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Bo3  ·  Thunderpick World Championship 2026 South America Series 2 · 2026-07-11
LP
vs
Fake do Biru
79%
21%
Series win probability
LP 2–0 47%
LP 2–1 33%
FDB 2–1 12%
FDB 2–0 9%
Actual result
Nuke 16–13 LP
Inferno 13–9 LP
Model Insights
LP is strongly favored at 79%, holding a map advantage on 3 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#58 vs #113), a strong inferno (84% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 45% Inferno · Dust2 · Nuke
Scenario 2 28% Inferno · Dust2 · Mirage
Scenario 3 27% Inferno · Dust2 · Cache
Inferno
LP 13 7 FDB
84%
16%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
After First Kill
LP
FDB
Ranking
LP
FDB
Map Player Rating
LP
FDB
After First Death
LP
FDB
Round Win Rate
LP
FDB
Recent on Inferno
LP
2-13 vs paiN Jul 10
1-13 vs Imperial Jul 9
7-13 vs ShindeN Jul 9
13-8 vs Fake do Biru Jul 8
13-11 vs BESTIA Academy Jul 7
Fake do Biru
8-13 vs LP Jul 8
13-7 vs VEXA Jul 6
10-13 vs LP Jun 27
13-10 vs Vasco May 7
13-10 vs Fluxo May 3
Dust2
LP 13 11 FDB
57%
43%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
LP
FDB
Round Win Rate
LP
FDB
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
FDB
After First Death
LP
FDB
After First Kill
LP
FDB
Recent on Dust2
LP
13-6 vs paiN Jul 10
9-13 vs BESTIA Academy Jul 7
13-6 vs Fake do Biru Jun 27
13-11 vs GameHunters May 29
13-2 vs Keyd Stars May 23
Fake do Biru
13-5 vs paiN Academy Jul 8
10-13 vs VEXA Jul 6
6-13 vs LP Jun 27
11-13 vs Galorys May 23
13-4 vs UNO MILLE May 21
Nuke
LP 13 10 FDB
62%
38%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
LP
FDB
Ranking
LP
FDB
Round Win Rate
LP
FDB
Multi-Kills
LP
FDB
T Side
LP
FDB
Recent on Nuke
LP
9-13 vs paiN Jul 10
13-4 vs Fake do Biru Jul 8
13-3 vs MIBR Academy Jun 25
13-7 vs BESTIA May 31
13-11 vs Galorys May 24
Fake do Biru
13-10 vs UNO MILLE Jul 10
17-19 vs Isurus Jul 9
4-13 vs LP Jul 8
13-8 vs paiN Academy Jul 8
13-4 vs Galorys May 23
Inferno
LP 13 7 FDB
84%
16%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
After First Kill
LP
FDB
Ranking
LP
FDB
Map Player Rating
LP
FDB
After First Death
LP
FDB
Round Win Rate
LP
FDB
Recent on Inferno
LP
2-13 vs paiN Jul 10
1-13 vs Imperial Jul 9
7-13 vs ShindeN Jul 9
13-8 vs Fake do Biru Jul 8
13-11 vs BESTIA Academy Jul 7
Fake do Biru
8-13 vs LP Jul 8
13-7 vs VEXA Jul 6
10-13 vs LP Jun 27
13-10 vs Vasco May 7
13-10 vs Fluxo May 3
Dust2
LP 13 11 FDB
57%
43%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
LP
FDB
Round Win Rate
LP
FDB
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
FDB
After First Death
LP
FDB
After First Kill
LP
FDB
Recent on Dust2
LP
13-6 vs paiN Jul 10
9-13 vs BESTIA Academy Jul 7
13-6 vs Fake do Biru Jun 27
13-11 vs GameHunters May 29
13-2 vs Keyd Stars May 23
Fake do Biru
13-5 vs paiN Academy Jul 8
10-13 vs VEXA Jul 6
6-13 vs LP Jun 27
11-13 vs Galorys May 23
13-4 vs UNO MILLE May 21
Mirage
LP 13 8 FDB
82%
18%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Ranking
LP
FDB
Round Win Rate
LP
FDB
After First Kill
LP
FDB
Map Win Rate
LP
FDB
Open Score N75 Diff
LP
FDB
Recent on Mirage
LP
7-13 vs Imperial Jul 9
11-13 vs MIBR Academy Jun 25
2-13 vs BESTIA May 31
6-13 vs Galorys May 30
13-5 vs 25 cents May 28
Fake do Biru
6-13 vs Isurus Jul 9
10-13 vs paiN Academy May 22
13-6 vs Keyd Stars May 14
13-6 vs Isurus May 9
8-13 vs Yawara May 8
Inferno
LP 13 7 FDB
84%
16%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
After First Kill
LP
FDB
Ranking
LP
FDB
Map Player Rating
LP
FDB
After First Death
LP
FDB
Round Win Rate
LP
FDB
Recent on Inferno
LP
2-13 vs paiN Jul 10
1-13 vs Imperial Jul 9
7-13 vs ShindeN Jul 9
13-8 vs Fake do Biru Jul 8
13-11 vs BESTIA Academy Jul 7
Fake do Biru
8-13 vs LP Jul 8
13-7 vs VEXA Jul 6
10-13 vs LP Jun 27
13-10 vs Vasco May 7
13-10 vs Fluxo May 3
Dust2
LP 13 11 FDB
57%
43%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
LP
FDB
Round Win Rate
LP
FDB
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
FDB
After First Death
LP
FDB
After First Kill
LP
FDB
Recent on Dust2
LP
13-6 vs paiN Jul 10
9-13 vs BESTIA Academy Jul 7
13-6 vs Fake do Biru Jun 27
13-11 vs GameHunters May 29
13-2 vs Keyd Stars May 23
Fake do Biru
13-5 vs paiN Academy Jul 8
10-13 vs VEXA Jul 6
6-13 vs LP Jun 27
11-13 vs Galorys May 23
13-4 vs UNO MILLE May 21
Cache
LP 13 9 FDB
72%
28%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
LP
FDB
Map Player Rating
LP
FDB
After First Death
LP
FDB
Opening Kills
LP
FDB
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
FDB
Recent on Cache
LP
13-7 vs ShindeN Jul 9
Fake do Biru
13-10 vs UNO MILLE Jul 10
Recent Results last 11 matches
LP
Fake do Biru
L 1-2 vs paiN InfernoDust2Nuke Jul 10 34d ago
L 0-2 vs Imperial MirageInferno Jul 9 35d ago
W 2-1 vs ShindeN AncientInfernoCache Jul 9 35d ago
W 2-0 vs Fake do Biru InfernoNuke Jul 8 36d ago
W 2-1 vs BESTIA Academy AncientDust2Inferno Jul 7 37d ago
L 0-2 vs ShindeN InfernoAncient Jun 28 46d ago
W 2-0 vs Fake do Biru Dust2Inferno Jun 27 47d ago
W 2-1 vs MIBR Academy MirageAncientNuke Jun 25 49d ago
W 2-1 vs BESTIA MirageInfernoNuke May 31 74d ago
W 2-1 vs Galorys MirageOverpassAncient May 30 75d ago
W 2-0 vs GameHunters Dust2Ancient May 29 76d ago
W 2-0 vs UNO MILLE CacheNuke Jul 10 34d ago
L 0-2 vs Isurus MirageNuke Jul 9 35d ago
L 0-2 vs LP InfernoNuke Jul 8 36d ago
W 2-1 vs paiN Academy NukeAnubisDust2 Jul 8 36d ago
W 2-1 vs VEXA AnubisDust2Inferno Jul 6 38d ago
L 0-2 vs LP Dust2Inferno Jun 27 47d ago
L 1-2 vs Galorys NukeDust2Overpass May 23 82d ago
L 1-2 vs paiN Academy AnubisOverpassMirage May 22 83d ago
W 2-1 vs UNO MILLE AnubisDust2Overpass May 21 84d ago
W 2-0 vs Bounty Hunters Dust2Nuke May 15 90d ago
W 2-0 vs Keyd Stars MirageDust2 May 14 91d ago
Player Matchups
LP
Ratings
Fake do Biru
ZM
zmb
RiflerADR 81.8KAST 75%
1.15 vs 1.13
DE
detr0ittJ
AWPADR 73.5KAST 74%
AL
Alisson
RiflerADR 71.5KAST 75%
1.06 vs 1.06
TU
Tuurtle
RiflerADR 74.1KAST 72%
DI
divine
AWPADR 66.2KAST 78%
1.05 vs 1.06
HA
hardzao
EntryADR 76.0KAST 73%
HA
happ
EntryADR 68.7KAST 73%
1.04 vs 0.91
PK
PKL
RiflerADR 69.4KAST 69%
LE
Leomonster
RiflerADR 76.2KAST 72%
1.01 vs
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Ancient
LP 13 5 FDB
93%
7%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
After First Kill
LP
FDB
After First Death
LP
FDB
Ban Rate
LP
FDB
Ranking
LP
FDB
Map Player Rating
LP
FDB
Recent on Ancient
LP
13-7 vs ShindeN Jul 9
13-2 vs BESTIA Academy Jul 7
11-13 vs ShindeN Jun 28
13-9 vs MIBR Academy Jun 25
13-7 vs Galorys May 30
Fake do Biru
no data
Anubis
LP 6 13 FDB
8%
92%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
After First Kill
LP
FDB
After First Death
LP
FDB
Ranking
LP
FDB
Map Player Rating
LP
FDB
Opening Kills
LP
FDB
Recent on Anubis
LP
no data
Fake do Biru
9-13 vs paiN Academy Jul 8
13-2 vs VEXA Jul 6
10-13 vs paiN Academy May 22
6-13 vs UNO MILLE May 21
13-9 vs ODDIK Apr 27
Mirage
LP 13 8 FDB
82%
18%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
Ranking
LP
FDB
Round Win Rate
LP
FDB
After First Kill
LP
FDB
Map Win Rate
LP
FDB
Open Score N75 Diff
LP
FDB
Recent on Mirage
LP
7-13 vs Imperial Jul 9
11-13 vs MIBR Academy Jun 25
2-13 vs BESTIA May 31
6-13 vs Galorys May 30
13-5 vs 25 cents May 28
Fake do Biru
6-13 vs Isurus Jul 9
10-13 vs paiN Academy May 22
13-6 vs Keyd Stars May 14
13-6 vs Isurus May 9
8-13 vs Yawara May 8
Cache
LP 13 9 FDB
72%
28%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
Ranking
LP
FDB
Map Player Rating
LP
FDB
After First Death
LP
FDB
Opening Kills
LP
FDB
Opponent-Rating Diff
LP
FDB
Recent on Cache
LP
13-7 vs ShindeN Jul 9
Fake do Biru
13-10 vs UNO MILLE Jul 10
More from Thunderpick World Championship 2026 South America Series 2 3 matches