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Bo3  ·  Thunderpick World Championship 2026 South America Series 2 · 2026-07-12
LP
vs
Imperial
10%
90%
Series win probability
IMPE 2–0 74%
IMPE 2–1 16%
LP 2–1 8%
LP 2–0 2%
Actual result
Mirage 13–11 IMPE
Inferno 13–4 IMPE
Model Insights
Imperial is strongly favored at 90%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.10 vs 1.06), stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#72 vs #57), a strong inferno (89% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 42% Inferno · Dust2 · Nuke
Scenario 2 40% Inferno · Dust2 · Mirage
Scenario 3 18% Inferno · Dust2 · Cache
Inferno
LP 7 13 IMPE
11%
89%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
IMPE
After First Kill
LP
IMPE
Round Win Rate
LP
IMPE
Ranking
LP
IMPE
Map Win Rate
LP
IMPE
Recent on Inferno
LP
13-9 vs Fake do Biru Jul 11
2-13 vs paiN Jul 10
1-13 vs Imperial Jul 9
7-13 vs ShindeN Jul 9
13-8 vs Fake do Biru Jul 8
Imperial
13-5 vs Isurus Jul 11
13-1 vs LP Jul 9
13-16 vs ShindeN May 28
5-13 vs LP May 10
16-14 vs UNO MILLE May 9
Dust2
LP 9 13 IMPE
27%
73%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
IMPE
After First Kill
LP
IMPE
T 5v4
LP
IMPE
Ranking
LP
IMPE
After First Death
LP
IMPE
Recent on Dust2
LP
13-6 vs paiN Jul 10
9-13 vs BESTIA Academy Jul 7
13-6 vs Fake do Biru Jun 27
13-11 vs GameHunters May 29
13-2 vs Keyd Stars May 23
Imperial
10-13 vs LP May 10
7-13 vs UNO MILLE May 9
13-7 vs Yawara May 9
13-9 vs Bounty Hunters May 3
13-11 vs Fake do Biru Apr 29
Nuke
LP 8 13 IMPE
19%
81%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
IMPE
After First Death
LP
IMPE
After First Kill
LP
IMPE
Ranking
LP
IMPE
T Side
LP
IMPE
Recent on Nuke
LP
16-13 vs Fake do Biru Jul 11
9-13 vs paiN Jul 10
13-4 vs Fake do Biru Jul 8
13-3 vs MIBR Academy Jun 25
13-7 vs BESTIA May 31
Imperial
13-5 vs Isurus Jul 11
13-11 vs Isurus Jul 8
13-11 vs ALKA Jul 6
13-11 vs ShindeN May 28
14-16 vs GameHunters Apr 26
Inferno
LP 7 13 IMPE
11%
89%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
IMPE
After First Kill
LP
IMPE
Round Win Rate
LP
IMPE
Ranking
LP
IMPE
Map Win Rate
LP
IMPE
Recent on Inferno
LP
13-9 vs Fake do Biru Jul 11
2-13 vs paiN Jul 10
1-13 vs Imperial Jul 9
7-13 vs ShindeN Jul 9
13-8 vs Fake do Biru Jul 8
Imperial
13-5 vs Isurus Jul 11
13-1 vs LP Jul 9
13-16 vs ShindeN May 28
5-13 vs LP May 10
16-14 vs UNO MILLE May 9
Dust2
LP 9 13 IMPE
27%
73%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
IMPE
After First Kill
LP
IMPE
T 5v4
LP
IMPE
Ranking
LP
IMPE
After First Death
LP
IMPE
Recent on Dust2
LP
13-6 vs paiN Jul 10
9-13 vs BESTIA Academy Jul 7
13-6 vs Fake do Biru Jun 27
13-11 vs GameHunters May 29
13-2 vs Keyd Stars May 23
Imperial
10-13 vs LP May 10
7-13 vs UNO MILLE May 9
13-7 vs Yawara May 9
13-9 vs Bounty Hunters May 3
13-11 vs Fake do Biru Apr 29
Mirage
LP 5 13 IMPE
7%
93%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
IMPE
Opening Kills
LP
IMPE
Ranking
LP
IMPE
After First Death
LP
IMPE
Map Player Rating
LP
IMPE
Recent on Mirage
LP
7-13 vs Imperial Jul 9
11-13 vs MIBR Academy Jun 25
2-13 vs BESTIA May 31
6-13 vs Galorys May 30
13-5 vs 25 cents May 28
Imperial
11-13 vs Isurus Jul 11
13-7 vs LP Jul 9
12-16 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 9
13-8 vs Isurus Jul 8
13-10 vs ALKA Jul 6
Inferno
LP 7 13 IMPE
11%
89%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
IMPE
After First Kill
LP
IMPE
Round Win Rate
LP
IMPE
Ranking
LP
IMPE
Map Win Rate
LP
IMPE
Recent on Inferno
LP
13-9 vs Fake do Biru Jul 11
2-13 vs paiN Jul 10
1-13 vs Imperial Jul 9
7-13 vs ShindeN Jul 9
13-8 vs Fake do Biru Jul 8
Imperial
13-5 vs Isurus Jul 11
13-1 vs LP Jul 9
13-16 vs ShindeN May 28
5-13 vs LP May 10
16-14 vs UNO MILLE May 9
Dust2
LP 9 13 IMPE
27%
73%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
IMPE
After First Kill
LP
IMPE
T 5v4
LP
IMPE
Ranking
LP
IMPE
After First Death
LP
IMPE
Recent on Dust2
LP
13-6 vs paiN Jul 10
9-13 vs BESTIA Academy Jul 7
13-6 vs Fake do Biru Jun 27
13-11 vs GameHunters May 29
13-2 vs Keyd Stars May 23
Imperial
10-13 vs LP May 10
7-13 vs UNO MILLE May 9
13-7 vs Yawara May 9
13-9 vs Bounty Hunters May 3
13-11 vs Fake do Biru Apr 29
Cache
LP 14 16 IMPE
48%
52%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
IMPE
After First Kill
LP
IMPE
After First Death
LP
IMPE
Opening Kills
LP
IMPE
Map Player Rating
LP
IMPE
Recent on Cache
LP
13-7 vs ShindeN Jul 9
Imperial
13-9 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 9
Recent Results last 11 matches
LP
Imperial
W 2-0 vs Fake do Biru NukeInferno Jul 11 33d ago
L 1-2 vs paiN InfernoDust2Nuke Jul 10 34d ago
L 0-2 vs Imperial MirageInferno Jul 9 35d ago
W 2-1 vs ShindeN AncientInfernoCache Jul 9 35d ago
W 2-0 vs Fake do Biru InfernoNuke Jul 8 36d ago
W 2-1 vs BESTIA Academy AncientDust2Inferno Jul 7 37d ago
L 0-2 vs ShindeN InfernoAncient Jun 28 46d ago
W 2-0 vs Fake do Biru Dust2Inferno Jun 27 47d ago
W 2-1 vs MIBR Academy MirageAncientNuke Jun 25 49d ago
W 2-1 vs BESTIA MirageInfernoNuke May 31 74d ago
W 2-1 vs Galorys MirageOverpassAncient May 30 75d ago
W 2-1 vs Isurus MirageNukeInferno Jul 11 33d ago
W 2-0 vs LP MirageInferno Jul 9 35d ago
W 2-1 vs Bounty Hunters CacheMirageAnubis Jul 9 35d ago
W 2-0 vs Isurus MirageNuke Jul 8 36d ago
W 2-0 vs ALKA MirageNuke Jul 6 38d ago
L 1-3 vs ShindeN InfernoMirageNukeOverpass May 28 77d ago
L 0-2 vs LP Dust2Inferno May 10 95d ago
L 1-2 vs UNO MILLE InfernoDust2Anubis May 9 96d ago
W 2-1 vs Yawara MirageInfernoDust2 May 9 96d ago
W 2-1 vs Bounty Hunters MirageDust2Anubis May 3 102d ago
W 2-0 vs Fake do Biru Dust2Mirage Apr 29 106d ago
Player Matchups
LP
Ratings
Imperial
ZM
zmb
RiflerADR 81.4KAST 75%
1.15 vs 1.14
NO
noway
RiflerADR 74.2KAST 76%
DI
divine
AWPADR 66.7KAST 78%
1.07 vs 1.10
DE
decenty
EntryADR 78.6KAST 75%
AL
Alisson
RiflerADR 71.6KAST 75%
1.06 vs 1.08
VI
VINI
RiflerADR 70.9KAST 75%
HA
happ
EntryADR 68.6KAST 73%
1.03 vs 1.05
CH
chelo
RiflerADR 75.0KAST 73%
LE
Leomonster
RiflerADR 75.7KAST 72%
1.00 vs 1.03
SA
saadzin
AWPADR 66.4KAST 75%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Mirage
LP 5 13 IMPE
7%
93%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
IMPE
Opening Kills
LP
IMPE
Ranking
LP
IMPE
After First Death
LP
IMPE
Map Player Rating
LP
IMPE
Recent on Mirage
LP
7-13 vs Imperial Jul 9
11-13 vs MIBR Academy Jun 25
2-13 vs BESTIA May 31
6-13 vs Galorys May 30
13-5 vs 25 cents May 28
Imperial
11-13 vs Isurus Jul 11
13-7 vs LP Jul 9
12-16 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 9
13-8 vs Isurus Jul 8
13-10 vs ALKA Jul 6
Anubis
LP 6 13 IMPE
7%
93%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
IMPE
After First Death
LP
IMPE
After First Kill
LP
IMPE
Map Player Rating
LP
IMPE
Opening Kills
LP
IMPE
Recent on Anubis
LP
no data
Imperial
13-11 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 9
9-13 vs UNO MILLE May 9
13-9 vs Bounty Hunters May 3
13-5 vs Yawara Apr 27
6-13 vs Yawara Apr 26
Ancient
LP 13 6 IMPE
86%
14%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
After First Death
LP
IMPE
After First Kill
LP
IMPE
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
IMPE
Ban Rate
LP
IMPE
Map Player Rating
LP
IMPE
Recent on Ancient
LP
13-7 vs ShindeN Jul 9
13-2 vs BESTIA Academy Jul 7
11-13 vs ShindeN Jun 28
13-9 vs MIBR Academy Jun 25
13-7 vs Galorys May 30
Imperial
no data
Cache
LP 14 16 IMPE
48%
52%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
IMPE
After First Kill
LP
IMPE
After First Death
LP
IMPE
Opening Kills
LP
IMPE
Map Player Rating
LP
IMPE
Recent on Cache
LP
13-7 vs ShindeN Jul 9
Imperial
13-9 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 9
More from Thunderpick World Championship 2026 South America Series 2 1 match