Bo3 · Stake Ranked Episode 3
· 2026-07-15
Wildcard
✗
vs
Gentle Mates
51%
49%
Series win probability
WILD
2–0
30%
GM
2–1
29%
WILD
2–1
21%
GM
2–0
20%
Actual result
Inferno
13–10
GM
Nuke
13–9
GM
Model Insights
This is a toss-up — Wildcard is slightly favored at 51% but only leads on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.18 vs 1.04), a strong nuke (67% win probability). Either team could take this — small edges in side performance and veto are the difference.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
47%
Mirage · Inferno · Nuke
Scenario 2
30%
Inferno · Nuke · Cache
Scenario 3
23%
Inferno · Nuke · Anubis
Mirage
WILD
13
–
10
GM
58%
42%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
After First Kill
WILD
GM
After First Death
WILD
GM
Map Player Rating
WILD
GM
T 5v4
WILD
GM
Ranking
WILD
GM
Recent on Mirage
Wildcard
13-10
vs Inner Circle
May 22
13-7
vs FarmVille
Apr 29
13-8
vs Fisher College
Apr 26
13-6
vs FRZ
Apr 25
26-28
vs PARIVISION
Apr 8
Gentle Mates
8-13
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 20
13-6
vs Acend
Jun 15
13-6
vs WW
May 30
13-8
vs Eternal Fire
May 30
5-13
vs magic
May 12
Inferno
WILD
16
–
14
GM
52%
48%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
WILD
GM
Map Win Rate
WILD
GM
Round Win Rate
WILD
GM
Open Score N75 Diff
WILD
GM
Overall Rating
WILD
GM
Recent on Inferno
Wildcard
13-7
vs FOKUS
May 24
13-11
vs Acend
May 23
13-3
vs FOKUS
May 23
10-13
vs M80
May 3
14-16
vs Passion UA
Apr 26
Gentle Mates
13-9
vs Acend
Jun 15
8-13
vs Nemesis
May 31
13-4
vs GenOne
May 30
13-9
vs WW
May 30
13-0
vs GenOne
May 28
Nuke
WILD
13
–
9
GM
67%
33%
Win prob
OT 9%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
WILD
GM
After First Death
WILD
GM
Map Player Rating
WILD
GM
Round Win Rate
WILD
GM
Opening Kills
WILD
GM
Recent on Nuke
Wildcard
13-6
vs FOKUS
May 24
13-7
vs Inner Circle
May 22
13-8
vs Passion UA
Apr 26
13-7
vs Fisher College
Apr 26
13-4
vs Chicken Coop
Apr 25
Gentle Mates
6-13
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 20
13-9
vs KOLESIE
Jun 18
11-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jun 16
6-13
vs Nemesis
May 31
13-7
vs GenOne
May 30
Inferno
WILD
16
–
14
GM
52%
48%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
WILD
GM
Map Win Rate
WILD
GM
Round Win Rate
WILD
GM
Open Score N75 Diff
WILD
GM
Overall Rating
WILD
GM
Recent on Inferno
Wildcard
13-7
vs FOKUS
May 24
13-11
vs Acend
May 23
13-3
vs FOKUS
May 23
10-13
vs M80
May 3
14-16
vs Passion UA
Apr 26
Gentle Mates
13-9
vs Acend
Jun 15
8-13
vs Nemesis
May 31
13-4
vs GenOne
May 30
13-9
vs WW
May 30
13-0
vs GenOne
May 28
Nuke
WILD
13
–
9
GM
67%
33%
Win prob
OT 9%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
WILD
GM
After First Death
WILD
GM
Map Player Rating
WILD
GM
Round Win Rate
WILD
GM
Opening Kills
WILD
GM
Recent on Nuke
Wildcard
13-6
vs FOKUS
May 24
13-7
vs Inner Circle
May 22
13-8
vs Passion UA
Apr 26
13-7
vs Fisher College
Apr 26
13-4
vs Chicken Coop
Apr 25
Gentle Mates
6-13
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 20
13-9
vs KOLESIE
Jun 18
11-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jun 16
6-13
vs Nemesis
May 31
13-7
vs GenOne
May 30
Cache
WILD
10
–
13
GM
42%
58%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opening Score
WILD
GM
Ranking
WILD
GM
Overall Rating
WILD
GM
Open Score N75 Diff
WILD
GM
Sniper Score
WILD
GM
Recent on Cache
Wildcard
no data
Gentle Mates
no data
Inferno
WILD
16
–
14
GM
52%
48%
Win prob
OT 12%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
WILD
GM
Map Win Rate
WILD
GM
Round Win Rate
WILD
GM
Open Score N75 Diff
WILD
GM
Overall Rating
WILD
GM
Recent on Inferno
Wildcard
13-7
vs FOKUS
May 24
13-11
vs Acend
May 23
13-3
vs FOKUS
May 23
10-13
vs M80
May 3
14-16
vs Passion UA
Apr 26
Gentle Mates
13-9
vs Acend
Jun 15
8-13
vs Nemesis
May 31
13-4
vs GenOne
May 30
13-9
vs WW
May 30
13-0
vs GenOne
May 28
Nuke
WILD
13
–
9
GM
67%
33%
Win prob
OT 9%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
WILD
GM
After First Death
WILD
GM
Map Player Rating
WILD
GM
Round Win Rate
WILD
GM
Opening Kills
WILD
GM
Recent on Nuke
Wildcard
13-6
vs FOKUS
May 24
13-7
vs Inner Circle
May 22
13-8
vs Passion UA
Apr 26
13-7
vs Fisher College
Apr 26
13-4
vs Chicken Coop
Apr 25
Gentle Mates
6-13
vs ex-RUBY
Jun 20
13-9
vs KOLESIE
Jun 18
11-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jun 16
6-13
vs Nemesis
May 31
13-7
vs GenOne
May 30
Anubis
WILD
7
–
13
GM
19%
81%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
WILD
GM
Ranking
WILD
GM
After First Death
WILD
GM
Map Win Rate
WILD
GM
Overall Rating
WILD
GM
Recent on Anubis
Wildcard
8-13
vs AaB
Mar 23
Gentle Mates
11-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jun 16
13-9
vs Eternal Fire
May 29
10-13
vs GenOne
May 28
13-8
vs ALGO
May 27
13-9
vs 9INE
Apr 2
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Wildcard
Gentle Mates
W
2-1
vs FOKUS
InfernoDust2Nuke
May 24
81d ago
W
2-0
vs Acend
InfernoDust2
May 23
82d ago
W
2-0
vs FOKUS
InfernoDust2
May 23
82d ago
W
2-1
vs Inner Circle
Dust2MirageNuke
May 22
83d ago
L
0-2
vs Voca
Dust2Overpass
May 3
102d ago
L
0-2
vs M80
Dust2Inferno
May 3
102d ago
W
2-0
vs Voca
Dust2Overpass
May 1
104d ago
W
2-0
vs FarmVille
Dust2Mirage
Apr 29
106d ago
W
2-1
vs Passion UA
InfernoNukeDust2
Apr 26
109d ago
W
3-0
vs Fisher College
NukeMirageInferno
Apr 26
109d ago
W
2-0
vs FRZ
Dust2Mirage
Apr 25
110d ago
L
1-2
vs ex-RUBY
AncientMirageNuke
Jun 20
54d ago
W
2-0
vs KOLESIE
AncientNuke
Jun 18
56d ago
L
0-2
vs Nuclear TigeRES
AnubisNuke
Jun 16
58d ago
W
2-1
vs Acend
MirageAncientInferno
Jun 15
59d ago
L
0-2
vs Nemesis
NukeInferno
May 31
74d ago
W
2-0
vs GenOne
InfernoNuke
May 30
75d ago
W
2-0
vs WW
InfernoMirage
May 30
75d ago
W
2-1
vs Eternal Fire
MirageNukeAncient
May 30
75d ago
W
2-1
vs Eternal Fire
OverpassNukeAnubis
May 29
76d ago
W
2-1
vs GenOne
AnubisAncientInferno
May 28
77d ago
W
2-0
vs ALGO
AnubisAncient
May 27
78d ago
Player Matchups
Wildcard
Ratings
Gentle Mates
NE
nEMANHA
RiflerADR 87.3KAST 76%
MO
mopoz
RiflerADR 75.8KAST 72%
HE
HexT
EntryADR 74.5KAST 78%
AL
alex
EntryADR 73.6KAST 74%
MH
mhL
AWPADR 81.7KAST 78%
SA
sausol
AWPADR 73.3KAST 73%
RE
reck
RiflerADR 71.9KAST 79%
DA
dav1g
RiflerADR 71.1KAST 71%
CX
Cxzi
RiflerADR 70.8KAST 76%
Unpredicted Maps
2 maps
Anubis
WILD
7
–
13
GM
19%
81%
Win prob
OT 6%
Key factors
After First Kill
WILD
GM
Ranking
WILD
GM
After First Death
WILD
GM
Map Win Rate
WILD
GM
Overall Rating
WILD
GM
Recent on Anubis
Wildcard
8-13
vs AaB
Mar 23
Gentle Mates
11-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jun 16
13-9
vs Eternal Fire
May 29
10-13
vs GenOne
May 28
13-8
vs ALGO
May 27
13-9
vs 9INE
Apr 2
Cache
WILD
10
–
13
GM
42%
58%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
Opening Score
WILD
GM
Ranking
WILD
GM
Overall Rating
WILD
GM
Open Score N75 Diff
WILD
GM
Sniper Score
WILD
GM
Recent on Cache
Wildcard
no data
Gentle Mates
no data
More from Stake Ranked Episode 3
1 match