Bo3 · RES Showdown 4 South America: BLAST Premier Rising Event
· 2026-07-10
LP
vs
paiN
✓
26%
74%
Series win probability
PAIN
2–1
46%
PAIN
2–0
28%
LP
2–0
17%
LP
2–1
9%
Actual result
Inferno
13–2
PAIN
Dust2
13–6
LP
Nuke
13–9
PAIN
Model Insights
paiN is strongly favored at 74%, holding a map advantage on 2 of 3 predicted maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#25 vs #58), a strong inferno (77% win probability). LP's best shot is nuke where they hold a 69% edge.
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
42%
Inferno · Nuke · Mirage
Scenario 2
30%
Inferno · Nuke · Dust2
Scenario 3
28%
Inferno · Nuke · Anubis
Inferno
LP
8
–
13
PAIN
23%
77%
Win prob
OT 10%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
LP
PAIN
After First Kill
LP
PAIN
Ranking
LP
PAIN
Round Win Rate
LP
PAIN
T 5v4
LP
PAIN
Recent on Inferno
LP
1-13
vs Imperial
Jul 9
7-13
vs ShindeN
Jul 9
13-8
vs Fake do Biru
Jul 8
13-11
vs BESTIA Academy
Jul 7
9-13
vs ShindeN
Jun 28
paiN
13-4
vs METANOIA Wolves
Jul 9
8-13
vs GamerLegion
May 15
4-13
vs ShindeN
Apr 4
13-6
vs Gaimin Gladiators
Mar 30
9-13
vs 9z
Mar 29
Nuke
LP
13
–
9
PAIN
69%
31%
Win prob
OT 10%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
LP
PAIN
After First Kill
LP
PAIN
Ranking
LP
PAIN
Map Player Rating
LP
PAIN
T 5v4
LP
PAIN
Recent on Nuke
LP
13-4
vs Fake do Biru
Jul 8
13-3
vs MIBR Academy
Jun 25
13-7
vs BESTIA
May 31
13-11
vs Galorys
May 24
13-4
vs Keyd Stars
May 23
paiN
5-13
vs Monte
Jun 9
13-11
vs Astralis
Jun 8
13-7
vs FlyQuest
Jun 7
8-13
vs TYLOO
May 21
4-13
vs MOUZ
May 21
Mirage
LP
14
–
16
PAIN
48%
52%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
After First Kill
LP
PAIN
After First Death
LP
PAIN
Ranking
LP
PAIN
Round Win Rate
LP
PAIN
Map Player Rating
LP
PAIN
Recent on Mirage
LP
7-13
vs Imperial
Jul 9
11-13
vs MIBR Academy
Jun 25
2-13
vs BESTIA
May 31
6-13
vs Galorys
May 30
13-5
vs 25 cents
May 28
paiN
9-13
vs TYLOO
Jun 6
13-5
vs TYLOO
May 21
8-13
vs M80
May 19
13-8
vs ShindeN
Apr 4
13-5
vs Fluxo
Apr 4
Inferno
LP
8
–
13
PAIN
23%
77%
Win prob
OT 10%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
LP
PAIN
After First Kill
LP
PAIN
Ranking
LP
PAIN
Round Win Rate
LP
PAIN
T 5v4
LP
PAIN
Recent on Inferno
LP
1-13
vs Imperial
Jul 9
7-13
vs ShindeN
Jul 9
13-8
vs Fake do Biru
Jul 8
13-11
vs BESTIA Academy
Jul 7
9-13
vs ShindeN
Jun 28
paiN
13-4
vs METANOIA Wolves
Jul 9
8-13
vs GamerLegion
May 15
4-13
vs ShindeN
Apr 4
13-6
vs Gaimin Gladiators
Mar 30
9-13
vs 9z
Mar 29
Nuke
LP
13
–
9
PAIN
69%
31%
Win prob
OT 10%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
LP
PAIN
After First Kill
LP
PAIN
Ranking
LP
PAIN
Map Player Rating
LP
PAIN
T 5v4
LP
PAIN
Recent on Nuke
LP
13-4
vs Fake do Biru
Jul 8
13-3
vs MIBR Academy
Jun 25
13-7
vs BESTIA
May 31
13-11
vs Galorys
May 24
13-4
vs Keyd Stars
May 23
paiN
5-13
vs Monte
Jun 9
13-11
vs Astralis
Jun 8
13-7
vs FlyQuest
Jun 7
8-13
vs TYLOO
May 21
4-13
vs MOUZ
May 21
Dust2
LP
6
–
13
PAIN
8%
92%
Win prob
OT 4%
✗
Key factors
After First Kill
LP
PAIN
Ranking
LP
PAIN
Round Win Rate
LP
PAIN
Map Win Rate
LP
PAIN
Opening Kills
LP
PAIN
Recent on Dust2
LP
9-13
vs BESTIA Academy
Jul 7
13-6
vs Fake do Biru
Jun 27
13-11
vs GameHunters
May 29
13-2
vs Keyd Stars
May 23
11-13
vs Yawara
May 22
paiN
13-4
vs METANOIA Wolves
Jul 9
11-13
vs Monte
Jun 9
13-8
vs BC.Game
May 20
11-13
vs BetBoom
May 13
13-11
vs FUT
May 12
Inferno
LP
8
–
13
PAIN
23%
77%
Win prob
OT 10%
✓
Key factors
After First Death
LP
PAIN
After First Kill
LP
PAIN
Ranking
LP
PAIN
Round Win Rate
LP
PAIN
T 5v4
LP
PAIN
Recent on Inferno
LP
1-13
vs Imperial
Jul 9
7-13
vs ShindeN
Jul 9
13-8
vs Fake do Biru
Jul 8
13-11
vs BESTIA Academy
Jul 7
9-13
vs ShindeN
Jun 28
paiN
13-4
vs METANOIA Wolves
Jul 9
8-13
vs GamerLegion
May 15
4-13
vs ShindeN
Apr 4
13-6
vs Gaimin Gladiators
Mar 30
9-13
vs 9z
Mar 29
Nuke
LP
13
–
9
PAIN
69%
31%
Win prob
OT 10%
✗
Key factors
After First Death
LP
PAIN
After First Kill
LP
PAIN
Ranking
LP
PAIN
Map Player Rating
LP
PAIN
T 5v4
LP
PAIN
Recent on Nuke
LP
13-4
vs Fake do Biru
Jul 8
13-3
vs MIBR Academy
Jun 25
13-7
vs BESTIA
May 31
13-11
vs Galorys
May 24
13-4
vs Keyd Stars
May 23
paiN
5-13
vs Monte
Jun 9
13-11
vs Astralis
Jun 8
13-7
vs FlyQuest
Jun 7
8-13
vs TYLOO
May 21
4-13
vs MOUZ
May 21
Anubis
LP
5
–
13
PAIN
7%
93%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
After First Death
LP
PAIN
After First Kill
LP
PAIN
Map Player Rating
LP
PAIN
Ranking
LP
PAIN
Round Win Rate
LP
PAIN
Recent on Anubis
LP
no data
paiN
13-10
vs FlyQuest
Jun 7
13-4
vs BC.Game
May 20
5-13
vs BetBoom
May 13
13-8
vs FaZe
May 11
13-4
vs Gaimin Gladiators
Apr 5
Recent Results
last 11 matches
LP
paiN
L
0-2
vs Imperial
MirageInferno
Jul 9
35d ago
W
2-1
vs ShindeN
AncientInfernoCache
Jul 9
35d ago
W
2-0
vs Fake do Biru
InfernoNuke
Jul 8
36d ago
W
2-1
vs BESTIA Academy
AncientDust2Inferno
Jul 7
37d ago
L
0-2
vs ShindeN
InfernoAncient
Jun 28
46d ago
W
2-0
vs Fake do Biru
Dust2Inferno
Jun 27
47d ago
W
2-1
vs MIBR Academy
MirageAncientNuke
Jun 25
49d ago
W
2-1
vs BESTIA
MirageInfernoNuke
May 31
74d ago
W
2-1
vs Galorys
MirageOverpassAncient
May 30
75d ago
W
2-0
vs GameHunters
Dust2Ancient
May 29
76d ago
W
2-0
vs 25 cents
MirageInferno
May 28
77d ago
W
2-0
vs METANOIA Wolves
InfernoDust2
Jul 9
35d ago
L
0-2
vs Monte
NukeDust2
Jun 9
65d ago
W
2-0
vs Astralis
NukeOverpass
Jun 8
66d ago
W
2-0
vs FlyQuest
NukeAnubis
Jun 7
67d ago
L
0-1
vs TYLOO
Mirage
Jun 6
68d ago
L
0-1
vs BIG
Overpass
Jun 6
68d ago
W
2-1
vs TYLOO
MirageNukeOverpass
May 21
84d ago
L
0-2
vs MOUZ
NukeOverpass
May 21
84d ago
W
2-0
vs BC.Game
Dust2Anubis
May 20
85d ago
L
0-1
vs M80
Mirage
May 19
86d ago
L
1-2
vs GamerLegion
OverpassNukeInferno
May 15
90d ago
Player Matchups
LP
Ratings
paiN
ZM
zmb
RiflerADR 81.6KAST 75%
SN
snow
RiflerADR 77.9KAST 71%
AL
Alisson
RiflerADR 72.1KAST 76%
PI
piriajr
EntryADR 77.2KAST 70%
DI
divine
AWPADR 66.4KAST 78%
SA
saffee
AWPADR 68.8KAST 70%
HA
happ
EntryADR 69.1KAST 74%
BI
biguzera
RiflerADR 70.8KAST 70%
LE
Leomonster
RiflerADR 77.2KAST 73%
VS
vsm
RiflerADR 66.2KAST 67%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Anubis
LP
5
–
13
PAIN
7%
93%
Win prob
OT 2%
Key factors
After First Death
LP
PAIN
After First Kill
LP
PAIN
Map Player Rating
LP
PAIN
Ranking
LP
PAIN
Round Win Rate
LP
PAIN
Recent on Anubis
LP
no data
paiN
13-10
vs FlyQuest
Jun 7
13-4
vs BC.Game
May 20
5-13
vs BetBoom
May 13
13-8
vs FaZe
May 11
13-4
vs Gaimin Gladiators
Apr 5
Dust2
LP
6
–
13
PAIN
8%
92%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
After First Kill
LP
PAIN
Ranking
LP
PAIN
Round Win Rate
LP
PAIN
Map Win Rate
LP
PAIN
Opening Kills
LP
PAIN
Recent on Dust2
LP
9-13
vs BESTIA Academy
Jul 7
13-6
vs Fake do Biru
Jun 27
13-11
vs GameHunters
May 29
13-2
vs Keyd Stars
May 23
11-13
vs Yawara
May 22
paiN
13-4
vs METANOIA Wolves
Jul 9
11-13
vs Monte
Jun 9
13-8
vs BC.Game
May 20
11-13
vs BetBoom
May 13
13-11
vs FUT
May 12
Ancient
LP
13
–
6
PAIN
84%
16%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
After First Kill
LP
PAIN
After First Death
LP
PAIN
Ban Rate
LP
PAIN
Ranking
LP
PAIN
Map Player Rating
LP
PAIN
Recent on Ancient
LP
13-7
vs ShindeN
Jul 9
13-2
vs BESTIA Academy
Jul 7
11-13
vs ShindeN
Jun 28
13-9
vs MIBR Academy
Jun 25
13-7
vs Galorys
May 30
paiN
no data
Cache
LP
13
–
8
PAIN
83%
17%
Win prob
OT 7%
Key factors
After First Kill
LP
PAIN
After First Death
LP
PAIN
Ranking
LP
PAIN
Map Player Rating
LP
PAIN
Opening Kills
LP
PAIN
Recent on Cache
LP
13-7
vs ShindeN
Jul 9
paiN
no data
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