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Bo3  ·  European Pro League Series 8 · 2026-07-09
RUSTEC ✗
vs
Honvéd
67%
33%
Series win probability
RUST 2–1 39%
RUST 2–0 29%
HONV 2–0 19%
HONV 2–1 14%
Actual result
Dust2 13–11 HONV
Anubis 13–3 HONV
Model Insights
RUSTEC has a moderate edge at 67%, favored on 2 of 3 maps. Key factors: a strong nuke (77% win probability). Honvéd's best shot is dust2 where they hold a 59% edge.
Predicted Maps 3 maps
Scenario 1 35% Dust2 · Mirage · Nuke
Scenario 2 34% Dust2 · Mirage · Ancient
Scenario 3 31% Dust2 · Mirage · Inferno
Dust2
RUST 10 – 13 HONV
41%
59%
Win prob OT 11% ✓
Key factors
After First Death
RUST
HONV
T 5v4
RUST
HONV
Map Player Rating
RUST
HONV
Map Win Rate
RUST
HONV
After First Kill
RUST
HONV
Recent on Dust2
RUSTEC
9-13 vs Bebop Jun 15
16-12 vs HEROIC Academy Jun 13
17-19 vs illwill Jun 11
13-16 vs aAa Jun 10
9-13 vs ex-RUBY Jun 9
Honvéd
13-8 vs los kogutos Jul 5
16-14 vs Phantom Academy Jul 5
13-7 vs LPH Jul 4
13-7 vs Subtop De France Jul 3
13-11 vs OlyBet Jun 28
Mirage
RUST 13 – 9 HONV
72%
28%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
RUST
HONV
Opening Kills
RUST
HONV
Multi-Kills
RUST
HONV
Ranking
RUST
HONV
Opening Score
RUST
HONV
Recent on Mirage
RUSTEC
13-10 vs Bebop Jun 15
7-13 vs illwill Jun 11
9-13 vs KOLESIE Jun 9
22-18 vs Young Ninjas May 31
13-10 vs Entropy May 25
Honvéd
13-6 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 5
19-16 vs los kogutos Jul 5
1-13 vs Phantom Academy Jul 5
13-7 vs OlyBet Jun 28
13-16 vs ex-MANA Jun 24
Nuke
RUST 13 – 8 HONV
77%
23%
Win prob OT 9%
Key factors
After First Death
RUST
HONV
Map Player Rating
RUST
HONV
Ban Rate
RUST
HONV
Opening Kills
RUST
HONV
T 5v4
RUST
HONV
Recent on Nuke
RUSTEC
8-13 vs aAa Jun 10
9-13 vs KOLESIE Jun 9
13-8 vs ex-RUBY Jun 9
4-13 vs Young Ninjas Jun 6
13-7 vs ex-RUBY Jun 5
Honvéd
13-10 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 5
3-13 vs los kogutos Jul 5
13-5 vs LPH Jul 4
Dust2
RUST 10 – 13 HONV
41%
59%
Win prob OT 11% ✓
Key factors
After First Death
RUST
HONV
T 5v4
RUST
HONV
Map Player Rating
RUST
HONV
Map Win Rate
RUST
HONV
After First Kill
RUST
HONV
Recent on Dust2
RUSTEC
9-13 vs Bebop Jun 15
16-12 vs HEROIC Academy Jun 13
17-19 vs illwill Jun 11
13-16 vs aAa Jun 10
9-13 vs ex-RUBY Jun 9
Honvéd
13-8 vs los kogutos Jul 5
16-14 vs Phantom Academy Jul 5
13-7 vs LPH Jul 4
13-7 vs Subtop De France Jul 3
13-11 vs OlyBet Jun 28
Mirage
RUST 13 – 9 HONV
72%
28%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
RUST
HONV
Opening Kills
RUST
HONV
Multi-Kills
RUST
HONV
Ranking
RUST
HONV
Opening Score
RUST
HONV
Recent on Mirage
RUSTEC
13-10 vs Bebop Jun 15
7-13 vs illwill Jun 11
9-13 vs KOLESIE Jun 9
22-18 vs Young Ninjas May 31
13-10 vs Entropy May 25
Honvéd
13-6 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 5
19-16 vs los kogutos Jul 5
1-13 vs Phantom Academy Jul 5
13-7 vs OlyBet Jun 28
13-16 vs ex-MANA Jun 24
Ancient
RUST 8 – 13 HONV
27%
73%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Death
RUST
HONV
Round Win Rate
RUST
HONV
After First Kill
RUST
HONV
Opening Kills
RUST
HONV
Map Player Rating
RUST
HONV
Recent on Ancient
RUSTEC
5-13 vs INOX Division Apr 25
11-13 vs Nemesis Apr 8
13-7 vs Oxuji Mar 24
13-9 vs Nemesis Mar 9
3-13 vs K27 Feb 2
Honvéd
13-6 vs Phantom Academy Jul 5
9-13 vs LPH Jul 4
13-8 vs Subtop De France Jul 3
15-19 vs TNC May 28
19-17 vs brazylijski luz May 27
Dust2
RUST 10 – 13 HONV
41%
59%
Win prob OT 11% ✓
Key factors
After First Death
RUST
HONV
T 5v4
RUST
HONV
Map Player Rating
RUST
HONV
Map Win Rate
RUST
HONV
After First Kill
RUST
HONV
Recent on Dust2
RUSTEC
9-13 vs Bebop Jun 15
16-12 vs HEROIC Academy Jun 13
17-19 vs illwill Jun 11
13-16 vs aAa Jun 10
9-13 vs ex-RUBY Jun 9
Honvéd
13-8 vs los kogutos Jul 5
16-14 vs Phantom Academy Jul 5
13-7 vs LPH Jul 4
13-7 vs Subtop De France Jul 3
13-11 vs OlyBet Jun 28
Mirage
RUST 13 – 9 HONV
72%
28%
Win prob OT 10%
Key factors
After First Death
RUST
HONV
Opening Kills
RUST
HONV
Multi-Kills
RUST
HONV
Ranking
RUST
HONV
Opening Score
RUST
HONV
Recent on Mirage
RUSTEC
13-10 vs Bebop Jun 15
7-13 vs illwill Jun 11
9-13 vs KOLESIE Jun 9
22-18 vs Young Ninjas May 31
13-10 vs Entropy May 25
Honvéd
13-6 vs Inner Circle Academy Jul 5
19-16 vs los kogutos Jul 5
1-13 vs Phantom Academy Jul 5
13-7 vs OlyBet Jun 28
13-16 vs ex-MANA Jun 24
Inferno
RUST 13 – 5 HONV
92%
8%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
After First Kill
RUST
HONV
After First Death
RUST
HONV
Map Player Rating
RUST
HONV
Experience
RUST
HONV
Opening Kills
RUST
HONV
Recent on Inferno
RUSTEC
12-16 vs Bebop Jun 15
13-10 vs HEROIC Academy Jun 13
13-7 vs Ursa Jun 8
13-7 vs Lilmix May 26
13-11 vs BRUTE Apr 26
Honvéd
2-13 vs OlyBet Jun 28
Recent Results last 11 matches
RUSTEC
Honvéd
L 1-2 vs Bebop InfernoMirageDust2 Jun 15 59d ago
W 2-1 vs HEROIC Academy InfernoAnubisDust2 Jun 13 61d ago
L 0-2 vs illwill Dust2Mirage Jun 11 63d ago
L 1-2 vs aAa OverpassDust2Nuke Jun 10 64d ago
L 0-2 vs KOLESIE MirageNuke Jun 9 65d ago
L 1-2 vs ex-RUBY NukeDust2Overpass Jun 9 65d ago
W 2-1 vs Ursa OverpassDust2Inferno Jun 8 66d ago
L 0-2 vs Young Ninjas Dust2Nuke Jun 6 68d ago
L 1-2 vs ex-RUBY OverpassNukeDust2 Jun 5 69d ago
L 0-2 vs Nuclear TigeRES Dust2Anubis Jun 3 71d ago
W 2-1 vs Young Ninjas NukeDust2Mirage May 31 74d ago
W 2-0 vs Inner Circle Academy MirageNuke Jul 5 39d ago
W 2-1 vs los kogutos MirageNukeDust2 Jul 5 39d ago
W 2-1 vs Phantom Academy MirageDust2Ancient Jul 5 39d ago
W 2-1 vs LPH AncientNukeDust2 Jul 4 40d ago
W 2-0 vs Subtop De France AncientDust2 Jul 3 41d ago
W 2-1 vs OlyBet InfernoDust2Mirage Jun 28 46d ago
L 0-2 vs ex-MANA Dust2Mirage Jun 24 50d ago
L 0-2 vs TNC MirageAncient May 28 77d ago
L 1-2 vs Young Ninjas MirageOverpassDust2 May 28 77d ago
W 2-0 vs brazylijski luz MirageAncient May 27 78d ago
L 0-2 vs MASONIC Dust2Overpass May 17 88d ago
Player Matchups
RUSTEC
Ratings
Honvéd
YO
youka
AWPADR 79.3KAST 73%
1.18 vs 1.23
1N
1NSERT2
EntryADR 84.5KAST 74%
BR
Brilliance
EntryADR 73.4KAST 72%
1.02 vs 1.07
ES
esor
AWPADR 72.7KAST 74%
SU
supra
RiflerADR 72.0KAST 69%
1.01 vs 1.05
MA
marTineZ
RiflerADR 76.1KAST 72%
AN
anttzz
RiflerADR 65.0KAST 70%
0.96 vs 0.95
IB
iBALLY
RiflerADR 74.6KAST 68%
JA
jakekeS
RiflerADR 72.2KAST 69%
0.96 vs 0.92
NO
noleN
RiflerADR 65.8KAST 70%
Unpredicted Maps 4 maps
Inferno
RUST 13 – 5 HONV
92%
8%
Win prob OT 2%
Key factors
After First Kill
RUST
HONV
After First Death
RUST
HONV
Map Player Rating
RUST
HONV
Experience
RUST
HONV
Opening Kills
RUST
HONV
Recent on Inferno
RUSTEC
12-16 vs Bebop Jun 15
13-10 vs HEROIC Academy Jun 13
13-7 vs Ursa Jun 8
13-7 vs Lilmix May 26
13-11 vs BRUTE Apr 26
Honvéd
2-13 vs OlyBet Jun 28
Anubis
RUST 8 – 13 HONV
24%
76%
Win prob OT 7%
Key factors
After First Kill
RUST
HONV
After First Death
RUST
HONV
Map Player Rating
RUST
HONV
Opening Kills
RUST
HONV
T Side
RUST
HONV
Recent on Anubis
RUSTEC
7-13 vs HEROIC Academy Jun 13
4-13 vs Nuclear TigeRES Jun 3
13-11 vs Lilmix May 26
8-13 vs INOX Division Apr 25
13-3 vs ASTRAL Apr 1
Honvéd
13-3 vs PURE May 16
Ancient
RUST 8 – 13 HONV
27%
73%
Win prob OT 8%
Key factors
After First Death
RUST
HONV
Round Win Rate
RUST
HONV
After First Kill
RUST
HONV
Opening Kills
RUST
HONV
Map Player Rating
RUST
HONV
Recent on Ancient
RUSTEC
5-13 vs INOX Division Apr 25
11-13 vs Nemesis Apr 8
13-7 vs Oxuji Mar 24
13-9 vs Nemesis Mar 9
3-13 vs K27 Feb 2
Honvéd
13-6 vs Phantom Academy Jul 5
9-13 vs LPH Jul 4
13-8 vs Subtop De France Jul 3
15-19 vs TNC May 28
19-17 vs brazylijski luz May 27
Cache
RUST 13 – 10 HONV
65%
35%
Win prob OT 11%
Key factors
Map Firepower
RUST
HONV
Opening Score
RUST
HONV
Days With Lineup Team
RUST
HONV
Ranking
RUST
HONV
Recent Form (3m)
RUST
HONV
Recent on Cache
RUSTEC
no data
Honvéd
no data
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