Bo3 · RES Showdown 4 Europe: BLAST Premier Rising Event
· 2026-07-10
magic
vs
Inner Circle
✓
31%
69%
Series win probability
IC
2–0
49%
MAGI
2–1
23%
IC
2–1
20%
MAGI
2–0
8%
Actual result
Dust2
13–4
IC
Ancient
13–6
IC
Model Insights
Inner Circle has a moderate edge at 69%, favored on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a higher average player rating (1.08 vs 1.05), stronger map pool data despite being lower-ranked (#28 vs #24), a strong dust2 (84% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
48%
Ancient · Dust2 · Mirage
Scenario 2
29%
Ancient · Mirage · Anubis
Scenario 3
23%
Ancient · Mirage · Cache
Ancient
MAGI
10
–
13
IC
33%
67%
Win prob
OT 11%
✓
Key factors
Round Win Rate
MAGI
IC
After First Death
MAGI
IC
Multi-Kills
MAGI
IC
Map Win Rate
MAGI
IC
Opening Kills
MAGI
IC
Recent on Ancient
magic
13-7
vs EAC
Jul 9
13-6
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 30
13-9
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 29
13-9
vs 3DMAX
May 27
7-13
vs Falcons
May 16
Inner Circle
13-4
vs GenOne
Jul 9
13-8
vs Acend
Jun 28
16-13
vs 9INE
Jun 25
8-13
vs Echo
Jun 20
8-13
vs FOKUS
May 24
Dust2
MAGI
7
–
13
IC
16%
84%
Win prob
OT 6%
✓
Key factors
After First Kill
MAGI
IC
After First Death
MAGI
IC
Map Player Rating
MAGI
IC
Ranking
MAGI
IC
T 5v4
MAGI
IC
Recent on Dust2
magic
13-11
vs FaZe
May 28
5-13
vs Falcons
May 16
13-9
vs 9z
May 15
4-13
vs HEROIC
May 11
7-13
vs Monte
May 10
Inner Circle
13-9
vs GenOne
Jul 9
13-10
vs Acend
Jun 28
13-5
vs Walczaki
Jun 26
10-13
vs 9INE
Jun 25
16-12
vs Sashi
Jun 25
Mirage
MAGI
16
–
14
IC
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
T 5v4
MAGI
IC
After First Death
MAGI
IC
Opening Kills
MAGI
IC
Overall Rating
MAGI
IC
Map Win Rate
MAGI
IC
Recent on Mirage
magic
13-6
vs EAC
Jul 9
11-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 30
13-2
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 29
4-13
vs FaZe
May 28
2-13
vs MOUZ
May 17
Inner Circle
11-13
vs Acend
Jun 28
11-13
vs Sharks
Jun 27
13-16
vs Sharks
Jun 24
13-6
vs Echo
Jun 20
14-16
vs FOKUS
May 24
Ancient
MAGI
10
–
13
IC
33%
67%
Win prob
OT 11%
✓
Key factors
Round Win Rate
MAGI
IC
After First Death
MAGI
IC
Multi-Kills
MAGI
IC
Map Win Rate
MAGI
IC
Opening Kills
MAGI
IC
Recent on Ancient
magic
13-7
vs EAC
Jul 9
13-6
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 30
13-9
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 29
13-9
vs 3DMAX
May 27
7-13
vs Falcons
May 16
Inner Circle
13-4
vs GenOne
Jul 9
13-8
vs Acend
Jun 28
16-13
vs 9INE
Jun 25
8-13
vs Echo
Jun 20
8-13
vs FOKUS
May 24
Mirage
MAGI
16
–
14
IC
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
T 5v4
MAGI
IC
After First Death
MAGI
IC
Opening Kills
MAGI
IC
Overall Rating
MAGI
IC
Map Win Rate
MAGI
IC
Recent on Mirage
magic
13-6
vs EAC
Jul 9
11-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 30
13-2
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 29
4-13
vs FaZe
May 28
2-13
vs MOUZ
May 17
Inner Circle
11-13
vs Acend
Jun 28
11-13
vs Sharks
Jun 27
13-16
vs Sharks
Jun 24
13-6
vs Echo
Jun 20
14-16
vs FOKUS
May 24
Anubis
MAGI
7
–
13
IC
8%
92%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
After First Death
MAGI
IC
After First Kill
MAGI
IC
Opening Kills
MAGI
IC
Round Win Rate
MAGI
IC
Map Player Rating
MAGI
IC
Recent on Anubis
magic
11-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 30
9-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Apr 25
10-13
vs illwill
Apr 5
13-3
vs Re Di
Apr 4
13-1
vs PIVOSQUAD
Apr 4
Inner Circle
19-16
vs Sharks
Jun 27
13-9
vs Walczaki
Jun 26
13-4
vs Sharks
May 23
8-13
vs Alliance
Mar 31
11-13
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Mar 30
Ancient
MAGI
10
–
13
IC
33%
67%
Win prob
OT 11%
✓
Key factors
Round Win Rate
MAGI
IC
After First Death
MAGI
IC
Multi-Kills
MAGI
IC
Map Win Rate
MAGI
IC
Opening Kills
MAGI
IC
Recent on Ancient
magic
13-7
vs EAC
Jul 9
13-6
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 30
13-9
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 29
13-9
vs 3DMAX
May 27
7-13
vs Falcons
May 16
Inner Circle
13-4
vs GenOne
Jul 9
13-8
vs Acend
Jun 28
16-13
vs 9INE
Jun 25
8-13
vs Echo
Jun 20
8-13
vs FOKUS
May 24
Mirage
MAGI
16
–
14
IC
50%
50%
Win prob
OT 12%
Key factors
T 5v4
MAGI
IC
After First Death
MAGI
IC
Opening Kills
MAGI
IC
Overall Rating
MAGI
IC
Map Win Rate
MAGI
IC
Recent on Mirage
magic
13-6
vs EAC
Jul 9
11-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 30
13-2
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 29
4-13
vs FaZe
May 28
2-13
vs MOUZ
May 17
Inner Circle
11-13
vs Acend
Jun 28
11-13
vs Sharks
Jun 27
13-16
vs Sharks
Jun 24
13-6
vs Echo
Jun 20
14-16
vs FOKUS
May 24
Cache
MAGI
13
–
6
IC
93%
7%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
MAGI
IC
After First Death
MAGI
IC
Map Player Rating
MAGI
IC
T 5v4
MAGI
IC
Opening Kills
MAGI
IC
Recent on Cache
magic
14-16
vs EAC
Jul 9
Inner Circle
no data
Recent Results
last 11 matches
magic
Inner Circle
W
2-1
vs EAC
CacheAncientMirage
Jul 9
35d ago
L
1-2
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
AnubisAncientMirage
May 30
75d ago
W
2-0
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
AncientMirage
May 29
76d ago
W
2-1
vs FaZe
MirageDust2Overpass
May 28
77d ago
W
2-0
vs 3DMAX
AncientInferno
May 27
78d ago
L
0-2
vs MOUZ
MirageInferno
May 17
88d ago
L
0-2
vs Falcons
AncientDust2
May 16
89d ago
W
2-1
vs 9z
Dust2MirageAncient
May 15
90d ago
W
2-0
vs Gentle Mates
MirageInferno
May 12
93d ago
W
2-0
vs K27
MirageOverpass
May 11
94d ago
W
2-1
vs HEROIC
MirageDust2Inferno
May 11
94d ago
W
2-0
vs GenOne
Dust2Ancient
Jul 9
35d ago
W
3-1
vs Acend
MirageDust2OverpassAncient
Jun 28
46d ago
W
2-1
vs Sharks
MirageNukeAnubis
Jun 27
47d ago
W
2-0
vs Walczaki
AnubisDust2
Jun 26
48d ago
W
2-1
vs 9INE
NukeDust2Ancient
Jun 25
49d ago
W
2-1
vs Sashi
OverpassDust2Nuke
Jun 25
49d ago
L
0-2
vs Sharks
MirageNuke
Jun 24
50d ago
W
2-0
vs AM
OverpassDust2
Jun 23
51d ago
L
1-2
vs Echo
OverpassMirageAncient
Jun 20
54d ago
W
2-0
vs Spirit Academy
NukeDust2
Jun 18
56d ago
L
1-2
vs FOKUS
NukeMirageAncient
May 24
81d ago
Player Matchups
magic
Ratings
Inner Circle
MA
MaSvAl
EntryADR 76.0KAST 74%
DA
Dawy
EntryADR 84.8KAST 77%
TE
tenzy
RiflerADR 74.5KAST 70%
HE
headtr1ck
AWPADR 73.9KAST 77%
MO
mo0N
AWPADR 69.9KAST 70%
CP
cptkurtka023
RiflerADR 73.0KAST 74%
AW
AW
RiflerADR 71.8KAST 69%
ZE
zeRRoFIX
RiflerADR 71.2KAST 74%
SF
sFade8
RiflerADR 75.5KAST 70%
ON
onic
RiflerADR 68.6KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Cache
MAGI
13
–
6
IC
93%
7%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
MAGI
IC
After First Death
MAGI
IC
Map Player Rating
MAGI
IC
T 5v4
MAGI
IC
Opening Kills
MAGI
IC
Recent on Cache
magic
14-16
vs EAC
Jul 9
Inner Circle
no data
Inferno
MAGI
13
–
6
IC
93%
7%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Kill
MAGI
IC
After First Death
MAGI
IC
Map Player Rating
MAGI
IC
Ban Rate
MAGI
IC
Opening Kills
MAGI
IC
Recent on Inferno
magic
19-15
vs 3DMAX
May 27
7-13
vs MOUZ
May 17
16-13
vs Gentle Mates
May 12
13-6
vs HEROIC
May 11
4-13
vs The MongolZ
May 9
Inner Circle
no data
Nuke
MAGI
7
–
13
IC
7%
93%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
After First Kill
MAGI
IC
After First Death
MAGI
IC
Map Player Rating
MAGI
IC
Ban Rate
MAGI
IC
Opening Kills
MAGI
IC
Recent on Nuke
magic
no data
Inner Circle
13-4
vs Sharks
Jun 27
13-7
vs 9INE
Jun 25
16-14
vs Sashi
Jun 25
17-19
vs Sharks
Jun 24
13-7
vs Spirit Academy
Jun 18
Anubis
MAGI
7
–
13
IC
8%
92%
Win prob
OT 4%
Key factors
After First Death
MAGI
IC
After First Kill
MAGI
IC
Opening Kills
MAGI
IC
Round Win Rate
MAGI
IC
Map Player Rating
MAGI
IC
Recent on Anubis
magic
11-13
vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 30
9-13
vs Nuclear TigeRES
Apr 25
10-13
vs illwill
Apr 5
13-3
vs Re Di
Apr 4
13-1
vs PIVOSQUAD
Apr 4
Inner Circle
19-16
vs Sharks
Jun 27
13-9
vs Walczaki
Jun 26
13-4
vs Sharks
May 23
8-13
vs Alliance
Mar 31
11-13
vs BASEMENT BOYS
Mar 30
More from RES Showdown 4 Europe: BLAST Premier Rising Event
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