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Bo3  ·  Thunderpick World Championship 2026 South America Series 2 · 2026-07-10
Yawara ✗
vs
MIBR Academy
61%
39%
Series win probability
YAWA 2–0 41%
MA 2–1 27%
YAWA 2–1 20%
MA 2–0 12%
Actual result
Cache 13–11 MA
Mirage 13–11 MA
Model Insights
Yawara has a moderate edge at 61%, favored on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.06 vs 1.01), a significant ranking advantage (#128 vs #186), a strong mirage (71% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 38% Mirage · Ancient · Dust2
Scenario 2 38% Mirage · Dust2 · Anubis
Scenario 3 24% Mirage · Dust2 · Cache
Mirage
YAWA 13 – 9 MA
71%
29%
Win prob OT 9% ✗
Key factors
After First Kill
YAWA
MA
Ranking
YAWA
MA
After First Death
YAWA
MA
T 5v4
YAWA
MA
Multi-Kills
YAWA
MA
Recent on Mirage
Yawara
13-8 vs Sharks Jul 9
7-13 vs Keyd Stars Jul 9
7-13 vs Isurus Jul 7
13-3 vs Red Feet Jul 2
16-14 vs GameHunters Jun 30
MIBR Academy
13-10 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 7
13-7 vs GUARA Jul 5
10-13 vs Patins da Ferrari Jun 28
13-5 vs Isurus Jun 26
13-11 vs LP Jun 25
Ancient
YAWA 13 – 11 MA
58%
42%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
After First Death
YAWA
MA
Ranking
YAWA
MA
Round Win Rate
YAWA
MA
Opening Kills
YAWA
MA
After First Kill
YAWA
MA
Recent on Ancient
Yawara
8-13 vs Sharks Jul 9
13-4 vs Keyd Stars Jul 9
13-8 vs Red Feet Jul 2
5-13 vs GameHunters Jun 30
2-13 vs Keyd Stars Jun 26
MIBR Academy
17-19 vs METANOIA Wolves Jul 9
11-13 vs Keyd Stars Jul 8
11-13 vs VEXA Jul 4
13-10 vs Procyon Jun 30
8-13 vs Patins da Ferrari Jun 28
Dust2
YAWA 13 – 7 MA
70%
30%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
After First Kill
YAWA
MA
Round Win Rate
YAWA
MA
Ranking
YAWA
MA
After First Death
YAWA
MA
Map Win Rate
YAWA
MA
Recent on Dust2
Yawara
7-13 vs Isurus Jul 7
13-10 vs GameHunters Jun 30
13-4 vs Blitzkrieg Jun 28
5-13 vs UNO MILLE May 30
12-16 vs Bounty Hunters May 23
MIBR Academy
9-13 vs Procyon Jun 30
16-12 vs Isurus Jun 24
4-13 vs Bounty Hunters May 22
9-13 vs Procyon May 19
8-13 vs Keyd Stars May 2
Mirage
YAWA 13 – 9 MA
71%
29%
Win prob OT 9% ✗
Key factors
After First Kill
YAWA
MA
Ranking
YAWA
MA
After First Death
YAWA
MA
T 5v4
YAWA
MA
Multi-Kills
YAWA
MA
Recent on Mirage
Yawara
13-8 vs Sharks Jul 9
7-13 vs Keyd Stars Jul 9
7-13 vs Isurus Jul 7
13-3 vs Red Feet Jul 2
16-14 vs GameHunters Jun 30
MIBR Academy
13-10 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 7
13-7 vs GUARA Jul 5
10-13 vs Patins da Ferrari Jun 28
13-5 vs Isurus Jun 26
13-11 vs LP Jun 25
Dust2
YAWA 13 – 7 MA
70%
30%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
After First Kill
YAWA
MA
Round Win Rate
YAWA
MA
Ranking
YAWA
MA
After First Death
YAWA
MA
Map Win Rate
YAWA
MA
Recent on Dust2
Yawara
7-13 vs Isurus Jul 7
13-10 vs GameHunters Jun 30
13-4 vs Blitzkrieg Jun 28
5-13 vs UNO MILLE May 30
12-16 vs Bounty Hunters May 23
MIBR Academy
9-13 vs Procyon Jun 30
16-12 vs Isurus Jun 24
4-13 vs Bounty Hunters May 22
9-13 vs Procyon May 19
8-13 vs Keyd Stars May 2
Anubis
YAWA 13 – 10 MA
58%
42%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
YAWA
MA
After First Death
YAWA
MA
Opening Kills
YAWA
MA
Map Win Rate
YAWA
MA
Map Player Rating
YAWA
MA
Recent on Anubis
Yawara
9-13 vs Keyd Stars Jul 9
13-8 vs METANOIA Wolves Jul 8
11-13 vs Keyd Stars Jun 24
13-9 vs UNO MILLE May 30
6-13 vs VEXA May 11
MIBR Academy
9-13 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 7
13-11 vs VEXA Jul 4
13-9 vs R2 May 20
8-13 vs Keyd Stars May 2
16-12 vs UNO MILLE Apr 16
Mirage
YAWA 13 – 9 MA
71%
29%
Win prob OT 9% ✗
Key factors
After First Kill
YAWA
MA
Ranking
YAWA
MA
After First Death
YAWA
MA
T 5v4
YAWA
MA
Multi-Kills
YAWA
MA
Recent on Mirage
Yawara
13-8 vs Sharks Jul 9
7-13 vs Keyd Stars Jul 9
7-13 vs Isurus Jul 7
13-3 vs Red Feet Jul 2
16-14 vs GameHunters Jun 30
MIBR Academy
13-10 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 7
13-7 vs GUARA Jul 5
10-13 vs Patins da Ferrari Jun 28
13-5 vs Isurus Jun 26
13-11 vs LP Jun 25
Dust2
YAWA 13 – 7 MA
70%
30%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
After First Kill
YAWA
MA
Round Win Rate
YAWA
MA
Ranking
YAWA
MA
After First Death
YAWA
MA
Map Win Rate
YAWA
MA
Recent on Dust2
Yawara
7-13 vs Isurus Jul 7
13-10 vs GameHunters Jun 30
13-4 vs Blitzkrieg Jun 28
5-13 vs UNO MILLE May 30
12-16 vs Bounty Hunters May 23
MIBR Academy
9-13 vs Procyon Jun 30
16-12 vs Isurus Jun 24
4-13 vs Bounty Hunters May 22
9-13 vs Procyon May 19
8-13 vs Keyd Stars May 2
Cache
YAWA 5 – 13 MA
8%
92%
Win prob OT 3% ✗
Key factors
After First Death
YAWA
MA
After First Kill
YAWA
MA
Ranking
YAWA
MA
Opening Kills
YAWA
MA
T 5v4
YAWA
MA
Recent on Cache
Yawara
no data
MIBR Academy
13-9 vs METANOIA Wolves Jul 9
Recent Results last 11 matches
Yawara
MIBR Academy
L 1-2 vs Sharks MirageAncientInferno Jul 9 35d ago
L 1-2 vs Keyd Stars MirageAncientAnubis Jul 9 35d ago
W 2-0 vs METANOIA Wolves InfernoAnubis Jul 8 36d ago
L 0-2 vs Isurus Dust2Mirage Jul 7 37d ago
W 2-0 vs Red Feet MirageAncient Jul 2 42d ago
W 2-1 vs GameHunters AncientMirageDust2 Jun 30 44d ago
W 2-0 vs Blitzkrieg Dust2Mirage Jun 28 46d ago
L 0-2 vs Keyd Stars AncientMirage Jun 26 48d ago
W 2-0 vs GameHunters AncientMirage Jun 25 49d ago
L 0-2 vs Keyd Stars AncientAnubis Jun 24 50d ago
W 3-1 vs UNO MILLE AncientOverpassDust2Anubis May 30 75d ago
W 2-1 vs METANOIA Wolves AncientNukeCache Jul 9 35d ago
L 0-2 vs Keyd Stars NukeAncient Jul 8 36d ago
L 1-2 vs Bounty Hunters MirageAnubisNuke Jul 7 37d ago
W 2-0 vs GUARA NukeMirage Jul 5 39d ago
L 1-2 vs VEXA AnubisNukeAncient Jul 4 40d ago
W 2-1 vs Procyon AncientDust2Nuke Jun 30 44d ago
L 1-2 vs Patins da Ferrari MirageNukeAncient Jun 28 46d ago
L 0-2 vs ShindeN OverpassAncient Jun 27 47d ago
W 2-0 vs Isurus AncientMirage Jun 26 48d ago
L 1-2 vs LP MirageAncientNuke Jun 25 49d ago
W 2-0 vs Isurus NukeDust2 Jun 24 50d ago
Player Matchups
Yawara
Ratings
MIBR Academy
R3
r3kt
RiflerADR 77.0KAST 76%
1.14 vs 1.08
ST
stormzyn
EntryADR 76.8KAST 70%
TE
tele
RiflerADR 80.2KAST 71%
1.12 vs 1.06
LK
lkz
AWPADR 71.1KAST 73%
DE
deemO
EntryADR 72.7KAST 75%
1.07 vs 0.95
FL
fl4sh
RiflerADR 72.1KAST 70%
J0
j0w
RiflerADR 73.8KAST 70%
1.00 vs 0.94
JE
Jerr1
RiflerADR 66.8KAST 71%
ED
edv
AWPADR 63.7KAST 72%
0.99 vs —
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Inferno
YAWA 13 – 5 MA
94%
6%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
After First Death
YAWA
MA
After First Kill
YAWA
MA
Ban Rate
YAWA
MA
Ranking
YAWA
MA
Map Player Rating
YAWA
MA
Recent on Inferno
Yawara
11-13 vs Sharks Jul 9
13-7 vs METANOIA Wolves Jul 8
8-13 vs LP May 22
13-8 vs UNO MILLE May 16
13-6 vs GUARA May 13
MIBR Academy
no data
Nuke
YAWA 6 – 13 MA
7%
93%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
YAWA
MA
After First Death
YAWA
MA
Ban Rate
YAWA
MA
Map Player Rating
YAWA
MA
Ranking
YAWA
MA
Recent on Nuke
Yawara
no data
MIBR Academy
13-6 vs METANOIA Wolves Jul 9
9-13 vs Keyd Stars Jul 8
11-13 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 7
13-1 vs GUARA Jul 5
8-13 vs VEXA Jul 4
Cache
YAWA 5 – 13 MA
8%
92%
Win prob OT 3%
Key factors
After First Death
YAWA
MA
After First Kill
YAWA
MA
Ranking
YAWA
MA
Opening Kills
YAWA
MA
T 5v4
YAWA
MA
Recent on Cache
Yawara
no data
MIBR Academy
13-9 vs METANOIA Wolves Jul 9
Anubis
YAWA 13 – 10 MA
58%
42%
Win prob OT 12%
Key factors
Ranking
YAWA
MA
After First Death
YAWA
MA
Opening Kills
YAWA
MA
Map Win Rate
YAWA
MA
Map Player Rating
YAWA
MA
Recent on Anubis
Yawara
9-13 vs Keyd Stars Jul 9
13-8 vs METANOIA Wolves Jul 8
11-13 vs Keyd Stars Jun 24
13-9 vs UNO MILLE May 30
6-13 vs VEXA May 11
MIBR Academy
9-13 vs Bounty Hunters Jul 7
13-11 vs VEXA Jul 4
13-9 vs R2 May 20
8-13 vs Keyd Stars May 2
16-12 vs UNO MILLE Apr 16
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Fake do Biru over UNO MILLE 79%