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Bo3  ·  RES Showdown 4 South America: BLAST Premier Rising Event · 2026-07-09
paiN ✓
vs
METANOIA Wolves
67%
33%
Series win probability
PAIN 2–0 42%
PAIN 2–1 24%
MW 2–1 23%
MW 2–0 10%
Actual result
Inferno 13–4 PAIN
Dust2 13–4 PAIN
Model Insights
paiN has a moderate edge at 67%, favored on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a significant ranking advantage (#25 vs #226), a strong dust2 (86% win probability).
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 46% Nuke · Dust2 · Inferno
Scenario 2 30% Nuke · Dust2 · Anubis
Scenario 3 24% Nuke · Dust2 · Cache
Nuke
PAIN 13 – 10 MW
55%
45%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
PAIN
MW
After First Kill
PAIN
MW
Opening Kills
PAIN
MW
After First Death
PAIN
MW
Map Player Rating
PAIN
MW
Recent on Nuke
paiN
5-13 vs Monte Jun 9
13-11 vs Astralis Jun 8
13-7 vs FlyQuest Jun 7
8-13 vs TYLOO May 21
4-13 vs MOUZ May 21
METANOIA Wolves
13-6 vs R2 May 19
11-13 vs Keyd Stars May 15
16-13 vs GUARA May 14
9-13 vs LP Apr 25
13-9 vs Keyd Stars Apr 24
Dust2
PAIN 13 – 8 MW
86%
14%
Win prob OT 8% ✓
Key factors
Ranking
PAIN
MW
After First Death
PAIN
MW
Round Win Rate
PAIN
MW
Map Win Rate
PAIN
MW
After First Kill
PAIN
MW
Recent on Dust2
paiN
11-13 vs Monte Jun 9
13-8 vs BC.Game May 20
11-13 vs BetBoom May 13
13-11 vs FUT May 12
13-6 vs FaZe May 11
METANOIA Wolves
19-22 vs MAGICOS Jul 3
13-3 vs GUARA Jun 28
9-13 vs Keyd Stars May 22
13-9 vs R2 May 19
13-5 vs paiN Academy May 17
Inferno
PAIN 14 – 16 MW
48%
52%
Win prob OT 12% ✗
Key factors
After First Death
PAIN
MW
After First Kill
PAIN
MW
Ranking
PAIN
MW
Opening Kills
PAIN
MW
Map Win Rate
PAIN
MW
Recent on Inferno
paiN
8-13 vs GamerLegion May 15
4-13 vs ShindeN Apr 4
13-6 vs Gaimin Gladiators Mar 30
9-13 vs 9z Mar 29
13-11 vs lp Mar 27
METANOIA Wolves
7-13 vs Yawara Jul 8
13-6 vs MAGICOS Jul 3
10-13 vs paiN Academy May 17
9-13 vs Vasco Apr 25
Nuke
PAIN 13 – 10 MW
55%
45%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
PAIN
MW
After First Kill
PAIN
MW
Opening Kills
PAIN
MW
After First Death
PAIN
MW
Map Player Rating
PAIN
MW
Recent on Nuke
paiN
5-13 vs Monte Jun 9
13-11 vs Astralis Jun 8
13-7 vs FlyQuest Jun 7
8-13 vs TYLOO May 21
4-13 vs MOUZ May 21
METANOIA Wolves
13-6 vs R2 May 19
11-13 vs Keyd Stars May 15
16-13 vs GUARA May 14
9-13 vs LP Apr 25
13-9 vs Keyd Stars Apr 24
Dust2
PAIN 13 – 8 MW
86%
14%
Win prob OT 8% ✓
Key factors
Ranking
PAIN
MW
After First Death
PAIN
MW
Round Win Rate
PAIN
MW
Map Win Rate
PAIN
MW
After First Kill
PAIN
MW
Recent on Dust2
paiN
11-13 vs Monte Jun 9
13-8 vs BC.Game May 20
11-13 vs BetBoom May 13
13-11 vs FUT May 12
13-6 vs FaZe May 11
METANOIA Wolves
19-22 vs MAGICOS Jul 3
13-3 vs GUARA Jun 28
9-13 vs Keyd Stars May 22
13-9 vs R2 May 19
13-5 vs paiN Academy May 17
Anubis
PAIN 13 – 6 MW
85%
15%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
Ranking
PAIN
MW
After First Death
PAIN
MW
Round Win Rate
PAIN
MW
After First Kill
PAIN
MW
Map Win Rate
PAIN
MW
Recent on Anubis
paiN
13-10 vs FlyQuest Jun 7
13-4 vs BC.Game May 20
5-13 vs BetBoom May 13
13-8 vs FaZe May 11
13-4 vs Gaimin Gladiators Apr 5
METANOIA Wolves
8-13 vs Yawara Jul 8
6-13 vs paiN Academy May 17
4-13 vs Bounty Hunters May 4
13-8 vs Keyd Stars Apr 24
Nuke
PAIN 13 – 10 MW
55%
45%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Ranking
PAIN
MW
After First Kill
PAIN
MW
Opening Kills
PAIN
MW
After First Death
PAIN
MW
Map Player Rating
PAIN
MW
Recent on Nuke
paiN
5-13 vs Monte Jun 9
13-11 vs Astralis Jun 8
13-7 vs FlyQuest Jun 7
8-13 vs TYLOO May 21
4-13 vs MOUZ May 21
METANOIA Wolves
13-6 vs R2 May 19
11-13 vs Keyd Stars May 15
16-13 vs GUARA May 14
9-13 vs LP Apr 25
13-9 vs Keyd Stars Apr 24
Dust2
PAIN 13 – 8 MW
86%
14%
Win prob OT 8% ✓
Key factors
Ranking
PAIN
MW
After First Death
PAIN
MW
Round Win Rate
PAIN
MW
Map Win Rate
PAIN
MW
After First Kill
PAIN
MW
Recent on Dust2
paiN
11-13 vs Monte Jun 9
13-8 vs BC.Game May 20
11-13 vs BetBoom May 13
13-11 vs FUT May 12
13-6 vs FaZe May 11
METANOIA Wolves
19-22 vs MAGICOS Jul 3
13-3 vs GUARA Jun 28
9-13 vs Keyd Stars May 22
13-9 vs R2 May 19
13-5 vs paiN Academy May 17
Cache
PAIN 7 – 13 MW
24%
76%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
PAIN
MW
Ranking
PAIN
MW
After First Death
PAIN
MW
Map Player Rating
PAIN
MW
Opening Kills
PAIN
MW
Recent on Cache
paiN
no data
METANOIA Wolves
11-13 vs GUARA Jun 28
Recent Results last 11 matches
paiN
METANOIA Wolves
L 0-2 vs Monte NukeDust2 Jun 9 65d ago
W 2-0 vs Astralis NukeOverpass Jun 8 66d ago
W 2-0 vs FlyQuest NukeAnubis Jun 7 67d ago
L 0-1 vs TYLOO Mirage Jun 6 68d ago
L 0-1 vs BIG Overpass Jun 6 68d ago
W 2-1 vs TYLOO MirageNukeOverpass May 21 84d ago
L 0-2 vs MOUZ NukeOverpass May 21 84d ago
W 2-0 vs BC.Game Dust2Anubis May 20 85d ago
L 0-1 vs M80 Mirage May 19 86d ago
L 1-2 vs GamerLegion OverpassNukeInferno May 15 90d ago
L 1-2 vs BetBoom Dust2NukeAnubis May 13 92d ago
L 0-2 vs Yawara InfernoAnubis Jul 8 36d ago
L 1-2 vs MAGICOS MirageInfernoDust2 Jul 3 41d ago
L 1-2 vs GUARA Dust2CacheMirage Jun 28 46d ago
L 0-2 vs Keyd Stars Dust2Ancient May 22 83d ago
W 2-1 vs R2 Dust2OverpassNuke May 19 86d ago
L 1-2 vs paiN Academy Dust2InfernoAnubis May 17 88d ago
L 1-2 vs Keyd Stars AncientDust2Nuke May 15 90d ago
W 2-0 vs GUARA Dust2Nuke May 14 91d ago
W 2-0 vs BESTIA Academy Dust2Ancient May 13 92d ago
L 0-2 vs VEXA Dust2Ancient May 13 92d ago
L 0-2 vs Bounty Hunters AnubisAncient May 4 101d ago
Player Matchups
paiN
Ratings
METANOIA Wolves
PI
piriajr
EntryADR 76.2KAST 70%
1.07 vs 1.08
AL
ALENNNCAR
AWPADR 72.1KAST 70%
SN
snow
RiflerADR 76.1KAST 70%
1.07 vs 1.04
SP
spinnie
RiflerADR 73.7KAST 67%
SA
saffee
AWPADR 68.8KAST 70%
1.03 vs 0.96
VZ
vzn
EntryADR 74.8KAST 68%
BI
biguzera
RiflerADR 69.0KAST 69%
0.97 vs 0.92
NT
ntx
RiflerADR 63.8KAST 69%
VS
vsm
RiflerADR 65.1KAST 66%
0.87 vs 0.86
TH
Thuister
RiflerADR 67.4KAST 64%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Mirage
PAIN 13 – 5 MW
92%
8%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
Ranking
PAIN
MW
After First Death
PAIN
MW
After First Kill
PAIN
MW
Round Win Rate
PAIN
MW
Ban Rate
PAIN
MW
Recent on Mirage
paiN
9-13 vs TYLOO Jun 6
13-5 vs TYLOO May 21
8-13 vs M80 May 19
13-8 vs ShindeN Apr 4
13-5 vs Fluxo Apr 4
METANOIA Wolves
6-13 vs MAGICOS Jul 3
8-13 vs GUARA Jun 28
Ancient
PAIN 7 – 13 MW
12%
88%
Win prob OT 5%
Key factors
After First Kill
PAIN
MW
Ranking
PAIN
MW
After First Death
PAIN
MW
Ban Rate
PAIN
MW
Map Player Rating
PAIN
MW
Recent on Ancient
paiN
no data
METANOIA Wolves
2-13 vs Keyd Stars May 22
13-1 vs Keyd Stars May 15
13-4 vs BESTIA Academy May 13
4-13 vs VEXA May 13
7-13 vs Bounty Hunters May 4
Anubis
PAIN 13 – 6 MW
85%
15%
Win prob OT 4%
Key factors
Ranking
PAIN
MW
After First Death
PAIN
MW
Round Win Rate
PAIN
MW
After First Kill
PAIN
MW
Map Win Rate
PAIN
MW
Recent on Anubis
paiN
13-10 vs FlyQuest Jun 7
13-4 vs BC.Game May 20
5-13 vs BetBoom May 13
13-8 vs FaZe May 11
13-4 vs Gaimin Gladiators Apr 5
METANOIA Wolves
8-13 vs Yawara Jul 8
6-13 vs paiN Academy May 17
4-13 vs Bounty Hunters May 4
13-8 vs Keyd Stars Apr 24
Cache
PAIN 7 – 13 MW
24%
76%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
After First Kill
PAIN
MW
Ranking
PAIN
MW
After First Death
PAIN
MW
Map Player Rating
PAIN
MW
Opening Kills
PAIN
MW
Recent on Cache
paiN
no data
METANOIA Wolves
11-13 vs GUARA Jun 28
More from RES Showdown 4 South America: BLAST Premier Rising Event 3 matches
LP over ShindeN 63% Yawara over Sharks 55% BESTIA over Fluxo 99%