5
vs NEW VISION
May 28
Lilmix
10-13
vs DONSTU
Jul 2
13-3
vs NEW VISION
Jun 30
11-13
vs Subtop De France
Jun 28
19-17
vs ReThink
Jun 22
10-13
vs NEW VISION
Jun 7
Mirage
G2A
13
–
8
LILM
75%
25%
Win prob
OT 8%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
G2A
LILM
Ranking
G2A
LILM
Map Player Rating
G2A
LILM
Opening Kills
G2A
LILM
Overall Rating
G2A
LILM
Recent on Mirage
G2 Ares
7-13
vs PsychoFace
Jun 13
13-2
vs Young Ninjas
Jun 10
13-4
vs illwill
Jun 10
13-6
vs Vexar
May 31
9-13
vs Enjoy
May 30
Lilmix
5-13
vs ReThink
Jun 22
6-13
vs ENERGYULTRA
Jun 21
2-13
vs Leo
Jun 5
11-13
vs Misa
May 29
17-19
vs G2 Ares
May 27
Cache
G2A
5
–
13
LILM
7%
93%
Win prob
OT 3%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
G2A
LILM
After First Kill
G2A
LILM
Ranking
G2A
LILM
Map Player Rating
G2A
LILM
Overall Rating
G2A
LILM
Recent on Cache
G2 Ares
no data
Lilmix
13-16
vs DONSTU
Jul 2
Recent Results
last 11 matches
G2 Ares
Lilmix
L
0-2
vs Walczaki
AnubisInferno
Jun 15
59d ago
L
0-2
vs SPARTA
Dust2Inferno
Jun 15
59d ago
L
0-2
vs PsychoFace
MirageOverpass
Jun 13
61d ago
L
0-2
vs ex-RUBY
OverpassDust2
Jun 12
62d ago
W
2-1
vs Young Ninjas
OverpassDust2Mirage
Jun 10
64d ago
W
2-1
vs illwill
Dust2OverpassMirage
Jun 10
64d ago
W
2-0
vs aAa
InfernoOverpass
Jun 6
68d ago
W
2-0
vs Vexar
MirageAncient
May 31
74d ago
L
1-2
vs Enjoy
AncientOverpassDust2
May 31
74d ago
L
1-2
vs Atreides
OverpassAncientInferno
May 31
74d ago
L
1-2
vs Enjoy
AncientOverpassMirage
May 30
75d ago
L
0-2
vs DONSTU
InfernoCache
Jul 2
42d ago
W
2-0
vs NEW VISION
InfernoAncient
Jun 30
44d ago
L
1-2
vs Subtop De France
AncientDust2Inferno
Jun 28
46d ago
L
1-2
vs ReThink
AncientInfernoMirage
Jun 22
52d ago
L
0-2
vs ENERGYULTRA
AncientMirage
Jun 21
53d ago
L
0-2
vs NEW VISION
AnubisInferno
Jun 7
67d ago
L
0-2
vs Leo
Dust2Mirage
Jun 5
69d ago
L
1-2
vs Misa
InfernoDust2Mirage
May 29
76d ago
L
1-2
vs Young Ninjas
OverpassDust2Ancient
May 27
78d ago
L
1-2
vs G2 Ares
InfernoMirageAncient
May 27
78d ago
L
1-2
vs Vexar
InfernoDust2Ancient
May 26
79d ago
Player Matchups
G2 Ares
Ratings
Lilmix
TA
tAk
EntryADR 84.8KAST 75%
B0
b0denmaster
AWPADR 74.8KAST 69%
JU
Junyme
AWPADR 74.7KAST 74%
WO
Wonder
RiflerADR 72.1KAST 72%
HI
hitori
RiflerADR 75.7KAST 72%
JA
Jackinho
RiflerADR 77.4KAST 68%
YK
yksjupe
RiflerADR 70.3KAST 72%
WA
walleN
EntryADR 68.5KAST 71%
SH
SHiNE
RiflerADR 65.0KAST 71%
QU
quix
RiflerADR 64.6KAST 67%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Cache
G2A
5
–
13
LILM
7%
93%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Death
G2A
LILM
After First Kill
G2A
LILM
Ranking
G2A
LILM
Map Player Rating
G2A
LILM
Overall Rating
G2A
LILM
Recent on Cache
G2 Ares
no data
Lilmix
13-16
vs DONSTU
Jul 2
Nuke
G2A
5
–
13
LILM
7%
93%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Death
G2A
LILM
After First Kill
G2A
LILM
Ranking
G2A
LILM
Map Player Rating
G2A
LILM
Opening Kills
G2A
LILM
Recent on Nuke
G2 Ares
no data
Lilmix
10-13
vs NEW VISION
May 24
Anubis
G2A
13
–
7
LILM
86%
14%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
After First Kill
G2A
LILM
Ranking
G2A
LILM
Round Win Rate
G2A
LILM
Map Player Rating
G2A
LILM
Opponent-Rating Diff
G2A
LILM
Recent on Anubis
G2 Ares
6-13
vs Walczaki
Jun 15
13-6
vs Misa
May 26
13-5
vs Entropy
May 26
16-13
vs DONSTU
May 24
11-13
vs DONSTU
Apr 22
Lilmix
7-13
vs NEW VISION
Jun 7
11-13
vs RUSTEC
May 26
7-13
vs yngods
Apr 1
Dust2
G2A
13
–
8
LILM
63%
37%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Death
G2A
LILM
Round Win Rate
G2A
LILM
Ranking
G2A
LILM
Map Player Rating
G2A
LILM
Map Win Rate
G2A
LILM
Recent on Dust2
G2 Ares
14-16
vs SPARTA
Jun 15
9-13
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 12
13-11
vs Young Ninjas
Jun 10
19-16
vs illwill
Jun 10
11-13
vs Enjoy
May 31
Lilmix
11-13
vs Subtop De France
Jun 28
6-13
vs Leo
Jun 5
5-13
vs Misa
May 29
13-4
vs Young Ninjas
May 27
7-13
vs Vexar
May 26
More from NODWIN Clutch Series 10 Closed Qualifier
1 match