Bo3 · Urban Riga Open Season 5
· 2026-06-29
Leo
vs
ASTRAL
✓
36%
64%
Series win probability
ASTR
2–0
40%
ASTR
2–1
24%
LEO
2–1
23%
LEO
2–0
13%
Actual result
Mirage
13–10
ASTR
Dust2
13–5
ASTR
Model Insights
ASTRAL has a moderate edge at 64%, favored on 3 of 3 maps. Key factors: a strong ancient (65% win probability).
Predicted Maps
3 maps
Scenario 1
50%
Dust2 · Ancient · Anubis
Scenario 2
27%
Dust2 · Ancient · Nuke
Scenario 3
23%
Dust2 · Ancient · Mirage
Dust2
LEO
10
–
13
ASTR
38%
62%
Win prob
OT 11%
✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
LEO
ASTR
Round Win Rate
LEO
ASTR
Map Player Rating
LEO
ASTR
Opening Kills
LEO
ASTR
Opening Score
LEO
ASTR
Recent on Dust2
Leo
13-8
vs Aimhaus
Jun 28
13-11
vs Coalesce
Jun 28
10-13
vs 100 Thieves
Jun 18
13-11
vs PsychoFace
Jun 16
13-8
vs SPARTA
Jun 14
ASTRAL
13-6
vs Leo
May 31
13-9
vs UNiTY
May 31
8-13
vs ex-RUBY
May 27
13-11
vs brazylijski luz
May 27
6-13
vs GenOne
May 26
Ancient
LEO
9
–
13
ASTR
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
LEO
ASTR
T 5v4
LEO
ASTR
Map Win Rate
LEO
ASTR
After First Death
LEO
ASTR
Opening Kills
LEO
ASTR
Recent on Ancient
Leo
13-9
vs BERG
Jun 29
13-7
vs GAMEHARMONY
Jun 28
12-16
vs 100 Thieves
Jun 18
13-5
vs SPARTA
Jun 14
13-6
vs KOLESIE
Jun 10
ASTRAL
13-10
vs SINQU REHTI
Jun 29
13-11
vs ARCRED
Jun 6
14-16
vs Betclic
Jun 4
3-13
vs Leo
May 31
9-13
vs KOLESIE
May 29
Anubis
LEO
8
–
13
ASTR
37%
63%
Win prob
OT 8%
Key factors
After First Kill
LEO
ASTR
Opponent-Rating Diff
LEO
ASTR
Round Win Rate
LEO
ASTR
Map Player Rating
LEO
ASTR
Map Win Rate
LEO
ASTR
Recent on Anubis
Leo
3-13
vs PsychoFace
Jun 16
10-13
vs Ursa
Jun 12
13-7
vs NEW VISION
Jun 6
11-13
vs ASTRAL
May 31
7-13
vs Oramond
May 30
ASTRAL
13-4
vs 6666
Jun 28
13-5
vs BERG
Jun 28
12-16
vs KOLESIE
Jun 8
7-13
vs Lavked
Jun 2
13-11
vs Leo
May 31
Dust2
LEO
10
–
13
ASTR
38%
62%
Win prob
OT 11%
✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
LEO
ASTR
Round Win Rate
LEO
ASTR
Map Player Rating
LEO
ASTR
Opening Kills
LEO
ASTR
Opening Score
LEO
ASTR
Recent on Dust2
Leo
13-8
vs Aimhaus
Jun 28
13-11
vs Coalesce
Jun 28
10-13
vs 100 Thieves
Jun 18
13-11
vs PsychoFace
Jun 16
13-8
vs SPARTA
Jun 14
ASTRAL
13-6
vs Leo
May 31
13-9
vs UNiTY
May 31
8-13
vs ex-RUBY
May 27
13-11
vs brazylijski luz
May 27
6-13
vs GenOne
May 26
Ancient
LEO
9
–
13
ASTR
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
LEO
ASTR
T 5v4
LEO
ASTR
Map Win Rate
LEO
ASTR
After First Death
LEO
ASTR
Opening Kills
LEO
ASTR
Recent on Ancient
Leo
13-9
vs BERG
Jun 29
13-7
vs GAMEHARMONY
Jun 28
12-16
vs 100 Thieves
Jun 18
13-5
vs SPARTA
Jun 14
13-6
vs KOLESIE
Jun 10
ASTRAL
13-10
vs SINQU REHTI
Jun 29
13-11
vs ARCRED
Jun 6
14-16
vs Betclic
Jun 4
3-13
vs Leo
May 31
9-13
vs KOLESIE
May 29
Nuke
LEO
9
–
13
ASTR
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
LEO
ASTR
After First Death
LEO
ASTR
T 5v4
LEO
ASTR
Map Win Rate
LEO
ASTR
Round Win Rate
LEO
ASTR
Recent on Nuke
Leo
13-5
vs BERG
Jun 29
13-5
vs 100 Thieves
Jun 18
13-11
vs PsychoFace
Jun 16
3-13
vs KOLESIE
Jun 10
4-13
vs HAVU
May 27
ASTRAL
13-5
vs SINQU REHTI
Jun 29
8-13
vs KOLESIE
Jun 8
9-13
vs Betclic
Jun 4
7-13
vs KOLESIE
May 29
9-13
vs ex-RUBY
May 27
Dust2
LEO
10
–
13
ASTR
38%
62%
Win prob
OT 11%
✓
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
LEO
ASTR
Round Win Rate
LEO
ASTR
Map Player Rating
LEO
ASTR
Opening Kills
LEO
ASTR
Opening Score
LEO
ASTR
Recent on Dust2
Leo
13-8
vs Aimhaus
Jun 28
13-11
vs Coalesce
Jun 28
10-13
vs 100 Thieves
Jun 18
13-11
vs PsychoFace
Jun 16
13-8
vs SPARTA
Jun 14
ASTRAL
13-6
vs Leo
May 31
13-9
vs UNiTY
May 31
8-13
vs ex-RUBY
May 27
13-11
vs brazylijski luz
May 27
6-13
vs GenOne
May 26
Ancient
LEO
9
–
13
ASTR
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
LEO
ASTR
T 5v4
LEO
ASTR
Map Win Rate
LEO
ASTR
After First Death
LEO
ASTR
Opening Kills
LEO
ASTR
Recent on Ancient
Leo
13-9
vs BERG
Jun 29
13-7
vs GAMEHARMONY
Jun 28
12-16
vs 100 Thieves
Jun 18
13-5
vs SPARTA
Jun 14
13-6
vs KOLESIE
Jun 10
ASTRAL
13-10
vs SINQU REHTI
Jun 29
13-11
vs ARCRED
Jun 6
14-16
vs Betclic
Jun 4
3-13
vs Leo
May 31
9-13
vs KOLESIE
May 29
Mirage
LEO
13
–
9
ASTR
65%
35%
Win prob
OT 10%
✗
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
LEO
ASTR
After First Kill
LEO
ASTR
After First Death
LEO
ASTR
Map Win Rate
LEO
ASTR
Opening Kills
LEO
ASTR
Recent on Mirage
Leo
8-13
vs SPARTA
Jun 14
16-14
vs HYPERSPIRIT
Jun 8
13-2
vs Lilmix
Jun 5
13-10
vs fnatic
Apr 27
ASTRAL
3-13
vs ARCRED
Jun 6
6-13
vs Lavked
Jun 2
11-13
vs MANA
May 26
13-9
vs ex-Zero Tenacity
May 25
13-10
vs brazylijski luz
May 25
Recent Results
last 11 matches
Leo
ASTRAL
W
1-0
vs Aimhaus
Dust2
Jun 28
46d ago
W
1-0
vs Coalesce
Dust2
Jun 28
46d ago
W
1-0
vs GAMEHARMONY
Ancient
Jun 28
46d ago
L
1-2
vs 100 Thieves
NukeDust2Ancient
Jun 18
56d ago
W
2-1
vs PsychoFace
AnubisNukeDust2
Jun 16
58d ago
W
2-1
vs SPARTA
AncientMirageDust2
Jun 14
60d ago
L
0-2
vs Ursa
Dust2Anubis
Jun 12
62d ago
W
2-1
vs KOLESIE
Dust2NukeAncient
Jun 10
64d ago
W
2-0
vs HYPERSPIRIT
Dust2Mirage
Jun 8
66d ago
W
2-0
vs NEW VISION
Dust2Anubis
Jun 6
68d ago
W
2-0
vs Lilmix
Dust2Mirage
Jun 5
69d ago
W
1-0
vs 6666
Anubis
Jun 28
46d ago
W
1-0
vs BERG
Anubis
Jun 28
46d ago
W
1-0
vs SINQU REHTI
Inferno
Jun 28
46d ago
L
0-2
vs KOLESIE
AnubisNuke
Jun 8
66d ago
L
1-2
vs ARCRED
AncientInfernoMirage
Jun 6
68d ago
L
0-2
vs Betclic
AncientNuke
Jun 4
70d ago
L
0-2
vs Lavked
MirageAnubis
Jun 2
72d ago
W
2-1
vs Leo
AncientDust2Anubis
May 31
74d ago
W
2-0
vs UNiTY
Dust2Inferno
May 31
74d ago
L
0-2
vs KOLESIE
NukeAncient
May 29
76d ago
L
1-2
vs ex-RUBY
NukeAncientDust2
May 27
78d ago
Player Matchups
Leo
Ratings
ASTRAL
ON
OneUn1que
AWPADR 88.7KAST 76%
SW
swiz
EntryADR 84.0KAST 72%
AM
amster
RiflerADR 73.4KAST 72%
GX
gxx-
AWPADR 74.8KAST 72%
LE
leen
RiflerADR 68.9KAST 72%
RA
RaY5ive
RiflerADR 72.9KAST 72%
KL
kL1o
EntryADR 71.3KAST 72%
NE
Neqy
RiflerADR 74.6KAST 70%
ME
meowpop
RiflerADR 65.2KAST 72%
Unpredicted Maps
4 maps
Overpass
LEO
13
–
6
ASTR
92%
8%
Win prob
OT 3%
Key factors
After First Death
LEO
ASTR
After First Kill
LEO
ASTR
Opponent-Rating Diff
LEO
ASTR
Opening Kills
LEO
ASTR
Round Win %
LEO
ASTR
Recent on Overpass
Leo
no data
ASTRAL
no data
Inferno
LEO
13
–
7
ASTR
85%
15%
Win prob
OT 5%
Key factors
After First Death
LEO
ASTR
After First Kill
LEO
ASTR
Opponent-Rating Diff
LEO
ASTR
Map Player Rating
LEO
ASTR
T 5v4
LEO
ASTR
Recent on Inferno
Leo
13-8
vs HAVU
May 27
ASTRAL
13-6
vs SINQU REHTI
Jun 28
4-13
vs ARCRED
Jun 6
13-11
vs UNiTY
May 31
2-13
vs Rebels
May 26
13-8
vs ex-Zero Tenacity
May 25
Mirage
LEO
13
–
9
ASTR
65%
35%
Win prob
OT 10%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
LEO
ASTR
After First Kill
LEO
ASTR
After First Death
LEO
ASTR
Map Win Rate
LEO
ASTR
Opening Kills
LEO
ASTR
Recent on Mirage
Leo
8-13
vs SPARTA
Jun 14
16-14
vs HYPERSPIRIT
Jun 8
13-2
vs Lilmix
Jun 5
13-10
vs fnatic
Apr 27
ASTRAL
3-13
vs ARCRED
Jun 6
6-13
vs Lavked
Jun 2
11-13
vs MANA
May 26
13-9
vs ex-Zero Tenacity
May 25
13-10
vs brazylijski luz
May 25
Nuke
LEO
9
–
13
ASTR
35%
65%
Win prob
OT 11%
Key factors
Opponent-Rating Diff
LEO
ASTR
After First Death
LEO
ASTR
T 5v4
LEO
ASTR
Map Win Rate
LEO
ASTR
Round Win Rate
LEO
ASTR
Recent on Nuke
Leo
13-5
vs BERG
Jun 29
13-5
vs 100 Thieves
Jun 18
13-11
vs PsychoFace
Jun 16
3-13
vs KOLESIE
Jun 10
4-13
vs HAVU
May 27
ASTRAL
13-5
vs SINQU REHTI
Jun 29
8-13
vs KOLESIE
Jun 8
9-13
vs Betclic
Jun 4
7-13
vs KOLESIE
May 29
9-13
vs ex-RUBY
May 27